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paul253

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Everything posted by paul253

  1. paul253
    Michael Young is the kind of guy who will get you 2-3 more wins than a Morris/Halton platoon. Unfortunately, all that will do is move our 2015 draft pick back a few spots. I just can't get excited over this, especially if he's given anything more than a one year contract.
  2. paul253
    So, Henson, Knight and Giannis are getting good minutes and experience, and they're still managing to lose. Success on both ends! As bad as this team is now I think there is a light at the end of the tunnel. Henson, Knight and Giannis all have nice potential and it's looking real good for a top 3 pick in next year's draft (meaning we walk away with one of Randle, Wiggins, Parker or Smart). I'm still holding out hope that the Bucks can squeeze and extra first rounder out of Ersan or maybe Mayo.
  3. paul253
    I wish they'd do that for parking too. Parking prices are getting ridiculous.
  4. paul253
    When it comes to Rogers though, what reason is there to believe that he's still a legitimate prospect? No we are talking about Jason Rogers, the first basemen who was the Brewers minor league player of the league last season. Not the injury plagued Mark Rogers.
  5. paul253
    All 3 proved they could play when given the chance but Morris hasn't shown nearly enough at AAA to have warranted a chance yet and I want to see what Rogers does at AAA to. Neither are top prospects and if they play great and earn a shot great, but the Brewers shouldn't decide to not sign someone just cause they have Morris or Rogers. Now whether or not Loney on a 2 or 3 year deal would be a good sign is another debate, but they shouldn't not sign him due to Morris or Rogers That's why I'd be ok taking someone for a year. But what if you sign Loney to a 2 year deal and either Morris or Rogers has a breakout year in Nashville? There is essentially no chance they'd get a legit shot at first base in 2015. Just look at what happened to Taylor Green. Minor league player of the year in Nashville. .300+ average. 20+ home runs. And he was never even given a shot because the Brewers took the shortsighted approach of signing Ramirez thinking he'd be their savior. While he put up decent numbers when healthy, the Brewers were nowhere near contention these past two years with him and his salary is weighing us down right now. Neither Rogers nor Morris is ready right now so go ahead and grab a guy for a year. But whether you like it or not (I sure don't) Morris and Rogers are two of our top position prospects. Milwaukee has got to allow them an opportunity if they play well. If not, then tackle the problem again next year. Loney isn't a long term solution anyway as he'll turn 30 a month into next season.
  6. paul253
    I'd be ok with Loney but if the Brewers do anything other than a one year deal with anyone I'll be upset. It will be yet another instance of blocking a prospect with an average major league player in a shortsighted attempt to improve a bad team. Think about this. While the Brewers may have issues at first base this year, their last two minor league players of the year were both first basemen (Rogers and Morris) and they are both now at AAA. I realize that Morris and Rogers are far from sure things but you can't keep blocking your own guys. By signing someone to a two year deal you are essentially mitigating Morris to the Mat Gamel/Taylor Green treatment.
  7. paul253
    I heard the Yankees are looking for a second basemen. I'd give them a call.
  8. paul253
    We do? Nothing against Logan Schafer, but he has career 5th outfielder written all over him, not starting center fielder. On top of Schafer we also have Braun, Gindl, and Davis. None of them are natural centerfielders but Gindl could probably handle it with Schafer as a late inning defensive replacement. Exactly. You aren't trading Gomez unless there were trades or will be more trades of anyone making money the next two years for the Brewers This makes no sense to me. The Brewers, even with moving Gomez, would presumably have a good enough offense to compete. They'd still have Braun, Ramirez, Segura, and Lucroy and could get significant contributions from Khris Davis and Scooter Gennett. Plus there'd probably be an upgrade at first base. The whole point of moving Gomez would be to improve the rotation. So if you have a decent offense with an improved rotation the team should be better than they were last year. The key would to be able to obtain other younger guys that can help out. Getting a young third basemen would be great. Maybe that would be something that can be addressed in next years draft. As for possible deals. How about: a) Gomez for Walker straight up. b) Gomez, Ramirez, and cash for Paxton, Seagar and Carter Capps.
  9. paul253
    Do you want the Brewers front office to look for a slap hitter to play firstbase instead of someone with power? There is something between power with nothing else and slap hitter with no power. We don't have to settle for a .220 hitter just because he can hit a home run.
