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nate82

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Everything posted by nate82

  1. The Cardinals are 4-11 in the month of June. They have 9 games remaining this month and have to go 8-1 just to be .500 for the month of June. They have 3 @ Nationals, 2 vs Cubs in London, 3 vs Astros and 1 vs Yankees. Will the Cardinals be able to go 8-1 versus those teams? Maybe they get 5 wins versus the Cubs and Nationals but that means they can only lose one of the final 4 against the Astros and Yankees. That is asking a lot. In comparison the Brewers already have double the wins the Cardinals have in June. The Reds have a recent winning streak that is double the Cardinals win total in June. Are the Cardinals out of it? No they are not out of it yet but if they don't start winning and soon they will be out of it. For the Cardinals to catch the Reds, Brewers and Pirates they would have to hope for those teams to lose the rest of their games. The Brewers have 11 games left in June, Reds 10, and Pirates 11. So far the Brewers are 8-8 in the month of June. If they continue to play like they have they probably finish 5-6 or 4-7 in their final 11 games in June. The Reds if they continue playing how they have been playing probably go 7-3 or 6-4. Then you have the Pirates who are not really playing all that well either lets say they match the Brewers at 5-6 or 4-7. If we take the worst for each that is 6-4, 4-7 and 4-7. The Reds would be up by about 2 games at the end of June. If the Cardinals go 8-1 they only pick up two games and are still 8 games back. They are currently 10 games back as of today (6/18). Going into July the Cardinals would have to go 22-4 or something like that to be back in the race for the NL Central. I just don't see this as probable for the Cardinals.
  2. I will have to find the article again but Adams wasn't going to sign with the Packers and he let the Packers know this early in the off season. It was all about Rodgers not wanting to commit to more than one year that Adams didn't want to stick around. So Rodgers had to commit to more than one year and he never did that last off season. So it was far before this that the Packers had their answer on Adams and they knew he was gone when the Broncos trade was nixed.
  3. Somewhat official now: https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/bradley-beal-trade-suns-land-wizards-star-as-chris-paul-heads-to-washington-in-blockbuster/ Suns receive Bradley Beal Wizards receive Chris Paul Landry Shamet Multiple second-round picks Multiple pick swaps
  4. Beal to the Suns according to Woj…..
  5. Peralta's baseball savant page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/freddy-peralta-642547?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb Peralta still has elite stuff it is just that he is not placing his pitches correctly. They are getting too much of the plate especially his fastball, changeup and curveball. Then you can also look at his babip and HR/FB:
  6. The Packers knew Adams wasn't coming back before this.
  7. The Bucks don't have the assets to get Beal and the Suns and Heat are already the top contenders for Beal. Dame is also not a possibility as he wants to go to the east coast if he is traded so that means the Knicks, 76ers, Celtics or Heat. I think the Bucks will trade two of Connaughton, Allen and Portis.
  8. LOL ump ummm how you miss one that is clearly in the strike zone?
  9. If fans could see he isn't a 3.5 ERA pitcher wouldn't other teams also see this? So how can you sell high if fans can see something but somehow magically other teams are not able to see this? I doubt the Brewers received anything of significant for Lauer in the off season. It was probably more a long the lines of what they already had.
  10. The O's since trading Machado and Schoop away have been extremely cheap. They didn't spend at all this past off season. I don't see them adding much if any salary this deadline and if they do add it will be someone like Peralta. They will be seeking players who don't have rather large salaries so that excludes Burnes. Yuck on DL Hall. At best he looks to be a reliever and probably just a AAAA one at that. Hall has about a 6 ERA in MLB and it is about the same in AAA. He is not a good prospect and would be someone I would want to stay far far far far far far away from. The Orioles won't trade Rodriguez for Burnes so that is out of the question. At best you may be able to get Holliday but then that is all you are getting from the Orioles. If you want Westburg then you need to subtract out Mayo in a Peralta deal as they are about the same value wise and in your offer you have about $60m in value going to the Brewers and only about $50m in value going to the Orioles. If you want Hall or Mayo you would have to drop Povich. Again I would stay clear of Hall as he is not a good pitcher.
  11. The Brewers have some. Gasser has looked better as of late. Carlos F. Rodriguez has looked good in AA along with Justin Jarvis. Anything beyond A ball is too hard to predict.
