brewcrewdue80
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2015 Draft Pick Discussion, Rounds 1-5
brewcrewdue80 replied to 1992casey's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
Wow. Best pitcher in this draft and they are saying future Closer, not Starter material. Yikes! -
2015 Perfect Game Draft Coverage
brewcrewdue80 replied to TheCrew07's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
Just my view, from the videos I watched. The throws in front of scouts, his arm strength/speed was higher. But accuracy I'd say 1in 8 maybe was on target with chance to get out. If he wants to be accurate it comes at the expense of velocity thrown to 2nd. The HS footage I seen my opinion on him being lazy was apparent. He had a few pitches in the dirt and his crouch never moved to block the ball.Only tried to catch it. I go more opinion on the game footage than the practice footage. Same thing with the bat. If I'm wrong so be it. I've said, amateur scouting view numerous times. But in that view, this is what I've seen. -
Pelfey's bizarre performance to date is the biggest reason the Twins are even above .500. They're 8-3 in the 11games he's started. 13-21 record combined with his pitching the previous 2 seasons. He has a 2.6WAR currently. He'd been worth -1WAR for the Twins previously. And that's what should be expected out of him. The team isn't ready to make deals. Buxton and Sano haven't even been called up. Pelfrey hasn't pitched over 153innings since 2011 and that finished at 4.74ERA. There's going to be regression from him and the rest of that staff just isn't up to the task at this time to be anything more than maybe average. The Brewers staff is a full level better than the Twins. They don't have a 1 or a 2. filled with 3s and 4s which Pelfrey honestly is, who's on an 11games start of being a #1. Twins will be lucky to finish at .500 and if they are smart they'll ride out the year w/o giving away any future talent in trades to give themselves a fake 1 year run. They've been bad long enough, they'd immediately turn themselves in to remaining bad.
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2015 Perfect Game Draft Coverage
brewcrewdue80 replied to TheCrew07's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
At least there's linked mention of Whitley to keep my hopes up. Betts isn't good to me. He'll be whiffville. Had lazy catcher about him. Stiff and trying to catch ball vs blocking ones in dirt. And his arm strength to 2b looked weak. Ponce, he's of concern for me to stick in rotation, but at least has some talent. Could turn out better than my thinking. Funkhauser just not a rotation guy and drafting a Bullpen guy who maybe makes it quicker is a waste when this team has a terrible outlook next 3years. -
2015 Brewers' 1st-Rd. Pick Speculation
brewcrewdue80 replied to brewcrewdue80's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
Funkhauser is my #31 of 35. RP material or #3 ceiling. With this drafts lack of talent. It is the absolute worst strategy to me to pick signability over BPA. Again 2016s draft is loaded, so if you miss on the signing, you get your pick next year. Allard or Whitley. Seriously if I had to grade Whitley it'd be 60hit, 65-70power, 60speed, 55arm, 55field, 60overall. Allard would be 60fb 55cb 50slider 50 changeup with room to improve on them -
This is how I see the suggested scouting of Ramirez/Segura. The Mets will trade Gee to Milw for Ramirez plus a million or 2. Gee's time with the Mets is over and his #4 SP in ability makes him about worth the soon to be retired Ramirez. Bad player for bad player. Gee has pitched 199innings previously in his career which would give Milw someone to count on to get through the season if/when Lohse and Garza are traded. Gee would also give the team the option to consider trading Fiers or Peralta and have a #4 SP to use in the rotation next year in the rebuild year. The Mets then use Matz who I've read whispers of being better than Syndergaard. Lets get creative and put this out there. Segura/Ramirez being scouted. Wright and now Murphy are down on DL. Flores isn't the SS defensively you'd hope. His 2b/3b reputation being true. So take Murphy/Gee but then also Nimmo or Conforto and Molina for Segura and Ramirez. Giving the Mets Flores at 2b, Segura at SS and Ramirez at 3b with Wright out. The swapping of salaries of Murphy+Gee equal Ramirez's. You score 2 promising Prospects for Segura.
