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Eye Black

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Everything posted by Eye Black

  1. Eye Black
    What a great start to the weekend!
  2. Eye Black
    If they are able to hold on for the win Gamel will be credited with a late inning come from behind dagger against both the Cardinals and Cubs this season.
  3. Eye Black
    Out of mound visits in the 8th inning? Huh.
  4. Eye Black
    For his career Braun is 1-for-13 with 2 BB and 4 Ks against Pedro Strop. Strop has struggled quite a bit at times this year.
  5. Eye Black
  6. Eye Black
    Sounds like Royals reliever, LHP Jake Diekman is on the verge of being traded. He has a good DRA and strikeout ratio, but a high ERA.
  7. Eye Black
    The Dodgers have some of my favorite prospects in SS Gavin Lux, RHP Dustin May, and even C Will Smith. All are on the verge of being MLB ready. Two of those three players would be enough for me.
  8. Eye Black
    Is that a serious question? Not if they had a gun to my head. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk The reason for the question being posed was pointed out in the post that preceded yours. I can remember Dave Cameron discussing how challenging and time consuming the trade value series was for him to put together each year. I really like Kiley's content at FanGraphs, but I don't get the sense he is nearly as invested in this particular annual exercise. Also, obviously relying on feedback from front offices likely leads to a lot of anecdotal influence. He had Brandon Woodruff ranked in the top 50, ahead of both Josh Hader and Keston Hiura whom I would consider significantly more valuable as trade commodities.
  9. Eye Black
    Fun Fact: Listening to the Effectively Wild podcast from this week they mentioned that Gio Gonzalez has the 12th highest WAR accumulated among all pitchers from between 2010 to 2019 (just ahead of Madison Bumgarner). He has 31 WAR and counting during this past 10 year period. He was very dominant in 2012 with the Nationals, but outside of that he has been consistently good for the majority of the decade.
  10. Eye Black
    I thought Keone Kela was a good pick-up by the Pirates last year, but he has reportedly had an off the field altercation with one of their staff and it appears they are ready to trade him. Seems like the talent is there, but he is developing a poor reputation. That being said he is a possible buy low candidate for teams in need of bullpen help. Article from The Crawfish Boxes, Buy Low: Keone Kela?
  11. Eye Black
    This season Hendricks has been a bit tougher on right handed batters (.631 OPS against) than left handed batters (.756 OPS against). With the addition of Shaw and counting the switch hitting Grandal the Brewers now have 7 hitters that swing from the left side versus RHP. With the Brewers set to face LHP on both Saturday and Sunday I would guess they will really stack up the LHB versus Hendricks today. For his career Lorenzo Cain is just 4-for-18 off Hendricks with no extra base hits and no walks. I wouldn’t hate seeing Gamel get a start in CF tonight.
  12. Eye Black
    Gio González: Batter (Cubs) vs Pitching Stats Kyle Hendricks: Batter (Brewers) vs Pitching Stats
  13. Eye Black
    I realize why prospect status is used as the line of demarcation, but in my opinion it would be a more meaningful exercise to rank the collection of talent each organization has under 25 years old. Especially with what we know about the aging curve for players (peak performance typically in the 26-28 years old range), it would be a more effective way to accurately portray organizations outlooks for the future against one another. For example the list no longer includes Keston Hiura, but he is still only 22 years old which is younger than many players still considered prospects.
  14. Eye Black
    He is taking the roster spot opened up by Jhoulys Chacin's IL stint. Works in the short term, but obviously longer term they will need to add another starting pitcher to the 25-man roster.
  15. Eye Black
    Not sure you can carry a 1B platoon AND Travis Shaw for the long haul, so the eventual corresponding move could be an interesting one.
  16. Eye Black
    I am not saying to dismiss the rankings because it would certainly be better to have a system stocked with high end premium talent viewed as desirable assets. That being said, this leads me to one of my favorite observations regarding the Baseball America farm system rankings from the past decade. In 2012 the Rangers ranked as Baseball America's 2nd best farm system. Their top 5 prospects were listed as Jurickson Profar, Martín Pérez, Mike Olt, Leonys Martín, and Neil Ramirez. Also in 2012 the Marlins ranked as Baseball America's 28th farm system. Their top 5 prospects were listed as Christian Yelich, Marcell Ozuna, Jose Fernandez, Matt Dominguez, and JT Realmuto. Again, I am not saying the rankings are completely meaningless, but the farm systems they are ranking will look much different retroactively than they appear right now.
