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Ennder

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Everything posted by Ennder

  1. I expect Hill to be very poor and released so I guess my prayers are with you superfly. He is the guy on the roster who is the most unlikely to turn into something useful at this point.
  2. It doesn't mean much yet but the big change in his actual stats is he is elevating the ball a lot more. He is a heavy heavy ground ball hitter who for this season is hitting the ball in the air a ton. I don't know if that is sustainable or not but my guess is it is not since it is out of line for even his good season.
  3. Peralta's fastball is one of the most hittable pitches in the majors. I am not sure why that is considering he has viable offspeed pitches and throws 95. I don't see things improving a ton though unless he changes something major. It isn't just 'bad luck' in this case imo.
  4. Everyone knows WAR is somewhat flawed, it is just less flawed than any other single number. The pitching side is particularly bad. Judging a player by a single number is a bad idea in general but if you have to pick just one number to see and ignore all else WAR is not a bad choice at all.
  5. That is about as funny as the future HOF tag someone gave Brett Lawrie when we traded him~.
  6. We are .500! Might not be able to say that again for quite a while so just had to get it out. Also ahead of the Cardinals in the standings!
  7. To me the only other possible choice would be to let him face one more guy and if he didn't get him to hit into a double play really early in the count pull him after that guy. Unless he throws a 1 or 2 pitch double play right there he wasn't going to finish the game.
  8. This is really no different than the touch rule in basketball or the various rule changes in football. You see it called a bunch early in the year and then the players get trained not to do it and it becomes a non issue. Players just have to break their old habits and it will take a while.
  9. What a d-bag move by Roberts. I hope that they lose this game. I disagree. Young pitcher, first start of the year had tommy john once already and has never thrown 100 pitches before. No way he is going to reasonably finish that game when he has 100 pitches and 5 outs to go. Roberts made an unpopular but pretty easy decision here.
  10. Yeah I would too, mostly because of the health issues of JJ. Hardy actually is as good or at least close to as good defensively according to metrics and is a better hitter but he just can't seem to stay healthy a full season.
  11. He also had a couple defensive mistakes tonight that cost runs and might cost them the game. I'm not going to lose too much sleep over trading him regardless. He more or less has to keep his average up around .275 or better to have decent value and some years he will hit and some he won't. Edit: according to my at bat app he just hit an inside the park HR and Schwarber got carted off the field on a stretcher after colliding with Fowler.
  12. Jungmann being taken out was the smart move. He has to have some sort of pitch limit for the season and it was his first start of the year. Good pair of games to end the series. Looking better than I expected.
  13. Bautista is such a goon, couldn't be more fitting~.
  14. How do you analyze a trade then if it is not after the fact? You stick with your original opinion and see if there are obvious factors that you missed and adjust accordingly. You can lose a trade statistically and not have it be a bad trade at the time it was made. It just isn't so simplistic as look at the stats 10 years later and you know if it was good or bad. Sometimes a player is traded and it is completely career changing. There is no way to know if that would have happened had they stayed. A great example is Cain. He was with the Royals for 5 years before he put up a good season. Who knows how that 5 years would have gone in the Brewers organization. 5 years is completely career changing. He is a Royals product at that point, not a Brewers product.
  15. There is no way the team can not have an MVP and Braun hits 32 HR~.
  16. I didn't think he was supposed to be much of a star though. I was hoping for a 3.50-3.70 ERA type guy, a solid #3 with maybe a chance to surprise if he could get the walks down. His career ERA is around 4.03 now so he is only one step below my expectations so far.
  17. Record - 68-94. 4th Place. Team MVP - Scooter Gennett. Home Runs - Chris Carter 29. Wins - Chase Anderson 13. Bold Predictions - Will Middlebrooks comes up later in season and plays well enough to revive his career.
  18. It certainly could turn into a wash where none of them are major league players. I don't like to judge trades after the fact though because once they are on a different organization their path to the majors completely changes. I'm sure if we trade guys to the Cardinals they will find a way to make some of them useful even if they would have been a non factor for other teams.
  19. Jason Rogers is a fringe major league player at best. No way to know if we "won" this deal or not but the fact we got potential future players for a fringe player who had only a few years of control left makes this a win imo.
  20. This article was all over the place and seemed to lack any real purpose.
  21. Not a playoff team imo. Lot of players who feel to be in the downside of their career. Probably not a surprise the way the team was built through trade lately.
  22. The only reason my wife and I went to St. Louis last year was to take in a Brewers game. We ended up visiting at least 12 different establishments because of it. We were going to go to San Francisco this year for the same reason but plans fell through. The stadium definitely does something for the city.
  23. Overlays are really shady. Batting drop plays into it a lot. Things like wind flow matters. Miller park has a jet stream at times in late summer so balls soar out way farther than they would in some parks. Davis will likely lose a few HR for sure.
  24. The rotation pitches to its better stats over the last 2 seasons. Some of the gamble hitters like a Middlebrooks break out and suddenly reach their potential. There are a lot of bad teams that win in the 75-82 win range. Nelson pitches to a 3.78 ERA like in 2014, not unlikely. Garza to his career 3.99 ERA, again not all that unlikely as one of his best years was in 2014. Jungmann does his 3.72 ERA from last year over a full season. Peralta rebounds to his 2014 ERA of 3.53. Anderson repeats his 4.01 ERA from 2014. So just 1 year ago this same rotation pitched to a 3.75 ERA or so. Bullpens can easily have big years so that isn't out of the picture. Thus you only need to find a way to get a league average offense to find a path to 82. Not insanely likely given what we put out there but not completely out of the question. This team can certainly win 82 games if everything goes right at the same time. It is harder to find a path to 100 losses, it usually takes an awful offense and an awful rotation to reach it and we just don't have an awful rotation. I don't see us trading enough pitching to work into it. It is going to require an injury stack at SP to reach 100 losses imo. The Brewers only have a single 100 loss season in team history and plenty of their teams were worse than this one is.
  25. It is really hard to lose 100 games. Bad teams sneak up near .500 quite often. I'd easily go for 82 wins. Now set that bar to 95 losses and I probably take the losses side.
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