JohnBriggs12
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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12
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Article in today's Sun-Times suggesting the Cubs dealing Russell for Machado. Nobody's been a bigger booster of Arcia than I have, but I wouldn't be opposed to dealing for Machado, if (and it's a big if), you think a. Arcia's never quite going to reach the level of premier shortstop and b. Dubon will be capable major league shortstop as soon as 2019. Expressed another way, if you think Arcia to Dubon is at worst a minimal dropoff, then you do the deal and go for it now, while Cain and Braun are still productive players. Those out there thinking, well, now is not the time. This team isn't to the point where they can win a division. The answer to that is they'll never be odds on to win the division over the Cubs or the Cards who can make moves every year. But Machado deepens the lineup like few could.
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Orf for Sogard is the immediate move, and if he hits that eases the need for replacing Villar too, though that should still be on the table as the trading deadline nears. There's quite a few names out there that could be available, like Dozier, Panik, Schoop, and Lowrie have been mentioned. Dozier and Lowrie would be rentals but huge upgrades over Villar. By no means would trading Sogard hand the job to Villar against all RHP just because he's the lone lefty bat. His numbers vs. RHP have been okay but he still strikes out a third of the time against them and his BABIP is unsustainable. Perez hasn't been awful the last month. He's slugging .442 over the last 28 days and is hitting better for average vs. RHP. IF Orf does come up, he needs to play right away, and not sit.
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Yeah, it's not just the 2B position that isn't producing. Shaw's well below his 2017 levels. Pina and Bandy are providing little. Even after a bit of a flurry, Santana's slugging .336. Even Cain is hitting 20 points under his career BA and while Braun has gotten a number of key hits, overall he's a shell of himself.
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Barnes making a strong statement to replace Drake as the whipping boy in the bullpen.
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I don't know why they don't give Bethancourt a shot. He was arguably their best catcher in Arizona, he's got an .803 road OPS at AAA, and although he's not produced to this point in the major leagues, he was a top 100 prospect in the past.
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The 2017 Sogard that had a .918 OPS at AAA and kept hitting after he was called up would be a huge upgrade. Orf has .447 OBP entering today. As you point Dubon hasn't walked, but Orf has walked 11 times and been hit by pitch 4 times. Last year Garrett Cooper put up monster numbers, and lo and behold he kept hitting in his brief trial with the Yankees too.
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Dylan Moore making a strong statement for best minor league FA signing of the winter. Teammate Jake Hager wasn't bad either.
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2018 Standings and Playoff Race Discussion
JohnBriggs12 replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Molina is out for a month at least. He might be the most irreplaceable guy in the division because he impacts not just their offense but their pitching as well. -
2018 Standings and Playoff Race Discussion
JohnBriggs12 replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
The NL Central teams all benefit by playing the woeful AL Central this year. Chances are that one if not both wild card teams will come from the Central. Last year the NL West played the AL Central. -
A shutdown threesome of Davis, Holland and Herrera took the Royals to the 7th game of the 2014 World Series when they were just 9th in the AL in runs scored. They weren't quite as dominant in 2015, but still very good and their offense picked up. Knebel, Hader and Jeffress could be that threesome for the Brewers in 2018. Point is they are close now and the Brewers don't figure to ever have multiple aces in their rotation. Let's see how they do with all three before we deal off one of them.
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Sogard is really not comparable to Sardinas in that he has some measure of sustained level of play in the major leagues that is well above his current numbers, and to be honest, he's hit a number of balls on the screws right at outfielders. When you have a manager like Counsell, who survived an 0 for 45 stretch or thereabouts, he's still going to give you chances to start progressing to the mean. All that being said, Orf continues to rake at AAA as does Dubon. At some point they need to move on.
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Villar's BABIP is an unsustainable .387. He's not walking anywhere near as often as in 2016, and he's still striking out once every 3 ABs while his slugging is down below where it was last year and way way off 2016.
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Davies to 10 day DL (right rotator cuff inflammation)
JohnBriggs12 replied to markedman5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I'm guessing Jorge Lopez returns to take the roster spot. -
Davies to 10 day DL (right rotator cuff inflammation)
JohnBriggs12 replied to markedman5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
They can also be very minor. Rotation depth and breaks in schedule allow them to let guys skip a start here and there to preserve them for the long haul. I suspect that's what they're doing here. -
Forget utility, give him a shot at 2B job.
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Williams has pitched very well, but isn't being used to protect leads late. Barring injury to another reliever, I'm virtually certain either he or Suter will be optioned to make room for Logan.
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Look to a great extent, Miley was a reclamation project. But it's not like he was never good. He was and even in his dismal 2017, he had 2-3 very good starts. So it was in there somewhere. A few years ago just about everyone had written off Francisco Liriano. Like Miley he had success early in his career but after bouncing around for a couple unproductive years in 2011 and 2012 in Minnesota and Chicago, the Pirates grabbed him for $1 million and he went on to have 3 very strong years in their rotation helping them to the playoffs all 3 years. Even when Liriano was bad in 2011 and 2012, he mixed in some gems among the wreckage. These are just the kind of guys a team like the Brewers need to be on the lookout for. Jury's still out on his being able to sustain it, but he sure looked in command last night.
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Perez is a competent shortstop. Counsell didn't hesitate double switching out Arcia for Perez twice this week. If there's an injury, they still have both Dubon and Saladino on the 40 man. Orf is needed to boost the offensive production at 2B and it's not like he couldn't play SS in a pinch. He has logged 119 innings professionally at SS without committing an error.
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I think it was Plesac last night on MLB tonight that said, "there's always a chance that guys who have been good in the past can be good again, but chances are that guys that never have been good becoming good is remote" He wasn't referring to Miley or the Brewers, but Miley was very good his first two years, so there's always a chance he can return to being that guy. If he is, coupled with Guerra's re-emergence, and this rotation would suddenly look very formidable.
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Orf has had to produce at every level. It's easy to overlook guys who are 5'9". He's no Altuve, but the guy can hit and deserves a shot.
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Nate Orf now hitting ,373 after 4 more hits. Just sayin.
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I have to believe Sogard's days are numbered. I've liked the guy but the production just doesn't justify a spot on the roster much longer plus there's any number of middle infielders raking at AAA, albeit in the light air. Another tipoff is that the last couple games, Counsell double-switched out Arcia in favor of Perez at SS and not Sogard who had been seeing more action at SS than Perez up till now.
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Link Report for Tuesday 5/1
JohnBriggs12 replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
There's always been 4-5 guys at Colorado Springs putting up ridiculous numbers. This year it's basically the entire roster. Eleven guys have OPS over .800. Six guys are over .900. Six guys have OBP over .400. Not fun for opposing pitchers but those guys are obviously feeding off each other. -
I'm guessing Sogard will be DFA'd tomorrow.
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There's a lot of truth to that. Hitters do what got them to the big leagues, and often ignore the pitching coach. But sometimes the entire team needs to be sent a message and firing a popular hitting coach is one way to send one. The failure to see progress in Arcia might be the single most damning aspect. Arcia got hot last May, so maybe he turns it around now that the weather has warmed. If not, Coles has to go.