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OldSchoolSnapper

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Everything posted by OldSchoolSnapper

  1. OldSchoolSnapper
    Because he is a really good kicker and % of kicks made is a poor metric. Crosby has attempted a ton of kicks from 50+ in his career. 66 of them, hitting 53%. For reference, Steven Gostkowski is the same age, has attempted 22 more, and has attempted...35 from 50+. That's going to hurt your overall numbers. Ryan Longwell, with 28 more career attempts, fired 39 from 50+. Crosby was a little bit of a relic, in that the trend definitely shifted from guys with boots to accuracy being more important in the 2000s. But he was both. He was pretty close to automatic inside 40 = 92.4% from his career, and basically on par with Gostkowski from 40-49, a couple points lower. And Crosby still gave you chance with those 55+ boomer kicks. I think you're being grossly disingenuous with what Mason Crosby has accomplished, playing half his games in GB no less, along with the number of high pressure kicks he's made. The one he made into the wind to send the NFCCG in Seattle into OT was probably the best kick of his career. Kicker is a position with a lot of variables. It's probably the worst position in the league for scanning a list of guys for % and determining where they rank amongst their peers. It's rare that two kicks are the same and nobody is influenced as much by the weather.
  2. OldSchoolSnapper
    You're right, but if the Brewers have any advantage it's that they can pay him more right now by buying out the seasons he's already under contract. There's no chance at all of the Brewers signing him if he enters FA. There's maybe a 5% chance if they decide he's worth it and front-load it now, giving him huge raises in the next two seasons in exchange for him knowing he's making less than he would have had he gone into FA. But I don't think he'll do that either. Maybe if for some reason he's in love with Milwaukee. I know he likes it, but I doubt he likes it more than he'd like a number of places. The other thing to remember is that Yelich really isn't that young, and already took that hometown team bargain once. So he'll be going into FA at 30, not like he's 26. Anyone that signs him knows there's going to be a big drop off at the end of that deal. If it's the right team, they won't care. So I agree that he's as good as gone. But that's the only sliver of a chance he stays.
  3. OldSchoolSnapper
    I think a lot of people turned their backs on the Bucks when they traded Ray Allen. It took Giannis and 60 wins to get a lot of those people to come back.
  4. OldSchoolSnapper
    For the most part the Badgers are playing at the same time and it's the team of choice. Football is different, because college and pro take up one day of the week. With multiple games a week it's asking a lot of people to follow two basketball teams at once. The Bucks don't have any of the tailgate/warm weather magic going for them either. It's very much a city team like you said and the fanbase reflects that.
  5. OldSchoolSnapper
    I wouldn't classify myself as a casual fan, I definitely am more involved than most. That said, I don't watch the regular season. Partially because I don't have cable or anything that streams FSNWI, but I'm not going to devote time to game night in November and March when 16 teams make the playoffs. With baseball I feel less obligation, can pop in casually, the stadium is just easier to get to, and the radio can be calming background noise. The most interested I've ever been in an NBA regular season was the year it was lockout shortened to 50 games.
  6. OldSchoolSnapper
    It's hard to believe Jesus Aguilar was an all star, albeit a sketchy one, one year before being traded for this guy.
  7. OldSchoolSnapper
    They'll never be the Packers, but Bucks mania will pick up. The season is just too damn long. Game 1 of the Finals is on June 4. You could basically fit the entire NFL season into what's left of the NBA season. When the weather warms up and the Deer District is rockin' it will be at a fever pitch especially if they do make the Finals.
  8. OldSchoolSnapper
    I saw that "Next stop Paris" on Facebook and thought it was some kind of play on words. Somehow missed that that was even a thing, it's cool though.
  9. OldSchoolSnapper
    I also think the weather is a bit lame. It isn't even very cold in GB until January, really. He was tracking for a Pro Bowl until Kansas City, his worst game of the year, and then he was pretty terrible from there on out. There are dome games where he sucked and snow games where he played fine. He had 4 or so games where he was pathetic the way an NFL punter simply can't be, the same kickers can't go 0/4.
  10. OldSchoolSnapper
    One nitpicky thing; we can't gloss over "run the table" like it was a blip. That was like 10 games. Rodgers threw 40 touchdowns that season. It was the last time their offense looked great, but it was a significant stretch of time.
