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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    The Colorado Rockies lost 98 games last year with a pretty solid roster but some key injuries. I see the Brewers as having a very comparable season this year, and a roster that's around the talent level of the Rox. The Rockies are right around .500 now and thanks to the Dodgers and Giants underachieving, they are right in the thick of the race. I would think a healthy Brewer team could easily be back to .500 next year. They'd just need teams like the Cards, Bucs and Reds to do what the Giants and Dodgers are this year.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    I don't think it affects his trade value too much this year as teams would still get another year out of him at a very reasonable cost. Where it would affect it would be if the Brewers held on to him and tried to deal him next year. He'll be 33 at the start of his next contract. He'll get paid nicely but I don't see him getting a mega deal anywhere. As valuable as he could have been had this team contended, his value now is more in what he can bring in a trade. I still don't buy that they can't turn things around quickly though I think they can with or without Aoki. I see this Brewer team as similar to the 2012 Rockies that lost 98 games. They are around .500 now which is much more in line with their talent and yes the Brewers division is tough, but the the NL West looked tough going into this year too.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    correct on all counts. it should be noted that fiers is currently optioned to the minor leagues . . . not on the major league disabled list. if need be, the brewers could recall fiers and place him on the 60-day disabled list. he'd see a bump in pay if they did this, but it would free up a spot on the 40-man roster. Burgos threw 5 shutout innings for Nashville on Thursday. He can be called up anytime if they need multiple innings after tonight. It's not like there aren't guys on the 40 man that could be assigned too. I don't think Blake Lalli is in much demand for instance.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    This is one of those years where if something could go wrong, it did. I don't think it reflects a situation as dire as some as they have youngish core players at key positions. We're in a time now where teams rise and fall rapidly from year to year. The Brewers fall into that category. Healthy seasons by key players and a pitcher or two emerging, and this team can again be fighting for a playoff spot in 2014. Only those that basically choose to "start over" like Houston, the Cubs, really bottom out over several seasons. That being said, Melvin's time has run out and by association, so has Roenicke's. Since the run of high draft picks ended, the farm system has not been productive. Attanasio needs to examine his role in meddling into player acquisition. Not only is he not qualified, he subverts any planning by his baseball people. Melvin's reached the age where he just won't go the extra mile and attack his job with the vigor that's needed and that includes telling his boss to butt out. I say this as a guy who's roughly the same age. It's time for newer, younger blood leading this franchise.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    No you don't. Ok, you got me! Still, the satisfaction I get out of being right on the money on Liriano, is more than offset by disgust that the Brewers didn't seem interested in him. Maybe they were, and he just preferred the Bucs, who knows? But for me, it wasn't a tough call. Despite his less than stellar numbers the last few years, he would occasionally toss in an absolute gem. So the ability was still there. It was a reasonable risk well worth taking.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    I hate to say I told you so, but I told you so. The comparisons of Liriano to Parra were ridiculous. In his worst seasons, Liriano allowed fewer hits than innings. In his best season Parra allowed 181 hits in 166 innings. Parra has never recorded a WHIP under 1.5. Liriano is getting paid $1 million this year. He's likely going to cost them $8 million next year. Not bad return for 2 years, $9 million. He was the perfect low risk, high reward guy out there. That kind of opportunity doesn't come around too often. The Brewers, as is their custom, opted to pay a premium for what they considered a low risk.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers are in a strong position. If it's Skaggs and Davidson they want, they can leverage interest in Gallardo from other teams. Of course Arizona isn't going to put their best offer out there for another few weeks and it's not like the Brewers don't have guys themselves that can sweeten the pot beyond K-Rod.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    Simple. Who would you give up more for. Carlos Gomez or Aoki? 3 more years of team control. 