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Cool Hand Lucroy

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Everything posted by Cool Hand Lucroy

  1. I've been thinking a lot about the next 2-3 years of Brewers baseball. I'll save most of those thoughts until after the season officially ends, but the upshot is twofold: 1) I'm optimistic and 2) Freddy is going to be the anchor of this staff through his age 30 season in 2026. We all remember Mother's Day. Today would be a good time for a postseason version of that (maybe with only 9 or 10 Ks and 3-5 extra outs). One of these days, someone's going to lose Game 1 and go on to win the WC series. Why not us?
  2. I mean...no team ever has WS-winning odds much higher than like 12 percent, so, by definition, it is kind of unreasonable to "expect" to win a World Series. I'm not saying you shouldn't. I just think that expectation means you're going to be pretty miserable watching a lot of October baseball (which is the best baseball). My college basketball analogy is: The Brewers winning the division is not all that different than an A10 school making the Sweet 16. It's something worth celebrating regardless of what happens next.
  3. I get the frustration. Of course I feel it too. But the season didn't end tonight. I'm going to enjoy the heck out of one more baseball game, win or lose, and feel good about a season where we won the damn division. Everyone can engage with baseball how they want. But the nature of the sport and the nature of being a small-market fan make basing a season's worth of results on a three-game series a losing proposition for me. I guess, at the end of the day, I just watch baseball for more than just the possibility of a World Series. That's there, sure. It hurts when it's no longer possible in a given year. But it always feels like a bonus more than anything. Again, maybe that makes me weird. I accept. I just have more fun being weird, personally speaking, than I have being anything else. Nyjer Morgan's throwing out the first pitch tomorrow. I'll be wearing my Gomez shirsey and trying to manifest at least one more homefield elimination game.
  4. True. But a statistical reality requires a large sample. It's not great at predicting the outcome in a single event. The Brewers will be, probably, something like 60-40 underdogs tomorrow. In a one-game sample, no result is all that much more or less likely.
  5. Fans should think that, sure. But if the players are going in afraid of facing good pitchers, this series is over before it starts anyway.
  6. Yeah. Things change so, so fast in October. Win one game. That's it. You win tomorrow, and you know everyone who roots for the DBacks is thinking how they're in deep trouble and should've finished them off and c. And even if we somehow miraculously win this game, tomorrow is as important. I know everyone says Game 1 is the most important, but, you know what? I think Games 1 and 2 are the same important. And if there's a Game 3, that's the most important ;)
  7. I'm disappointed in Burnes, but credit to the DBacks too. The bigger thing for me is just how much you need to take advantage of every opportunity to score in the playoff, especially early. We had the starter out after less than 3 innings. We had 3 runs. We had every chance to add on and just couldn't do it. Donaldson had a productive night, but he was a WPA albatross. Our run expectancy must have been like 7 or 8 tonight.
  8. I don't if I even want to think about it, but the DBacks have blown some massive scoring chances tonight too. I really, really thought it was going to take more than 4 runs to win this game. Neither team has really been great at capitalizing, and both have run into multiple outs.
  9. I am zero percent bothered by displays of emotion after getting a big K.
  10. I mean, needing Jesse Winker to deliver in a game like this says all you need to know about the Brewers offense. I wouldn't trade these last 6 seasons for anything. I wouldn't do anything different. But you do start to run up against the limits of a "run prevention" roster strategy. Now, some of that is just the result of Yelich not being the best player in the world too. There'll be plenty of time for more post-mortem should this end badly over the next day or two. But that's my early take. At some point, you a true number 3/4 hitter.
  11. At this point, I think you throw Peralta tomorrow even you manage to come back and win this one. Just need a guy to go out and give you 6 or 7 innings with 2 runs or fewer.
  12. Considering it's the Cubs full-time TV announcers and a big-time former Cub...
  13. Thank goodness. I have never understood the standard NY uses for overturning calls. Sometimes it's really, really high. Other times it's more like "more likely than not." It's about as bad as VAR in soccer most of the time.
  14. I think the glove is on his leg when he catches the ball.
  15. I guess the consolation is that Yelich probably should have K'd anyway?
  16. I mean, no choice but just keep hammering away. Keep them at 4 for 10 outs, and see where you are then. At this point, I am immune to pain. I mean that seriously. This team has reached the stage where it can't hurt me. That last half-inning did it. I should send it a thank you note.
  17. I mean, I don't see how you definitely see the ball not hitting him. Plus, we are owed 2019 Wild Card HBP karma. Boo.
  18. I mean....we need one run. Against a bullpen that's been really good lately but really average most of the year. I have faith in an offense that deserves none of it. But hope springs attorney.
  19. You all remember that first inning in Game 1 in 2021? First and third, no outs, Burnes gets a great defensive double play and cruises.
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