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Flood Pants

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  1. Do a team audit for the Brewers and look at the VORP of who they lost versus who they gained. Essentially, they're basing their formula on expected runs scored vs. expected runs given up. By their numbers, we lost a god 20 runs by letting Cameron go and even a few by replacing Hardy with Escobar. The pitchers added just about balance out these lost runs, leaving us with a team whose expected runs are about the same as last year's. Cameron's loss really makes a huge difference for this offense.
  2. It's not a matter of paying players "out of pocket." Increasing the payroll decreases the profit. The owner(s) of a team, when they sign a big contract, chose to invest that money into the team rather than into their pockets. An owner with more money may be more inclined to operate for less profit.
  3. If we're going to talk replacement level, let's look at the stats that tell us what replacement level is. Last year, Suppan's VORP was -8.2. Let's compare that, though, to Bush's -14.8 and Parra's -23.9. Looper wasn't much better, at -5. There seems to be the idea that Suppan was our worst pitcher last year, but the numbers simply don't back that up. That doesn't make him good. He was still bad. But only Gallardo was clearly better last year, and we can't say with authority that Bush, Parra, or Narveson will outperform him based on the numbers. I will say though, that if he's pitching for a spot in the rotation right now, he's sure not making a very convincing case for himself.
  4. I can't think of any reliever in recent memory with a more perfect entry song. Watching Turnbow walk to the mound with "Fuel" blasting was simply divine.
  5. Rodriguez isn't necessarily an upgrade over Garza. The two would give you similar numbers. So that's a wash. But Morales should be an upgrade over Pedrioa. Brandon Phillips may even be an upgrade over Pedrioa. This seems like a sound trade.
  6. Megadesk may have been the funniest thing of the whole season for me. And it was refreshing to have the Jim and Dwight feud back to normal. And Pam getting a break opened up some more screen time for other characters, which I liked. All around, one of my favorite episodes of the season.
  7. Who on the pitching staff still has options? they may be wise to keep all of their depth, but stash someone in the minors until the injuries start coming. I don't want them to lose Narveson, but I don't want them to lose anyone else either. Quite the conumdrum indeed. i'm not ready to cut Bush loose yet. he's shown a lot of promise in the past. and he's pitched a lot more, so we have a much better idea of his skills than Narveson's.
  8. Except for taking off sick days and major holidays.
  9. Part of what made Bill Hall so fun to watch was that he was a baseball oddity - an everyday player without a position. I'm rooting for him. Hopefully, he can find his bat again and give Red Sox fans the enjoyment that he gave us. It's nice to see him speaking proudly of his super-sub role. “I’m one of the founding fathers of my position,” Hall said recently. “Me and Ryan Freel in Cincinnati originated this. Now teams are trying to develop someone like us.”
  10. I haven't seen the Hurt Locker, but that's pretty much how I feel about District 9 and Up compared to any of the other nominees. They were the most genuinely though-provoking, creative, and moving films I've seen this year.
  11. A Brewers fan who hates the wild card. Fascinating. We owe a ton of excitement and optimism to the wild card. Do you remember who won the NL Central two seasons ago? It wasn't the Brewers.
  12. I enjoy the series very much, and I think the writing is still sharp and the jokes still great. What's been lacking this season is character development. The introduction of Erin, in my opinion, has left the show with one too many characters and not enough screen time for them all. In season 3, they wisely phased out certain characters for a few episodes (oscar, phyllis, roy) to make up for the influx of new ones, and that hasn't happened this season. As a result, it feels like they cram too much into each episode, and everyone but the series regulars (and kevin, it seems) gets pushed to the background. I'd hope the writers use the baby as an excuse to phase out Pam and/or Jim for a bit to give the other characters some more breathing room.
  13. I actually had a really good experience with my Time Warner customer service. But it was just one incident, and I'm just one guy. I don't have cable, but I do use Time Warner internet and it always works great. They do not, however, give you free wireless. You pay an extra fee at installation. But you can order a comparable wireless router cheaper online.