1 more year. More power, speed, defense, better arm...great contract. Trade Aoki if you can, but as much as I'd hate to see him go, Gomez is going to bring a lot more in return. So...that's why. We led the league in runs, HR's, and SB's last year AND we got incredible pitching for prolonged periods from starters like Fiers, Peralta, Rogers, Estrada that wasn't expected and we were still a terrible team before a fluke run latter in the year. They were an average (not terrible) team last year because the bullpen wasn't just bad, it was historically bad. How quickly that's forgotten. This year's team is bad because of one historically bad month in which their former All Star 2nd baseman drove in 1 run the entire month and they got zero production from first base. The pitching slumped a bit in May but their current team ERA of 4.23 is actually not much below the norm over the past 30 years or so. They've gone from leading the NL in runs scored in 2012 to 8th currently. Taking Gomez out of the mix would put them near the bottom.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    I brought up the D-Backs "package" as an example not so much as a realistic trade possibility. Gallardo is not an asset you deal just to deal for some random prospect. You don't "need" to deal him. You shop him and hope somebody overpays with guys who make sense to the Brewers. Otherwise, it makes more sense to keep him. So all of you who are picking on my idea, this was more about a scenario where it would make sense to deal your best pitcher not the specific scenario itself.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    The concerns over the walks and BABIP (a stat I don't put much validity in) are a bit overblown. It's a tradeoff. He walks some people (higher than average walk rate) because of the movement of his fastball, and that same movement keeps hitters from squaring him up (low BABIP). Sinker ballers that throw in the low 90's like say Kameron Loe, are very vulnerable when they leave the ball up, but Hellweg apparently throws hard enough that he can get away with some mistakes up.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    His value in the FA market has already taken a major hit. If he misses an entire year, I can't think of anyone that would offer him a multi year deal. It's probably in his best interest to take a one year deal and hope to re-establish his value. The Brewers might have interest in such a deal but likely for considerably less than the QO amount which is projected to be around $14 million. My guess is his value will be more like in the $6-8 million range with $2-3 million in incentives.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    Well actually it could have come at a better time, like when the Brewers still were in contention or against the Reds who he's hitting .154 against or the Cards who he's hitting .114 against. This now is simply window dressing. Even with his hot June, he still has a dozen fewer RBI on the season than Yuni who's been awful. They showed a graphic on the Cub telecast last night. With runners on, Weeks was hitting .160 and with the bases empty he was hitting .269. After last night those splits are now .177 and .273. Still a long way from a winning baseball formula in my book. Hopefully his hot streak will generate interest from some team out there. I have no delusions about what he'd bring in return besides some salary (likely not all) relief, but they cannot afford a third straight year where his slow starts help the team get hopelessly buried.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    Halton's been playing more RF of late. He also played one full game at 3B last year. Given the lack of talent at that spot in the system, they should have had him do some work their in the spring.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    You guys not including Lucroy as a core piece need to go back in Brewer history and glance at the rogues gallery of catchers that have come through here. No, he's not in Yadier's class defensively, but a lot of St. Louis' success the last decade is the result of stability at such an important position. Lucroy is a core player, no question. Same thing with Gomez. If the Brewers were winning he'd be in the MVP discussion.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    The dropoff from Gomez to Gindl/Gamel might be larger than it is to Schafer. The Brewers having candidates to fill outfield positions (Prince, Halton and Davis are too), doesn't mean any of those guys is ready or ever will be ready to be an everyday OF at the major league level. The two best OF prospects in the organization right now might be Tyrone Taylor and Mitch Haniger both of whom are at least 2-3 years from the big leagues. Relative to their production, Gomez and Aoki are two of the best bargains in baseball. If you want to trade one of them why not the one who is 4 years older (Aoki) and keep the guy who is just entering his prime?