  11. OldSchoolSnapper
    They need additions to the offense but Rodgers was an impediment at times this year. Rodgers really needs to buy in to what they are doing. I think he's trying, but old habits die hard. I don't believe for a second that any of his physical skills are in decline so much that he can't be a SB QB. But there are two things specifically he needs to start to come to grips with: 1. He needs to be more willing to take what's there. The 6-second drops are not helping the pace of the offense. When your WRs are running around 3x longer than they need to be per play, it takes that much more gas out of them to sustain a drive. Especially when they aren't particularly great to begin with. None of them will ever say this, but this has to be getting frustrating for them. 2. He's getting older and needs to get back to fundamentally sound mechanics. He's always thrown the ball with kind of weird footwork, but I'm not sure he's amazing enough anymore to get away with so many back-foot throws. With the running game where it was this year, their offense should have been a lot better even with mediocre WRs. It's strange that they were one of the most efficient first down offenses and one of the worst on third down.
  12. OldSchoolSnapper
    He was bad. I'd agree that the gross and net stats are closer to worthless than meaningful, but he had a terrible 2nd half. He tinkered with his mechanics halfway through the season and it led to an awful 2nd half of the season. Through October he was being mentioned for the Pro Bowl and then he just went full-on disaster. I think it's a little early to say he's not coming back after his rookie deal. You don't lose almost 20 yards off your net average without something going awry. The Packers really need to think about getting a new ST coordinator. That unit killed them all year.
  13. OldSchoolSnapper
    Neither SF loss was particularly upsetting, they were underdogs in both of those as well. The one that was actually close, they left everything on the field and played extremely well. The 2014 team was better than the 2011 one IMO. Despite their records, I don't think it's even close. The latter had absolutely no defense. Especially by that point in the year, when the defense had started to look like one that was a force and probably top 5. I think it's arguable that was the best team they had with Rodgers because the offense was a lot better than the one that did win it. A Jordy Nelson drop in Buffalo was the difference between the NFCCG being at Lambeau vs. on the road. Watching the end of that game is hands down the worst night I've had as a fan in any sport. I've still actually never seen the winning TD. Shut it off with the ball in the air and I've never seen the replay or any of the celebration.
  14. OldSchoolSnapper
    Nothing will until they win it again. If we're talking about this 20 years from now it's going to get a nickname, a curse and the whole nine.
  15. OldSchoolSnapper
    Probably not as good on paper as last year's. But very comparable to 2018. Obviously a lot of hope that the newcomers hit the ground running. I just think that a LOT of things are going to have to go right for us to even have a shot at the playoffs. Odds are against us imo. You may be right, but when you consider how much went wrong last year and they still made it, it might not be as much as you think. September made a lot of people forget how many things went poorly. I think it would be fairly hard for them to have as much bad fortune as they did last year. I feel confident they won't have two corner infields hitting .150 again, but maybe they will.
  16. OldSchoolSnapper
    I think the Packers would have ended up getting crushed last night in any circumstance but the point is still true. That Atlanta team that ran them off the field was another team that was going to kill the NFC with its speed for a few years. They've won one playoff game since and have been 7-9 for 2 years.
  17. OldSchoolSnapper
    Every year there is a team that's supposed to be a force for years and it almost never actually happens. I couldn't care less about the 49ers. The Packers need to keep doing what they're doing. Maybe they win one, maybe they don't, but they have as good a chance as anybody else if they do things right. I've heard this "large gap" thing too many times to count. I've heard it about the Bears. I heard it 2 years ago when Minnesota's defense was amazing and under contract for 5 years. It basically never seems to mean anything unless Bill Belichick is in charge. Rodgers is no impediment toward getting to the Super Bowl. His age IMO is getting a little overblown. There are two active QBs in their 40s still playing pretty well, well Brady was before this year. They have time.
  18. OldSchoolSnapper
    I've always felt that that loss in 2014 was a turning point for the fans. That was supposed to be the 2nd title and I've just sensed heightened skepticism since then. I'm not sure the franchise has shaken that moment.
  19. OldSchoolSnapper
    I'm not even a Badgers guy and that loss in Final was absolutely brutal. You went from there being like 8 minutes left and accepting they were actually going to do it, to just stunned silence. That they took out Kentucky before it made it that much worse. The Packers NFCCG in '14 was kinda the same game. Nobody gave them a shot, they really beat that team up for 55 minutes and then, it was just unbelievable. 5 turnovers. I don't think I'll ever experience a loss like that again.
