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CheezWizHed

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Everything posted by CheezWizHed

  1. CheezWizHed
    The average fan out there doesn't, when a parent takes their kids to the Brewer game, all they want to see is a Brewer win. I'd argue that most people know the general state of a team, especially when there is a GM/Coaching transition. People in general will be patient for a few years of bad baseball. Baseball is also one sport where you can have a lot of fun just going without a win. My kids love to go and their enjoyment is barely effected by a win or loss. The Cubs are a beer garden with a huge market, they are going to draw their drunken fans and fill that park no matter what. Fixed.
  2. CheezWizHed
    Package around Segura for Pentecost [sarcasm]Segura will be traded long before Easter...[/sarcasm]
  3. CheezWizHed
    because they take a guy in the first or second round, because they know hes first or second round quality, and thats great, but not when you could have gotten him in the 4th or 5th round. This line of discussion for the NFL has ALWAYS irked me. No one knows if a player will drop to round X, because he never got the chance. You hear this because people that aren't NFL GMs (Kiper, newspaper writers, etc..) make up lists. But we never actually know what the actual scouts or GMs put on them for a grade. So saying Player X would have been available 2 rounds later is absurd thinking. Ok, back to baseball. If DS is going to stretch his scouting prowess and gamble on the return of Lind, I'm ok with that. I hope he doesn't gamble with Lucroy, however.
  4. CheezWizHed
    I'm mixed on the trade, but a few thoughts: 1) Many people didn't like that we got Adam Lind for Marco Estrada, but wanted prospects. And that was a DM trade... 2) Guys that start in the DSL are rarely ranked very high on a top 30. 3) I'm hoping this isn't a case of DS being too in love with his scouting. 4) Kind of odd that all three are LA signs... 5) I did expect a little higher level, but flawed return (Peterson, Bundy). But I think it was foolish to think we were going to get multiple top 10 selections back. Be it as it may, these are the three we have, so lets see how good our GM really is...
  5. CheezWizHed
    Peterson was on the DL from Aug 9th - Sept 23rd pre milb.com. No reason why given. But that might also explain the poor AFL showing: rusty from not playing. The AFL also seems to be much more pitching dominated this year for some reason.
  6. CheezWizHed
    ^^^ Exactly. A rule 5 pick isn't going to be a star player. Probably at best, a passable MLB starter. So no way a Rule 5 pick blocks Phillips. Its about talent acquisition. I'd prefer a Rule 5 flyer at CF next year than a older stopgap player.
  7. CheezWizHed
    Me: 5% chance a special SP, 25% chance of a good SP, 40% chance of an RP and 30% chance of injuries keeping him from making it. Boomer5: I think you are being generous. Its 25% he makes it all on the major league level due to injuries. superfly: 30% chance of being straight up better, 40% to push or slightly lose on a 27 year old OF who is likely close to peak value, and 30% chance of a donation. This further drives home my point. We have some varying opinions on what Bundy could be. And frankly all of us are completely guessing (seeing that none of us know Bundy's health history in detail). Seems that everyone hear feels that Khris is a starting level LFer. Some think he can be a HR king, if healthy. Some think he is closer to replacement level. He isn't being over/undervalued (at least not much). So the biggest variation in opinion is being driven by what we think of Bundy and his chances of success. That just further drives home the risk. I'd be happy to see him come (+?) in a Lind trade. For Khris, he should be a throw-in with a bigger piece(s).
  8. CheezWizHed
    the guy from Korea I hear they will put that on the back of his jersey. Not quite as catchy as HeHateMe, but....
  9. CheezWizHed
    I don't think it's over valuing. It's: 100% chance of a good (not great) OFer Vs. 5% chance a special SP, 25% chance of a good SP, 40% chance of an RP and 30% chance of injuries keeping him from making it. That's a 70% chance of being worse than Davis.
  10. CheezWizHed
    I would say we could afford to continue Bundy's development at the MLB level by giving him a rotation spot for the entire year, even if it means Davies spends the year at AAA until someone gets hurt, or Garza goes to the pen. You would also have his arm falling off. He had barely pitched in two years. At best, he would pitch as a long man out of the pen for a year. Second year, he starts for half the year and goes to the pen half year. Then maybe fully starting in year three. Just to build up his innings. That is if he stays healthy. Yes, the Brewers could put up the SP spot, but Dylan couldn't handle it.