  12. Instead of Burnes and Urias to the Orioles maybe just Peralta to the Orioles. Something like Mayo (1B), Norby (2B) and comp balance pick (63). I think that is something the Orioles would be extremely interested in. Peralta is signed to a very team friendly deal and the Orioles are a cheap organization. So trading for someone like Peralta probably makes more sense than trading for someone like Burnes.
  13. I think the Rays would and it is because Peralta is at such an affordable price tag for the next few years. It means they can deal Glasnow in the off season.
  14. That is in AAA and you want to use PA's and not AB's otherwise you are subtracting a positive outcome for a hitter walk or HBP which doesn't record an AB. Also you would expect the K rate to increase in MLB versus in AAA. Tellez had a better K% in AAA than Westburg does. Their career stats in the minors are also very similar.
  15. The only other SS on the market would be Tim Anderson and he isn't having all that great of a season either. If the Brewers and White Sox continue to play poorly and sink then Anderson and Adames will be the 1a and 1b options at SS. Maybe the Tigers will put Baez out there but they would have to eat part of his salary to trade him. While Adames has been hitting poorly I think there is enough that he is hitting into more bad luck and he should turn it around. One interesting thing on Adames is that he is seeing more breaking and off speed pitches this year. Adames is only seeing 51% of the pitches as fastballs compared to about 54% career. Also his K% is down and his BB% are up this year. Maybe he isn't being aggressive enough at the plate? Adames is an enigma right now he should be hitting better than he is.
  16. Westburg is a high K type of a hitter so expect 200+ K's a season from him. He is more of a power hitter and probably is closer to what Tellez is right now. I think Tellez is basically the ceiling for Westburg.
  17. How about Peralta to the Rays? Something like Manzardo, comp pick and Colmenarez. Then trade Burnes and Urias to the Orioles for: Mayo (1B), Ortiz (SS), Povich (LHP) and Beavers (OF). Then Adames to the Dodgers for: Frasso (RHP), Nastrini (RHP) and Vivas (2B/3B) That would give the Brewers a shot in the arm with some youth on the team. Povich, Frasso and Nastrini give the Brewers enough shots at a possible pitcher becoming good. 2024 will suck pitching wise with only Woodruff coming back but the Brewers will have a bunch of positional players ready to play on the MLB team in 2024 and some on the same trajectory for making it to the MLB team when Chourio would be. Another possible trade Williams to the Marlins for Meyer (RHP), Eder (LHP) and comp pick. If the Brewers get the Rays and Marlins comp pick that gives the Brewers the 31st and 35th pick in the draft. The Brewers would then have 18, 31, 33 and 35 which should allow them to get the players they want in this years draft. If anyone falls or if there is a signing concern the Brewers would have more than enough to go over and not even worry about it.
  18. Dodgers were interested before the season started and I believe they still would be interested now. Adames would be an extreme upgrade over Rojas and Taylor at SS for the Dodgers. Defense is still solid for Adames and I believe the Dodgers would give up one or two decent prospects for Adames.
  19. The only thing it has handcuffed is the owners not making as big of a profit on the team for the year. Getting below the 2nd line doesn't help the Bucks get a FA or two.
  20. Right and he isn’t good enough in the low post either to be someone who posts up.
  21. It is not legal but it is also not illegal. Though this site has probably opened itself up to a cease and desist order if MLBPA wanted to pay for the lawyer to do a one off. Normally companies go through Etsy, eBay, etc. and then submit a mass cease and desist letter to those companies. The probability of MLBPA doing this for such a small amount is unlikely to happen. Though if more are sold I wouldn’t be surprised if the site receives a cease and desist order. If the t-shirts wouldn’t have Wiemer’s face on it then this would be fine though could still get a cease and desist order.
