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jerichoholicninja

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Everything posted by jerichoholicninja

  1. jerichoholicninja
    He didn't hit homeruns and he played in Seattle, therefore he never got the media attention he deserved. One of the greatest all around players ever. It would be interesting to see if he could have broken Rose's hit record if he played his whole career in MLB.
  2. jerichoholicninja
    Have the competitive balance picks been determined yet? I don't remember hearing about it. Anyway, while I wouldn't be too interested in one of those, that could be an option to throw it to a trade.
  3. jerichoholicninja
    I'm sure out there somewhere is what percentage of the time a 3-0 pitch is a ball, called strike, or swinging strike and I would be very interested in those numbers. However, it's pretty obvious swinging at a 3-0 is very much playing against the numbers. And that makes sense to me as a pitcher. Sometimes a pitcher just loses it for a batter for whatever reason. I threw a game earlier this summer in which I only got to one 3 ball count and it was a 4 pitch walk. I knew when it got to 2-0 I was going to walk him because I just couldn't find it. And I've seen this lots of times in my 10+ years of coaching and playing baseball at the high school, college, and amateur level. It just happens.
  4. jerichoholicninja
    This season on 3-0 counts batters are getting hits 41.7% of the time and walking 90.8% of the time. Taking a 3-0 pitch more than doubles your chances of getting on base. There's no reason to swing the bat ever. Interested in your source..... Came back to the computer after thinking about your stats. I can't see the 90% being true just on taking a 3-0 pitch. That means that pitchers are throwing strikes 10% of the time on 3-0 counts when many are just throwing "get me over" fastballs. That can't be. Perhaps batters are walking 90% of the time if they don 't swing AFTER getting a 3-0 count; even that seems high (although intentional walk #'s help). My guess is that the on base (walk) % for taking ON a 3-0 count is much closer to 40%, meaning the pitcher is throwing strikes 60% of the time. The on base % for those taking on 3-0 and then (if not walked already) hitting/walking/get out would be around 50 to 60%, just guessing. In any event, the obp is the number to look at in that 5 run scenerio, and the obp increases when taking a pitch on 3-0. http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/split.cgi?t=b&lg=MLB&year=2016 These are stats for a PA decided on a 3-0 count, 1927 walks in 2123 PA is 90.8% of the time. If you don't count the 517 intentional walks the numbers dropped to a still huge 87.8% of the time. If you want to know after a 3-0 count then 30.5% are hits and only 64% are walks.
  5. jerichoholicninja
    I think most were expecting them to get blown out all the time but they've actually been in most games and lost so many by utter incompetence, not lack of talent but just plain stupidity. Overall it seems like they're more competitive this year than the last year and a half despite having less talent.
  6. jerichoholicninja
    I will take the chance of the out and take the extra base hits. A pitcher throws 3 balls in a row for a reason. Either they're pitching around you (in which case you shouldn't swing because they are trying to walk you) or they can't find the plate (what makes you think they'll find it 3-0 if they couldn't 2-0). Interesting factoid, the BABIP on 3-0 counts this year is .335. Better than overall but swinging 3-0 still made an out almost 70% of the time. I see almost no situation where swinging 3-0 is a good idea. Maybe with the winning run on third with no outs but even then I would only want an elite hitter doing it.
  7. jerichoholicninja
    This season on 3-0 counts batters are getting hits 41.7% of the time and walking 90.8% of the time. Taking a 3-0 pitch more than doubles your chances of getting on base. There's no reason to swing the bat ever. So wait you would rather have a walk than an extra base hit? Why take the walk when the extra base hit puts the player in a better position to score? Quick edit even after missing the strike at 3-0 this year on 3-1 counts batters are hitting this line: .375 .703 .675 1.378 Again another advantageous position for the batter. Every batter should be swinging at pitches that are in the strike zone and should not be looking at them when they are up in the count. I don't care if it is bases loaded bottom of the 9th and the count is 3-0. I want the batter swinging at that pitch if it is a strike the batter can handle. Anyone who puts up a take sign on that is just lunacy. Balls put in play are outs more than 70% of the time. Ball fours are outs 0% of the time.
