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superfly

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Everything posted by superfly

  1. This games headed to the nearest dumpster fire near you soon.
  2. Twins love Arraez.
  3. Glad I don’t have to wait for another signing as big as this was.
  4. Moose may have hit .255, but in a season and a half he also hit somewhere between 40-50 home runs and another 50ish doubles. Sogard hit 3 (and 13 last year) home runs and about 40 doubles. That’s using his only two good years of his career. Castellanos could move to LF if need be when braun is gone.
  5. That's the part where we disagree. The 25-28 mil on Donaldson over the next 3 is pushing this team to the top of their spending capabilities. (if you assume they can't/won't blow past last year numbers) Seager's 18 19 15(vesting question) puts you 1 piece from the same mark. Guys are going to slip into arby and be worth their arby cost. Narvaez Hader are going to increase in cost and Braun's money will get eaten up quickly. I think either of those 3Bs pushes us right up against maxed out with little flexibility in the next 3 years. I don't see that gain being enough to offset the looming problems they have with the pitching staff that I don't see the farm being able to completely remedy until 2021 at the earliest. The pen right now is scary and the depth of starters is teetering on the edge as it currently sits. With the pen being where it is, pushing Suter and/or Peralta into the rotation would risk melt down in the early season. Just like last year and unlike 2018. I don't like that, not 1 bit. I don't think the gain Donaldson should provide at 3b is enough to allow for that level of weakness in our pitching staff. I don't think Seager moves the needle enough to be considered over scrub options. As I said, I believe there are thresholds in their metrics and gains beyond a certain point lose impact and come at a high financial cost. I believe they are constantly trying to walk a tight rope in a sweet spot where money wins impact all cross paths. They aren't exactly trying to be the BEST team in baseball. They are trying to be a playoff team with a combination of pieces that could steal a WS title. Basically, they are the Royals. It seems to reverberate all the way through the organization. The way they spend, the way they draft, the pieces they acquire. There's a type/expectation in the SP adds they make. Right now, from the looks of it the pitching staff depth is the soft part. That can be fixed, without giving up long term deals and without blocking anything the farm can add in 2021. It's the most flexible cost effective way and adding a big ticket 3b ties their hands enough that 2020 becomes murky and 2021 becomes farm dependent. I don't think that's the 3 year window idea they have. The middle ground here is Castellanos. There is theoretically decent amounts of upside left and the price tag is considerably less than Donaldson. That’s where I’m a bit frustrated, it’s not that we’re not “buying” Donaldson, it’s that we’re seemingly content in an entirely mediocre 33 year old mini-mite with a career sub 250 batting average at the hot corner. I really like Sogard as our utility, but starting? Gross. It’s like Ted Thompson drafting low ceiling defenders in the 6th and 7th round every year and expecting them to be quality starters.
  6. THis is about the Brewers by proxy. The Cubs will not be able to replace Chisek with a reliever as effective. It hurts the Cubs' chances of winning the division, which in turn helps the Brewers chances. You are correct that signing a guy like Chisek would likely have helped the Brewers bullpen substantially. But it didn't happen, so the next best thing is the team's chief rival losing him to an AL team. I could care less what the Cubs are doing or not doing either. The cardinals are a much more consistent threat year in and year out for ages.
  7. Ted Thompson believed we should never buy free agents for our defense, just keep drafting 9 7th rounders a year and sit back n wait for the greatness.
  8. Metcalf, Lockett, Wilson, and Pete Carroll are what im worried about. Quite frankly I’d have much rather any of the other 5 in the NFC except SF, and I don’t think they’re what they were last time we met. Hopefully I’m wrong about it and you have to beat em anyway to get where we want to go.
  9. I don’t have a good feeling about this matchup at all.
  10. time for the goat to show why he’s the goat...episode # 2,262.
  11. But this is a 4year contract on a player a full year healthy going in to his age 34 season. Pujols suffered a set back for age 33 that he never returned to the player he had been prior. He still gave LA 7.5 BWAR for ages 34,35,36 before falling off the cliff age 37. Amazingly Pujols will make more money than Donaldson the next 2 seasons. Pujols' age decline is actually considered one of the most extreme performance fall-offs. Sure there's regression, but taking his example, the extreme, and applying it to Donaldson on a 4year deal is twisted reality. To point, what is the goal here? What is the repercussion? You're a Playoff contending team the last two seasons. You have a huge hole you can fill at not only a fielding position but a huge hole you fill for a batting position. You don't have a 3b prospect excelling to create pause on a deal beyond 1 or 2years. You can look at the current main players attached to this 2year playoff run and see that they are still together for 3 more years. Why for the life of you would you let say 10million a year keep you from making a deal that for all intents and purposes is the best upgrade for your team the next 3seasons? You don't have the opportunity to improve the team anywhere else for as simple as a 4 year deal. To think, what flaw does he possess? Something that sends off red flags to regression where it will hurt that this man is on your roster? Defense? Offense? Strike outs? On the bases? I can't find none. You know you have a playoff team w/o this exceptional 3b sitting there for you to sign that checks the boxes of everything you need for the 3year window. 10million going to keep you from this match? How much money are you making as a team that goes deep in the playoffs? It's gotta be a healthy bonus to host games+the media revenue. And more that I don't know in profits. Maybe it's future profits in that if the Brewers made a World Series the following year or years they were featured more often in prime time games. Make the run for it. Then tear it all down 4years from now if you have to because you lost that ~25mil a year for 4years expensive contract. 1 World Series appearance in the next 3 years is as good as it gets for a Brewerfan that was 1year old the last time it occurred. Why do that when you can remain “decent” and make excuses for how you’re “close” to the promised land but just barely can’t afford it...and suggest it by sending your media mouthpieces out claiming you lost money last year? Winners make the move you suggest. Decent organizations wuss out. So what if we have to tear it down, it’s coming down the road regardless if we plan for it or not. I get it if he doesn’t want to come here and that’s perfectly fine, but it sure sounds to me like he’s ready and waiting to head on to whomever offers it first.
