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Everything posted by Spencer Michaelis
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Jason Wang wrote about Wiemer’s current issues last Friday. Now that we’ve established some of the problems with his swing, how can Wiemer’s swing be fixed? Surely, it will take a huge overhaul, right? At least for now, the solution may not be as complicated as you would think. Before diving into that, we need to note that a swing change (beyond some minor tweaks) for a hitter is a big deal, especially when it is done at the Major League level and in the middle of a season. Coaches do not take it lightly, and players do not want to do it prematurely. Joey Wiemer is a contributor to a Major League Baseball club that is competing for a playoff spot. He flew through the minor league system over the last two seasons. Wiemer’s swing did not hold him back during that ascension, and there is risk involved in going away from the swing that brought him to this level. This is not to say that Wiemer shouldn’t be open to and willing to change but to point out some of the potential reasons we haven’t seen any major changes implemented, at least to this point. As Jason pointed out in his article last week, Wiemer’s hands move quite a bit more than most hitters. You’d be hard-pressed to find anybody in baseball who moves their hands as much as Wiemer does during his load. Going from above his head to his shoulders, almost all the way down to his waist, and then back up to his shoulders. While a number of concerns could be raised from this excessive hand movement, the common denominator in almost all of those concerns is that this many moving parts make it extremely hard for Wiemer to be in the correct “launch position” at the correct time. When they begin to move to the ball, the launch position is where a hitter wants, or more accurately, needs to be. Hitters want to be consistent with their launch position because any inconsistency with it is going to, in turn, cause inconsistency in the hitter's timing. Because of the movement with Wiemer’s hands, he rarely “fires” from the ideal spot and struggles to be on time. The Fix The question then becomes, how can the Brewers and Wiemer fix this issue? I believe that the fix is much more straightforward than it may appear. I believe most of Wiemer’s issues can be solved by putting him into a metaphorical time machine and sending him back to August and September of 2022 when he was playing for the Brewers Triple-A affiliate, the Nashville Sounds. Using one of the videos Jason posted in his article, we can see where Wiemer may have gone wrong at the MLB level and why his hand movement could be causing it. The first screenshot shows where Wiemer is at as the pitch is being released. The second shows him close to his true “launch position.” Consider that the amount of time a player has to react to a 90 MPH fastball is 0.4 seconds. However, the human brain and eye will take around 0.25 seconds to process what they see. This means a hitter has around 0.15 seconds to react and decide. Now, consider that Wiemer is not in the correct launch position until the ball is nearly halfway to the plate. Because of this, he has to begin “firing” his hands the moment he gets to that position. It leaves him with no time to react and essentially forces him to sell out for a fastball if he wants to be on time for it. Now, with those screenshots in mind, take a look at the video below. This is a full at-bat of Wiemer’s while he was in Triple-A last season, and when you watch it, keep an eye out for a few different things in both his setup and his load. First, you will likely notice the setup seems a lot simpler. He stands at the plate with his back leg already pre-set into his load. His bat is resting flatly on his shoulder. When he begins his load, the furthest his bat tilt gets is about 80 degrees, which is a pretty common occurrence with hitters around the league, and his hands remain around chest high or above. In 2023, he is at times getting to nearly 180 degrees with that tilt, and as was mentioned earlier, his hands will often drop to his beltline or below. When he actually gets to the point where he needs to make his decision to either take or pull the trigger on a swing, you will notice that with all of those previously mentioned factors working in his favor, Wiemer gets himself into his launch position when the ball is much closer to the release than in the screenshot shown earlier. Because of that, he is able to attack pitches that he likes, and it is easier for him to adjust to pitches that he can’t do much with. Using the video above, these are screenshots from Wiemer at the same points in his swing as the one from the Pirates video that was used earlier. At first glance, there isn’t a huge difference, and the difference in camera angles is not making it any easier. The only somewhat noticeable difference is that he was able to get to that ever-important launch position with the ball a bit further away from home plate. Those few feet can make all the difference for a hitter and their timing or adjustability. Not only is Wiemer’s timing causing him to have to sell out for the fastball in 2023, and still struggling to be consistently on time for the heater, but selling out for the fastball takes all of that previously mentioned adjustability out of his swing, and makes it very tough to make solid contact against any offspeed pitches. Having to start their swing earlier also makes it extremely difficult for a