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Trading partner: Houston Astros
brewcrewdue80 replied to LouisEly's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Correa has been called up. Yes the Astros are going to be for real. Altuve/Correa duo in a lineup will just be nuts! Astros just inserted a legit top of the order to bat ahead Altuve. Vs batting the SS they've been fielding 9th. A lot more runs are going to be scored by this team. -
2015 Brewers' 1st-Rd. Pick Speculation
brewcrewdue80 replied to brewcrewdue80's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
Hooper tweeted tonight that he is 100% on his commitment to UCLA, saying, "I can't wait to get down to Los Angeles." BCD, I'll bet you had a lot of fun putting all of that together, thanks for contributing your opinions! No,no no...you're breaking my Heart. I get it though for Hooper. He's my #3 draft pick and in BA's 5.0 mock...hmm wasn't even listed. They obviously found out he rightfully should be commanding top pay in money and he wasn't about to be drafted where that money will be there. Go to a College for a couple years and become Carlos Rodon top 3 pick the draft he goes to next. Still, Whitley, Allard, Nikorak aren't tied ahead of Milw pick and they are HR types to me. With Chalmers being just outside that HR opinion also being there. Lots to be excited about after my studying. Especially when mocks are leaving my top guys available. Now I even feel better I put Allard ahead of Hooper for best Pitcher prospect. -
2015 Draft Predictions Thread
brewcrewdue80 replied to SRB's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
Okay so with that said. Taking BA's 5.0 Mock their list as follows: 1:Tyler Stephenson..bye bye Catcher worries! 2:Dansby Swanson Legit SS pick 3:Tyler Jay Good he's my 2nd wave well below 15 4:Brendan Rodgers Another SS and in 2nd wave below 15 5:Daz Cameron Great pickup 6:Kyle Tucker Great Pick 7:Alex Bregman TY 3rd wave talent imo 8:Carson Fullmer Great Pick and again my choice for first to ML 9:Jon Harris Great Pick 10: Dillon Tate Great Pick 11: Andrew Benintendi Great Pick 12: Trenton Clark? Not even in my consideration Thanks for picking 13: James Kaprielian? Another not even in my consideration Thanks for picking 14: Ashe Russell In my 3rd wave. Wow, let my excitement build....OMG this would mean my top 4BPA are all available at Milw's pick. Whitley, Allard, Hooper, Nikorak. Can't wait for Milw's Pick! I truly hope any of these 4 become it. -
2015 Draft Predictions Thread
brewcrewdue80 replied to SRB's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
Alright sitting here I completely removed 15 players from the top 50 as considerations. If I had to predict the draft in my view this is my list in terms of Talent/BPA Garrett Whitley Kolby Allard Justin Hooper Mike Nikorak Dillon Tate Daz Cameron Andrew Benintendi Kyle Tucker Dansby Swanson I'd put Aiken here but thats on decent medicals. Carson Fulmer Dakota Chalmers Jon Harris Peter Lambert Tyler Stephenson Brendan Rodgers Nick Plummer Group of next wave of SPs/RP Phil Bickford Walker Buehler Tyler Jay Michael Matuella Demi Orimoloye Ian Happ Scott Kingery Alex Bregman Jalen Miller Ashe Russell Beau Burrows Donny Everett Cody Ponce Kyle Funkhouser Mitchell Hansen Austin Smith DJ Steward Nathan Kirby #15 would be Tyler Stephenson of course lol my non Catchers in 1st rd. I do have some serious excitement in the fact of some of the names mentioned early for signings means guys like my Wow Hooper/Allard/and Whitley one of them just may be there. Here's part of my thinking currently. MIFs. Look at baseball now and future prospects. It's filled with SS/2b. There's a major era of SSs going on that are 700OPS+ types but not really above 825. This tells me that I don't need to focus on drafting these types because the league is about to be overstocked with them and finding a 700-825OPS MIF just won't be hard. So why draft these MIF types. What's rare? Power. Corner OF Power. Whitley/Tucker/Plummer/Orimoloye/Cameron give that upside. I'll take that now over High contact SSs with little power upside. I'll certainly take TOR(top of rotation) over these same SS types. So thus my rankings. My HR draft choices would be to Aiken in this list. Below it to Orimoloye would be my 2nd wave of solid picks. Happ to Funkhouser would be okay but my excitement level isn't there unless they're had at value with 2nd/3rd picks if the above listed is all gone. The last 4 are 3rd picks or lower to be happy about. -