  10. paul253
    I call it the "Bill Hall" syndrome. Of course not every player is Bill Hall. You should call it the "Bill Hall/John Axford/Casey McGehee/Nyger Morgan/Derrick Turnbow/Wes Helms/Jim Henderson/Kyle Lohse why on earth would we trade someone who just had a good year even though their numbers were out of line career norms oops his trade value just plummeted because we held onto him too long" syndrome. I know that's a bit of an exaggeration and not all of those guys had a ton of trade value. I'm just so sick of this attitude the Brewers front office seems to have that if anyone ever has a good year they absolutely positively cannot be traded (unless of course they only have one year left on their contract). Clearly the Brewers cannot afford premium pitching on the FA market. Clearly they are having a very, very hard time developing their own. And clearly the Brewers need pitching to compete. There are only so many options left if you can't sign or develop premium pitching. You are pretty much down to trading for it. Well trading for premium pitching, especially cost controlled premium is going to cost you......a lot. The Brewers have a few guys capable of bringing back that type of talent. I'd say Braun (whose value is way down), Lucroy and Segura (neither of whom we have a capable replacement for above A ball) and of course Gomez. Gomez just had a breakout year, as opposed to consistently having good years, and we have a surplus of outfielders. So it stands to reason that IF the Brewers want to get premium, cost controlled pitching now trading Carlos Gomez is their best option.
  11. paul253
    Blengino said Zduriencik became obsessed with power hitters, ignoring defense, baserunning and roster construction. This is the part that stuck out to me. This seems to describe the Brewers. Juan Francisco anyone? This sounds exactly like what the Brewers are doing now and explains their apparent interest in guys like Ike Davis and Logan Morrison.
  12. paul253
    I don't see why Seattle would need to add another prospect. I'd take Paxton and Franklin and run away. If you take Franklin you might as well give them Gennett because they'd be no place for him in Milwaukee. He's useless a backup because he can't play 3rd or SS.
  13. paul253
    Trout may be worth more than Miller Park. Insane. Not just Trout. Ten years of Trout. The money athletes get is just insane. An old, well past his prime Carlos Beltran is next season going to make about 6x more money than most people will make in their entire lifetime.
  14. paul253
    I'd think I'd take Walker straight up for Gomez. I was never really sold on Gomez and I think he's still a bit overrated. That being said, he should be able to bring back an elite prospect. I'd also strongly considering taking Hultzen and maybe one lower level player for Gomez assuming Hultzen is healthy. Hultzen has tremendous minor league numbers and we are really hurting for lefties. As far as Braun goes I just don't think the time is right to move him. This is the kind of player who was putting up Hall of Fame type numbers before his suspension. If he can prove those numbers were not dependent on PED's his value could really shoot up again. His contract is reasonable and we have him for like 7 more years so there is no need to rush a trade. All this being said, everyone knows Melvin isn't going to do this, especially not that Aoki has been traded. He should do it but he won't.
  15. paul253
    I'm not sure why they'd consider him as a starter. He is clearly a better pitcher as a reliever than a starter.
  16. paul253
    This is a move to put you over the top not one to help you compete, which is where the Brewers are now. Beside, if TB is going to trade one of the best pitchers in baseball they'll want elite prospects in return. Hellweg has shown no ability at all to throw strikes. Haniger struggled big time in A ball and Taylor, while he had a nice year, is not an elite prospect. No way does TB do this deal. Milwaukee (thankfully) does not have what it takes to get Price.
  17. paul253
    I don't want to give Hart a guaranteed two years. I'd only include that second year if it were an at-bat based incentive. On top of not knowing how his surgically repaired knee is going to hold up there's always a chance that Hunter Morris will have a good year. The last thing this club needs is for Morris to hit close to .300 with 20 home runs only to have him blocked by a under-performing veteran.
  18. paul253
    Gennett's not a poor hitter, just not a power hitter I kind of wanted to stop the Gennett talk on the Aoki board but this is essentially my argument. Nobody is claiming that Gennett will be the next Miguel Cabrera but to say he is a bad hitter is just not true. Logan you seem to equate "bad" with "no power". You can't just look at OPS to determine how good of a hitter someone is, unless of course you want to argue that Juan Francisco had a better year offensively than Aoki did. He hasn't really done anything to make people think he can hit well outside of a couple months in 2013. Again, I just don't get this. In his WORST year in the minors he hit .280 with a .327 OBP, and that was only through 79 games while moving up and down between Milwaukee and Nashville. I'm sorry but even over the course of a full season those are not bad numbers.
