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KeithStone53151

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Everything posted by KeithStone53151

  1. KeithStone53151
    I added the "possibilities" before we were more or less guaranteed to win the division. For a wildcard including him was possible as usually you only have like 7-8 pitchers at most. For NLDS and beyond at this point there's no chance for him.
  2. KeithStone53151
    Guys unavailable probably includes Strickland, Topa, Cousins, Suter, maybe Hader. I would hope Cousins is given tomorrow off as well considering back to back 30 pitch outings. Topa I just doubt they'd use back to back if it can be avoided. My guess is the goal is Lauer for 4-5, Milner or callup for 2-3, and if we're winning a close game maybe we roll out Box/Williams/Hader for the last 2-3 innings. Also it's certainly possible Ashby follows Lauer and they try to get the whole game done with those 2 guys with maybe Hader closing out a save situation. Will certainly be interesting to see how the pitching side is handled.
  3. KeithStone53151
    Putting him on the IL allows them to bring up a fresh arm today if they choose. Considering the bullpen game yesterday, that might be worth considering. If there's a fair chance he needs to miss a start, IL now may make sense. As for today, I'm expecting Lauer to only go 4-5 innings with a piggyback behind him. Maybe Ashby, maybe someone else. Might depend on game situation.
  4. KeithStone53151
    I'm not so sure Urias should/will be on the bench much in a playoff series. He's been one of our best hitters since the all star break. He's been equally as good as Tellez and significantly better than Escobar. He's also the best defender of the 3. I think Urias is getting significantly overlooked and frankly is a better option in the starting lineup against both RH and LH hitters than both Escobar and Tellez.
  5. KeithStone53151
    I updated the title to NLDS, I tend to agree going series by series makes the most sense. I was looking at the braves roster, they have 1 lh and 3 rh starting pitchers that are likely to start playoff games. However, they will probably have 3 lh relievers on their roster including their closer. I'm not sure vogel makes sense in the roster. We'll have Peterson and potentially tellez available as a ph against a rh reliever(jbj as well but yeah), against a lh reliever we'd have Taylor if he's healthy, maybe urias, maybe cain, and Pina who you don't really want to use. I think Reyes with his speed, flexibility, and rh bat are a better option for that specific series. Add Ashby and maybe Strickland or Anderson to the 10 I have as locks and that's probably about the right team
  6. KeithStone53151
    With the Dodgers closing in on the Giants quickly, I'm starting to wonder if we are better off with the 1 seed as if the Dodgers win their division we avoid them in the NLDS whether we are 1 or 2 seed. Would it be theoretically better to play the Braves or the Giants/Padres/Reds? With the Braves playing well, I think whoever of those 3 is probably a better pick. Especially considering all 3 would be firing off their best pitcher/pitchers in the wildcard and we would miss at least one key guy for the first 2 games of the NLDS. I think most would agree the clear 2 best rosters in the NL are the Brewers and Dodgers. Dodgers have the positional edge, but the Brewers probably have the pitching edge even if Kershaw/Gonsolin get back to full strength(does any team in baseball have the pitching edge against us?). I would like to think we will inevitably meet in the NLCS.
  7. KeithStone53151
    I'm hoping this doesn't derail the thread, but this article from yesterday has a ton of information about Bauer, the process, and when he might potentially come back. The article really focuses on the baseball-related implications should X happen or should Y happen. Spoiler, this article seems to think he has 0 chance of pitching this year and a fairly low chance of ever pitching again in MLB. So as far as facing the Dodgers is concerned, I would recommend not considering him part of their team at this point. https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/32119416/will-trevor-bauer-ever-pitch-again-next-los-angeles-dodgers-mlb
  8. KeithStone53151
    How gnarly would it be if we had a Burnes vs Buehler playoff matchup? I wonder if that would potentially weigh in at all...
  9. KeithStone53151
    This is a really good point and the reason why I think they don’t ever spend a lot of money on pitching in the offseason. They feel like they can get guys cheap, get them in that lab down in Arizona and turn them into legitimate pitchers. Just look at Hunter Strickland and the turnaround he’s made. Right agreed. Said guys do have to have the arm talent obviously, Those 2 pitches Burnes primarily threw were electric...it's just that's all he had. Strickland also had a ton of arm talent, he's a bit older but they certainly saw enough to make adjustments and get him to be effective. The Brewers do seem to be above average at identifying/developing pitchers...especially relievers.
  10. KeithStone53151
    5 plus pitches might be a slight exaggeration, I'm not so sure all 5 are plus. That said, Burnes was more or less a FB/SL pitcher as recently as 2019. Occasionally he'd fling up a curve but mostly it was those 2. To go from a 2 pitch launching pad to a legit 5 pitch juggernaut in one offseason is literally insane. Insane credit to both his work ethic and the Brewers for providing the tools/coaching to transform himself so quickly.
  11. KeithStone53151
    I think DJ is making the point that there's a 3 game window in which lopes may have some value as an insurance policy on the bench. I don't think anyone thinks Lopes make a postseason roster barring significant injury.
