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Ennder

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Everything posted by Ennder

  1. I'm going to end up with a Gomez before the season is over. 3 years ago my wife got me a Gomez for Christmas (she doesn't follow baseball) and it has been a running joke ever since. At this point I might have to wear it with pride~. Though maybe not after that SB attempt.
  2. Wow, I didn't realize Harold Reynolds posted here. An IBB with 2 outs is almost never the right choice unless you have the pitcher or maybe Alex Gonzalez coming up next.
  3. Kind of a small sample but what I've seen of Segura makes me feel like the entire Greinke pair of deals was a huge bargain.
  4. aren't these inherently based on terrible small samples themselves, defeating your own argument that we have no idea what kind of hitter he is? I never stated they weren't small samples~. They are also stats that become meaningful much faster than something like OPS. http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/fantasy/article/when-do-stats-become-meaningful/ That study chose a very small level of confidence. If you look at one that picks a higher level of confidence you'll find something like ERA isn't a really useful stat until almost 500 innings. 300 PA is a spit in the wind for a sample size for OPS though, you give me 300 PA of OPS and I can't begin to tell you if a player is good or bad. Just think about how players vary in OPS from 1 half to another of a season and it should follow logically.
  5. Yes it is. OPS doesn't become meaningful until 500+ AB and even then it is just the bottom end of meaningful. A full year of OPS in baseball is still a small sample. Having said all that he is striking out less and he hasn't popped out all year long and he is hitting more LD. If he significantly reduces the K% and IFFB% it almost has to see a positive shift in his AVG which will positively shift his OBP and SLG. His SwStr% is down and his contact% is up so it doesn't seem like the lower K% is flukey either.
  6. All of this just shows how impressive those 1987 Brewers were. Start the year 13-0, have a 12 game losing streak and lose 18 out of 20 the next month and then go on to win 91 games but still miss the playoffs by 7 games.
  7. I can't imagine anyone who has actually watched Lohse pitch this year that can compare him to Suppan or Looper or even Wolf who was good for us. He is just so much better than those guys that it is a bad comparison at this point.
  8. I have to assume those who think that a .300 OBP is unacceptable still are complaining. i think the deal is fine but I totally get where the complaints come from. It isn't a fist pump deal by any means.
  9. OK. We get it. You don't like Weeks. He hasn't been hitting. I think we all know that by now. But do you really need to comment after every at bat? Yeah he does. He will be silent as soon as Weeks gets hot because that is just how he posts. It might not be very useful but oh well it is what he brings to the site.
  10. Did anyone see what type of pitch that was that Yuni hit the HR on? His only positive hit values are against curves and change ups, just curious if it was one of those.
  11. Yeah because Gomez and his .300 OBP is what you want batting leadoff. I mean seriously you can't say something like this about RRR and then post that as your solution. Given the players that are starting tonight that lineup is more or less perfect within the constraints of what is acceptable in major league baseball. I mean Braun should be batting 2nd but that is so against the history of baseball that it will never happen.
  12. If every time Braun came up they just IBB him to face Weeks we would have by far the best 3/4 combo in the game. Better than Fielder+Cabrera. It would be absolutely silly to do this.
  13. Soriano just got his first HR and RBI the other day. Stanton got his first RBI last night etc. While I'm not a huge Weeks fan I don't think you want to go over a cliff with it, he certainly should not be DFA'd as you suggest.
  14. Aoki also puts up positive value in the field even when he isn't hitting. All that work Weeks did to become around average defensively has gone down the drain as well so now he is killing us in the field again. He is one guy I really do not want to extend at all and I also hope his 2015 contract doesn't vest.
  15. Most people who rate minor league systems think our system is better than advertised. They just give overall grades heavily based on A level prospects and we are missing those. We have a really deep minor league system that is deep in 1-2 WAR players instead of 2+ WAR players. Basically deep in major league regulars but shallow in all stars.
  16. Years ago sure but his mechanics have changed since his 2 injuries.
  17. My guess is they did a study on performance vs injury risk and found it to improve performance more than increasing injury risk. I didn't mean to focus on the injury risk part at all though which seems to be what people are bringing up more. I'm just saying that the way they team pitching tends to cut down on walks a little bit and increase strike outs but the cost is going to be more HR. That seems to be showing in the results as well as in the speculation about what over the top pitching means.
  18. Samardzija is a pitcher whose mechanics fall apart when his arm tires so I'm hoping we score a couple when they leave in for the 7th here.
  19. Gonzalez has obviously taken the early lead here. He has been awful offensively and bad defensively. Plus he has that really silly looking facial hair.
  20. IP by starters are a big commodity in baseball and taking one out before the 6th inning is just horrible given how major league rosters are currently built. You have to do everything you can to get them through 5 innings so it should be extremely rare to go to a RP before then unless you have a SP throwing like 40 pitches in an inning or something. That isn't to say that major league rosters are optimal, there should be a long man who can go 3 innings in every pen and they should be allowed to go those 3 innings from time to time.
  21. Definitely. He did not have his good stuff and goes 6 IP with 3 ER, that is a solid outing. If you can only give up 3-4 runs in your bad outings you are way ahead of the curve. A large percentage of his runs are going to come from extra base hits, it is just the type of pitcher he is.
  22. Now this is a coinflip to me. Let Estrada face one more guy is probably fine, taking him out at 96 pitches is probably fine. I'd side on taking him out.
  23. Yeah I think if a runner gets into scoring position you make the move. I fully expect an extra base hit out of Soriano to start the inning.
  24. In a perfect world I would agree but with no true long man, with Peralta struggling to go deep into games and with a complete unknown in Burgos pitching tomorrow I think you probably have to bite the bullet and hope to get one more inning out of him.
  25. It doesn't matter if your starter isn't locating all that well, you don't take him out going into the top of the 5th with a low pitch count. I hope you meant to say that he should get an early leash if he gets into trouble this inning and not that he should just be taken out.
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