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Cool Hand Lucroy
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Everything posted by Cool Hand Lucroy
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That's cool. I just think it's rare rather than "special." And I think it's rare because wins are about the least important indicator of a pitcher's ability. I am also not big on round-number bias. The difference between 199 wins and 200 is psychological. -
Either way, Helsley likely won't be available tomorrow. Pitched yesterday. Four outs today. Thin bullpen, that helps. Far as this series goes, just get 2 wins and move on.
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I hate the Cardinals. But the fact is, right now, the Brewers are a better organization. And in better long-term position. I refuse to get worked up about Wainwright achieving a "milestone" that is meaningless in the current context of baseball. It actually says a lot about the Cardinals (or maybe just what a total joke their season has been) that anyone cares about a guy getting 200 career wins. Of course, it sure would be nice if we could look at all respectable offensively.
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The way this team is built, long winning streaks are hard. They really only win one kind of game: a close one (it's a long season, always exceptions, etc., but winning 3-1 is a big part of the philosophy). That means you're often relying on guys like Viera to pitch two very high leverage innings to win your fourth game in a row. And Viera was very good! But lack of situational hitting and some bad luck turn it into an L. It happens. The Crew has put itself in an incredible position with two weeks left. Get 4 wins this week, and you're looking at a great chance you can rest people the next.
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I agree, though I also think that's fine. He's at 1.6 bWAR, and, while that's not where anyone wants him long-term, it's been enough for the Crew this year. I'm more concerned about Weimer, as I know others are. Frelick looks the guy most likely to succeed from a prospect standpoint, but things change quickly in this game.
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Agree completely. I think it's reasonably likely the division is still up-for-grabs going into that last series, but both teams have playoff berths sewn up. In that scenario, I would be more concerned with setting my rotation than winning homefield advantage. For me, the bottom line is the season is going to come down to a three-game series. I mean, it might be a three-game series against the Marlins (half-blue), but it will be a three-game series where the Brewers need to win 2 of 3. Depending on the scenario, I'd almost rather be on the road, especially if we end up playing the Cubs. And I'd rather play Chicago/Cincy/Philly than Arizona in round one. I'm terrified of the D-Backs when they throw out their good pitchers. My optimistic take is this: One of the Cubs/Dbacks are going to take on losses over the next 4 days. If the Brewers can play well in NY, they'll be very close to clinching a playoff spot. At that point, you really just have to take care of business against the Marlins. And making the playoffs has really been my goal all season long. Winning the division would be a nice bonus and a bit of a comfort should we drop that first-round series, but being there matters more than anything, especially with the pitching (starters and bullpen) we can throw out in a short series.
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Frustrating game. The Yelich double play really hurt. As far as the race goes, there are 7 teams playing for four roughly equal spots. And the Brewers have the best record of those 7 teams right now. That will still be the case regardless of tonight. I'm not worried. I don't think this team is good enough, but they have really maximized their talent and outplayed their underlying metrics, and they're in a great spot.
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I have zero problem with Miley starting the 7th. Bullpen has had pretty heavy usage this series, Miley had been effective, I think CC was committed to staying away from Devin anyway, so these last 3 innings were always going to be difficult. Maybe the offense saves them, but taking 2 of 3 against Philly while the Reds and Cubs split is just fine.
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It's September, and the Brewers are playing meaningful baseball. Love it. Aside from helping the Brewers, the Reds really really needed that for themselves. Hopefully they can get another 1 these next two days.
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The Cubs have a really tough schedule the next couple of weeks. The Brewers will have an easier slate after this weekend. Famous last words of course, but you know what I mean. And I know winning the division matters and a whole lot of local fans want that home postseason series, but, from a competitive standpoint, it doesn't matter all that much to me. Honestly, I'd rather play @Philly than home against the Cubs for a host of reasons, which means staying in Wild Card position matters a lot.
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Yup. Wrong side of the wind and a pitcher's duel. Still got Woody tomorrow.
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Joey just missed one. Now the real game starts. See if Burnes can get through 7+ while the Cubs have to grind for every out. Ross letting Steele go even after the Monasterio hit shows you how desperate the Cubs are. Be real sweet to steal this one, though it's mich less high stakes for the Crew after last night.
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Ross is going to let Steele throw 115 pitches I bet.
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Genius CC positioning and Monasterio grit, lol.
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Some bad ABs and some bad breaks. Cubs bullpen going to have to get at least 9 outs, probably more like 12. That's been a recipe for success for the Crew this year. Turang is a special defender. Special.
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Yeah, baseball odds seem to me to be heavily weighted toward the home field team. Cubs bullpen might be in slightly better shape too, I'd say, though it is a worse bullpen. Plus, the Cubs have the kind of underlying numbers that odds makers need to consider. Seems like an even series to me!
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I had today as a loss. Long way to go yet, but, if results hold, Brewers will have gained a game on the Cubs while the Cubs played the Royals, Tigers, and Pirates, and the Brewers played the Rangers, Twins, and Padres. That's acceptable.
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Never gonna complain about a 6-3 road trip, especially when it includes two really, really good teams.
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I think the Cubs are better than the Reds. Fangraphs has them almost 5 times more likely to win the division than the Reds, so I'm with the general consensus on this one. The Cubs big weakness to me seems to be depth and bullpen. I don't know what a rib cartilage fracture is, but it doesn't sound like something Stroman is going to recover from very quickly, especially factoring in a need to ramp up. That injury along might give the Brewers the edge. I'd put Burnes-Woodruff-Peralta-Miley-Houser up against Steele-Hendricks-Taillon-Smyly-? and feel like the Crew should win 3 out of those 5. If the Brewers can stick around a 2-3 game lead heading into September, I'll feel pretty good. I think we have the best overall team in the division (despite glaring offensive weaknesses). My one concern about the Reds is that they're going to have some soft landing spots the last couple of weeks of September. Hoping the brutal stretch they're in piles up a bunch of Ls.
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Other results going our way. IF the Brewers can finish this off, they will have gone 8-5 in this 13 game stretch against below .500 competition. That's about the minimum they needed, I think. The good news is, the Giants, Marlins, and Dbacks have struggled lately, so there's a little playoff cushion right now.
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Hit it hard anyway.
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Caratini will come through. Mr. Extra Innings.
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9 pitches, off day tomorrow...I would sure be tempted to let Devin face at least 1 hitter in the inevitable 10th
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The frustrating part is the Brewers just played 9 games against very bad teams. Going 6-3 would have given them a pretty comfy 3-4 game lead. They went 4-5.
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3 walks and a bunt and 0 outs recorded. Not the half inning you want.
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