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kramnoj

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Everything posted by kramnoj

  1. kramnoj
    The spread/dues topic probably deserves its own thread, as it is fairly interesting. Todd Jones wrote/writes a column for TSN, and this subject was addressed here: http://www.sportingnews.c.../viewtopic.php?p=1993347 Per the piece, players get $84/day, only on the road. He says that most guys pay the clubhouse manager $50/day, both on the road and at home, while the big guys pay up to $150. I believe that any errands that are run are expected to be tipped on top of that.
  2. kramnoj
    Grow up. You got rooked by one of the best young pitchers in the game. Deal with it I would recommend going to brewers.com and watching the video highlights of Yo's strikeouts today. There were certainly some called third strikes that weren't clearly in the zone. Umps like getaway days and it wouldn't be shocking to make some calls that favor a quicker game.
  3. kramnoj
    If the Red Sox were confident in Masterson and Buchholz to be in the rotation I don't see why they would have gone after both Penny and Smoltz. Because teams often need depth in SP. And in the AL East, just a game or two from random AAA pitching could mean the difference between playoff glory or golf.
  4. kramnoj
    Go Yo! Is this the 2nd game that he wins with his bat this season, or have there been others?
  5. kramnoj
    I don't think we should assume that any time a team is interested in a player, it becomes public knowledge. This is true. But we do have an idea of how much their payroll is going to be and where they are looking to spend money. Not precise information, as I was surprised to see the Indians pay 2/$20.5M for Kerry Wood, but a general idea. After Lowe signed, the only team that was interested in signing a pitcher to big money was the Mets (the Rangers were negotiating with Sheets, but they weren't going to go after Perez and his asking price). IIRC, the only other players remaining that were going to get big money were Dunn and Manny. There were more pitchers available than teams willing to spend $10M/year on a player. Perez isn't so much better than the other pitchers remaining that he was worth twice as much as the other pitchers. This is basic supply/demand stuff that the Mets didn't exploit. Now for the Mets, this isn't tragedy. They probably felt that Perez had extra value because he was a player that their own fans recognized. If they had cheaped out on Perez and signed Garland/Looper instead, the papers would have had a field day, especially with the opening of a new park and missing out so closely on the playoffs the last couple of years. But they did overpay, which is all that was originally posted.
  6. kramnoj
    so $12 mil a year isn't crazy It's not crazy, but it's not just about paying for a statistical formula. It's about finding the market value for a player and not having to exceed that more than neccessary. As fans, we have no idea what could have gotten him. I know you're fond of hyperbole, but clearly we have some idea. There is a general idea for people who follow such stuff to know how much teams are willing to spend in a year and where their weaknesses are. We knew that pitchers like Garland, Wolf and Looper weren't going to get what they would have received in previous years. We knew that fewer teams were spending money. It was a buyer's market for pitchers that weren't at the elite or near the elite, and the Mets paid retail when they should have gone wholesale.
  7. kramnoj
    I should have been more elaborate. The Mets were bidding against themselves at that salary. I don't recall any other team being linked to an offer that was close to 3/$36M. They probably could have got away with a 2/$20M deal, and I don't think anyone would have topped it. Maybe even less.
  8. kramnoj
    He's not exactly a model of consistency, as shown in 2005 and 2006. He also led the NL in walks last year, which I hadn't known until just looking him up at b-ref. I don't think there's much question the Mets overpaid for Perez, and I don't even recall teams competing for his services. It's like the Mets declined to go for Lowe and figured they would be getting a deal with Perez instead.
  9. kramnoj
    But then, most posters here said the same sort of stuff about DiFelice because his first appearance stunk and his radar gun I think that's a bit of an overstatement. If you mean, most posters who posted an opinion on that appearance were negative, that's probably right.
  10. kramnoj
    Baseball guys have to write something, and they need to write more on Sundays. This isn't a story. That's one of the reasons that teams employ major league scouts, to file reports on other players in preparation of trades that never take place.
  11. kramnoj
    Maybe the article has been changed, but right now it says "The Brewers may be emerging in the hunt."
  12. kramnoj
    Per http://spreadsheets.googl...=p4ew-fwu2XT3ddd43YDhgJQ : Hardy, Hart, Bush, Weeks, McClung, Coffey, Villenueva, Rivera.
  13. kramnoj
    Hopefully it won't be severe and he can come back quickly. Next year will be Cain's 24 year season. That's not all that young, I don't think, for a CF. In contrast, next year would be Cameron's age 37 season, and that is fairly old for a CF. I have to think that Melvin was hoping that Cain would have a nice season and show that he would be a nice option for CF next year.