hitter to abort their swing and keep their hands back enough to avoid going after a breaking ball out of the zone. As Jason pointed out last week, Wiemer’s numbers against breaking balls show this very clearly, as he is swinging and missing close to 40% of the time. Run Value BA wOBA Whiff% K% Slider -8 .160 .221 37.4 28.3 Curveball -4 .217 .240 46.5 43.8 Sweeper -5 .083 .144 34.0 32.0 Wiemer is an elite athlete, and because of this, he still gets the barrel to the ball with more regularity than you might expect. Unfortunately, as someone like Christian Yelich has demonstrated many times over the last few years, poor timing trumps solid contact the majority of the time. A player who is late on their swing is unlikely to be catching the ball out in front and thus will struggle to create lift. As we have seen with Wiemer, his ground ball rate has largely coincided with his success, or lack thereof, so far in 2023. Wiemer’s best month of the season thus far came in June, when he posted a very strong wOBA of .360 over the course of the month. He also posted a season-low 35% ground ball rate in June. Wiemer is unlikely to completely overhaul his swing and suddenly become a mild-mannered gentleman in the box. His swing will most likely always have a bit of a “caveman swinging a club” aggressiveness to it, and there will always be swing-and-miss to his game. However, a return to the setup and load that he used in Nashville would go a long way toward limiting his hand movement, allowing him to get to his launch position more consistently, and that would allow him to not only be on time more often but also leave him some room for adjustability. We should never expect Wiemer’s swing to be one that coaches will teach to kids or one that kids will want to emulate. The good news is that you don’t win style points in baseball. Hunter Pence has been somebody that Wiemer was compared to while he was coming up through the system. Pence had a fantastic career despite his very interesting hitting mechanics. In the end, a swing has to work for the hitter. There is no cookie-cutter way to build a swing. There are certain non-negotiables, though, and being able to be on time is the biggest non-negotiable out there. Along with the timing aspect of things, one piece that probably isn’t talked about enough with young players, in general, is that there will be an adjustment period for them at the Major League level. Then, once they adjust, the pitchers will adjust to them, and the young hitters will have to undergo another adjustment period. Wiemer is likely more susceptible to longer adjustment periods due to all the moving parts discussed in this article and Jason’s article. It should also be noted that, despite it not being the most appealing swing in the world, there are plenty of good qualities with Wiemer’s swing as well. His bat path is actually in a pretty good place, and as long as he gets moving on time, his bat stays in the zone for a long time. His stride isn’t simple, but he is pretty consistent with it and does a decent job limiting his head movement during his stride. To go along with those qualities in his mechanics, he definitely has the bat speed and the power to be a solid hitter in the majors. If he can get back to a slightly simpler load and get through these adjustment periods, the bat could develop into a consistent threat with his elite defense and speed. Wiemer’s ceiling is as high as anybody's if the bat does come around.
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Jackson Chourio Came out of the struggles early on, maybe even stronger than any time in his dominant 2022. Future superstar. Jeferson Quero Nothing much has changed since he was injured most of July. I have always been a huge Quero fan, and this year has cemented him as a top 50 (minimally) prospect in all of baseball. Sal Frelick Just an unbelievable start to his MLB career. His defense and arm always felt underrated by the prospect teams and he sure has showed that. The hit tool is legit, though I'm not expecting the power output to continue at nearly this pace. Jacob Misiorowski The command concerns have reared their ugly head in AA. That's to be expected. I love that they're challenging him. He's adjusted better the last couple of starts and the strikeout numbers are still great. After an adjustment period, I still expect big things. Tyler Black Finally in AAA, the bat is legit. The glove is looking closer to being *ok* at a few spots. It'll be a bat first profile that I still won't rule out seeing this season. Luis Lara His bat has slowed a bit. Not shocking, as he's likely never played this many games. His glove has remained elite though. It's a plus glove in center, and I don't worry about the bat as he continues to mature and get stronger. Eric Brown Jr He's still hurt, but I'm still a huge fan of his. I am anticipating a breakout similar to Black's this year, as long as he stays healthy. I'd expect him to go to the AZ Fall League like Black did, and use that as a jumping off point. Robert Gasser He's ready for big league innings. He's been very solid in a ridiculous AAA hitting environment. Cooper Pratt My favorite pick of the draft, there is a chance he could be special, and even if all of it doesn't come together, he has so many different abilities, it gives him a lot of potential paths to the big leagues. Carlos F Rodriguez Still dominating AA, probably ready for AAA but likely hitting an innings limit for the season. Maybe a cup of coffee in AAA for his last couple starts. Brock Wilken Already