2015 Brewers' 1st-Rd. Pick Speculation
brewcrewdue80 replied to brewcrewdue80's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
5 Daz Cameron of Eagle’s Landing Christian Academy, McDonough Ga. Bat is good. Won't be around for Milw to pick certainly. 4 Alex Bregman ss Louisiana State La. Really? Talk about overhyping these MIF prospects. Scott Kingery looks every bit as good if not more upside with power. Why's he 40 and Bregman 4? 3 Dillon Tate rhp UC Santa Barbara Calif. Has a snappy high leg kick but fully under control through the pitch. Looks like a good slider thrown with confidence. FBs are 93-96. Solid and gone before Milw picks. 2 Dansby Swanson ss Vanderbilt Tenn. Fielding looks good. Bat shows more power than the other MIF solid contact hitters. So his ranking is at least deserved in upside. Gone before Milw picks. Not much lower kick but drives hips still to activate in unison with upper body in swing. I expect solid contact/AVG skills out of him due to his move. 1 Brendan Rodgers ss Lake Mary (Fla.) HS Fla. Not wow. I like Swanson more. But he looks solid in the bat stance/motion that I could see growth above the other MIFs not named Swanson. He'll be gone when Milw picks anyway. These guys are going to be gone before Milw picks on projection so I didn't put a lot of time in to going over them. I'd go Swanson, Cameron, Tate, Rodgers, and Bregman a distant last in ranking this 5. -
2015 Brewers' 1st-Rd. Pick Speculation
brewcrewdue80 replied to brewcrewdue80's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
I'm not sure what to think of Happ. I understand why some people like him, and I like the fact that he's a switch hitter and had a very good OBP this year (.492), walking 49 times in 250 PAs. He also struck out 49 times; not terrible, but it's not good to strike out once every five PA's in college. On top of that, I'm not real big on drafting corner OFs that high unless they are head/shoulders above anyone at a premium position. You can move guys to corner OF (Braun, Coulter) who don't make it at more premium positions. I don't know that he's head and shoulders above some of the pitchers or catchers that are projected to be there at #15. Exactly how I feel from what I seen. He's a 20s to competive balance pick in my opinion now. As I'm searching for video I seen some more Demi O video of recent. His stance that I picked on narrowed a little giving him more lower body sync with his top. He's still not Wow, but when I'd have ranked him below the Happ MIFs contact types, Id probably consider him equal to them now with more power potential or a higher upside. It's like someone told him what I was seeing in earlier videos and he slightly corrected it. Immediately hitting more line drives vs grounders/foul balls. -
2015 Brewers' 1st-Rd. Pick Speculation
brewcrewdue80 replied to brewcrewdue80's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
10 Trenton Clark of Richland HS, North Richland Hills Texas This is some sort of joke? Only way I can think he's ranked this high is he's .2secs faster than Billy Hamilton is to 1st base. Grips up on bat and swing looks like a pitcher to me who can make 30...maybe 40% more contact than them. God this is awful to have come to for #10rank on this list I'm going off of. Thank you to whatever team makes the mistake of drafting him You'll get your .550OPS speedster. 9 Andrew Benintendi of Arkansas Ark. Frustrating, I can't find any fielding video so no defense to look at. With the bat the swing is obviously there. He hit a HR from a swing where his knees touched the ground. Power impressive, patience to swing that way questioned? It showed a few times in his HS videos too to golf balls off his knees in motion in contact. Good thing for me is this bat is most likely gone before the Brewers pick so no worries on outlook for the Brewers. 