MrTPlush
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Everything posted by MrTPlush
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I looked at recent guys that have transferred (like last five years), most of them are still irrelevant. So even if they had stayed not sure that really helps anything. Only guy actually worth a lick is Kobe King…and he didn’t leave for playing time or because Wisconsin is a developmental program. Calling them a developmental program seems odd and just trying to play the victim card. If guys that are leaving weren’t productive and weren’t big time recruits…what exactly did they develop? The reason they are leaving is because Wisconsin isn’t developing them (or not giving them the playing time). The fact that all the players are ending up at random non power five conference teams tells me they are leaving because they don’t like Wisconsin…not that some other program is trying to pry them away because they want what Wisconsin has. Guys leave every single program because they are mad about playing time, that isn’t something unique to Wisconsin.
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My reference to Gallardo had absolutely nothing to do with which was better or not. It was purely the fact both would give you stretches of dominance just to blow it with stretches of being garbage. Sheets put it together a few years…but most of his career was much like Gallardo, average to a bit above average.
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My reference to Gallardo had absolutely nothing to do with which was better or not. It was purely the fact both would give you stretches of dominance just to blow it with stretches of being garbage. Sheets put it together a few years…but most of his career was much like Gallardo, average to a bit above average.
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By what? Transfer? They have 6 guys that got drafted this century and Johnny Davis was the only guy that didn't stay at least three years and 2-3 of them were there 4-5 years. I can't say I have followed the Badgers to death enough to know of any guys that bailed even though they weren't drafted...but maybe there are some. You should be able to develop guys just fine if the other guys are sticking around 3+ years. All but like 2-3 teams these days recruit and develop their teams. Past that there are maybe 10-15 teams that consistently get a great recruiting classes where regardless of losing players via pros/transfer they always have guys to step in and likely be useful players. Past that, I think college basketball is pretty equal in the Power 5's. Wisconsin's main issues with recruiting and having holes in the lineup is: #1 Gard has actually had quite a few Top 40 recruiting classes. The problem is he also has multiple 100+ recruiting classes. That can be quite problematic when your entire class is one guy. #2 Guys transferring out. It is going to happen but feels like the Badgers have had quite a bit of it. The entire 2018 class transferred out for instance. Those two things plus guys simply not panning out...things can get thin rather quickly.
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Well his 2021 does...so there you are. If you want to argue he had more innings that in turn gave him more strikeouts...feel free to do so. But then you are comparing them on something that isn't comparable to the baseball times they played in.
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- mike caldwell
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Well, one quick gander at the schedule and you can see they are absolutely horrendous on the road. In the 14 games before they started struggling, they had one true road game (two if you add Marquette...but that's somewhat generous). They did edge out Iowa in that road game. So, all that early season success was largely thanks to a lot of home/neutral court games. In the current 7 game stretch, they have had four road games and have won none of them. Another loss to Michigan St at home. Never easy, but Michigan St isn't elite and that is only their second road win all year. Another loss at home to Illinois, which is a pretty good team. They aren't stealing any road wins (many of which were 10+ point losses) and aren't even defending their home court lately. Good news for the Badgers is that was really the meat of their schedule. Bad news their next four have 3/4 on the road. I think they can save their season and make the tourney. It wouldn't shock me if they go 5-2 or even 6-1 in their next 7 games.
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Brandon Woodruffs 2021 isn't far behind either of those two seasons from ERA+ standards. His 2020 and 2022 seasons are also very above average. Ben Sheets has some longevity advantages and also his stats benefit a bit from the time he played. Back then you threw your top pitchers into the fire and let them start from the get-go...you also got to pitch 240 innings. Woodruff came up during a time where we liked to putz around with guys in the bullpen and obviously guys don't get to pitch as much. So it is a bit hard to compare them side by side in a lot of ways. Every single year Woodruff has been a starter, he has an ERA+ of at least 123 and an average of 140. Despite 2x as many opportunities, Sheets only had an ERA+ over 120 three times. Ben Sheets had career 115 ERA+. To me, Woodruff simply is more dominant and impressively consistent in doing that.