growing on me. Think his approach borders on passive (rather than patient), but whiffs likely won't be as big an issue as you'd expect with his huge power. Still not sure I see him sticking at 3B long term. Josh Knoth Nothing's changed since July. Hoping we get at least one appearance in the ACL, but if not, it's still the second best pure stuff in the system behind Misiorowski. Mike Boeve I loved Boeve in the draft, and he certainly isn't doing anything to deter that! I knew there was more power in there, but even I wasn't expecting 112 MPH exit velos on homers already. I want to see the glove and how he handles defensive spots, but hard not to be excited by his start. Luke Adams I really like Luke Adams. He would've been an easy top 10 guy in the system most years. He also borders on passive at times, but the ability to make hard contact and avoid whiffs at his age and already in full season ball is legit. He's a ridiculous athlete for his size. I think we're talking about a guy who would be getting future first round buzz if he made it to Michigan State. Eric Bitonti Absolutely huge power from a guy who is still 17. His swing and miss will be something to watch, but I don't think it'll be as bad as you might expect. Abner Uribe Throws triple digits with movement and a great slider too. Likely the Brewers future closer. Logan Henderson Huge Henderson fan. Fastball velo has improved this year and it's the best changeup in the system. Hope to see him moved up to Appleton to make a few starts this season. Daniel Guilarte Just a really good glove and bat to ball skills. Heady player in the field and on the bases. Needs to tap into a little more power by elevating more, but all the tools are there. Yophery Rodriguez Ridiculous 1.4 BB/K ratio in the DSL. Big power, and the batted ball profile has improved over the course of the season. Could see a Lara/Chourio type breakout next year, especially if he skips the ACL like they did. Bradley Blalock Still pretty surprised the Brewers got someone this interesting for Urias. This is a guy with a plus fastball and breaking ball and another solid breaking ball. Rule 5 eligible and I imagine he will be protected. Hoping to see him in AA this year. I still can't believe how well the Brewers did in this past draft. Just an unbelievable haul, and the fact all of them are off to good starts isn't hurting the hype. The system is in the best place it's been since the Weeks/Fielder/Hardy/Hart days. Depth is there, high end talent is there. It's a top 10 farm in the league, if not closer to top 5. Just for fun, here's the rest of my current Top 50: 21. Hendry Mendez OF 22. Patricio Aquino RHP 23. Dylan O'Rae INF/OF 24. Matthew Wood C 25. Juan Baez INF 26. Tyler Woessner RHP 27. Ryan Birchard RHP 28. Robert Moore 2B 29. Tayden Hall C 30. Will Rudy RHP 31. Evan McKendry RHP 32. Blake Perkins OF 33. Filippo Di Turi SS 34. Alexander Cornielle RHP 35. Jace Avina OF 36. Kevin Ereu SS 37. Freddy Zamora SS 38. Quinton Low RHP/1B 39. Jesus Rivero RHP 40. Stiven Cruz RHP 41. Edwin Jimenez RHP 42. Jadher Areinamo 3B 43. Luis Castillo OF 44. Gregory Barrios SS 45. Satchell Norman C 46. Clayton Andrews LHP 47. Noah Campbell UTIL 48. Bishop Letson RHP 49. Josh Adamczewski SS 50. Craig Yoho RHP
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Wasn't sure where else to put this, but Just Baseball (who does good work and has a good podcast as well), released their updated top 100 prospects and the Brewers had six make the list. Lots of good tidbits in the article. #3 Jackson Chourio 65 FV #12 Jeferson Quero 60 FV #38 Sal Frelick 55 FV #55 Jacob Misiorowski 55+ FV #63 Luis Lara 55 FV #71 Tyler Black 55 FV Link to the article: https://www.justbaseball.com/prospects/mlb-top-100-prospects-2023/
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August Prospect Voting Time!
Spencer Michaelis replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
@Brock Beauchamp Can we get Bradley Blalock added please? -
I agree with this. I think showing him how much work he still has to do to be ready for the big leagues is very helpful. And if he would've happened to continue dominating? Then they may have kept pushing him. Hard to see any negatives that come from this. If he loses his confidence because of this stint, it probably was never going to work out anyway. In general, I'm a huge fan of pushing players quickly and challenging them. I think it's a big part of what has made the Braves successful with their development. You learn more about players through failure than you do from them dominating, in my opinion. Chourio battling for a couple months before dominating has me even more excited about his future than if he'd just continued to perform.
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- mike boeve
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He's played almost every day... Which is really the point with him. I feel like the extra innings game the other day was a perfect example of what he allows them to do. He pinch hit, then went to right field for an inning or two. Then they ran Perkins for Santana, because they knew Canha could go play first, which he did in the 10th. His first 23 PA's as a Brewer haven't been an upgrade offensively, but his .725 OPS with the Mets would (unfortunately) be a pretty big upgrade over what we've had at DH and RF outside of Frelick, and frankly even first base outside of Santana. There's plenty of logic behind the move in my opinion. Just going to need him to provide similar output to what he gave the Mets.