  8. jerichoholicninja
    This season on 3-0 counts batters are getting hits 41.7% of the time and walking 90.8% of the time. Taking a 3-0 pitch more than doubles your chances of getting on base. There's no reason to swing the bat ever.
  9. jerichoholicninja
    Not swinging at a 3-0 count when you get a pitch to hit is the definition of stupid. 3-0 count splits: 2015 378 .948 .750 1.698 2014 353 .942 .697 1.639 2013 353 .948 .716 1.663 Yes you read that right the past three years on a 3-0 count batters have a 1.600+ OPS. If you are not swinging at a pitch you can drive you are an idiot and need to be benched immediately as you are not putting the team first instead you are putting the dumb unwritten rules of baseball ahead of the team. There is no logical reason to be sitting there watching a pitch on a 3-0 count NONE. Your own stats prove the point that you're trying to refute. Swinging on a 3-0 pitch is only successful roughly 36% of the time. Meaning if a batter swings at every 3-0 pitch they get they are still going to get out most of the time. And it would be even worse if you swing at every one because sometimes pitchers just can't throw strikes, so now you're swinging at crappy pitches when you could have just walked.
  10. jerichoholicninja
    Good lord Brewers. Dumbest baserunning team ever. Just plain freaking stupid for years.
  11. jerichoholicninja
    I bet if you put Puig on a team where he's going to start everyday and in a city the national media doesn't give a crap about and the local media barely care about the team, all these supposed problems with him will disappear. I think that that is the same philosophy that brought Gary Sheffield to Milwaukee. I get you put that in blue but you realize the Brewers drafted him right?
  12. jerichoholicninja
    The package. But I'm generally a play it safe guy. Get as many chances for success as possible instead of putting all your eggs in one basket.
  13. jerichoholicninja
    Lawrie and Coulter were catchers. What position guys are drafted at doesn't seem to make much difference.
  14. jerichoholicninja
    Stearns seems like a pretty smart guy. Profar doesn't fit great with Milwaukee but if he really wants the other guys and the Rangers are only willing to give up him instead of Gallo or whoever else he really wants, the are lots of other teams that want Profar. Pair him with Smith or Jeffress and you've got another great trade package.
  15. jerichoholicninja
    I bet if you put Puig on a team where he's going to start everyday and in a city the national media doesn't give a crap about and the local media barely care about the team, all these supposed problems with him will disappear.
  16. jerichoholicninja
    I can't find the link anymore but Roger Clemens and 23 other former major leaguers (plus Roger's son) are competing in a tournament against a bunch of teams full of college kids in August. Roger also apparently plays in the National Senior League and last year faced off of against Oil Can Boyd in the playoffs and got a hit off of him.
  17. jerichoholicninja
    Marlins? Are the Marlins really small market? They are run by a scumbag so he kind of intentionally tanked his team a few times. I don't know if they are. No one comes to their games and they hardly spend money so I would consider them small market even if the market data doesn't.
  18. jerichoholicninja
    Ya, I just can't understand how some posters can be ok with the caught stealings just because he does other things well. It's easily fixable and even when he's successful it doesn't little to actually help the team.
  19. jerichoholicninja
    Marlins?
  20. jerichoholicninja
    A formal letter requesting they never do it again. I doubt MLB will give them any sort of substantial punishment.
  21. jerichoholicninja
    Couldn't agree more on Ueck, but how would you propose we build a contender more quickly? It's not like we're one or two MLB-ready pieces away from being a playoff team. The only way to make this team a playoff contender quicker is to make it worse in the long run. Either by trading all of our prospects for veterans or by signing expensive free agents. Briggs has been pounding the point that he wants a winner right now since the offseason because he's old (his words, not mine). I guess he would prefer Dave Stewart be our GM.
  22. jerichoholicninja
    Costing your team outs on the bases seems like something worth getting bent out of shape over.
  23. jerichoholicninja
    Such a Brewers way to lose. Back to back 2 out walks, a stolen base, and a wild pitch.
  24. jerichoholicninja
    That's a LONG way from my first bit of insider stuff on this site. I founded this: https://www.linkedin.com/groups/76277 I meant your first in this post. I know you've posted stuff before.
  25. jerichoholicninja
    Based off of your first bit of insider info, I'm guessing the source is David himself. And you are him.
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