Thurston Fluff
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Everything posted by Thurston Fluff
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Let's Talk Brewers' Outfielders
Thurston Fluff replied to sveumrules's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
While I believe Mitchell will be solid if he can stay healthy I'd like to see him start in AAA. He's been out so much for so long I think everyone would be better served to let him get back to every day work in a less demanding atmosphere. -
I see Collins like a Scott Podsednik type. A late bloomer who has a career year early then hangs around for a while because he has the right skillset to play a role but never has another season like his first full year again. He's a great story and I'd love to be wrong but I just don't see him putting up many seasons like the one he just had. Durbin is a solid if unspectacular player who's shown he can hold his own as a starter on any team. I don't know how much room a person his size has to grow but he seems to know himself enough to remain productive. His low hard hit rate and lack of power are going to limit his ceiling. Patrick has the ability to take a step forward. He may not have the electric stuff of Peralta or dominant stuff Miz has but it's better than average and he knows how to use it. He looks to me like a poor mans Woodruff. He gets overshadowed yet at the end of the year has the same amount of success.
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Brewers Miss Out On 2025 Gold Glove Awards
Thurston Fluff replied to Jason Wang's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Considering the two systems disagree on value I think this is one area where the eye test still has equal value. At this stage the value of defensive metrics are in the attempt more than the result. Medicine had to go through the five humors and blood letting stage to get to where it is today. We're just at the "fetch me a leech" stage with defensive metrics. I agree it's good to see gold gloves be taken more seriously now. -
I think Lockridge could be the hedge against another injury. There's also quite a few outfielders in the system as a whole. Probably going to have Bauers as well. There really isn't a need for more than one light hitting, defensive fifth outfielder as insurance.
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A six man rotation would make a lot of sense if Woody and/or Peralta are gone. It would ease the workload of the younger starters and keep everyone fresh for the playoffs.
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- brandon woodruff
- quinn priester
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Given every team faces the exact same billion situations it seems fair to say the ones who did the best in all scenarios is actually the best. It's like testing to see the most athletic. Some people may be able to do more pushups, others can run long distances better, others can sprint faster, and so on. When we take all of those things together the one who did better overall is considered the best athlete.
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I think they'd have to address options and years of control before being added to the 40 man on top of taking away a year of control. Too many games can be played to manipulate service time for five years actually being five years.
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I'm good with whatever they do. Peralta's value is probably higher given the contract. Burnes made $15,637,000 his final year. Peralta is making a little over half that. I could see the Brewers packaging a decent prospect or a controllable player like Collins or Black for a higher end prospect.
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I don't see any version of a salary cap the players would accept that didn't involve complete revenue sharing like they have in the NFL. With it there is no team that can't afford to be at or near the top in payroll.
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Why would a team capable of absorbing that much risk not just buy a pitcher of the same caliber who doesn't have that much risk? Your last sentence is exactly why Woody may prefer to stay here. He doesn't want to be stashed away for half a year so the team can save him for the playoffs. Woody's situation seems more like what a team like the Brewers deal in than the Dodgers.
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The other part of my reasoning is to maximize his future value he needs to be in a good situation to have a good year. If he goes to a place for an extra $10 million that he'd get here but get pushed too hard or not have the pitching pedigree the Brewers have he could lose far more than he gains. I don't think there's a better situation for a one year prove it deal than what the Brewers offer.
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He also ended the season injured and tailed off a bit as the season went on. I think teams will want to see him stay healthy and productive for a full season before committing $25 million a year. I think he could end up with a Hoskins prove it type of deal as easily as he does a 3/75.
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In the end only one team doesn't end with disappointment. Getting the "can't win in the post season" monkey off our backs will help get me get past the sting of the Dodgers series. It doesn't hurt knowing we had the youngest team to make the playoffs and have one of the top farm systems in all of baseball to draw from. Other team's players are getting older. Ours are just getting closer to their prime.
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There is no scenario where you have a cap without a floor and revenue sharing. Which makes big teams hoarding money unlikely. It also would not allow for teams to just keep a player just because. it does the opposite of that. Something I don't ever here mentioned is what equalizing salaries does to the product. As it stands teams like the Dodgers don't have to be particularly good at player development or finding hidden talent others overlook. They just buy the best money can buy and be done with it. The Brewers have to improve every aspect of their system to compete. That means they find and develop talent other teams can't. Even the playing field forces all teams to improve their player development. doing that improves the entire league's talent.
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IIRC there's a mutual option with Woody for $20 million with a $10 million buyout. I could see a scenario where Woody decides to take his end. He's coming off shoulder surgery and ended the season injured. He might get a better deal somewhere else but he probably get a much better deal by staying healthy and productive for a full year. There would be no better place to do a prove you're healthy as still productive season that than here. If he does the Brewers would be stupid not to take him back. It would only be a $10 million risk.
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At some point a rested Anderson is better than Uribe pitching three games in a row and going more than one inning in some of them. I felt the last two appearances from Abner crossed that line.
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- chad patrick
- jose quintana
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The Cubs won three elimination games this post season. Two against the best team in baseball. I don't see any reason we can't win four given we're a better team than they are. Especially considering we don't have win any against the best team in baseball.
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We're still on route 11. We just stopped for gas.
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11's gonna happen. Don't know the route we're going to take but all roads lead to 11.
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- optimism
- world series
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That's one of the things I heard repeated multiple times and never understood why. How they all could just ignore the Brewers performed against all those more talented teams in entire season is beyond me.
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Murphy was right about EVERYTHING
Thurston Fluff replied to edfunderburk's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I might be giving him too much credit for this but I think essentially going with a bullpen day was in part because he wanted to keep Priester for Wrigley. The best option against a homer hitting team in an environment that can be homer friendly is a ground ball pitcher. -
Putting up the numbers Raleigh is at the position he plays should count for something. The workload of a catcher takes so much great a toll on the body than someone who plays any other position. That plus the extra mental preparation it takes to know all the hitters and pitchers makes it much harder to put up the numbers on offense he has.
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Assuming it's not roster management "injury" I hope it's a dead arm thing vs some type of discomfort in the shoulder or elbow. Given how long he was off I could see the former. If so a break until the playoffs wouldn't be the worst thing.
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Yea, not many fans wearing a we're number two t-shirt out there.
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The NL central not only have the best team in the NL, it's worst team has a better record than the worst team in the NL East and West. While the West has more teams above .500, it's best record would only be good for third in the central. By pretty much any measure the central is the best division top to bottom in the national league. Considering where it was predicted to be to start the season it's been a pretty amazing run top to bottom.
