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Warning Track Power

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Everything posted by Warning Track Power

  1. Warning Track Power
    AL team with a good P on the market makes Archer the obvious guess. If Santana were traded as the centerpiece for Chris Archer I would approve.
  2. Warning Track Power
  3. Warning Track Power
    Agreed. Abreu is a stud but this team has other needs and shouldn't be dealing Brinson for an upgrade at 1B.
  4. Warning Track Power
    Really enjoy Jeff Levering on the radio especially when Lane Grindle is sprinkled in. Given Uecker's lack of road travel, except to a few locations, Levering has become kind of a 1B lead. As much as I want the best for him, I hope he is passed over and becomes #1 when Uecker retires.
  5. Warning Track Power
    In a vacuum, if the Brewers trade Shaw I will be ridiculously upset. I don't see how trading a pre-arbitration 30 HR, 100 RBI 3B makes the Brewers more competitive in the near term or long term especially given there is no obvious replacement for him on Opening Day 2018. (Spare me the Hernan Perez could be the everyday 3B posts)
  6. Warning Track Power
    No, there's a ton more to it than that. It's like a job interview except form the employee's end. Stuff like: What is the projected revenue from the Brewer's in the next 5 years and exactly how much did the Brewer's make and how much can they make. In other words, can the Brewer's spend at future deadlines if needed to push. What are the Brewer's philosophy on hitting, pitching and the game itself? What are Brewer's Front office tendencies? Is there a vibrant Asian community in Milwaukee? Etc, etc.... Two different viewpoints on this from me: 1. In order to get Darvish to come to Milwaukee without the vibrant Asian communities seen in the major markets, I would think the offer would have to be 5 years $130ish. 2. If Darvish is asking the other questions, would he take less to come to Milwaukee if he were impressed by the answers to team building and revenue streams given a $25-$30 million contract annually to one player could significantly hamstring these acquisitions?
  7. Warning Track Power
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/01/free-agenttrade-rumors-cobb-lynn-nunez-yelich-ichiro.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter Brewers are definitely turning over some stones in FA. I think in a lot of cases though smoke doesn't necessarily indicate fire. Nunez is a nice player but doesn't walk enough for my liking. I would prefer Walker if a 2B is being signed and would prefer seeing what Villar has to offer before signing Nunez.
  8. Warning Track Power
    With Seattle apparently getting a new NHL team, it got me to wonder why Milwaukee doesn't have an NHL team. While I am not a huge NHL fan, I think this would change if Milwaukee were to get one. I know the Admirals are there but am unfamiliar if they draw well. With me not living in Wisconsin, I am curious as to why there isn't a team in Milwaukee. It seems that the sport would thrive there. Any thoughts?
  9. Warning Track Power
    While I love Phillips, I do not believe he profiles as a top of the order hitter unless he hits his ceiling. In an absolute ideal world, Phillips is a .270/.350 hitter. In reality, I expect him to be more of a .250/.320 type which fits better at #6 or #7.
  10. Warning Track Power
    Even if it isn't true, I'll play... Brewers acquire Christian Yelich and Kyle Barraclough Marlins acquire Lewis Brinson and Luis Ortiz If the Marlins are looking for a top prospect like Acuna, then I will give you Brinson. I want an 8th inning guy to get to Knebel and Ortiz, still a top 100 prospect, for Barraclough feels about right. Not saying it is enough or right but that is my offer.
  11. Warning Track Power
    I have absolutely no clue who this guy is but figured it was worth mentioning given who is conversing with in the comments (Brew Crew Ball staff).
  12. Warning Track Power
    In general, this. Choi has no impact on anything as it relates to the MLB roster. If Choi plays in Milwaukee then Thames and Aguilar are both hurt, Braun can't play 1B and Stearns can't find a better option via a trade. Or Choi is hitting .400 with 25 HRs by July in Colorado Springs, and they are looking to catch lightning in a bottle. Even then. Garrett Cooper and his .366 with 17 HR in 2017 say hello.