  17. Eye Black
    I like the list JMB, but wouldn't Lance Lynn belong in Tier 3 since he is under contract through 2021? Maybe I misunderstood that part. It is maybe a little farfetched that he'll get traded, but I might include Jon Gray in tier 1. Again, it's unlikely he'll be moved this deadline, but I could see the Rockies trading him for MLB ready prospects this winter when he'll have just 2 years remaining. I would put him as a potential TOR breakout candidate if he goes to the right organization. Sort of like the ascension of Gerrit Cole with the Astros. Solely because he has had some impressive peripherals at Double-A this year and is now 24 years old I have started to wonder if Alec Bettinger could be a (very) long shot dark horse to get a shot at some point? Lastly, I hope Brent Suter gets a chance to pitch some meaningful innings this season, but I guess it would be more realistic to expect him to come out of the bullpen than to be a starter.
  18. Eye Black
    A couple of guys that I was all in on after one great season were Pat Listach who had 4.5 bWAR in 1992 and finished his career with 4.4 bWAR as well as Scott Podsednik who had 3.6 bWAR in 2003 and finished his career with 6.8 bWAR. The player that was traded as a prospect, but I was certain had a superstar future was Brett Lawrie. I don’t know if this one qualifies because I didn’t think he was going to be a star, but I had high hopes for Taylor Green becoming an average regular for many years.
  19. Eye Black
    Keston Hiura has the 4th highest WAR among all position players on the roster (behind only Yelich, Moustakas, Grandal) despite playing in less than 40% of the teams games so far this season (40 of 104). As noted on MLB Network he is also now 2nd All-Time on the Brewers leaderboard of most home runs through the first 40 games in player’s debut: Ryan Braun — 11 HR Keston Hiura — 10 HR Khris Davis — 8 HR Gary Sheffield — 7 HR
  20. Eye Black
    Since Devin Williams isn’t on the 40-man roster they would have to DFA someone in order to add him. Not saying they couldn’t do it, but I would guess they won’t make that sort of move until after the trade deadline when they have a more concrete idea of how other transactions have affected the overall roster. I am very intrigued to see Williams get a chance at some point, but I also remain a little cautious about anybody who hasn’t yet thrown the “juiced” ball being used at Triple-A or the Majors this season.
  21. Eye Black
    There’s an alternate universe where the Brewers acquired Jose Quintana in 2017 and the Cubs currently have Christian Yelich starring in the outfield for them. That made me ill just typing out, but in all seriousness the Brewers were reportedly very close to acquiring Quintana which would have almost certainly cost the Brewers Lewis Brinson at the time. I don’t think Stearns is opposed to trading for pitching, I think the problem is the front office wants to acquire a pitcher with years of control rather than paying up for a TOR pitcher for 1-2 seasons. Those are obviously difficult acquisitions to come by since not a lot of teams look to move a good starting pitcher with years of control remaining. I don’t know if it is the right or wrong move, but that’s my sense of it.
  22. Eye Black
    Interesting analysis, but unfortunately this summary paragraph isn’t overly encouraging...
  23. Eye Black
    [pre]Reds Lineup Brewers Lineup 1. Nick Senzel ® CF 1. Lorenzo Cain ® CF 2. Joey Votto (L) 1B 2. Christian Yelich (L) RF 3. Jesse Winker (L) LF 3. Yasmani Grandal (S) C 4. Yasiel Puig ® RF 4. Ryan Braun ® LF 5. Josh VanMeter (L) 3B 5. Eric Thames (L) 1B 6. Scooter Gennett (L) 2B 6. Keston Hiura ® 2B 7. Jose Iglesias ® SS 7. Orlando Arcia ® SS 8. Juan Graterol ® C 8. Tyler Saladino ® 3B 9. Lucas Sims ® P 9. Jhoulys Chacin ® P[/pre] Jhoulys Chacín: Batter (Reds) vs Pitching Stats
  24. Eye Black
    If the Brewers acquire anyone of significance it seems like Dubon is the #1 most likely to move as part of a return. Aside from Dubon anyone that is Eligible for the Rule 5 Draft this off-season is also at an increased risk of being moved. I’ll guess that Corey Ray ultimately gets traded before he appears in a major league game for the Brewers, but that may not be at this deadline since his stock took a hit with the early season injury.
  25. Eye Black
    This is a really good post that touches on a lot of great points. I also think the fact that Shaw has been primarily playing 1B in San Antonio is foreshadowing that a move like this may actually be ahead. I know it’s not ideal to lose a right-handed power bat from the roster, but I my sense is they would rather not waste two roster spots on a straight platoon at 1B (yes, I know Thames can stand in the OF in a pinch). If you move Aguilar and call up Shaw (assuming they believe he’s back to form) the positional flexibility all of a sudden looks much better among those that can play at the corner infield spots. Moustakas- 3B / 2B Shaw - 1B / 3B Grandal - C / 1B Thames - 1B
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