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KeithStone53151

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Everything posted by KeithStone53151

  1. If I was a player, I would always take this type of deal. You're playing a game for a living, and $15 million guaranteed is set for life money for you and your family. You never know when you'll get hurt, or if you won't pan out. There are a lot of scenarios where we don't get $15 million in value, there are also a couple scenarios where we get $100 million in value.
  2. Freddy was to be a free agent after the 2024 season. So the 5 year portion only buys out his team control. The 2 option years would buy out 2 years of free agency for only $7.5 million or so each. If Freddy turns into a stud, this would be highway robbery.
  3. Absolutely love it. Rosenthal posted a follow up with exact numbers, it's within $1 million of the numbers above.
  4. I'm guessing he got to start at 2 IP because he's still warmed up from winter ball, which is also why they made sure to get the other guys in earlier and let him wait an extra couple days for his debut. I think pitch count is involved here as well. I didn't watch the game, but sounded like he was very effective and efficient. Maybe through an inning he was only at 8 or 9 pitches and they wanted him to get closer to 20.
  5. That is very surprising. Maybe you got lucky and people simply didn't rate the Yount auto session highly last year. I personally never pick the auto sessions fwiw. You'd think that if certain SSH picked a reward one year, maybe they don't let them have the same reward the following year and let someone else get the BP on the field. Or maybe have a few more days of it so more people can get that reward. I guarantee you that the full season or 40 pack holders(or possibly the 20 pack holder for 30 straight years) pick the BP or family day every year and they just go by seniority...so us peons in the 20 pack section don't have a chance. Maybe some day they'll use some common sense(or start actually caring) and give everyone else a chance.
  6. Right on. I have no problem with giving guys a clear inside track on rotation spots, but to announce "locks" just seems crazy considering the arms we have behind them. The only person who should be "locked" into a spot at this point is Woodruff, factoring in stuff and results. Everyone else should have to earn it, or be susceptible to Burnes/Peralta potentially taking their spot with a dominant spring.
  7. I got the slide and movie night. I know the slide was way down in my list, movie night was probably pretty high though. I've had my 20 pack for around 10 years now, I don't mean to be intentionally discouraging but it's probably get unlikely we as 20 pack holders can get the premium rewards. I will add about 4 years ago, I considered not renewing and was eventually offered BP at Miller Park to renew. This was before they offered the blue and silver caliber rewards. So if you really want that one, maybe try threatening not to renew
  8. 1. Turang 2. Lutz 3. Small 4. Kelly 5. C Rodriguez 6. Rasmussen 7. Ashby 8. E Garcia 9. Feliciano 10. H Perez 11. Segovia 12. Ray 13. Supak 14. Z Brown 15. Bennett 16. Webb 17. Bello 18. D Williams 19. Medina 20. Erceg 21. Andrews 22. Jarvis 23. Nottingham 24. Bickford 25. Gray 26. Lemons 27. Henry 28. Ernesto
  9. TJ recommended for Severino.
  10. He'd probably do better than Brett Anderson... Ok, that's my last one until the regular season.....
  11. That's pretty typical of spring, starters build up a pitch count on a strict schedule. Often stars don't play the first week or even longer. Don't be surprised if Braun doesn't get a single AB this week. He's said that he'd manage just fine with 5-10 AB total in ST, and being a 10+ year vet he's kinda earned the right to determine how many atbats he needs. Yelich is coming off injury, so it wouldn't be too surprising if he didn't get any AB for a bit yet as well. Also as for ST stats, obviously take with a huge grain of salt. Often early on, pitchers will be working on one particular pitch on a given day and literally don't care about results. Sometimes it takes 3-4 outings before guys will use their full arsenal of stuff in games. It matters far more how these guys look on March 15th than it does February 24th.
  12. For the type of role Gamel is filling, he's much better suited for it than a young player with minimal mlb experience. Especially considering he has experience from last year filling a very similar role and was very good at it. But let's be real, nobody is going to come barreling down the door to offer us a ton in trade for Gamel. Puig and Melky Cabrera are available for $ only, and there are plenty of other guys currently on minor league deals that will probably shuffle around toward the mid/end of March. And from what I've heard, Gamel is an incredibly hard worker and great in the clubhouse. He's the total package of what you're looking for in a 4th/5th OF and far more valuable to us than what another team might offer for him.
  13. For next season, it sounds like they are going to have an independent "security" type person in each clubhouse/dugout to report on any potential violations. MLB did have an employee in each clubhouse/dugout in the 2019 season, but after this surfaced it seems they will be going the independent route. How funny would it be if they treated this like boxing/ufc...where guys get frisked for weapons and such and have their gloves checked before being allowed to enter the ring? I also wonder if this will impact how quickly pitchers pitch...maybe we'll see more Suter tactics to not allow time to relay a sign.
  14. I always wonder if you simply forget to put stuff like this in blue...
  15. Ben Gamel will find his way into baseball games. We do so much double switching and this rotation seems all but certain to have a lot of 5 inning starts. There will be plenty of defensive replacement, pinch hitting, double switch, fill in for injury situations...Gamel will get plenty of opportunity to help this team win.
  16. He won't get that chance. Anytime you can lock a guy into your rotation that throws 88 mph and has all below average MLB offerings at best...you have to do. So instead of an elite arm talent, say hello to Brett Anderson.