  13. Warning Track Power
    This isn't exactly true about Friedman. Living in Los Angeles, you would think Friedman was the devil on some levels the past few years for hoarding Joc Pederson, Corey Seager, Clay Bellinger, Alex Verdugo, Walker Buehler, Mithcell White, Yadier Alvarez. Now some of them have graduated to MLB and become studs (Seager and Bellinger), some have been rather meh (Pederson) and some haven't graduated yet (Verdugo, Buehler, White, Alvarez). However, Friedman hasn't dealt any of them to create the super bullpen like the Yankees (Zach Britton was targeted but never acquired) to supplement Jansen. Nor did he deal any of them for Giancarlo Stanton who desperately wanted to play here. A lot of consternation for a fan base of a team that has limitless resources to buy MLB players but is also sticking to a draft and develop philosophy. We should be grateful that Epstein doesn't run the Cubs like Friedman runs the Dodgers.
  14. Warning Track Power
    Another Joba Chamberlain type move. See what he has in Spring Training and go from there.
  15. Warning Track Power
    In general, this. Choi has no impact on anything as it relates to the MLB roster. If Choi plays in Milwaukee then Thames and Aguilar are both hurt, Braun can't play 1B and Stearns can't find a better option via a trade.
  16. Warning Track Power
    Thinking about Walker a little more, does going to a third year with an AAV of $10-$11 million really hamstring the Brewers in year 3? Do we really feel comfortable with the idea of Villar/Sogard/Perez in 2018, one of the aforementioned/Dubon in 2019 and Hiura/Diaz in 2020? I guess I am looking at Walker in 2018 and 2019 will likely be better than the combination above and arguably better than Hiura/Diaz in 2020. If this is the case, how would this hamstring the Brewers from extending Shaw, Santana, Arcia, etc... in the future? Perhaps I am trying to convince myself that Walker is needed but I guess I am looking at his contract not being a long term impediment given the other guys will be getting expensive right as Walker's contract comes off the books.
  17. Warning Track Power
    There is only one guy on the roster right now that projects to be Mike Cameron (one of my favorite Brewers of all time) and that is Brett Phillips. If Brett Phillips can put up Mike Cameron's career line of .249/.338/.782 and 162 game average of 23 HR and 80 RBI with that D, you are looking at a starting Brewers OF for the next decade. I would love if Broxton could come close to Cameron's career line, but I just don't see him ever making contact enough to bat higher than .220 on a consistent basis.
  18. Warning Track Power
    I would imagine an offer of 2 years and $20 million to Walker might be in the right range if Kendrick is getting 2 years and $7 million. If any team is willing to go to 3 years for Walker, they will get him.
  19. Warning Track Power
    The idea of acquiring Moustakas and trading Shaw reeks of a Boras-planted rumor. While the Brewers certainly could deal Shaw and Santana given their lack of long-term success, players of their ilk and at their stage in the arbitration process are what successful small market teams are built on. If they were a year or two short of FA, this rumor would be much more plausible but short of the Brewers substantially "winning" a trade of either player, they will be at 3B and RF on Opening Day.
  20. Warning Track Power
    On the topic of Josh Harrison, I really enjoy him as a player and think he would be a solid addition to the Brewers as currently constructed. However, is his current contract, 1 year at $10.25 with two team options of $10.5 and $11.5, with buyouts of $1 million and $500k, worth it? He doesn't walk or strikeout much. He has only two seasons of double digit HR and has a career OBP of .321. In my opinion, if the Brewers could get Neil Walker on the same deal, I think that would be money better spent given Walker's career OBP is higher (.341), brings more power (8 straight seasons of double digit HR) and won't cost prospects like Harrison would.