  20. OldSchoolSnapper
    I'll take one Bucks title. A lot of these supposed dynasties never get it back after one. Did Detroit win a 2nd with Rip Hamilton? I thought they got there and lost. Even the Warriors got dismantled pretty quickly. They made the most of their shots, but they were not supposed to be where they are now so quickly. Sure they'll be in the mix again but I don't think most saw this coming. I'm more on the side of enjoying the journey and not being all caught up in titles, simply because I think luck is way understated in the whole process. The Steelers have played in 3 Super Bowls this era and the Packers have certainly been good enough to do that. It just didn't happen. All I hope for is teams that are consistently in the mix, and if not, trending upwards. It's no fun watching a team miss the playoffs for 20 years. Everyone gets caught up in figuring out why the Packers only got one Super Bowl, but sometimes it's just simply that you were there and it didn't bounce your way. Unfortunately, I think we'll always look back on that 2014 season as one that really influenced how people view this era.
  21. OldSchoolSnapper
    Every NFL receiver is capable of making plays with an accurate pass. It's the things that you can't see in real time that separate average and good WRs. First moves, just knowing how to get open without necessary raw athletic ability. If it were that easy every 4.3 40 guy would make it as a WR. None of the guys not named Adams can do that, they simply don't create their own plays. They don't have the chemistry with the QB. Rodgers had been throwing to Nelson, Driver, Jones, Cobb and Jennings in practice for YEARS. Adams was given space to develop behind that group of guys, but he was still getting reps with Rodgers. Two weeks ago Rodgers made a comment about Adams having the kind of communication Nelson had, where they can literally walk up to the line without saying a word and they know what the other is thinking. That's just not something you're going to get with Allen Lazard and Jake Kumerow. Lazard is promising 4th WR who may develop into more than that, but this year that's what he was. If you think their WR group wasn't a problem at all this year then we're so far apart there's really no point. It's obvious they bet on MVS/ESB making a leap and got burned. But even if these guys are better than we think, there's simply an enormous time aspect to this that isn't getting enough attention. Everyone is panicking because Rodgers isn't getting younger, but this WR group just has not had the reps necessary to be a big-time group, especially with ESB getting hurt. I think this is the reason Allison kept getting second chances. Rodgers liked him and they had nobody else with the reps.
  22. OldSchoolSnapper
    Sherman has always been the king of talking a bunch of smack after he wins. He's never doing it in the lead up. Always makes sure he gets the win before running his mouth. I was full of rooting for the Patriots in that Super Bowl and his look of horror after that pick at the end is one of my all time favorite shots.
  23. OldSchoolSnapper
    If they upgrade the position enough I could see him getting cut. When Allen Lazard takes your job it's not a good sign. You figure he and Adams are safe and if they do sign a FA you're down the 4th spot. I think he probably makes it, but what if they sign a FA and pick someone early?
  24. OldSchoolSnapper
    I'm not so sure as I initially thought they'd both been in the league one year longer than they have. Giving up on WRs after 2 seasons is pretty tough, unless they actually believe those guys don't have it, which may be the case. There's not much difference production wise between MVS and Adams first two years in the league. Granted that Adams had far more barriers to entry, but year 3 for a WR is usually a critical one. Allison is gone. He might need to get a normal dude job next year. He was terrible. Kumerow is a nice story, but he's 28 years old. I think they add somebody, bring Lazard back, and one of MVS and ESB gets a final shot. Possibly both.
  25. OldSchoolSnapper
    What evidence is there that he's not? He just threw for 4k yards, 26/4 in a new offense with 1 WR. I mean, their #2 WR was cut on August 31 and signed to the practice squad. There's a distinction between top 10 statistical QBs for 2019 and top 10 QBs in the NFL. I think anyone claiming Rodgers isn't in the top 10 is being overly cynical. He was 20th in QBR one spot behind Baker Mayfield. Do we really believe there are 19 better QBs? You'd rather go to war with Daniel Jones and Ryan Tannehill? I'd say these are the guys clearly ahead of him: Lamar Jackson Mahomes Wilson Watson After those four it's just a mish-mash of guys that might be better but might not be. Cousins had a better season. Dak Prescott had a better season. I mean Matthew Stafford was 6th in QBR. I'd say that right now, he's probably somewhere in 6-8th. Rodgers is somewhere between the delusional "He's still the best" and "He's over the hill and it's time to draft a QB". They need a WR and he can't create plays with his legs like he used to. They can still win a Super Bowl with him. Definitively stating he's no longer a top 10 QB like none of the other things going on have hurt his production strikes me as a bit over the top.
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