8 Kyle Tucker of Plant HS, Tampa Fla. OF arm strength is there. Lower body a little narrow, takes a bigger step to get in to swing so timing could be slightly off. Has some pull tendencies. But also has obvious power when swing is timed up. at 18 I see an ability to make a minor adjustment and he would take off. Again, so little chance he's around for Milw to pick but he's a solid choice above 15. 7 Garrett Whitley of Niskayuna (N.Y.) HS N.Y. Wow factor alert. I'd say tops I've seen in bat speed...and power. This should be the #1 pick in the draft from what I've seen thus far. Why is this kid not getting the attention he deserves? 6 Carson Fulmer rhp Vanderbilt Tenn. Note 5'11"+ tall. He about hit every number 80-95 on radar in what I seen. So talk about changing speeds....or an inability to maintain top velocity because of some effort to his delivery. Works low in the Zone consistently. Good motion in delivery. Movement on breaking pitches isn't wow but adequate. This will be the Fast Track pick of this draft from what I see. -
2015 Brewers' 1st-Rd. Pick Speculation
brewcrewdue80 replied to brewcrewdue80's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
15 Tyler Stephenson c Kennesaw Mountain (Ga.) HS Ga. So little video to go on not good for a C with my thoughts on them. Has a wide base stance like Im not thrilled with, but he does produce a high leg kick with his swing to get lower body power included in his swing. Swing is quick/powerful on a great plane. Better than Betts certainly, and likely not even close. But that's it, video hard to find so incomplete ranking for a 1st rd pick. 14 Kyle Funkhouser rhp Louisville Ky. Doesn't do it for me. Goes in the line of RP over Rotation. And not TOR certainly which I want early. Long stride in delivery results in a body follow through towards 1b pretty hard. Certain control issues as balance is in question. 13 Tyler Jay lhp Illinois Ill. Certainly possesses a hammer curve. FB though not in best of lower zone location oddly. It's like his CB is a better pitch than his FB. Not wowed with FB to go with the CB. Put him behind Bickford as SP. 12 Walker Buehler rhp Vanderbilt Tenn. Fluid motion, clean delivery. There's good here. For whatever reason though it seems to come with the ball easily picked up by me. Maybe flat w/o downward plane? He'd fit in with Phil Bickford. Not an ace potential, in my estimation, but a 2 would be reasonable. Besides, Walker as a Pitcher name...hearing the cheers Let's go Walker...or Come on Walk! Counterintuitive no? 11 Nick Plummer of Brother Rice HS, Bloomfield Hills Mich. Getting towards top 10 so as a bat I was hoping some impressive. Has the stature/build at the plate. Needs some tinkering in timing lower body use. Swing was solid speed, with shows of power to come. The small amount of video of Stephenson I seen, I'd rank him above Plummer though. Not a wow here but enough I'd pick him above the Bickford/Bueller types. His arm was a little soft. The upside with the bat is intriguing because I could see him lock in with some serious power display if he got it right. He had patience at the plate to take pitches as well. -
2015 Brewers' 1st-Rd. Pick Speculation
brewcrewdue80 replied to brewcrewdue80's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
20 Cornelius Randolph ss Griffin (Ga.) HS Ga. Wide base stance, leads to funky lower body in swing. Swing has uppercut to it. I'd question his ability to hit for BA. Slower speed, scout reads as him being a 3b future over Middle infielder status. Not impressed overall he's a project that someone may hit on with improve swing mechanics finding a power hitter...or just draft a prospect that fails never getting consistent BA. Pass for me. 19 James Kapriellian rhp UCLA Calif. Unortodox lean in windup...hmm. Whoop. 89-91MPH FB. Next off my board. Shows how weak this draft must be if he's in the top 25. 