  16. JohnBriggs12
    Trading whatever he can trade smacks of desperation. He doesn't have to trade Gallardo so he should wait until he's blown away by an offer and preferably one that fills a need not one that just adds random prospects. Skaggs and Davidson fit that bill for me. Arizona already has a premier young lefty in Corbin which might make them think they can afford to part with Skaggs. As I said the Brewers could include a decent prospect in the deal too. Heath Bell and JJ Putz have been less than stellar in late relief so they have a need there as well.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    Anybody think the Brewers could pry Tyler Skaggs and Matt Davidson away from Arizona for Gallardo, K-Rod and a Brewer prospect? D-Backs are certainly in position to go all in this year. I'm of the belief that Gallardo should stay barring a great offer so they should just aim high.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    danzig makes a great point. For the first couple years here, managers were wanting Gomez to bunt his way on and virtually every other AB, he attempted to bunt. Bunting for base hits isn't all that easy especially for a RH hitter, even with Gomez' speed An occasional surprise bunt in fine, but this is a guy who can hurt you with the long ball, so why take the bat out of his hands? He's become a much better hitter swinging away and taking balls to all fields. He'll get his infield hits on as many swinging bunts as he got on intentional bunts anyway.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    Yuni is down to .205/.233/.345. I have to believe that any day now he'll be released and Halton will be called up in his place. They are probably looking at adding someone outside the organization to help fill in the AAA outfield. I also think they could move up Kentrail Davis to Nashville too. Why it's taken so long is puzzling. It's not like the coaching staff is unfamiliar with Halton. He spent the entire spring with the big club, even playing in the games at Miller Park against the White Sox.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    The Nationals have 3 or 4 guys that would be classified as stud pitchers and they are under .500. The Dodgers have arguably 3 studs in Kershaw, Greinke and Ryu, but are 10 games under .500 mainly because Kemp and Eithier have been awful. A stud pitcher would be great to have, but teams rarely give them up and they guarantee nothing. Teams need balance to win. I like Schafer but the dropoff from Gomez to Schafer is huge. Gomez affects games in so many different ways that Schafer doesn't.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    I've said all along that Ramirez' price tag is such that other than some salary relief, dealing him won't bring back anything of value. Everybody pointed to the Dodgers as a logical landing point, but they're as bad as the Brewers at this point, only in a worse division. I'm with you, I don't see a 3B on the horizon to replace A-Ram either. Francisco has failed in a couple places already. At best, he'd be a below average stop gap. I'd listen to offers for Gallardo or Lohse, but I wouldn't pull the trigger unless the return is impossible to refuse. What's wrong with trying to get everyone healthy and making a push one more year with this group save maybe Weeks and one or two bullpen faces? Even Hart might be amenable to a short term deal. There is talent here, some of it will be here for multiple seasons and there are enough arms in the high minors that one or two could break through by 2014.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    I don't accept the premise that "the earliest the Brewers could contend is 3-4 years down the road". Well they certainly won't if they trade their best players. They have arguably the best young shortstop in the game, a perennial MVP candidate in LF, a young catcher who's entering his prime, and one of the most exciting players in the game in CF. In the situation the Brewers are in, they are never going to be able to afford the price of top line starting pitching. But they can afford to keep their core everyday lineup for next 3-4 years. Pitching is very unpredictable too. Even the greatest staffs one year can fall apart quickly. Who would have thought before the season that the Giants would have one starting pitcher with an ERA of under 4.40 in late June? Even the teams with the most resources have to rely on luck to an extent with pitching. The biggest mistake ever would be to over react to this season, which has been marred by injuries to key players and less than stellar performance by some pitchers. That happens in baseball. Despite the record of some of the teams in the minors. there are some promising arms that are close to the major leagues. Gallardo and Lohse might not be Spahn and Burdette but they are both decent major league pitchers. A guy like Peralta has the stuff to improve dramatically his results. In short it doesn't take as much as some think for this ship to be turned around.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    I don't think the Brewers can deal Gallardo without getting at least one top of the rotation prospect who's within a year of the big leagues back. While all prospects have questions, the guys Texas could come up are a bit too risky for my blood. The Brewers have some guys like that already. I'm sure Texas would love a combo of Gallaro and Aoki, but I don't see it happening.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    "they have yet to talk to Ryan Braun or Alex Rodriguez, seemingly because they want to gather enough evidence before confronting them" So lets see the lesser "targets" are already being "interviewed"? Does that mean they actually have evidence against them but are having trouble finding enough evidence to confront their main target? Or does it mean their main targets are being treated differently? Either way, this is very fishy. Obviously MLB has leaked this info to keep the story in the news. Once again, no news has been broken but they still get in shots at Braun nonetheless.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    He's helping Detroit's rotation right now. I don't see them weakening their rotation to bolster the pen especially with Anibal Sanchez on the DL right now. The guy they brought up to replace Sanchez, Jose Alvarez, was awfully impressive in his major league debut, and he'd be a nice target assuming Sanchez returns healthy. But the better he pitches the less likely Detroit would deal him either.
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