  12. KeithStone53151
    Currently 80-52, 30 left. Need to go 17-13 to hit 97. 20-10 to hit 100 wins. 98 wins feels like the most likely outcome.
  13. KeithStone53151
    I would generally agree with this. Escobar is due back this weekend, I think the Brewers will try to manage with Urias/Adames/Wong/Reyes/Peterson at the 3 non-1b infield spots until he's back. Lopes doesn't serve a purpose at this point barring multiple additional injuries...knocking on wood.
  14. KeithStone53151
    As for callups, I'll agree with most other posters I think Vogelbach and an arm...probably Gustave or Topa.
  15. KeithStone53151
    Absolutely. They will likely use a combination of starters for short 3-5 inning type outings in September and October similar to how they used their late season arms in 2018. Agreed. I'm expecting Houser/Lauer/Ashby...maybe Anderson to be these types of weapons in October. The biggest difference of course will be Burnes/Peralta/Woodruff are better than Chacin/Miley/whatever as the actual starters from 2018/2019. We'll need this group for game 4 and then as a contingency if one of the big 3 doesn't have it on a given day. As far as September, we'll want the 7 starters so we can give rest on a schedule that I'm sure has been mapped out by the front office for these guys. CC specifically noted there's a plan to keep these guys healthy and going into October.
  16. KeithStone53151
    I honestly struggle with fans that boo your own players in general. There's literally zero chance of that being beneficial in any way. The booing will either have zero impact or a player will play worse. Literally zero chance of benefit, so why do it? This shows the players clearly don't care for it and it isn't helping anything. Supporting your players through their downswings is far better, any fan with any amount of common sense should know better and be better. I'll boo guys like Bauer and Ozuna if for whatever reason the brewers sign them, but never for struggling on the field
  17. KeithStone53151
    I honestly don't take much issue with the thumbs down thing. Imagine going through a rough patch at that plate and some drunk losers booing you while it happens. Sure it's their right, but I just don't take issue with a player firing back in their own way. As far as the fans, I can't imagine Mets fans being much different than Yankees fans that were pouring beer on opposing teams managers family and all the pitchers in the astros bullpen. That fan base has certainly earned far more disrespect than a thumbs down gesture As another user noted, this whole thing will certainly hurt baez marketability and that's the consequence to him. Maybe he doesn't care.
  18. KeithStone53151
    Excellent by suter, got 3 outs in like 5 pitches. With the rain coming, timeliness is fairly important
  19. KeithStone53151
    I honestly don't care what tellez said. I don't care if he flat out said he blew the call. In what other sport do guys get ejected from games so often? At least 95 percent of ejections should not happen. If someone thinks you screwed up a call, well you probably did, tell him to go to the bench and move on. Stop ejecting players
  20. KeithStone53151
    I've beaten that drum to death on these forums. Stop ejecting players in almost all cases. It's just so stupid. I will say, that low slider strike was pretty close. Not a strike, but not as egregious miss. But tellez barely did anything. These umpires are literally some of the softest human beings walking the planet.
  21. KeithStone53151
    Let me guess, another example of an umpire screwing up, getting his feelings hurt like he has the psyche of a toddler, and ejecting our player?
  22. KeithStone53151
    One of Reyes/Wong need to get on base for when Narvaez hits a HR so it can be a 1 run game...
  23. KeithStone53151
    Sadly, his best contributions are the games that he does not touch a bat... Even when that means he is on the bench. If you completely eliminate the whole "bat" part of the game, JBJ is one of the best players in baseball. It's just the "bat" thing is kinda critical, and he's so bad at it.
  24. KeithStone53151
    Piggybacking your JBJ post, if one were to assume JBJ exercises his 2022 option but the mutual 2023 option is declined, yearly payouts would be as follows. 2021 - 3 mil 2022 - 3.666 mil 2023 - 3.167 mil 2024 - 7.167 mil 2025 - 7 mil
  25. KeithStone53151
    Have you looked at the Reds bullpen? The two pitchers with the most innings out the pen were both let go this week: Heath Hembree (42 innings, 8 saves) went to NYM on a waiver claim on 8/20. Sean Doolittle (38.1 innings) DFA'd on 8/24. The remaining parts aren't any better. Amir Garrett (35.1 innings, 5.49 FIP and 1.72 WHIP) Tejay Antone (33.2 innings back to the DL with a shoulder injury) Tony Santillan (26.1 innings, 5.10 FIP and 1.67 WHIP) Justin Wilson (8 innings, 4.67 FIP) Lucas Sims, Michael Lorenzen, Mychal Givens and Luis Cessa are serviceable but not much more than that. The Brewers in this series have scored 7 runs in 4 innings against the Reds bullpen. Cincinnati may win slugfests with teams but they aren't going to win too many regardless of opponent where they have to rely on their bullpen. Certainly not unfair, the bullpen is pretty ugly. That said, there's a pretty strong chance they'll pound out 7+ runs most games against the teams they are facing. Every time I notice a Pirates starting pitcher, they seem to have an ERA in the upper 5s or worse. We can certainly revisit in a couple weeks and see if i was right or not...
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