18 Kolby Allard lhp San Clemente (Calif.) HS Calif. Here we go. This is a wow factor I've been looking for. Great movement in breaking pitches and FBs are located low in the zone. And he's young, not even 18. Height is listed at 6'. He has a small stature. There is very real potential to find more projecting if he grows an inch or 2. Whoever gets him in this draft will have a very decent pitcher on their hands. I'd consider ranking him above Hooper...in fact I just did. 17 Ashe Russell rhp Cathedral Catholic HS, Indianapolis Ind. Has a side armish follow through, but not a full on apparent side arm slot motion. Now I'm seeing game footage that follow through isn't apparent most of the time. That motion may give him some insane movement, but theres high concern on control. His misses are big. Not a 1st pick to me because screams project. Would be a good 2nd round pick depending on who's on the board. Yeah more video. Control is worrisome. He could be a HR pick TOR...or a Setup/closer type with poor control. 16 Mike Nikorak rhp Stroudsburg (Pa.) HS Pa. Breaking pitches are impressive. Has fluid movement in pitching motion. FB location was working up, not keeping as low like Allard did. Nikorak was almost hit 3 times on linedrives right back at him in the short video watching. Take your pick between Allard's FB location or Nikorak's breaking movement. Allard gives me a little more wow dreaming on 1-2inches growth and 25lbs filled in to his frame. -
2015 Brewers' 1st-Rd. Pick Speculation
brewcrewdue80 replied to brewcrewdue80's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
Last day to get these in Here we go! 25 Jon Harris rhp Missouri State Mo. Motion certainly like a Big Leaguer. Puts a lot of torque on his elbow in some pitches. Would fear injury concerns there/longevity. Video's seen weren't plenty for whatever reason, hard to get a feel of his stuff. I'd take Hooper first. Probably tie him with Chalmers at the moment but lack of video is part to blame. 24 Ian Happ of Cincinnati Ohio Info time. Switch Hitter. I like his swing from the Left Handed side more than the Right handed side. However the videos I watched he hit 2 HRs from the RH side. I'd question his power for corner OF. 2b sure. I'm coming away moderately less happy with him, I didn't know he was switch hitter. Lefty swing looks good for contact. Righty swing, I'm surprised at the power, because it doesn't look all that great. I see why he's in the 20s now. His batting stance lower body seems to change quite a bit, like he's always tweaking/messing with it indecisive? 23 Michael Matuella rhp Duke N.C. Understanding from an ACC video he's yet to eclipse 50IP in a season? Pitching motion is fluid/nice follow through. Plant foot a little inconsistent so maybe control issues? He's on my list but I'll drop him in the lower hopefuls because of the injury and IP max meaning he's going to take long to get to the Majors. 22 Brady Aiken lhp IMG Academy, Bradenton Fla. I loved this guy last season. We're talking Justin Hooper like. Can't rank him due to the UCL/TJ and health record sharing. He was 1st last season for a reason. The talent is there and he's a good pick based on that. 21 Donny Everett rhp Clarksville (Tenn.) HS Tenn. Reminds me of Tyler Jay. Extra Torque on his elbow/effort. His frame is about built already 220. So added projection would likely be minimal, especially with his effort. He looks good, I'd fear a regression to him working 91-93 as a Starter when his effort is reduced or fear the injury. I think reading this isn't rosey flowers for these guys, but they all are positive draftees just so you know. I don't see a bad pick in any of these 5, they have ML appearance to me. Nitpicking their worts. They all certainly fit in a grouping together so personal preference/money would be what separates them. I'd go Aiken, Jay, Everett, Matuella, Happ. Everett gets the ranking above Matuella because I prefer HS aged to College aged when staring at equal talent appearance. -
2015 International Signing Thread
brewcrewdue80 replied to TheCrew07's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
