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MrTPlush

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Everything posted by MrTPlush

  1. For all we know, he has already been extended. If not, it will either get done or it is possible Counsell may be wanting to step down after the season. If he ends up a lame duck, I think it is by Counsell's choice.
  2. The free shipping is slower. Free…but definitely slower. They just wait days extra to fulfill it and ship it out. If you are actually getting something 2-day prime guaranteed and it ends up taking longer you can complain. Either the item is refunded (you get it still) or they extend your membership a month for free.
  3. I mean the first sentence makes absolutely zero sense as you acknowledged anyone trading for Burnes better be expecting to make the postseason...Astros or not. Outside of that, if we trade Burnes to a playoff team in the AL and somehow find ourselves with the huge problem of facing them in the postseason...I think we will be okay with that risk. ?
  4. 22 years old, walk issues, uses one pitch 55% of the time, and has one super nasty pitch. He will be a reliever sooner rather than later.
  5. Important to remember they don’t have to announce extensions for FO guys or even managers. Often times it comes to light months after it actually happened. I seriously doubt the Brewers are going to have Matt Arnold lame duck in his first year. They could give him a three year extension and fire him in December without shedding a tear. He doesn’t make $20mil. If they lacked that much confidence in the guy he would even be running the team to begin with.
  6. Wily Adames would get $20mil a year on an extension. Not sure he could command Swanson’s per year average of $25mil. For all the flak Swanson gets about his offensive track record, Adames is arguably no better in the consistency department. Maybe the Brewers would give him a higher AAV to hopefully shorten the contract and not pay him $20mil+ at 35 years old. If you gave him 7 years right now it would only go through his age 33 season. If he wants to cover his two arby years plus the 7 FA years Swanson got, no way it would be reasonable for him to get $25mil+. Adames has two years to up his value, but that is on him. He can risk it and try to be worth $30mil+…but he also could pull a Baez. Lucky for Baez he had a bounce back year to trick the Tigers into thinking he was actually good again. Still a far cry from what he could have had from the Cubs long ago.
  7. Wily Adames would get $20mil a year on an extension. Not sure he could command Swanson’s per year average of $25mil. For all the flak Swanson gets about his offensive track record, Adames is arguably no better in the consistency department. Maybe the Brewers would give him a higher AAV to hopefully shorten the contract and not pay him $20mil+ at 35 years old. If you gave him 7 years right now it would only go through his age 33 season. If he wants to cover his two arby years plus the 7 FA years Swanson got, no way it would be reasonable for him to get $25mil+. Adames has two years to up his value, but that is on him. He can risk it and try to be worth $30mil+…but he also could pull a Baez. Lucky for Baez he had a bounce back year to trick the Tigers into thinking he was actually good again. Still a far cry from what he could have had from the Cubs long ago.
  8. Swanson is a better comp, and honestly, a pretty darn good one. Comping Wily Adames to Rafael Devers feels like borderline clickbait. Adames is older, farther from FA, and is nowhere near being on the same planet as Devers offensively. Devers has posted a .900+ OPS before and has been an upper .800 OPS bat the last two years. Devers is a proven elite bat, Adames couldn't post a .300 OBP last year and has been very inconsistent over his career. Adames simply does not have the track record nor the elite offensive ceiling that commands these big contracts.
  9. Swanson is a better comp, and honestly, a pretty darn good one. Comping Wily Adames to Rafael Devers feels like borderline clickbait. Adames is older, farther from FA, and is nowhere near being on the same planet as Devers offensively. Devers has posted a .900+ OPS before and has been an upper .800 OPS bat the last two years. Devers is a proven elite bat, Adames couldn't post a .300 OBP last year and has been very inconsistent over his career. Adames simply does not have the track record nor the elite offensive ceiling that commands these big contracts.
  10. I always live for the next installment into the 'hot dog side hustle' story. The boring answer is trade in your truck for a sweet van. haha
  11. I watched a few of the recent movies in theater before starting from Phase I. She told me while watching those movies in theater they wouldn't make any sense until I watched from the beginning of the Marvel Movies. To be honest...I am lucky if I can get through an entire movie and not be confused about the plot. The whole comedy part of the movies is fine to an extent...but seems really overdone. Blooper-like comedy in the middle of a big action scene seems like an interesting choice. But I guess that is a Marvel movie thing and just expected after awhile.
  12. The problem is, shifts aren’t being banned. Putting your 3B/SS 50 yards into RF is being banned. We go back to how shifts were before. 2B shading towards 1B and playing on the back of the dirt…then the SS will virtually just be directly behind 2B. While we won’t see piss missiles getting caught by guys halfway into RF, those guys hitting the ball that much to one area are still at a big disadvantage in the grand scheme The MLB.com article does point that out. 10 extra hits is nothing to sneeze at…but hardly world changing. Not to mention, as people have said, other teams will have guys benefit too. So even if you think we were one of the most unlucky teams against the shift, the gain is hardly anything to get excited about because it probably won’t matter much competitively. Maybe the games are more exciting though.