  11. CheezWizHed
    Bundy is an interesting player and an interesting "problem". - TJ surgery in 2013 - Right Lat strain in 2014 - Mysterious calcium deposit in his shoulder for 2015. He has only put in 63.1 innings since this TJ surgery. But at 23, he just left the "injury nexus". Scouts still see three plus pitches with a possible fourth in the AFL. If the Brewers did get him, you would need to build him up as a reliever this year. Maybe he could start in extended spring training to build up his arm a bit first. I'm not sure what I would give up in a trade, but he is interesting. Maybe the major piece in a Lind trade? Edit: If you look at the value of #1 and #2 starting as compared with corner OF on the current free agent market, I'm sure you'll see where the true value lies amongst MLB GMs....Top of the Rotation Starting Pitchers! No kidding a #1 SP beats out a starting OF. But a starting OF beats out a pitcher out of baseball... You can't treat Bundy as any other prospect. He 1) Needs to be pitching at the MLB level this year. No way to develop him. 2) Has VERY limited innings since his TJ surgery. 3) Has two other injuries since his TJ. Its not his ceiling, its the chance of actually reaching it that have people saying Khris is too much for Bundy.
  12. CheezWizHed
    Can anyone think of a comparable player to Bundy that has been traded? Just trying to think about how other GMs may value a high ceiling/injury risk player. I don't know Bundy personally. How about Ben McDonald? - Never mind. He was non-tendered, not traded. Fiers was a "less-than replacement player" in the eyes of many until he was traded and threw a no-hitter. Khrush is similar. Not a perennial all-star player, but certainly over replacement level. Especially in this deadball era.
  13. CheezWizHed
    Brewcrewballtargeted him has the number 1 Rule 5 option. It would make sense since: 1) It would be a low cost option 2) DS knows him from Houston 3) That doesn't preclude them from using any other CF option. He just competes with them.
  14. CheezWizHed
    I have no issue with deporting non-citizens that are charged with domestic violence. Just because its "common" doesn't mean we want more of it.
  15. CheezWizHed
    Of course, its not the other employees that are making up most of that other 50%. Its facilities, equipment, transportation, food, hotels, etc..
  16. CheezWizHed
    Can we request that he add a "z" to his name?
  17. CheezWizHed
    They must have something big planned for the winter meetings and/or the Rule 5 draft.
  18. CheezWizHed
    I could be wrong, but I've been under the assumption that the PEDs of the 2000+ era was different than the drug use of prior. This was more steroid based, which promoted muscle growth and quick healing effects. The prior drugs (cocaine, amphetamines, etc..) would give the energy for the game, but if you were injured (or weak), those really didn't help anything. The steroid based PEDs is more of the question when we are talking about maintaining viability for longer in the career.
  19. CheezWizHed
    One problem with that graph is that they assume no PEDs up to 2005. So the heavy PEDs years were split in two, thus watering down the effect. It would be better if they compared 1985-1995 to 2000-2010 to see a difference. Secondly, baseball naturally is going to "filter" out the worst players and keep the production as high as possible. Thus, there are fewer 35+ year old players now than in the height of the PEDs years. There are less because off PEDs, their production is unbearable. When they were on PEDs they were lifted up to passable production. As I posted in another forum before: Just for kicks, I went out to baseball reference and searched for number of players in the MLB that were 35 or older on June 30th (not sure why they use that date for the criteria). 2000: 117 2001: 127 2002: 118 2003: 134 2004: 140 2005: 149 (peak) 2006: 140 2007: 138 2008: 126 2009: 119 2010: 104 2011: 109 2012: 107 2013: 104 2014: 88 2015: 73 - Lowest in 15 years and less than half of the peak. If this was a scientific study, you would need two groups of players all playing until they were 40. One with and one without PEDs to see the significant difference. Allowing one group of players to stop playing because the got so bad will skew the numbers in the positive direction.
  20. CheezWizHed
    So "resigns" means he leaves and "re-signs" means he comes back, right? English language sucks.
  21. CheezWizHed
    We could use more contributors, though!
  22. CheezWizHed
    [sarcasm]Aaron Rodgers should've worn red![/sarcasm]
  23. CheezWizHed
    But what is so special about Herrera that causes 4 pages of conversation here and more in other threads? Are we so desperate for news that a guy not on the 40-man and no future on the team generates this amount of discussion as a warm-body filler?
  24. CheezWizHed
    Past that the best bats available are mostly OFers. Not that we should draft based on need(or lack of), but we are loaded with OFers up and down the minors. Exactly. Not on need. BPA. Most of our OFers fall into one of two categories: - High AVE/OPB types that can or may play CF. (Maverick, Taylor, Reed, Clark) - Clark and Maverick have a chance at above average power for a CF or average power for a corner OF. - High K types with power and lowerish AVE. (Santana, Roache, Coulter) - Harrison looks like the only one with a legit chance at getting over 900 OPS in the MLB regularly. If they get someone that can project for a high AVE/OBP/SLG, no one in the corner OF is going to block. If a 3B or 1B is there with the same ability, great. But don't pass on a great OF just because we have a bunch to take a lesser 1B/3B.
  25. CheezWizHed
    Muppet Christmas Carol (actually like the George C. Scott version too). Its a Wonderful life A Charlie Brown Christmas The Grinch (cartoon and Jim Carey version) National Lampoon's Christmas Vacation
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