http://www.baseballamerica.com/international/2015-16-mlb-international-bonus-pools/ Lists the bonus pools for each team. Milwaukee would have $2,389,300 to work with originally. They can add up to 50% of that total before they begin inducing some sort of penalty. The problem is suddenly, the Yankees, Cubs, Rangers these teams don't care about the penalties and will go ahead and spend 12-25mil in the period roughly. If 2.4million is the max for Milw to throw at a top prospect like 3.1mil was for Lara. You're talking these High Market teams essentially buying 4-8 top 30 ranked prospects. So put 3-4 of those together in this signing period you're looking at 16-32 of the top ranked prospects going to those teams. Like the Yankees did last year, just cornering the entire market and leaving handful of scraps for the market's like Milwaukee to maybe nab one of. Going to just put this. Since I don't see Milw being tied to any of MLB's top 30. I'd plan on them using bonus slots in trade and trading them away this season maybe for improved prospects for a Lind/Lohse/Garza/Parra/KRod trade. You look at the bad season lying ahead and see that Dback/Rockies pretty much got 5mil to work with as worst/2nd worst. Let the Cubs/Rangers and such teams do their over signings take on the penalty and come next season with Milw having a top 3 money to pull from with what? 8-9 franchises limited to 300k maxes. Go get your Internationals in 2016 with a 7.5mil budget after slot trading. Prospects that were 2-5mil to sign with all the big markets out may fall to being 1.7-3.3mil top price. And we can snag 3 or 4 then. -
2015 Brewers' 1st-Rd. Pick Speculation
brewcrewdue80 replied to brewcrewdue80's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
30 DJ Stewart of Florida State Fla. Wide crouching stance. Has a serious bat speed ability. Swing is very solid through the zone. Listed as Corner OF. Won't be the worst pick in the world, but I doubt the upside for a Corner OF bat. 20HRs probably 30+doubles though. I'd rather wait on his selection than to do it early. 29 Kevin Newman ss Arizona Ariz. Here we go College aged SS. No Power future. Contact type hitter with wide stance. Pass for me. 28 Chris Betts c Wilson HS, Long Beach Calif. He's a Catcher so my feelings are either wow to be 1st rd or else 3rd round find. He appears to be 3rd find to me. I'm not enamored with his swing to begin with. Probably not on my board until 4th round or later. Arm strength isn't impressive to 2b either. upon further video. Complete Pass, not what I'd want to try drafting a team with at his Rank. 27 Phil Bickford rhp JC of Southern Nevada Nev. I've liked him overall. The FB velocity ups/downs is a small concern at College age. Give Hooper/Chalmers the nod over to this point but Bickford ahead of Lambert. 26 Nathan Kirby lhp Virginia Va. FB velocity concerns, may not be high enough for liking. Good looking curve. Lat injury doesn't help. Probably too much for me to consider until 3rd pick. He has the look of a SP but not TOR look/ability. Behind Bickford in ranking. Probaby even with Lambert -
2015 Brewers' 1st-Rd. Pick Speculation
brewcrewdue80 replied to brewcrewdue80's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
35 Jalen Miller ss Riverwood International Charter, Sandy Springs Ga. First thought. Jean Segura resemblance with the bat. Solid batting motion, I like. Not enough defensive video to rate for SS. I like him but my preference of DR/Cuban SS at 16 trumps him. He doesn't give me a wow factor to take as a SS prospect. Give me the 16yr old internationals to luckily produce with the same look as Miller. 34 Dakota Chalmers rhp North Forsyth HS, Cumming Ga. Surprised he's 6'3" looks shorter. Lean frame at the moment so talking projectability upside. Has a variety of pitches to his aresenal to craft already. Like him a lot in upside to be TOR. I'd rank just below Hooper ahead of Lambert. 33 Beau Burrows rhp Weatherford (Texas) HS Texas Flamethrower certainly. But not really seeing anything else to go with it positively. Rank him below Hooper/Chalmers/Lambert. Right with Ponce at a RP future. 32 Alex Young lhp Texas Christian Texas Watching, not enthused for a Lefty. He wouldn't be on my board over the other pitchers I've got going to this point. 31 Richie Martin ss Florida Fla. Can you predict what I'm about to say? College aged SS. Wide based stance, no power wow factor. He's certainly off my board pass! -
2015 Brewers' 1st-Rd. Pick Speculation
brewcrewdue80 replied to brewcrewdue80's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