  19. paul253
    Honestly, I'd rather just see Gamel get another crack at 1B than give up anything to get Morrison. Apparently Melvin feels otherwise as he released Gamel. He plays for Chicago now.
  20. paul253
    I've read that some people have some concerns about Parker. I think the best bet would be to have a top 2 pick and walk about with Marcus Smart. They have some potential up front and Smart would really upgrade the back court. If they could somehow turn an guy like Ilyasova into a second lottery pick and grab either a SG or a SF like Wayne Seldon or Glenn Robinson III (that'd be pretty cool to get him) they could really start to turn things around.
  21. paul253
    So you say that you expect him to have a .310-.320 OBP but don't understand why people don't want him batting higher than 7th? I think if he bats second both his BA and his OBP will be higher. He'll see better pitches. but he's not a very good hitter What is this based on? Certainly not what he's done in the minor leagues or his brief major league career. So it must be projections. Again, how long before we stop looking at projections and start looking at what he has actually done? For someone who is not a very good hitter he had much better numbers than both Segura and Aoki last season, though admittedly in only about half the at bats. Nobody is arguing that Segura and Aoki are not very good hitters. and once he stops being cheap/the team starts competing he's a player that you would be looking to replace. By the time he stops being cheap we'll have a much better idea of what kind of player he is. If he is not worth the money than hopefully we'll have a replacement for him. Would Robbie Erlin be enough for Aoki if dealt to the Padres? I know we need a lefty but just looking at the available pitchers it seems like Burch Smith has a higher upside. He had very good minor league numbers and at 23 could always head to Nashville to work on his secondary pitches. But I think this is probably about we can expect in return for Aoki.
  22. paul253
    Expecting Gennett to hit .324 is ridiculous considering he hit .288 combined in the minors the last two years with an average OBP under .330 and a SLG% well under .400. Nobody is expecting him to do that. But again, I just don't understand why, even after watching him do it, people still act like he does not have the talent to be a major league regular. To be honest, I'd expect him over the course of a full season to hit somewhere around .270-.280 with maybe a .310-.320 OBP. Certainly not all star numbers but what the alternative? Rickie Weeks and his $11 million salary hitting under .240 for the third straight year? Go out and sign a free agent to play second base? Gennett is capable of being the every day second basemen. Ideally he'll hit better against lefties and learn to draw more walks but I see no reason to worry about him at this point.
  23. paul253
    Gennett shouldn't bat any higher than 7th. He shouldn't be getting a lot of PA's a year. Why not? No offense but I can't stand attitudes like this. All the guy did in the minors was hit and people said he shouldn't play in the majors because he doesn't profile as a major league regular. Then, due to injury, he becomes a major league regular and, again, all he does is hit. I get it, he's small. He doesn't draw walks. He will never hit for much power. But give the guy some credit. A .324 average over 213 at bats for a rookie is damn good. Rickie Weeks has been a dud the last two years. He was never a very good hitter to begin with. Gennett deserves a chance. And honestly if he's hitting #2 ahead of Braun, Ramirez and Gomez he's going to see a lot of hittable pitches. I think it's time we stop looking at what kind of player he profiles as and start looking at what kind of player he actually is.
  24. paul253
    I don't know about 10-15 wins but he's not talking about losing 1 player. He's talking about losing 3 and probably your 3 best hitters. Didn't we actually play better without Braun than with him?
  25. paul253
    I just look at there career norms. Even though someone like Ramirez is clearly on the back end of his career? And Corey Hart's career numbers don't include seasons after a major knee surgery? Also, do you look at everyone's career norms or just that players who did bad? Gomez was a .285/.338/.506 last year but his career numbers over 7 seasons are .255/.305/.406. Are you expecting him to put up career norms next year too? I don't see nearly as many "if's" as you do. It's not that I see a lot of "if's". It's that I see three really big ones: 1) IF this team stays healthy (which they didn't last year) 2) IF everyone who had a bad year (Weeks, Ramirez, Gallardo, Hart) comes back and improves and 3) IF the young players (most notably Peralta, Segura, Estrada and a not-as-young Gomez) build off of last year as opposed to stalling or taking a step back IF all three things happen than yes, this team may be ok.....next year. But then, since there is no long-term plan, you almost have to start over again in 2015 by most likely replacing Hart and Ramirez. For what it's worth I don't think you need to blow this team up either. I just think you need to make one or two really big moves to get the ace type pitcher we have yet to develop in over a decade with Melvin at the helm.
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