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The Truth

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  1. I very much enjoyed reading this thread, thanks everyone for posting in it. I live in Madison, so I haven't met or seen any Brewers (though I suppose it could happen sometime). I grew up part of the time in Baltimore and met a bunch of Orioles in the 70's at autograph signings and such (Eddie Murray, Cal Ripken Jr, Ken Singleton, Earl Weaver, Dave Duncan, etc ... Weaver was cool to talk to, a super funny person) I met Jim Palmer (also when I was a kid in the 70's) on a flight from Chicago to Baltimore. He was super nice to me and took the time to talk baseball with me. When I told him I wanted to be a Major Leaguer someday he was very encouraging but also gave me the obligatory "stay in school, do your homework" thing, which, looking back on it, was cool of him...
  2. I'm betting Washburn will be a Brewer in '09 and '10. If the Brewers are serious about contending then they need to pick up a new #1 or #2 pitcher at least as good as Gallardo's career numbers. I'll be shocked if the mentality isn't bringing in a Washburn and someone else in the 4.40 ERA 1.35 WHIP range and hoping for significant improvement from Gallardo, Bush, Parra (which, granted, is better than the approach taken last off-season)
  3. With Cameron and our current pitching staff, we didn't come close to the playoffs. Lackey as our #1 and Gallardo as a #2 greatly improves our pitching staff. Are you comparing Lackey vs Cameron in WAR, or Lackey & Gerut vs Cameron & Suppan? (or, if you must, Cameron & Looper... but really adding a new #1 moves everyone down one notch in the pitching rotation and eliminates Suppan from the rotation) As mentioned, thats my fantasy pick though, I don't seriously think the Brewers will bring in Lackey. Bucholz is a maybe, but I doubt Melvin can get it done, he seems to overvalue hitting to an extent that will eventually get him fired in Milwaukee, imho
  4. I think, now that Prince's family is taken care of for life, Prince's #1 priority in winning a World Series title. He is a very determined young man who wants to win. In order for him to consider signing long-term with the Brewers, it is not only about $$$. The Brewers will need to show that they are serious right now about contending, this means shrewd moves to aquire great pitchers (moves that, frankly, I believe are beyond Doug Melvin's abilities) and not just the token aquisition of a Washburn and a #4 pitcher for Hardy If Prince doesn't see the Brewers making legit moves to put them in position to contend for winning it all, no amount of money will prevent him from signing with a true pennant contender... If the Brewers aren't serious about going for it all in 2010 2011, they should trade Prince.
  5. The Dodgers are likely not in the World Series mainly because they lost out on Cliff Lee. They need more pitching, not less, although I think it is tough to over-estimate the level of foolishness in the Dodgers front office
  6. My fantasy wish list is Lackey and Clay Bucholz, achieved by not re-signing Cameron, trading Hardy and cutting salary everywhere else you can that makes sense and signing Lackey; and packaging legit prospects like Gamel and maybe even Lawrie along with Hardy for Bucholz... Lackey as your #1, Gallardo as your #2, and Bucholz as #3, with Parra and Bush rounding out the rotation could go far into the post-season... This is the year to "go for it" with the reality of 2010 being the last full year, perhaps, of Prince Fielder in a Brewers uniform My fear is that, in reality, we'll probably sign someone like Washburn and trade for a #3 or #4 caliber pitcher and then it'll be all media hype about our new pitching coach and a hope and a prayer going into spring training. Maybe the Brewers can get Bon Jovi to sing "Living on a Prayer" on Opening Day I will allow myself to hope reasonably that Chris Narveson could be turned into a reliable #4 starter
  7. Meant to add: The bottom line is, Hardy is making 2.6 million dollars this season. In this economy, he's not going to get much sympathy from most fans.
  8. As you might have guessed I'm not much of a Hardy fan, but he's had to work hard to get where he is like most MLB players, and he has had to endure some grueling rehabs from injuries. Those pro trainers really work players bigtime. I always have wondered whether JJ's big half-season and All-Star game appearance stunted his growth a little mentally. He certainly had a bit of a "deer in the headlights" look in that All-Star game. I'll give him credit for hitting well in the playoffs last year. Few Brewers hit much at all in that series. It seems as though MLB pitchers have adjusted bigtime to JJ, knowing he's going to kill most fastballs thrown for strikes. They seem to be throwing him fastballs out of the zone and lots of curve-ball and slider/change-up junk, and (like Hall and for the most part Hart) JJ hasn't adjusted back...