40 Scott Kingery 2b Arizona Ariz. Looks like a Gamer. Definitely see a ML 2b future to him. This is the type of player I think if Hansen moved to 2b would likely become. Kingery's rear leg in his stance, is exactly the difference I'd try changing Demi O's to. For 2b, Kingery's power is sufficient, looks very confident in his fielding ability. Just overall like I said a gamer and for a 2b I'd be happy with that. Not high upside here, high floor we're talking. Safe pick couldn't argue against after first 2. 39 Justin Hooper lhp De La Salle HS, Concord, Calif. Calif. What? 6'7" HS kid with mid to Upper 90s FB? Like his delivery motion, looks fluid. You likely always wonder on control at his height. But for a HS SP with that velocity on his frame? Should be a top 15 ranking from what I've seen thus far. Steal of the draft at this ranking. Yes. Yes. Please! Serious upside here. 38 Kyle Holder ss San Diego Calif. Wide Base in stance as my hate on Tyrone Taylor's. Swinger for contact, not power. College age ML SS prospect...Pass give me the DR/Cuban 16yr olds as a draft pick to fill SS. Ridiculous that this guy is ranked ahead of Hooper from this list. Sorry Talking 6th-10th round College signing talent for hopefully some other team and not Milw. 37 Jacob Nix rhp IMG Academy, Bradenton Fla. Has a big looking filled build. Wouldnt expect much more than what he has now. Seems mostly a FB type pitcher, didn't see much movement in pitches to think wow he should be ranked ahead of Hooper or Lambert for that matter. I'd pass, seems to me lower ceiling solid floor and not what I'd want in top 3 picks. 36 Cody Ponce rhp Cal Poly Pomona Calif. Said this before. I worry about control with his pitching motion. Predict more of a swingman to RP based on that vs TOR. Like Lambert/Hooper more than Ponce. Ponce won't be a bad pick, looks ML probability. But I'd have to wonder how high his ceiling is. 3rd pick would be fine not top 2. College Pitcher, filled out frame. I don't see the future improving with him. high floor/low ceiling. But ML probability again compared to a bunch of these others at this point. -
2015 Brewers' 1st-Rd. Pick Speculation
brewcrewdue80 replied to brewcrewdue80's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
Okay let me continue my amateur eye again of top 50....gotta get to work! 45 Chris Shaw OF/1b Boston College Big Slugger. Doesn't profile the greatest as an OF defensively due to that. He suffered a broken Hamate bone so that's a negative. And I'm not a huge fan of his swing. Looks impatient, pull hitting type. I don't think the bat speed is there to accomodate hitting to the other fields watching him swing, and he's making up for that by swinging early. I'd fully pass on him as a pick anywhere. 44 David Hill rhp San Diego Calif. Nope. Don't see it. Works out of control in games, would need to slow himself down. Arm slot is wider pitches are easy to pick up. Not sure why he's in top 50...bad sign personally so far for this draft in my opinion as so far I'd only consider 2 of the first 7 looked at. 43 Mitchell Hansen of Plano Senior (Texas) HS Texas Arm strength? looks soft. Solid swing motion. but not much in way of power in it. Would be a gap hitter my guess. I'd draft him at the right value. Probably turn in to a solid 4th OF or maybe turn him in to 2nd base project? top 50? Not sure. 3rd round type to me. Seeing more video of his OF arm, without the power I don't like his OF potential at all. Strictly 2b stuff which would be a learning curve for him. 42 Eric Jenkins of West Columbus HS, Cerro Gordo N.C. Uumph! Give me Hansen's Swing and Jenkins athletism/speed/arm in the OF and we'd be talking about a prospect. No bat with Jenkins. Long term project complete Pass. 41 Demi Orimoloye of St. Matthew HS, Here's been a popular pick from others. Man, has the ML build appearance already so I get it. Arm looks sound in OF. The Bat. I wish I loved it from what I seen. There's just something wrong with his stance in his rear foot, that is sapping him of lower body. It sits too wide. Get it more underneath him in the stance and show me the video of how he's hitting then, and I may be on board here with him. But can you adjust a kid like that telling him so? The swing winds up too upper body/arms and gives off weaker contact due to this. I was excited to look at vids of him based on the chatter but he's not a top 2 pick of the Brewers to me imo. I'd take Lambert over him at this time. -
