BruisedCrew

They haven't put up much resistance this weekend.

Brewers better keep on winning themselves to clinch a bye and then the number one seed. I wouldn’t count on any help from the Reds in Atlanta this week and it would be nice to have at least the bye wrapped up before the weekend. I don’t expect the Giants to be much help either against the Dodgers. A win tonight would be nice bedore facing a motivated Phillies team that is still hoping to host a wild card series.

That was a long, grinding ordeal to get the win.

After the recent explosion the offense has taken a step back this week. The pitching hasn’t been good enough to win with 3 runs.

That is correct. The magic number is 7. Each team has 10 games remaining so only 7 of those 20 games have to have the “right” result for the Brewers to get the number 1 seed

That was basically the first sentence of the post. The rest was for the benefit of anyone who wanted to know why.

It is unlikely that the Brewers would win a tiebreaker against the Braves even in the highly unlikely event that the teams end in a tie. And yes I am intentionally stacking unlikely on top of unlikely. For the teams to end up tied the Brewers would have to blow a 5,5 game lead in 11 games. That would require the “wrong” result in exactly 16 of 21 games. That would be a collapse similar to the 1964 Phillies who lost 10 games in a row to blow a 6 game lead with 12 games left. But 3 of those games were head to head against the Cardinals, who ended up winning the pennant, making the possibility of making up the deficit a little less improbable. For the Brewers and Braves to end up tied, the Brewers would have to lose exactly 6 more games than the Braves the rest of the way. That would mean the Braves going 10-0 to the Brewers 5-6 or the Brewers going 0-11 to the Braves 6-5, or some point in between. But, in any event, those 6 extra losses would probably flip the tiebreakers which are currently close in the Braves favor. For the Brewers to win a tiebreaker their losses would have to fall just right. For example, in the Braves going 11-0 scenario, if the Brewers won the 5 games against the Pirates and Cardinals and lost the other 6, the Brewers would win the division tiebreaker at 36-16 to the Braves 35-17. But if just one of the losses were to come against one of the Central teams, the Brewers would lose the intraleague tiebreaker. So, I’m just going to ignore the tiebreaker and count down the magic number from 6 to 0. The odds of the Brewers winning a tiebreaker over the Braves may not be astronomical, but they are several times larger than the probability of the Brewers losing the division were 10 days ago.

I’m not going to go through scenarios to figure it out, but I suspect that if the Brewers lose enough games to allow the Braves to tie them, they would probably lose the tiebreaker too.

Jeffrey Leonard?

It only took one game to remind me why I don’t waste a lot of time watching NFL games. It’s nothing but penalties. Between that and LeFleur’s ineptitude these games are unwatchable. Maybe the best thing for the Packers would be to miss the playoffs this year and clean house.

There are several of those in this thread. Some of the things go back years and the same people make the same “witty” remarks multiple times in a season

It really has picked up since the Braves series. In July the Brewers averaged 4.69 RPG which is close to the NL average for the season of 4.62 In August they equaled the NL average of 4.62, even with the help of the 22 run game, which came in the middle of a generally down stretch. But, in the last 15 games before tonight they scored 90 runs (6 RPG) without scoring more than 10 in any one game. Including tonight they have scored 6 runs or more in 9 of the last 16 games. That has kept the wins coming while the pitching cooled during the stretch of 16 games in 16 days.

I was trying to figure out why the Brewers would clinch a playoff spot with a win tonight. I know that the Padres and DBacks having 3 games against each other guarantees 3 losses between them. If I have this right, if the Brewers would lose out and the Padres and DBacks would win out and the DBacks win 2 of the 3 against the Padres there would be a 3 way tie at 92-70. Apparently the Brewers would survive the 3 way tiebreaker, probably with the Padres.

MLB needs some kind of mercy rule. This is crazy.

So, my prediction was “hilarious” when it was for more wins than the Fangraphs preseason projection, not much different than several others on this thread, and one of the only ones made after hearing on the morning of Opening Day that Chourio was going to be out for at least a month with a broken hand. I wonder if any of the posters who projected Chourio as the team MVP might have adjusted their predictions after hearing that. I find it hilarious that you are so fixated on my posts that you would single me out even though you didn’t bother to take one minute to make your own prediction.

What was your prediction? I didn’t see it here.

I don’t know if that’s true and I know I don’t feel that way about it. The Brewers already have a significant leg up on the Cubs. They have already won 5 division titles since the Cubs won one in a legitimate season and number 6 is days away. They also won Game 163 in 2018 and the NLDS series last year. Beating them once more after dominating them for so long doesn’t add that much. But seeing them move on while the Brewers are sent home would hurt more than losing to the Phillies or Braves. And winning a playoff series against ANYONE is exciting. The Brewers haven’t had that many of those.

I’m in the camp that just doesn’t want the Brewers to play the Cubs in the playoffs again. The playoffs can be stressful enough for a fan without the possibility of giving the Cubs and their fans the opportunity to say “we won when it counted”. Any one of the likely playoff teams would be a tough opponent. But having the Brewers lose to the Cubs would be the most painful.

The Boomer

The Crow. is going to end up winning this one.

So now it’s basically a 3 run lead.

He’s going to make me turn this off.

This reminds me of 2 of the games we went to when we left early with the Brewers holding big leads and Megill ended up having to come in to save situations. I remember Mc Cullers being responsible for one of those.

I’m just guessing, but because they’re using fingers maybe they do it to avoid confusion between 2 and 3.

Even if the Brewers lose now they took another year off Counsell’s life.