  21. Warning Track Power
    Stop using Sogards hot streak of last year to put him in the same sentence with a guy like Harrison. Sogard is not good. I’ll give you Perez and his splits vs LHP but that’s about it for that guy too. If we go into the 2018 season banking on a Sogard/Perez soft platoon at 2B, we are going to be severely disappointed. Perez's biggest selling point is his versatility, and that would take it away. While Harrison isn't a world beater, he has the ability to be a top-of-the-lineup table setter. Walker would be an ideal #2 hitter. If the team doesn't end up with one of those guys, I think they roll with Villar and hope he recaptures his 2016 form. I don't get how people believe that Sogard can consistently provide what he did during his hot streak last year, while at the same time dismissing the idea that Villar can recapture his 2016 form. I really enjoyed this point. Sogard had a decent 2017 while Villar had an elite level 2016. If Sogard had a career of putting up 2017 numbers, I would be much more comfortable with him. However, he has a career line of .245/.313/.638 in 1630 PAs whereas Villar has .256/.325/.722 in 1773 PAs. If handing out the 2B job, I would rather see if Villar can regain that elite level of offensive production rather than taking the low floor-low ceiling production of Sogard.
  22. Warning Track Power
    I called into MLB Network Radio this morning and spoke to Jim Duquette and Jim Bowden...summarizing what they said: -Archer trade has zero momentum. TB wants to keep him. -Brewers are in on Darvish and Arrieta despite denials from their FO. Bowden said his sources are saying they are definitely in there. Both believe they have a strong shot at getting one of Darvish, Arrieta, Cobb or Lynn. -Brewers will have to add SP via FA and not via trade. Sounds like Brewers want to keep their prospects. -Brewers still in on Neil Walker although they are competing with the Mets. Nothing groundbreaking but both believe that a SP and 2B will be added. Darvish/Arrieta and Walker would be fun late offseason adds for the Brewers especially if they keep the farm intact. (Side note...the Mets trying to bring the band back together with Bruce and Walker. Why? I don't get their moves.)
  23. Warning Track Power
    Free Agent: Jake Arrieta, RHP Years: 3 Total Cost: $100 million ($33, $33, $33) Free Agent: Neil Walker Years: 2 Total Cost: $22 million Free Agent: Jonathan Lucroy Years: 2 Total Cost: $16 million If the Brewers make the move to add Arrieta, I have to believe they see themselves as challengers in the NL. A rotation of Arrieta-Anderson-Davies-Chacin-Woodruff/Nelson, assuming they pitch to their 2017 selves, can compete with most anyone. If the Brewers see themselves as competitors, then I definitely see them solidifying 2B with Walker...and Lucroy if they can stretch the payroll and add the additional $52 million in 2018 and 2019. I know some of you say Lucroy doesn't make sense given Pina, Vogt, Susac, Bandy but I think on the right deal, it makes all the sense in the world to bring Lucroy back to share time with Pina. Additionally, the Walker and Lucroy deals are short enough that it frees up money for arbitration eligible players like Shaw, Santana and Arcia in 2020. A two year push of big money and then the gradual filling in of cheap prospects in 2020 and 2021 e.g. Hiura/Diaz for Walker at 2B, Brinson/Harrison for Braun in LF.
  24. Warning Track Power
    Walker also brings something the current Brewers don't have a lot of and that is relatively limited Ks. The everyday lineup currently looked like this in 2017: 1. Villar: 132 Ks in 403 ABs (33%) 2. Thames: 169/463 (37%) 3. Braun: 76/380 (20%) 4. Shaw: 138/538 (25%) 5. Santana: 178/525 (34%) 6. Broxton: 175/414 (42%) 7. Pina: 79/330 (24%) 8. Arcia: 100/506 (19%) Walker in his career has 754/3860 or 20% or 77/385 (20%) in 2017. Less Ks is necessary to get into this lineup to help prevent the streakiness. Walker-type hitters will help alleviate some of this. Doesn't change the overall point you're making, but FWIW K% is K/PA, not K/AB. For someone like Arcia your numbers aren't very far off (19% vs 18%), but for Eric Thames, who walks a lot, it's way off; 37% vs 30%. Lathund...Appreciate the help on the matter. Was trying to post quickly and didn't think it all the way through
  25. Warning Track Power
    Pretty surprised by this move. Given his year in Colorado Springs last year, I would've liked to have seen him given an opportunity to compete with Suter, Gallardo, Wilkerson, etc... for the #5 spot.
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