  14. I think Melvin would have pursued the Sabathia trade regardless of Gallardo's injury. When you're on the verge of making the playoffs, and a premier player is available who you have the right pieces to get, you do it. Sheets + Gallardo + Sabathia would have been absolutely legendary. You got me thinking, though. Which would be better, our legendary half a season of CC, or six solid seasons of LaPorta/Brantley. I think for the franchise at the time, the excitement generated from CC was worth risking the future for.
  15. Prince definitely has an edge over the competition Fielders OPS last year - 1.014. Only Pujols was better. Next highest was Votto at .981. The gap between Prince and Votto is greater than the gap between any of the other big first basemen. including the gap between Pujols and Prince. Looking at VORP, Prince weighed in at 70.3. The next highest was Adrian Gonzales at 57.6. Every team other than St. Louis could gain a good 10-30 runs by acquiring Prince. He truly is an elite player.
  16. Counsell has a better career OBP than Lopez, and considerably better defense. Both of them hit well above their career numbers last year. The choice between the two isn's so obvious. Lopez is only fit to play second base every day, and even there he's no world-beater. Counsell can play ever infield position better than any of the Brewers regulars (save for maybe Escobar now). I don't know that the Brewers really "chose" between Lopez and Counsell, but if so, I'm happy they went with Counsell.
  17. This is a great post. It caused me also to think about the way we react to baseball players. Granted, it's different for them, as they "may" make millions and lead a very glamorous life. But ultimately, the sport is their job and I imagine it's often hard and taxing for them. And if ever they complain about anything, we fans call them "babies" and never fail to mention how "they're being payed millions to play a game," as if we're entitled to criticize them. Next time you feel like saying that, ask yourself "have you ever had a hard day at your job? The grass is always greener on the other side.
  18. Are we talking about the same Rickie Weeks? OBP has probably been his most consistently good skill. 2006 - .363 2007 - .374 2008 - .342 2009 - .340 Career - .351 Those are some very solid numbers.
  19. A two-week suspension for what is essentially sexual harassment? I'd say he got off easy. Let me re-word that a bit stronger. A two-week suspension for what is definitely sexual harassment. He's lucky to still have a job. No overreaction here at all.
  20. I think if the majority of starting pitchers could handle starting on three days rest regularly, every team would do this. When it comes to rotation spots, more is not merrier. You want to keep their arms from falling off, but other than that, the more your best pitchers can handle pitching, the better.
  21. In a starting rotation, there's two important things to accomplish: 1. get your best starters as many starts as you can 2. get everyone enough rest to keep them effective the five man rotation seems to do this job well. add in another starter, and you're reducing the innings from your best pitchers. even if you still have six viable candidates, you're still get the most quality innings if you pick the best five.
  22. I think Lofgren was mostly a "hedging our bets" type of acquisition. If he's no longer needed, the Brewers will happily let him go. I can't think of a pitcher on the 25 man who is worth giving up in favor of him (well, maybe Riske, but I don't imagine he's going anywhere). And they're not about to carry 13 pitchers for the whole season. So, to answer your question, I would give up nothing.
  23. That would be a lot like trading Prince Fielder now. There would have been a fan outrage, for sure. But wow, what if...
  24. We have an inkling by looking back at his tenure in Texas. Three postseason appearances between 1994 and 2001. That's a fairly good success rate for any ball club. I imagine he learned some new negotiating skills managing the Brewers on such a small budget for so many years. When his tenure in Milwaukee finally ends (it happens to everyone), I'll be jealous of whichever team snatches him up.
  25. Who do you compare him to at his age and skill level, Cy Young? I can see the Giants' argument. "Cy Young, at Lincecum's age, made less then a million dollars. His request is way out of line with historical precedent" San Fran really dodged a bullet with this deal.
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