  14. kramnoj
    Thank you for the link. So let me do math in public and risk humiliation. If I understand the values in the 2nd page, Kendall's (non-IBB) walks last year using OPS would be worth 10.75 runs and using GPA would be worth 13.76 runs. 3 runs in a season doesn't seem like grossly underrating something, but the percentage difference is certainly appreciable.
  15. kramnoj
    I'm no statistician, but isn't the claim that OPS grossly undervalues OBP just a little bit of an overstatement? From :http://jinaz-reds.blogspo...do-i-keep-using-ops.html someone posted correlation of different stats. Now people have told me that I'm misusing the stats, and that's fine, but nobody who has taken the time to point out that I'm wrong has taken the time to actually be helpful and explain further. Anyway, this table shows that OPS correlates to runs scored at .9231 and GPA correlates at .9326. How many runs difference would exist between those two stats over 140ish games for Kendall and the 250ish ABs that the pitchers would get?
  16. kramnoj
    "You mean that fictitious 20 mil per year over the 85-90 million dollar payroll we already have?" "That 20 mil was always going to be part of a 90ish mil payroll, not on top of the existing payroll." You don't think these sentences contradict each other? You seem to be throwing out this idea that "people" think that the Brewers could have their current team, plus have CC. I don't see any evidence of that. In regards to current speculation about acquiring other pitchers, it is surely idle speculation at this point. The Brewers have DiFelice as an alternative, and has arms they've acquired down at AAA specifically for short term depth. If at some point down the road the Brewers are in the hunt and for whatever reason lose a significant pitcher, I'm sure the idea of getting a veteran pitcher will be explored. But it's not going to happen anytime soon.
  17. kramnoj
    You mean that fictitious 20 mil per year over the 85-90 million dollar payroll we already have? Let's say for the sake of argument that CC took the 20/per... that would have meant right now we'd be minus Cameron, Hoffman, and Sabathia would have replaced Looper Your first sentence contradicts the last sentence. The $20M wasn't over the existing payroll, it would have been part of it, as you point out.
  18. kramnoj
    I'd be willing to bet that if Lenny is stealing thousands from his mother that he would skim off the top of Cutter's income as well. If you read the article, in Lenny's mind, he takes what he think he deserves. When Lenny charged $23k from his mother, he probably figures that he's given her that much money and more over his lifetime. That's no defense of Lenny, just trying to understand who he is. Just because he has done awful things to other members of his family is no reason to assume that he will do the same to his children. Besides, Cecil didn't "skim off the top". He took Prince's money and threw it away in bad investments.
  19. kramnoj
    As badly as Dyskstra has treated his family according to the article, it doesn't indicate that his children have been financially affected yet. That puts him a tiny step ahead of Cecil, in my mind anyway.
  20. kramnoj
    From previous articles that I read, Dykstra's car washes were more detailing, less drive through wash. When he started the business, he wanted the "Taj Mahal" of carwashes. The sad thing was that for him, the Taj Mahal was a reference to the Atlantic City casino, not the other, more famous building. Anyway, he sold a lot of $99 detail packages.
  21. kramnoj
    I'm not sure what is to be gained by talking about someone's college days, unless we are talking about a Brewers prospect. That doesn't have any impact on the profession that someone now has. And beyond that, how likely are any stories to be true?
  22. kramnoj
    Looking at the contract at Cots, it looks like the most Looper could make this year would be $6.5m, including buyout. But I don't think that's likely. If he pitches well enough to get 30 starts, I don't see the Brewers buying him out.
  23. kramnoj
    The Brewers (being a small market team) can't just go and spend a ton of money to replace all these players. Now maybe we have some prospects that can replace some of them to a degree, but if you keep doing that you will have down years. If you let explensive players leave, and you replace some of them with prospects, why can't you spend money to replace the others? You will have gained some of the spending power by letting veterans leave, and you will gain more spending power by having pre-arb players on the roster. As far as spending power is concerned, I don't think identifying the Brewers as small market helps in any way. They are closer to a mid-market team when it comes to payroll, and they will continue to be as long as they keep a competitive team on the field and bring fans to the park. Weren't they top 10 in attendance last year? A VERY GOOD example of this is the situation with CC. I'm not following your thinking. You don't want to replace vets with young players because by your assertion that leads to down years. But a team will generally only trade away veterans that provide value in down years.
  24. kramnoj
    Do we still have control Fielder after his current two year contract is up? Yes, he is under team control through the end of the 2011 season. The idea of trading Prince seems to be entirely fan driven. I don't think there is any indication that the team is looking to move Fielder. If some team overwhelms him with an offer, I'm sure that Melvin would listen, but I believe Fielder will be here through 2010. The 2010 offseason could be quite active for the Brewers.
  25. kramnoj
    Some have suggested we only have till July to turn things around or we may be sellers but will Melvin be the one selling? Are you suggesting Melvin is going to get fired during this season, or does this mean something that I'm not getting?
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