  9. whine whine pout pout. JJ Hardy is the slowest SS in baseball, he chases down fly balls like a 41 year old utility guy, and he's hitting .239 He can turn on a fastball though and has proven MLB success, plus he is a very solid fielder despite his limited range, so he certainly has trade value
  10. We can certainly be disappointed in the Brewers letting Sheets see MLB action at all in 2001 or 2002, burning up his pre-arby time and (more disgracefully) burning out his arm pitching for one of the worst teams in baseball. We can also be disappointed in the Brewers not drafting more pitchers in the first few rounds. The Brewers passed up Paul Maholm, Chad Billingsley, and James Houser to take Rickie Weeks in 2003. Granted Weeks is a huge talent, but the 1st round of the 2003 draft is just one example of the Brewers loading up on position players in the draft. I know that a bunch of pitchers got injured, but the Brewers inability (usually) to successfully pick great pitchers in the draft is probably the #1 reason they aren't playoff bound more often I'd advocate that Braun and Fielder were great picks and the rest of the first few rounds should have been spent on pitching (as you might guess, I was happy with the 2009 draft!) It's much easier to trade for impact MLB hitters (Carlos Lee, Felipe Lopez etc) than pitchers. The Brewers should have drafted pitching more consistently
  11. No, I like the Braun contract. Braun is a legit star. The Bill Hall contract is what I don't want to see Melvin give anyone like Casey or Hart or Hardy or any player who suddenly hits great for one season. We need to put money into pitching. I wouldn't put big money into any position player not named Prince or Braun. Turn the roster over when players hit arbitration (or free agency for a select few) and build a team with pitching and defense. Just imagine how much better the Brewers would be right now if Melvin had traded Hardy, Hart, Hall for pitching after the '07 or '08 seasons and invested Mike Cameron's $$$ into pitching
  12. I've no problem with Casey being our new super-sub ala Bill Hall, I love his approach at the plate and I think he can flat out hit, just so long as Melvin doesn't sign him to a long term multi year contract if Casey hits 25-30 HR's next season. Because that would fit in with Melvin's pennant race killin' MO. (Actually I hope Melvin is gone after this season, but thats another thread)
  13. I've always thought of Hardy as a vastly over-rated fielder. His range is limited and he just might be the slowest SS at chasing fly balls I've seen. Certainly the slowest SS in his 20's... But then I grew up in Baltimore watching Mark Belanger
  14. What happened to him? At the age of 23 he had an OPS over .800, then a steady decline
  15. Does Patterson have a future in the MLB with the Brewers? He's hitting a .999 OPS right now with Nashville (granted only a small sample of 80 AB's), with a .338 BA
  16. Josh Gibson! since we're talking "science fiction", I'd take the time machine to an alternative universe where MLB was integrated throughout it's existence. Would love to see Satchel Paige pitching against Ruth and Gehrig (I realize it happened in an exhibition game once or twice, I'd like to see it throughout a season). And yes, I'd love to see Ty Cobb play
  17. I pretty much agree with everything you are saying, TheCrew07, however I liked the Overbay trade. Bush is precisely the type of pitcher (if we got an MLB pitcher as opposed to a minor league arm) I would have wanted the Brewers to trade Hart, Hall and Hardy for. Just imagine a rotation of Gallardo, 3 Dave Bush's, and a bigtime MLB free-agent pitcher that we could afford if we didn't waste money on Suppan/Hall/Cameron...And we received a good young arm in Butler for Gross A small market team needs to turn over its talent much more frequently than Melvin seems to realize
  18. What I mean, is that by paying Hardy or Hart anything above league minimum as opposed to trading them in their arbitration years after good seasons (in order to aquire good young pitching), the Brewers have done a disservice towards their goals of building a contender. Just think of the return they could have had for Hardy last winter or for Hart after the '07 or '08 season. And they absolutely have overpaid for Cameron. Not in terms of his value in dollars to most teams but in terms of what he brings to the Brewers as compared to a similar investment in pitching. Considering the Brewers payroll of $80 million, it is a disgrace what they are getting for that investment. Especially for a small market team. Even moreso for a team that might consider trying to extend Prince Fielder
  19. The Brewers could overpay for stars like Fielder if they never, ever overpayed for players like Hardy, Hall, Suppan, Gagne, Hart, Cameron. Once a player like Hardy, Hart and Hall reaches arbitration, they should be traded for pitching. You take Hardy, Hall, Hart, Suppan, Cameron off this roster and with the arguable exception of Cameron this team is no worse in terms of win-losses. (Except there would have been a lot of pitching talent brought back by trading Hart, Hardy, Hall at their peaks, and alot of salary cap room by never signing Suppan, Cameron or Gagne in the first place) Thats how a small market team needs to operate. You deal like that and then you can offer huge money to Prince Fielder. You draft smart, you trade for young pitching, you only keep the very best players for arbitration, (not someone like JJ Hardy who is replaceable by the likes of Counsell, or Hart who is easily replaced by journeymen outfielders in a platoon). If we had significantly better pitching we could be OK with Tony Gwynn in CF until Cain or someone else is ready...
  20. If Doug Melvin understands that the #1 priority in building a World Series contender is pitching, then he has failed, miserably. If Doug Melvin does not fully understand that the #1 priority in building a World Series contender is pitching, then he has no business being a MLB GM. Either way he should be fired, thanked whole-heartedly for building the Brewers from the worst team in baseball to a .500 team, but still fired. Give someone else a chance to take the Brewers to the next level.
  21. I trust that Hardy will improve upon his current small sample BA of .160 in AAA ball, but I agree it is very easy to overestimate his trade value at this particular point.
  22. I'm having fun. I'm a huge Alcides Escobar fan and its been great watching him, knowing every time the Brewers take the field there's the potential for a highlight reel defensive play from #21. Love the way he flies around the bases and hustles too. I also enjoy the "chess game" that is the MLB front office/personnel game. I enjoy thinking about how this team could rebuild a contender
  23. I see McGehee taking on the old Bill Hall super-utility guy role quite ably. Considering the injury history of Weeks, Casey might be playing quite a bit at 2nd. Gamel is the every day 3B on opening day 2010
  24. Gallardo, Escobar, Bush, Parra, and Suppan with our bullpen sounds like a recipe for a .500 ballclub at best. We simply need much better pitching than that.
  25. I seriously doubt any GM in MLB would be willing to trade a #2 or #3 pitcher for either Hardy or Hart. In fact I doubt the Brewers could get a #2 pitcher for both Hardy and Hart
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