  13. My significant other is a massive marvel person…like huuuuge fan. So naturally I have accepted watching them and she started me off from the start (never watched one before). I am trying hard…but I don’t like them . The storylines are strange and scattered…the middle of the movies are really boring and I pretty much doze off. Anyone familiar with the phases I just finished the the second avengers movie. The only movie I have really enjoyed are the Iron Man movies and maybe the first avengers. The Thor movies have been really boring to me. Don’t line those at all.
  14. I worked at a pizza place when I was in high school. The reason is simple. People have epic meltdowns and tantrums if it isn’t ready at their pre decided pickup time. If you want it at your lunch time 5-10 minutes late can be a third of your lunch time…huge problem. To avoid it getting lost or slowed down by an unexpected rush we made sure to get those orders done slightly early to avoid it being late and in case a mistake/problem occurred. At a pizza place (at least where I worked) the warmers were really effective and if your food sat on the warmer longer it wasn’t really noticeable at all. With other types of food maybe not. Also, those pre planned orders ahead of time are incredibly annoying and a pain to track time wise. People don’t walk around with alarms that say “start the order to be ready at 12:00” that came in two hours ago.
  15. His rookie campaign was fine. Easy to be spoiled by our current aces and they easily overshadow anyone else. Rookie campaigns aren’t always great…even for really good pitchers. Greinke once dropped a 5.80 ERA in 33 starts to begin his career. Verlander once had a 4.80 ERA early in his career. 4.26 ERA for Kershaw in his first year. Scherzer had an ERA north of 4.00 2/3 of his first years. This isn’t to say Ashby will or could end up like them…just that a starters first crack at it is more about showing flashes of promise than it is actually results at the end of the year. Does he end up like Brandon Woodruff, Wily Peralta, or somewhere in between…time will tell.
  16. If we are versatile enough, he is a decent bench bay fill-in guy.
  17. I think they would have shipped him off by now if they didn’t want him…but his usage with Counsell as manager was pretty sad. Unless they are hoping some team ends up wanting him as a backup option at DH/1B/2B if they can’t find better by March. I just for some reason doubt they would offer him arbitration unless they felt they would actually want him in some form. Unlike Wong/Renfroe, he isn’t exactly that intriguing or valuable in a trade.
  18. He is from Venezuela. Probably hiding in a bunker somewhere.
  19. No one is pro-Lutz. It’s the fact he is a prospect and not some 40 year old journeyman people (alright a single person) is trying to clamor about. I don’t get your bet either. You want to bet that a minor league player won’t amass 150 PAs in his career? I could say that about 90%+ of the prospects in our entire minor league system and be right. Not exactly an impressive bet. Lutz probably has no useful MLB career. That goes for almost any prospect though and probably for at least half of our Top 10 prospects.
  20. Tristian Lutz is going into his age 24 season. Tyrone Taylor didn’t debut until he was 25. Ji Man Choi didn’t debut till 25, he was a former Rule 5 pick. Brent Suter did debut till 26, I believe. Dan Uggla didn’t debut till 26 (another Rule 5 pick). Garrett Cooper didn’t debut till 26. Plenty of guys don’t debut till 24+ and go on to be very valuable assets. Actually, feel free to take a look at the below links to see when players are debuting age-wise. Spoiler: https://completegameloss.com/2020/09/24/mlb-debuts-by-season-and-franchise/ https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/majors/2022-debuts.shtml
  21. I’m not sure what you want me to say when you describe exactly what a prospect is…as not being a prospect. Prospects have question marks and 90% of them only have a tool or two. Most players are not 5-tool players. You are calling our #14 prospect that played at AA as a 21 year old ‘not a prospect’. I mean…I don’t know if you could find another baseball fan that would look at Valerio and not call him a prospect. He wasn’t protected because he isn’t ready to hit MLB pitching and no one is going to stash him on their roster all year. I also can’t help you if you don’t know how to see the difference between 27 year old Corey Ray and 23 year old Tristian Lutz. One is a prospect the other is a minor league journeyman. One has been playing AAA baseball since 2019 and the other hasn’t ever played at AAA.
  22. I wish you had just led with this in your previous post so I knew not waste my time just to find out a prospect to you has to basically be a Top 100 prospect.
  23. Umm, I’d say about 24 prospects a year. Now if we are talking at AA+ and comparable to Yeager. Because you know, guys below AA rarely get selected. This past Rule 5 draft we didn’t protect Felix Valerio. MLB.com lists him as our #14 prospect. Victor Castaneda was also left unprotected, rated #30 in our system. Tristian Lutz quietly had a bounce back season at AA last year, was left unprotected. I am sure I could find more and do this for the last decade…but I think this sums it up enough.
  24. I don’t know that anyone is trying to act like he is some star in the bullpen. But a useful bullpen arm? We would have seen October baseball if we had a few of those last year. That’s a great addition to a trade and more than just a throw in.
  25. As in the MLB Rule 5 draft? If so, that’s just poor analysis. He would have to be on an MLB roster the entire year. Many notable prospects with MLB upside aren’t drafted. Even non competing teams rarely make Rule 5 picks to waste MLB roster spots.
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