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- mike caldwell
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I am glad Brandon Woodruff and Corbin Burnes came along. Ben Sheets was arguably the most overrated player in Brewers history because he was the only guy in decades that was an All Star level starter. Sheets is honestly really similar to Gallardo. Both had flashes of being aces, but neither was very consistent. Sheets was able to put it together in a few full seasons...but like Gallardo, he made a lot of great seasons very middling due to stretches of awful pitching. 2/4 of the All-Star appearances only happened because he was amazing in the first half before turning in turd performances in the 2nd half. Which is exactly what Gallardo did in his lone AS season. I mean come on, he has a career losing record. Burnes is easily #1 here, in my opinion...regardless of his shorter track record. Brandon Woodruff also gets the nod over Sheets. Woodruff has 4 season that are basically on par or better than anything Sheets ever did. One of those was COVID shortened, but since he has pitched just as well since then, I wouldn't dock him over it like he got lucky. #3-#5 seems about right. Food for thought: If this had just been pitchers in general, would anyone have placed Hader in the Top 5? I would have definitely slotted him #5 and would have been tempted to even put him at #4...but the short dominance of Higuera as a starter gets preference.
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Dump the buyout and just give him $45mil-$50mil...then I think you are onto something. Not sure just giving him what he would get per year in FA for that one year is all that enticing. Heck, even in the freak situation he somehow gets injured and missed the entirety of 2024, some team would still pay him upwards of $20mil+ on a 1 year prove it deal for 2025 and then if he performed just sign a big contract after that. He could probably struggle in 2025 after missing all of 2024 and still get another $15mil+ prove it deal in 2026. Then after struggling in 2026 STILL get another $10mil to try again. The dude has been so good he already has tens of millions in future salary locked up regardless of performance or injury. Not to mention even average starters get big money these days. The only risk to him is a wildly unlikely/rare injury that ends his career completely or doing something like Trevor Bauer to the point no team will sign you.
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He already has $20mil in career salaries if you include 2023. His 2024 salary is pretty much locked in too at that price minimum. Unless he blows out his arm this year in July or later...they would almost surely offer arby. Not sure we really gain much doing it...one year isn't helping us patch the titanic of outgoing players coming up.
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Greg Gard has secured plenty of guys and the team isn't good. The 2022 class was bad, but you wouldn't even expect those guys to be playing major minutes or contributing at all anyway yet. 2021 Class - A 4-star / three .9000+ rated 3-stars / three transfers. 2020 Class - A 4-star / two .9000+ 3-stars / two additional 3-stars 2019 Class - 3-star recruit and a notable transfer Grabbing talent isn't an issue. Gard has arguably recruited more talent at face value than Bo Ryan had been. It isn't about securing enough of them...it is securing ones that are actually going to play well at the college level, developing them, and keeping them around. Honestly, I am surprised the Badgers have struggled as bad as they have. Their starting five are good basketball players and all of them have the ability to score. The bench isn't strong, but it is decent enough to not hurt a team. None of them have found the ability to consistently put up big points and they all are pretty good at having dud games. Crowl/Wahl/Hepburn are experienced enough that they shouldn't be losing 6/7 games.
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This is pretty common negotiating when the sport isn't in season. They can let MLB Network fall off the service for a while and subscribers won't care. Bigger issue if the channel drops off in season...that is a sign of a bigger issue.
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Who will lead the Brewers in WAR in 2023?
MrTPlush replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Pretty accurate comp I would say. I think Mitchell has a decent bit more power potential IF he can tap into it fully...and he has more speed/defense. Overall though...they are pretty similar players. -
Who will lead the Brewers in WAR in 2023?
MrTPlush replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Yah, the K-rate was pretty bad...and his BABIP was like .550 He has a really small track record even in the minors. He barely had 500 plate appearances in the minors. He didn't really have strikeout problems in the minors and actually dropped between AA and AAA. I think he settled in a bit towards the end of the year. Ryan Braun did a pretty good job racking up a bunch of multi K games himself when he first came up. A bit of a surprise for a guy who only struck out at like 8% in AAA. Not sure Mitchell will be much better than a Tyrone Taylor in the long run...but then again, that would make him a 3 WAR player. Hopefully Tyrone Taylor has another solid year. He could be a good trade candidate after the year and sell high on a position of strength instead of starting to pay him arbitration. -
I don't think anyone does, but I seriously doubt Rodgers had any interest in retiring anyway. I think his talk of retirement is just because he likes the fact he has options.
