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MilwaukeeBeers

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Everything posted by MilwaukeeBeers

  1. Y'all are gonna hate me, but I'd sell if better value is coming back.
  2. Not worried. Be fantastic if they blew more assets on a luxury they really don't need.
  3. God I hope someone else overpays. Just like buying a car he's a classic depreciating asset right when you get him. People will say you can flip him for a similar package if you're not competing next year, but I think it's quite plausible to see a 5'10 pitcher's value drop tremendously after turning 28-29.
  4. 2 average middle infielders and 3 back-end starters? Oh boy. Dude you have some decent takes from time to time, but seriously cut your losses with this thread. I consider myself somewhat pessimistic about the Brewers this season in that I think they're gonna fade towards the end, but that doesn't mean I'm not enjoying the ride thus far. You're just playing devil's advocate at this point.
  5. I might be in the minority, but I truly don't think it's going to take a Quintana like package to acquire Gray. Think his perceived value is a lot higher than what it really is.
  6. Good good... blow the farm system. *Palpatine voice High five that Eloy is outta our division 0/
  7. http://s2.quickmeme.com/img/1b/1bae09fb2ecdd32e63311526238fb66456ffd699a857396004d37ccf0098303a.jpg I do think he could have a plus plus hit tool if that is what you are referring to as a 7 future hit tool. I also don't think he has all that much to go to become a 7 hit tool player. Serious as a heart attack... Nah green text since sarcasm doesn't read well!
  8. It might just be me, but those packages seem like a lot for a pitcher that's turning 35 in a few months. You almost have to assume regression when acquiring him.
  9. In 1996, everyone's favorite person, Scott Boros, found a loophole in the draft rules that allowed four 1st round picks to become free agents. The rules stipulated that draft picks had to be made a written offer within 15 days of the draft. The crazy thing was that most of the teams didn't realize this rule was in effect. A bunch of teams hadn't followed the rule. In the end, four players were declared free agents, including San Diego State first baseman Travis Lee (No. 2, Twins), Texas high school righthander John Patterson (No. 5, Expos) and Pennsylvania high school righthander Matt White (No. 7, Giants) Florida high school lefthander Bobby Seay (No. 12, White Sox). They were the first U.S. players ever to gain free agency in the summer in which they were drafted. Tampa signed White for a $10.2 million bonus and Seay for $3 million, while the Diamondbacks signed Lee for $10 million and Patterson for $6.075 million. The top pick in the draft in 1996 - Kirk Bensen - got a $2M signing bonus. BA has a good write up on this and other draft hold outs here: http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/top-10-draft-holdouts-time/#000YMDdvfFHH0kP7.99 Wow thanks that's really interesting!
  10. Saw some guys in the industry gave him a 7 future hit tool. Do you guys see that? I Also I think he has the capacity to replace Thames at 1B in the very near future!
  11. You are correct that it doesn't count against the draft bonus pool. Without knowing the exact details of the failed physical it is difficult to assess his value. It is interesting that the Orioles didn't make the minimum 40% offer which would have prevented Jack Conlon from becoming a free agent, but they weren't going to get the 4th round pick back regardless since it is unprotected. They did the kid a huge favor as he is now possibly looking at a deal in the millions. I am really curious to see how this plays out. Also agree that it would be great to see the Brewers take a shot if they have less concerns about the medicals. Is this one of the first instances of an American born amateur player getting UFA status? Can't think of a precedent before this. If I'm him I forgo college. It could really be his only opportunity to cash in this significantly.
  12. IIRC Conlon is unrestricted so it doesn't count against a team's bonus pool. Wouldn't mind throwing a couple million (because it's not my money) at him. Could be a savvy move. Would be nice getting another player in the top 250. He's ranked 175 on MLB and 239 on Baseball America.
  13. Count me in the Dan Straily fanclub
  14. NO! Let me preface this by saying I don't mind using Brinson as a trade chip for the RIGHT PIECE. Q is solid but doesn't move the needle enough for the price it will take to acquire him. He's also been inconsistent, much rather have more of a sure thing if I'm dealing Brinson. FWIW I talked to someone connected that puts Brinson in his top 5 in all of baseball. Feels like he could be a legit 30/30 candidate, and that his pitch recognition has improved. Still some swing and miss, but he was "very encouraged by the strides he's made." You make room in a crowded OF for a talent like Brinson.
  15. Count me in for a Marco Estrada reunion if the price is right.
  16. Wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy too much to give up for Gray. He's a solid MOR pitcher, but not the ace he was pegged to be three years ago. Holy crap that trade would be a disaster.
  17. You really hate Corey Ray don't you.
  18. What? How in the world can anyone describe Lucroy as 'greedy'?? He was offered an extension to stay here for fair compensation. He didn't sign because he didn't see a contending team. He decided to bet on himself and lost... big league.
  19. In house. I really don't believe were headed for a playoff run, so don't waste future assets.
  20. I am sure they could. Jean Segura had that value despite 2.5 years of terrible performance and only a half season of stardom. Jonathan Villar has had success before coming here and was an offensive force all of last year. Personally I would expect more than what we got for Segura. I'd like to retract my earlier post. After thinking about it, I don't think Villar's value is all that high and will only go lower as a part time player. He's arby eligible and without options. His 2016 numbers will boost his arby award to where I'm not sure the Brewers won't non-tender him. I disagree that "he had success before coming here". He was a .236/.300/.353 hitter as an Astro where he came up on perhaps the worst team of this century, the 2013 Houston team that lost 111 games. Stearns probably saw him as the perfect tanking team player when he surrendered fringe prospect Cy Sneed for him. Get the 2017 version of Cy Sneed and appreciate the $20 million mistake was avoided and move on. Dubon is only a year away remember. Good lord no, I agree he's had a bad start to this year. Last year he was an offensive cornerstone, so he could turn it around the next half. Why jettison him for pennies when he's got team control?
  21. 2nd rounder Caden Lemons has reached a deal to sign with the Brewers
  22. Hypothetically couldn't he join the T-Rats and DH, and by the time the playoffs come round send him to the OR, so he's ready for spring. I like the idea of him getting his feet wet in pro ball this season, and depending on how he's doing he could jump to Carolina or stay in Appleton next year at 100%.
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