  17. This seems like an insanely closed-minded approach to the rotation. To lock those 4 guys in so early when you have such potential in guys behind him, I just don't understand it from any perspective. You at minimum should want Burnes/Peralta/Suter/Miller to THINK they have a shot at cracking the rotation. Even if in your head, you have 4 spots locked up, it seems crazy to tip your hand like that. I will not understand guaranteeing Brett freaking Anderson a rotation spot when you have multiple young and elite arm talents behind him vying for a spot. He's simply not good enough to be handed a rotation spot, he should have to earn it. You can pretty much take it to the bank that Anderson will be pulled from the rotation by May 15th with a 6+ ERA.
  18. From what I read, the owners won the big cases and the players won the smaller cases by and large. Makes you scratch your head a little...
  19. Yes they certainly are. I've done the fans choice for probably 10 years now. Often I would get tickets in section 212 row 8 for X game, and then a few weeks before X game could find 4 available in section 220 or 219 row 6 available to the general public. I always found it annoying. A handful of times I paid the $1/ticket fee to snatch up those better tickets. But yeah doing the fans choice it's very rare to be in the same seats like I was last year, that's the first and only time that's happened. Every other year it's been similar to your seats, except loge vs terrace.
  20. First off, I count 21 at the top. You have the 13 position players nailed I'm pretty sure. Only question mark is Urias, and then what we do when Urias is healthy. Gamel or Arcia are probably most likely to go when that happens. There are a couple guys that could play their way off the team if they start really bad, I'm primarily looking at Gyorko here. Pitching, I again generally agree. The only nitpick is I don't know that I would call Wahl likely. He has a good shot, but coming off a lost year I wouldn't go that far with him...he definitely doesn't belong in the same group as Peralta and probably not Black either. Basically it'll be pick the best 3-5 pitchers out of a large group of guys competing for those last few spots. I'm comfortable with the talent that we'll find those few guys to fill out those last few bullpen spots.
  21. Except when Woodruff pitches he should be batting cleanup
  22. Last year my tickets for my 20 pack were all in row 220 row 6, normally they are scattered so last year was a super nice. This year they are varied again. I do a "pick your games" versus their prepackaged selections. This year I picked at least 18 games on Friday-Sunday as I focused on resale knowing I'm not going to be able to go to a to as many games as usual this year. Life stuff. I'm wondering if that impacted my seating, or if more people signed up, or they changed their process a bit. One thing I've noticed with my loge seats is they have weird criteria. My playoff seats in 2018 were section 215 row 21, I was in the very last row and basically in the concourse. It was pretty terrible, but for every game through presale I was able to get seats in section 212 or 213 row 13 or 14...way better seats. Bottom line, they probably think they are giving you a better seat...but in reality it's not a better seat
  23. Also specifically regarding the Reds, they had a new tv deal that went into effect for the 2018 season, bumping their tv revenue from $30 million to a what this article below seems to think is $55-60 million. They could be wrong, but it also explains that the Reds have a bigger tv footprint than the Brewers. Also the Brewers are still on a tv deal signed in 2013 for one more year at $24 million per fangraphs. Bottom line, they have very likely brought in more money from tv/media deals than the Brewers over that entire decade. It's also likely that they didn't do all of buy a minor league affiliate, completely remodel their spring training facility, undertake multiple significant, multi-million dollar capital projects to revamp the stadium, among other major expenses. Also, the Reds are notoriously a franchise that makes an effort to win all the time. Very similar to the Brewers, only much less successful. You're comparing two franchises that aren't solely in this business to make money, but have owners that will spend the money and really want to win. Comparing all that, it makes sense that the Reds would carry slightly higher payrolls. It also makes the recent splurging of the Reds on payroll make sense given the new tv deal and the young talent they have. I suspect $140 million payrolls are not sustainable every year for the Reds. This is probably similar to the Brewers splurge up to $125 million last year. https://www.mlb.com/news/royals-close-to-new-tv-deal-with-fox-sports-kc
  24. A couple notes here, Cots isn't including option buyouts on Grandal and Moose. That's $5.25 million combined. They also happened to win/sign extensions with arbitration guys. They couldn't exactly know those were going to work out the way they did. They could very easily have close to another $3 million in payroll. Maybe winning those got us Brock, hard to say. Also, Cots doesn't include incentives. I know Lindblom and Phelps can combine for up to $5 million in incentives this year, I also know at least one other player has a pretty significant incentive...I just can't remember who. And as you've noted, Brock isn't included in the payroll yet. If you add that all up, the Cots number of $95 million is actually at least $100 million with the opt outs, and could be over to $110 million with incentives, Brock, and had we lost arbitration with Hader/Suter. Also, as True Blue noted, there's a strong chance they are saving some payroll for deadline moves. 2 years ago, we made some very significant payroll additions at the deadline. This past offseason, payroll was tighter but we still made some smaller $ moves. Imagine this year, we're in the hunt and the Astros start playing like crap because they don't know what pitch is coming. Adding Verlander or Greinke is more feasible if we are running a $105-110 million payroll versus $125. That's just one example, point being, having payroll to make deadline moves will be a big deal for us...especially with our currently weak farm system.
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