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nate82

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Everything posted by nate82

  1. The peak of the attendance is going to be on day one and that is going to be where the vast majority are coming to watch the draft. The figures for each day were 125k day 1, 84k day 2 and 100k day 3 in KC https://fox4kc.com/sports/nfl-draft/nfl-draft-records-over-300000-people-in-attendance/. The day 3 looks like it should be day 2 maybe it was higher because it was a Saturday and there were more families at the event for that day. I am still not convinced that area will be big enough to take on 125k and I doubt the Packers bring in 150k people on game days. Probably closer to 80k including the fans in the stadium.
  2. The Brewers replaced the original scoreboard in 2011. This will be the second scoreboard update. It looks like the lifespan for this is about 10-years. Which seems about right for the size of these things. This would be the equivalent of you changing your TV every 10 years or so. I still have my TV from 2008 but it is on its death bed.
  3. What is even crazier is Trea Turner's slash line: .250 / .295 / .392
  4. Yes and most of the time it is something that isn’t all that visible to the public. This is very visible there is no hiding this. I am extremely confident the state would just pass a new tax for this instead of letting it default.
  5. Not made up look it up if you don’t believe me most states have laws where the landlord must fix something that is damaged. In Arizona it is A.R.S. §33-1363
  6. Yes there is this is called the arbitration process which is a standard practice in lease agreements. The Brewers would win the arbitration case and the district would either have to pay for the repairs or they would have to default on it. I doubt the state will allow an arm of the government to default when they can just raise taxes to fix the issue. All of this would cost more than doing the repairs. So doing the repairs is basically what the district will do. There will be a new tax added on from the state. If the stairs collapse then the house becomes condemned as being unlivable. It would have to be repaired or the house gets demolished. It is basically forcing the landlord to build the new stairs. The Brewers situation is more like the plumbing is not working which the landlord has an obligation to fix. In some cities there are required repairs that have to be made basically the landlord has to make the repairs there is no other option. In Phoenix if the AC goes out the landlord has to fix the AC and also pay for a hotel or forfeit the rent for that month. The AC has to be fixed there is no other option in this scenario.
  7. I am using the state as not the state of Wisconsin but as the government as a whole. I believe the district is basically an arm of the government so therefore falls into the states jurisdiction. The Brewers could easily sue the district and the state as I believe the state is the guarantor of the district. The state being either the county of Milwaukee or the state of Wisconsin probably the county of Milwaukee unless the district is seen as a state owned entity. The Brewers can force the payment as the district is legally liable to pay for its portion of the repairs. If the district can not pay its portion then the state would have to step in to pay what the district is not able to pay. The best outcome in my opinion is for the district to sell the stadium and the area to the Brewers. This would force the Brewers to pay for the repairs. Basically sell the stadium and the property to the Brewers minus the agreed upon repairs that are needed. I don't see the Brewers leaving and something will get worked out but that is more than likely going to come at the expense of the tax payers.
  8. The Rays have been doing this for the past 10 or so years now. They have been basically just churning out prospect after prospect and then trading them once they are close to FA. It may not work exactly 100% of the time but the Brewers only need to be successful once or twice. Basically they need to keep on developing MLB talent which they have been able to do recently with Mitchell, Wiemer and Turang. Then make trades for players like Adames and Urias when needed. Pitching is always the hard part and no team in MLB has really got this consistently correct. The Guardians and the Rays have been the best but it is not perfect and they have hit some bumps here and there on their players. The Brewers definitely believe they can trade their players and continue to be successful without going through a full on rebuild like the Orioles and Cubs have done. The Cubs problem after they trading their superstars away they didn't have anything in their farm system it was completely barren. The Cubs went scorched earth tactics on their farm system to win a World Series. They won one but they absolutely destroyed their farm system in doing so. This is why the Cubs are stuck in mediocrity right now and it is something the Brewers are trying to avoid. I think the Brewers want to keep their payroll on average around $90-100m which allows them to go over when needed. Top players normally bring over AA or A+ level prospects. I don't see the Brewers trading Burnes, Woodruff or Adames for players below A+ at least not the main piece(s) coming over. The headliner in a trade for Burnes or Adames will more than likely be a player in AA which means that player normally is only one or two years away at most. So yes the Brewers are still thinking they can compete even after trading Burnes, Woodruff and Adames.
  9. Except the State can't tell the Brewers to go pound sand. The State has a legal obligation in a binding contract to make these repairs. The State has to make the repairs according to the contract that they have made with the Brewers. The Brewers could sue the State and they would win and the State would have to pay for its portion of the repairs. Either they pay for the repairs or they get sued to pay for the repairs either way the State is paying for its portion of the repairs.
  10. Even if it was something crazy like 70% came from the Missouri and Kansas area that would be about 220k people that still leaves about 90k people visiting from out of the area. I still have doubts that GB will be able to hold this many people. I would not want to be anywhere near GB during the NFL draft.