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Who will lead the Brewers in WAR in 2023?
MrTPlush replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
As @MVP2110 just showed, in 2022 the bar wasn't set very high to crack the Top 5 in WAR. I think Mitchell starts the year in CF and I am optimistic he can show enough to hold Frelick off or enough to make it where Tyrone Taylor gets shoved down the depth chart instead of him when Frelick gets promoted. I figure if he is up all year long starting his defense should carry him to a WAR around 3.0. I would probably go with Frelick instead...but I am not overly confident he is going to get promoted as soon as he clears service time concerns. -
Who will lead the Brewers in WAR in 2023?
MrTPlush replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Woodruff/Contreras/Burnes/Adames/Mitchell/Yelich -
Three-way trade with A's, Braves; Brewers get William Contreras
MrTPlush replied to homer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I mean...clearly a joke aimed at the people that think the Brewers are cheapos....jesh I am sure he got it some random way as I am guessing he is in Venezuela these days. It is just a tad funny. -
Garrett Mitchell showed enough promise in his short stint last year he should certainly be the opening day CFer. And what everyone doesn't want to hear, we can't afford to lose a potential year of control on a guy with the ceiling Frelick has. The production difference between Mitchell and Frelick for that month just wouldn't be a lot.
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Tom Brady has retired again.
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I would have, if it would have been anywhere remotely close to being easy to search and find teams. I wasn't going to scroll through 360 teams to try and find each year's champion. If I could have searched by team, I would have done it. But honestly, I don't care enough about it to spend 6 hours just trying to scroll and find teams like I would have had to do in that link. Not your fault...just why I didn't go and pile up results via that stat.
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Three-way trade with A's, Braves; Brewers get William Contreras
MrTPlush replied to homer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Brewers so cheap they couldn't even hook the man up with a current hat....had to dig one out of the clearance bin in the back of the team store. 😅 -
Three-way trade with A's, Braves; Brewers get William Contreras
MrTPlush replied to homer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
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Why not check the champion of any other year? The last three decades or so...65% of the eventual champions are Top 15 in scoring, 6% are not Top 100 scoring teams. I get that isn't pace of play...but I doubt any of those teams had a pace of play lower than 150 at worst, because there is no way you can be scoring that much playing Badger slow. It isn't just their slow pace of play...they just suck on offense too. Virginia had a good offense and voluntarily had a slow pace of play. The Badgers...well, it feels forced because they can't score a lot and have to limit possessions. That is why Virginia outscored their pace of play by nearly 150 spots and the Badgers brutal 300+ pace of play matches their 300+ scoring offense. The two years they made the Final Four they had a Top 100 scoring offense. Bo Ryan had quite a few other Sweet 16 and an Elite 8 appearance because A) his offenses weren't bottom of the barrel and B) his defenses were very often elite (Top 10). The defense is still good under Gard, but most years they are floating in the 30-40 range. Still annoying for opposing teams, but not as brutal as Bo Ryan's teams. Last year was one of Gard's better teams offensively...but easily the worst defensive team the Badgers have had in a long time #75 in points allowed. There is slow pace of play and then there is extremely slow pace of play. The Badgers do the later. Just because one team in history managed to do it (while getting the lucky draw of another slow paced team in the final) doesn't mean it is suddenly a recipe for actual tourney success.
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Monte Harrison back with the Brewers
MrTPlush replied to markedman5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
His career 0.1 WAR ranks #1 from all the players traded. The other three have managed something near -6.0 WAR. Bad news…it was -0.2 WAR as a Marlin. Hard to imagine a worse trade for an established MLB player for major prospects in exchange. It’s just that bad. Then you have the Gomez trade…another nightmare, except for the non prospect side. This trade serves as a kind reminder why prospects are exactly that and trading our guys like Adames/Burnes/Woodruff could easily end up being mostly a heaping pile of garbage. You never know.

