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bjamesw22

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Everything posted by bjamesw22

  1. bjamesw22
    The mighty Brewers take on the lowly Reds in an epic battle of recent central division bottom dwellers. Tonights pitching matchup leaves something to be desired for Reds fans. They send Luke Hudson to the mound with a 3-5 record and a hefty 7.88 era. His counterpart Chris Capuano, arguably the Brewers most consistent starter, sports a picturesque record of 12-7 to go along with his steadfast 3.64 era. Can the Brewers score enough runs against Hudson to overpower the lethal Reds offense? We will if Chris Capuano has anything to say about it. bj-dub's prediction: Brewers - 7 Reds - 3 ESPN STATPACK Yahoo Preview milwaukeebrewers.com Preview CBS Sportsline Preview USA Today Preview
  2. bjamesw22
    Also, a walk, according to linear weights, is worth about 2/3rds of a single, NOT 1/2 a single, as OPS values it, roughly. And according to linear weights, what is a stolen base worth?
  3. bjamesw22
    CF was much harder...in fact, my suckiness in CF is what led to me be made the right fielder (my suckiness in RF led to the dh part...) Well, in high school RF, pretty much just like little league, is the place you hide your worst fielder (no offense) because there are few lefties, and most high school hitters are extreme pull hitters. So it's hard to compare a high school outfield with a major league one. Saying someone is our best out fielder, but he's too slow to play CF, is like saying Vandy is our best defensive catcher but he doesn't have very good reflexes. Geoff Jenkins is our best outfielder, but he's too slow to play CF.
  4. bjamesw22
    Also, a walk, according to linear weights, is worth about 2/3rds of a single, NOT 1/2 a single, as OPS values it, roughly. And according to linear weights, what is a stolen base worth?
  5. bjamesw22
    Usually your fastest outfielder is in center. They have to cover the most ground. Another thing I think people either don't know or forget is that the centerfielder is supposted to be the captain of the outfield just like the shortstop is the captain of the infield. If the SS calls you off in the infield on a fly ball everyone clears out and lets him get it. If the CF calls you off in the outfield same thing. I think that Mr. Hart was put into RF because he has a good enough arm and they wanted to see his OF potential. Putting someone in LF doesn't measure how good of an outfielder a guy is and Krynzel is in center.
  6. bjamesw22
    Yes I was confirming your point. I was trying to make the same point before but was told that since I didn't have "proof" that it couldn't happen. I was just re-posting your thougths. I stopped because there was no sense in arguing my point when the other person isn't being rational. I could list many other players other than Sexson that have improved their walk rates without the aid of IBB. But why? To prove a point that is already true because someone wants to be difficult? Not worth my time.
  7. bjamesw22
    Russ, I just figured out how to do this 2 days ago myself. I put my info into notepad, changed the font to Corier, and lined up each character using individual spacing. Then use the ezcodes other's have shown. It was easier than I thought it was going to be.
  8. bjamesw22
    This from RoCo: Richie Sexson stands out to me as a guy who certainly improved his plate discipline over his career. In his first five FULL seasons, his walk totals were........ 34 59 60 70 and 98 walks. That certainly smacks of improvement to me. I don't think he got THAT much better just because. He practiced and got better. It didn't just magically happen. Same way as BP improves hitting, or long toss improves velocity, or doing sprints improves speed, that doing plate discipline drills improves ability also.
  9. bjamesw22
    huntsvillefan, I wouldn't even try to figure out the logic if I were you. Or you'll spend a lot of wasted time spinning your wheels trying to talk to people with their ears plugged.
  10. bjamesw22
    I'm not the one with the hypothesis to prove here, you are. It's not a hypothesis, it is common sense.
  11. bjamesw22
    Sure they do, just not in a provable/meaningful/significant kind of way. Since you're basically asking me to prove that it does make a difference in the game how about you prove to me that it doesn't.
  12. bjamesw22
    And I will wholeheartedly disagree with yours, until you offer proof aside from a "this happened for me, so it's always the case" argument. Show me an example of a player who was an undisciplined hitter when entering MLB, and became a guy who walked. I'll show you an exception to the rule. Ummm, you're basically making the argument that practicing doesn't improve your abilities.
  13. bjamesw22
    So you're saying there is no mental part to baseball? No having a plan at the plate? No knowing where to throw the ball if it is hit to you? No knowing how to slide at home with a play at the plate? No knowing where you need to hit the ball to move runners over? Nothing like that? And those things have no effect on the game? No, you can't measure them, but you can't dismiss their importance in the game.
  14. bjamesw22
    Hart may have speed, but the toughest part about learning CF is judging balls off the bat. I've played every position on the diamond (I was a Vinny Rotino back in my day - not in a single game, but over the course of a season several times), and the position I hated playing the most was CF. It takes a lot of experience in CF to learn how to consistently accurately judge the ball when it comes off the bat. I played OF for 3 years and I thought that the hardest OF position was RF. The way that ball comes off a right handed hitters bat was the hardest to judge IMO. Plus the throws are longer from right. But this doesn't mean it's the same for everyone.