  11. If the Brewers fall out of contention then I think Adames is the one who gets moved. I still think it is the Dodgers and I think they could still get someone like Stone and another prospect or two for Adames. The only other possible SS who could be available would be Tim Anderson. Anderson is playing worse than Adames is and Adames isn't really playing all that bad and he has had more bad luck. Adames xwOBA is at .319 so I think Adames should have better stats than he currently has. If Adames starts to play more towards his xwOBA I think he gets back into the 100+ wRC+ range. Which puts him back to where he was last year and if you add that to his defense you have a 4 WAR player. That puts Adames at about a surplus value somewhere around $35-40m. The Dodgers have already shown interest in Adames earlier this year so I wouldn't be surprised if they check in around the deadline if the Brewers are out of it. If Adames is hitting like his stats say he should be then a Stone+ package for Adames is extremely likely. I think the Dodgers would prefer to keep Busch over Stone. Something like Stone, Frasso and Vivas makes some sense here.
  12. I still think the Brewers go pitcher in the first round. Keith Law has Hurston Waldrep mocked to the Brewers at 18. He hasn't pitched all that great so far this year in Florida but the stuff is top of the rotation stuff. If he falls to the Brewers I think that will be the pick. Matt Shaw is another name being thrown around with the 18th pick. I am not sure on Shaw he looks to be a 2B/LF. Shaw is an average everything basically. He should top out around the 25 HR mark and hit about .275. His skills are about average as they come. A name to watch is Nolan Schanuel. He has power and he doesn't K all that much but he plays in Conference USA so some of his numbers need to be taken with the proverbial grain of salt. He is also a 1B only and probably more of a DH. This is Schanuel's stat line so far at Florida Atlantic: .460/.623/.888 I don't see the Brewers going the HS route as Turang (2018) was the last time the Brewers took a HS player. But if the Brewers do go with a HS player it maybe someone like Colt Emersson (SS), Kevin McGonigle (SS) or Blake Mitchell (C). McGonigle sounds similar to Turang when he was drafted. Keith Law suggested Dillon Head (OF) for the Rays but I think that is another name to watch for the Brewers. He is another type of player that the Brewers have been drafting recently. I am hoping Waldrep drops in the draft as that would be the perfect draft for the Brewers. Waldrep preseason was in the top 10 and some discussion of him being drafted in the top 5 picks.
  13. Except GB only has about 5k hotel rooms total. That will fill up quickly. A total of 312k fans were in KC this year. That is almost three times the population of GB. Let’s say it was only 140k out of state fans that came. That means you have to expand the hotel range to as far as the Sheboygan area which is about an hour to GB. Hotel accommodation will be a problem. Maybe the NFL is thinking it will be more like the Cleveland numbers which was only 160k in 2021 or closer to Chicago numbers of 200k in 2015. Also getting into GB can be a pain when the Packers are at home or it was the last time I was in the GB area during a home game in 2016. I am not sure the GB area can even hold 300k people. Especially near Lambeau.
  14. Except GB doesn’t have the hotel capacity for this. I doubt many are going to be willing to stay 30-45 minutes away from the event. Some will but the majority are going to have to do the Airbnb thing if they want to be close to the event. Transportation will also be a nightmare. Not to mention majority that will be flying in will be coming from Chicago or Milwaukee. Plus the weather normally sucks around the time the draft is on. It could possibly be snowing when the draft happens. That would be a disaster.
  15. Since the city owns the property and the Brewers are just leasing the city has to pay for the repairs or at least the majority of them. Cities shouldn’t be owning stadiums. That should be on the teams. It also makes it harder for a team to leave if they own the stadium.
  16. Hah I got hit by a lot of pitches and the only ones that didn’t hurt were the ones that hit your butt. Everywhere else hurts for awhile especially the foot or leg areas. Surprisingly the least hurtful are the more scary ones those go away quickly. Hands, feet and leg area linger for awhile.
  17. And by Rea and Houser as the starting pitchers?
  18. Of the three I prefer Griffin.
  19. Not this stupid conspiracy theory again. The magical curving JFK bullet conspiracy and flat earthers are more believable than this trash.
  20. I still want a head coach that hasn't had experience. This team needs new ideas not ones stuck in the past.
  21. The NHL will try until there are no options left in Phoenix to keep the team here. For whatever reason the NHL will not let go of Phoenix even if it means the team plays in a college arena. I don't see the NHL moving the Coyotes to Milwaukee unless Milwaukee moves to the southwest. That is the only way the city of Milwaukee would be getting the Coyotes.
  22. Majority of the 14 appearances the Brewers were already well behind in. In 7 of his 14 appearances he gave up 0 runs. The last guy in the bullpen is usually the guy you put in when the game is out of hand. He was the last guy in the bullpen and he fulfilled what the Brewers wanted from him. In replacing Wei-Chung Wang the Brewers would have had to have a really good bullpen piece to replace him with which they did not. Replacing Wei-Chung Wang probably would have meant more innings from Henderson who was almost as bad as Wang was.
  23. Pure eye test on him and I think there is some power that the Brewers could tap into and they wouldn't have to alter his swing mechanics all that much. He just needs to add some more launch angle and bulk up a little bit and he should be good.
  24. That 2014 team was not a playoff contending team.
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