While I generally agree with everything you said, I have just an itsy-bitsy issue with the bolded one. This year, the "expanded rosters" of September are only 28 guys, not the 40 or so guys that Counsell has used to this advantage in the past. While it IS an advantage, it is not remotely as big of an advantage as it used to be. I still remember Doug Melvin (and others) trying to change the rule a decade ago (or longer) when the Brewers would be playing (and losing to) those teams with 38-40 guys on their roster while the Brewers kept to "maybe" 28 or 29 players. The disparity caused an unfair advantage, he said. Funny how that was exactly how the Brewers managed to have outstanding September runs over the last few years to make the playoffs. Edit just to add this: Now, MAYBE the Brewers play "Roster Shuffle" and continually call up and send guys down in September to get fresh arms, etc. although I'm not sure how legal that is or how well it would work with requirements to be in the minors for 10-days (or whatever.) If so, well then Counsell would be working his magic once again. I kind of think that undersells the teams of 2018 and 2019. Having a few extra arms for blowouts and extra defensive replacements and pinch runners wasn't why those teams won. The heavy lifting was still done by the core group of players.