  15. bjamesw22
    My point was all OPS of .800 are not created equal: .300 OBP .500 SLG: Runs = 1444 x .300 + 893 x .500 - 444 = 436 runs .400 OBP .400 SLG: Runs = 1444 x .400 + 893 x .400 - 444 = 491 runs I would even say that two OPS consisting of .400 OBP and .400 SLG aren't the same. How that OBP is derived and how that SLG is derived makes a difference in how productive that player is. This is where RBI stats can be jumbled up. Two players with those exact two OBP and SLG probably wouldn't come out to the same number of RBI's if the same number of runners were on in each at bat. Would they?
  16. bjamesw22
    But, how do you prove these things? You are trying to psychoanalyze from a very far distance, and no real understanding of the situation. Burnett seems like a pretty stable guy to me - solid K rate, great stuff, groundball pitcher, etc. Give me things that actually win baseball games, and are proven to do so, over something that could possibly be completely untrue, like your perception of a player's "makeup". Stats are a guideline. It is hard if not impossible to measure a players mental toughness, his intangibles like leadership, etc. But just because you can't measure them doesn't mean that they aren't important or don't have any effect on the game.
  17. bjamesw22
    It also is very unlikely to fluctuate the way hits do, as well. And plate discipline isn't a learned skill, it's something a hitter either has or doesn't have. What do you mean by plate discipline isn't a learned skill?!? I will wholeheartedly disagree with that statement. At UWW during practices we worked on plate discipline and strikezone judgement all the time. I got better at judging what was a strike and what wasn't. If you can make that determination you will become a better hitter. We had one of those huge gym dividers in the fieldhouse and put a masking tape box the size of the strikezone on it. We then divided the box that made up the strikezone into 8 smaller boxes and numbered them. Someone would stand 30 feet or so away and throw tennis balls like he was pitching. The hitter would stand there in their batting stance and tell the person pitching the number of the box it hit. If you were wrong the pitcher would tell you what the right answer was. You got very good at figuring out where the ball was coming in. You could do that with curveballs, etc. It would even be best if you charted how many you got right/wrong so that you can measure if you are improving. So to say that plate discipline isn't a learned skill is just wrong. Now pitch recognition on the other hand, that is a VERY hard skill to learn. But again, with hard work with someone who knows what they are talking about, you can learn that too.
  18. bjamesw22
    Isn't it interesting rluzinski, that a walk and a stolen base nearly add up to the equivalent value of a single, using linear weights? Even though the guy is in scoring position, it still has near the same value...I'm baffled to a point. Just goes to show you that numbers don't tell you everything. There isn't one single hitting stat out there in baseball that tells you everything.
  19. bjamesw22
    Hart in CF? On a regular basis? I think our internet/fantasy baseball world is encouraging us to forget about defense and just concentrate on OPS. I'd love to get Hart's bat in the lineup, but if he plays CF, I worry that he'd allow more runs than he'd produce (compared to, say, Clark). The Brewers are already pretty bad in the outfield with all three guys playing on the warning track. Replacing Clark with Hart would result in balls dropping in all over the place. I think you're WAY overvaluing Clark's defense. Hart is faster than Clark and would be able to cover much more ground and his arm is better than Clarks.. I don't know how Hart in center would result in more balls dropping in all over the place than there already is. I hope they are trying him there to find out though.
  20. bjamesw22
    Actually, considering how solid of a contact hitter he seems to be, he might project pretty well as a #2 hitter. It's all coming clear to me now: 1. Weeks 2b 2. Hart cf 3. Jenkins rf 4. Lee lf 5. Fielder 1b 6. Branyan 3b 7. Hardy ss 8. Miller c Clark, Overbay, and JDLR netting us a #2 pitcher.
  21. bjamesw22
    i don't really know...field conditions??? youth??? I mean, billy hall looks pretty smooth at times as well.. True. At least it's good to know he has the ability anyways. If you said he looked like a butcher I'd be concerned more. But like you said, Bill Hall looks smooth at times also.
  22. bjamesw22
    If the spell check insn't working I'd suggest opening a new window if you use IE or opening a new tab if you use Firefox and going to dictionary.com to check words you are unsure about. I always have that site in my favorites. This is the business ed teacher in me, but spell check doesn't catch everything either. I want to buy a car. I want to buy a care. The second sentence wouldn't show up as something improperly spelled. Sorry, just trying to get back into teacher mode. It's coming up quick!
  23. bjamesw22
    Thanks for the report! It's awesome to have that first hand insight! The same goes for Alcides...i know the plate discipline sucks, but he hits it very hard, and he's incredibly skinny...if he caould gain 20 pounds before his 21st birthday with the natural ability he has, he could have a decent career...his defense was very smooth and natural Do you have any ideas as to why he has so many errors? I only ask because you said his defense is smooth and natural...
  24. bjamesw22
    I know it hasn't been long, but 0 errors so far for Salome in his stint at WV. I know! He even prompted me to take my Salome D watch out of my sig...but now I'm thinking about putting out a Salome O watch! http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/laugh.gif As long as he keeps playing errorless D and keeps throwing out baserunners I'm fine. We know the stick is in there someplace just waiting to come out.
  25. bjamesw22
    I have enough confidence in Doug tonight that I'm still going to start him in my fantasy lineup. Brewers 5 Cards 1.
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