Because there are often threads on this board inviting predictions for a given month, I was looking yesterday at the team’s performance for the month of May which is on track to significantly exceed my expectation,
I was noting that the offense had been pretty pedestrian at 4.14 RPG while the run prevention has been exceptional at 2.5 runs per game. Yesterday’s 9 runs gave a little boost to the RPG but it is still closer to a league average.
My conclusion is that the 10-4, now 11-4 record is largely a result of exceptional pitching and enough offense to take advantage.
.The average of 5.26 runs per game that you cite is, of course, helped out significantly by the two 13 run games against Arizona that came in the last 4 games of April. The May average is now up to 4,46 and the run differential +29.