  12. There is absolutely a 1% chance the Twins deal for Hader as he’s getting “expensive” while also clearing out their cheap talent, let alone sign Donaldson. That’s just a ploy to placate the masses of twins faithful with a “we were serious.” The cheap Pohlads might fire their GM if he did this. That’s not to say I wouldn’t be ecstatic if it happening, but don’t hold your breath.
  13. This is the part of that article we read this week where the small organization says "We tried in Free Agency this year," and the fanbase goes along with it because its a "name" player that the average joe recognizes him as a "pretty good guy in the past." Nevermind that 3 million could have gone towards an actual player like Donaldson or Castellanos...but asking the Pohlads to spend money is for another day.
  14. This is one of the problems, I think...DS doesn't strike me as the type of guy that wants to literally rake someone over the coals for a player like Hader, rather he seems like the type that would want to make a "fair" deal for both sides. For some reason I can't see him even asking for someone like Gleyber for example, figuring there's no way he'd get him. I could be wrong on that, but to me, DS should be asking for the moon and hold firm on that. No one says trades have to be fair for both sides. So essentially you’re saying DS needs to be a pompous prick so then GMs across baseball know that they can’t deal with the Milwaukee Brewers. That’s not how it works if you want long term relationships and GMs willing to make fair deals for all involved parties with each other but OK.
  15. You are wrong. Defense does matter. By signing Castellanos, they'd definitely be taking a hit on defense. Doing it would have to be with the hope that his bat would be that much of an upgrade to make up for it. The alternative would be signing someone like Todd Frazier, would would theoretically offer a much lighter bat but substantially better defense. Say whatever you want, but if we made Travis Shaw passable as a pseudo SS/2B/3B life would go on in miller park with castellanos doing the same.
  16. I don’t understand what this venomous hate for Miguel Andujar is. Have you guys even looked at what he slashed at AA/AAA and his rookie year? Keston Hiura isn’t exactly a defensive savant himself. If Travis Shaw passed as a hybrid 3b/2b I have enough faith in counsell and Stearns to mask him enough on defense to make that bat play. I want more good pieces than Andujar, but he is not a garbage player.
  17. Soooooo what if Hader goes into a shell of sorts after what happened last season and is only a “good” reliever and not elite. Are the same people hoping for the #1, #2, and #3 prospects in baseball or no deal going to also be upset we didn’t sell high? I wouldn’t give him away, but a good deal comes along and he’s gone IMO. He’s not a cornerstone in the way Yelich could and should be a career brewer from here. Deal for cheap controllable talent, rebuild farm, sign Yelich long term. That’s been Stearns MO and I don’t see it changing.
  18. Lol if anyone really thinks Judge or even Gleybar are on any trade table send me what you’re smoking. Judge is the next Derek jeter iconic yankee (to them) and gleybar probably will be too.
  19. How much “WAR” would having both Brett Anderson and Keuchel on the same team warrant you? I'd imagine the difference in WAR between having Kuechel and not having Keuchel. What exactly is your point? Do you think the Brewers should have signed him for 18mil a year? Or did you just need to get in a drive by post? More curious as to why Stearns had a masterful offseason just because we avoided signing another quality arm than anything. But to answer your question, yes I would have. The salary would be about 14 additional mil this year had we not gave Sogard 4.5 mil.
  20. How much “WAR” would having both Brett Anderson and Keuchel on the same team warrant you? I'd imagine the difference in WAR between having Kuechel and not having Keuchel. What exactly is your point? Do you think the Brewers should have signed him for 18mil a year? Or did you just need to get in a drive by post? More curious as to why Stearns had a masterful offseason just because we avoided signing another quality arm than anything. But to answer your question, yes I would have. The salary would be about 14 additional mil this year had we not gave Sogard 4.5 mil.
  21. If anything is for sure is that Stearns and Co. are pulling off a masterful offseason. How much you want to bet Brett Anderson has a higher WAR than Keuchel in 2020? How much “WAR” would having both Brett Anderson and Keuchel on the same team warrant you?
  22. If anything is for sure is that Stearns and Co. are pulling off a masterful offseason. How much you want to bet Brett Anderson has a higher WAR than Keuchel in 2020? How much “WAR” would having both Brett Anderson and Keuchel on the same team warrant you?
  23. Honestly I think Solo might be my favorite or second favorite movie. Rogue one the other. It’s just so light and action packed, not this crap like TFA where I sat for 3 hours and then...what happened? Skywalker is an awful movie. Just pathetic.
  24. Honestly I think Solo might be my favorite or second favorite movie. Rogue one the other. It’s just so light and action packed, not this crap like TFA where I sat for 3 hours and then...what happened? Skywalker is an awful movie. Just pathetic.
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