2015 Brewers' 1st-Rd. Pick Speculation
brewcrewdue80 replied to brewcrewdue80's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
I just get the feeling the the "Experts" don't give much thought in to what Milwaukee does, they're going to grade the prospects poorly regardless. Because of the 2011 draft and Bradley/Jungmann along with Coulter/Roache then the Lohse signing. Just throw them any college player that has Worts. Latch on to whatever prospects they truly dislike and say Milwaukee will pick them. Were any of those players around for Milw to draft? Pentecost, Hoffman, Nola were gone. Beede/Newcombe were there but predraft it looks as if Control was below average for both. Finnegan has been the rushed as RP to Majors for KC story last year. Did Milw need a RP for a draft pick? I almost think they just throw darts at a board amongst their predraft ranks and say that guy. Next franchise to mock, that really matters. -
Wow, so ventured to Fangraphs to see if there were some sign of velocity loss going on with Lohse. His numbers are pretty even with where they've been the last 2+seasons. Then, not only that, but his out of zone/in the zone % are actually slightly better than the last 2 years. Yet we stare at a pitcher that appears washed up. According to them, his Sinker pitch rates over -7runs on the season. FB which has always been a negative, up there too. So go figure it out why he's far worse than he's been? HRs I guess is the biggest reason. It's just sad both he and Garza are performing terrible in times that the team should be looking to trade them. It's like I wondered, is this almost happening on purpose? 5IP no runs today. 5ER including 3run HR as I read it on an 0-2 count..what just groove a FB high in the middle for Mauer? Cant put together a 6-7IP 0-1ER start, no way, not until after the deadline watch. Then Lohse/Garza will magically be +2 wins each from that point on, taking Milw from a certain top 3 draft pick to likely 11th again because of ties.
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The excitement Joey Gallo brings
brewcrewdue80 replied to The stache's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Then you're concerned like me as his BBs aren't any higher compared to last season either. Literally it's almost identical numbers save for 7 more balls hit falling for base hits. He's looking like a .215/.280/.400 hitter as ceiling at the ML level. He's still gotta get to AA, AAA where the pitching will even be better than A+ so I may be overestimating his triple slash lines. This isn't even considering this thread is to talk about Gallo and him batting something like .230 because of a 40% Ks. Roache is nowhere near Gallo's level except at Ks. Probably a .165 hitter at the ML level honestly. Worse than Maldonado with the bat. -
The excitement Joey Gallo brings
brewcrewdue80 replied to The stache's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Yeah his numbers are nice, til you get to the Ks. 81ks in 227PAs. 35.7% This is his 2nd go around at A+ level. Last year he had 138k in 481PAs. 28.7% rate. That's scary. He's old for the level he's in, and he's striking out more his 2nd go round than the first. There's just WAY to much BABIP luck likely happening. He's not quite halfway in PAs as his total last season, but 13.5PAs away. total power goes 10 vs 17doubles, 2 vs 2 triples and 9 vs 18HRs. Considering 46pts higher in Avg. that's not really showing me any kind of improvement in power numbers from the year before. And with the K% even higher, he would actually look to have regressed more than progressed. He has 2.5 more doubles pace and 1 triple more vs the same pace he did last season. So I'm fully in his BABIP must be 100pts higher than last based on what's hes done thusfar vs last year's total. I have very little hopes he'll ever make it to the MLs. Sadly.