  22. Bass did nothing wrong and I am going to leave it at that.
  23. The Cubs went we will kill our farm system and we don't care we want a WS! The Cubs basically emptied their whole farm system for a one year run. After that one year run that organization is in absolute shambles. The scorched Earth tactic they did basically killed them from having a long run. Teams like the Yankees and even the Red Sox were able to both spend and develop players. Some of the developed players were used in trades while others were kept. The Cubs did a horrible job of developing players after their core came up. It wasn't a really good strategy on their part for a long term run. The Royals on the other hand just lucked into two world series. They didn't develop younger players and that is why their team just absolutely fell apart after the first world series win. They had no plan and it is the reason why their GM then is not a GM right now. Even large market teams need to churn out prospects. Fortunately the Cubs, White Sox, Tigers, Phillies and Mets haven't figured this out yet. The Yankees pivoted to a more prospect oriented organization after seeing the Red Sox have success and having the Rays being a pain. The large market teams have an advantage of being able to keep the players they develop as the contracts are rather meaningless to them. A Yelich contract wouldn't even be a concern for the Yankees as they have one in Stanton and another they released in Hicks. While the small and mid market teams just can't do that as it would be a rather huge hole in their budgets. The Rays once they get a new stadium and hopefully are able to spend more will be more of a problem than the Yankees in the future if they continue to develop like they have. Even if the Rays only improve their payroll to that of the Brewers that is a rather significant jump at about $50m. That could be a big splash in free agency or a couple of extensions to players they already have.
  24. That was a completely different GM I believe and it would be rather stupid to not do a trade with another team because you had a bad trade in the past.
  25. Schedule for 2024 and protected games: The protected games Ohio State vs. Michigan USC vs. UCLA Indiana vs. Purdue Minnesota vs. Wisconsin Michigan vs. Michigan State Iowa vs. Minnesota Illinois vs. Northwestern Iowa vs. Nebraska Rutgers vs. Maryland Iowa vs. Wisconsin Illinois vs. Purdue 2024 Schedule: Conference opponents USC: at Maryland, at Northwestern, at Penn State, at Purdue, at UCLA, vs. Illinois, vs. Iowa, vs. Michigan, vs. Wisconsin Wisconsin: at Iowa, at Maryland, at Michigan, at Nebraska, at USC, vs. Indiana, vs. Minnesota, vs. Penn State, vs. Purdue Rutgers: at Maryland, at Michigan State, at Minnesota, at Ohio State, vs. Illinois, vs. Iowa, vs. Michigan, vs. Penn State, vs. UCLA Purdue: at Illinois, at Indiana, at Maryland, at Michigan State, at Wisconsin, vs. Nebraska, vs. Northwestern, vs. Penn State, vs. USC Iowa: at Illinois, at Minnesota, at Ohio State, at Rutgers, at USC, vs. Maryland, vs. Nebraska, vs. UCLA, vs. Wisconsin Maryland: at Illinois, at Indiana, at Iowa, vs. Michigan, vs. Michigan State, vs. Purdue, vs. Rutgers, vs. USC, vs. Wisconsin Michigan State: at Maryland, at Michigan, at Nebraska, at Penn State, vs. Illinois, vs. Indiana, vs. Ohio State, vs. Purdue, vs. Rutgers Minnesota: at Indiana, at Michigan, at Nebraska, at UCLA, at Wisconsin, vs. Iowa, vs. Northwestern, vs. Ohio State, vs. Rutgers Nebraska: at Iowa, at Northwestern, at Penn State, at Purdue, at UCLA, vs. Indiana, vs. Michigan State, vs. Minnesota, vs. Wisconsin UCLA: at Indiana, at Iowa, at Michigan, at Rutgers, vs. Minnesota, vs. Nebraska, vs. Northwestern, vs. Ohio State, vs. USC Northwestern: at Minnesota, at Ohio State, at Penn State, at Purdue, at UCLA, vs. Illinois, vs. Indiana, vs. Nebraska, vs. USC Illinois: at Michigan State, at Northwestern, at Ohio State, at Rutgers, at USC, vs. Iowa, vs. Maryland, vs. Michigan, vs. Purdue Indiana: at Michigan State, at Nebraska, at Northwestern, at Wisconsin, vs. Maryland, vs. Minnesota, vs. Penn State, vs. Purdue, vs. UCLA Penn State: at Indiana, at Purdue, at Rutgers, at Wisconsin, vs. Michigan State, vs. Nebraska, vs. Northwestern, vs. Ohio State, vs. USC Michigan: at Illinois, at Ohio State, at Rutgers, at USC, vs. Maryland, vs. Michigan State, vs. Minnesota, vs. UCLA, vs. Wisconsin Ohio State: at Michigan State, at Minnesota, at Penn State, at UCLA, vs. Illinois, vs. Iowa, vs. Michigan, vs. Northwestern, vs. Rutgers Ohio State gets a fairly easy conference schedule in 2024. Michigan and Penn State being the only two hard games everything else is extremely soft.
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