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Appreciate you reading! The Brewers have done a good job filling their lower levels with a lot of intriguing arms. They won't all work out, but it gives them a bunch of lottery tickets and the odds are they'll find a few MLB arms in that group!
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- yerlin rodriguez
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Brewers Minor League Relief Pitcher of the Month - July 2023
Spencer Michaelis posted an article in Minor Leagues
We close out our Brewers Minor League Player of the Month series with our Top 5 Relief Pitchers for the month of July. While June was a dominant month for the relievers in the system, July was a bit of a step back, though there were still five that stood out above the rest, as well as a couple honorable mentions. HONORABLE MENTIONS RHP - Gerson Calzadilla - ACL Brewers - 7 G, 16.1 IP, 2-0, 1.65 ERA, 4.87 FIP, 1.16 WHIP, 13 H , 6 BB, 20 K RHP - Jeferson Figueroa - Carolina Mudcats - 6 G, 12.0 IP, 0-0, 1.50 ERA, 4.76 FIP, 1.17 WHIP, 8 H , 6 BB, 12 K. TOP FIVE RELIEF PITCHERS FOR JULY #5 RHP - Yerlin Rodriguez - Carolina Mudcats - 8 G, 10.2 IP, 0-0, 2.53 ERA, 2.55 FIP, 1.13 WHIP, 9 H , 3 BB, 12 K, 6 SV Unranked by all publications Signed as part of the Brewers 2019 international signing class, Rodriguez is in possession of some of the highest velo readings in the Brewers system this year. His fastball regularly sits in the upper 90’s and has been touching triple digits with relative regularity too. It works well up in the zone, though he also seems to throw a fastball with a bit more sink at times. His slider is a wipeout offering that has reached 3000 RPM’s a number of times. It’s a very similar profile to that of Abner Uribe, though he doesn’t quite have the ability to reach 102+ like Uribe was during his time in Carolina. Unfortunately for Rodriguez, he also has similar issues with throwing strikes to those that Uribe battled throughout his minor-league career. Rodriguez made some big strides in terms of limiting walks in July. He only walked three in his 10 2/3 innings pitched. He was given the closer role for the Mudcats early on, and he rewarded them with an organizational-high six saves on the month. His month was highlighted by his July 20th outing against the White Sox affiliate, Kannapolis Cannonballers. That night, he recorded a save while allowing one hit, but striking out the side around that hit. His first save on July 7th included a web gem of his own, as well as him touching triple digits. Take a look at the video below. Rodriguez just turned 21, but he has been in the organization for a while now and is getting close to his Rule 5 date. Considering his raw stuff, he will likely be pushed next season to see how he handles the assignments. This year though, it seems safe to assume he will remain in the closer role for Carolina and continue to work on commanding his pitches. #4 RHP - Tanner Shears - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - 9 G, 9.1 IP, 1-0, 1.93 ERA, 4.76 FIP, 0.97 WHIP, 6 H , 7 BB, 14 K, 3 SV Unranked by all publications An independent league signing by the Brewers this past offseason, Shears has continued to work through some command issues all season. He has really good stuff. His splitter is a borderline elite pitch that completely kills spin and sits around 83-86. His fastball has arm side run, but sits mid-90's and touches higher. It does a great job riding up in the zone and plays well with the big splitter. He also mixes in a slider as a solid third pitch that gets some sweep in the mid-80's as well. Shears struck out a lot of batters in May, but also walked a lot and gave up his fair share of hits too. The results were a little fluky as the FIP indicates, but with his pure stuff, he can get himself into and out of danger. In July, Shears had his best appearance on July 4th. He went 2 1/3 scoreless innings that night, striking out four and only allowing one baserunner. Shears then recorded his first save as a Timber Rattler later in the week with a dominant 1-2-3 inning that featured two punch outs. Shears is 24 years old, and the command issues are pretty legitimate, but he has the type of stuff you find in MLB relievers. He will likely be pushed relatively quickly. Similar to Yerlin Rodriguez, if Shears can hone in the strike zone a bit more consistently there could be a future high leverage arm here. #3 RHP - Jesus Rivero - Carolina Mudcats - 4 G, 13.0 IP, 0-0, 1.38 ERA, 3.45 FIP, 1.00 WHIP, 4 H , 9 BB, 18 K, 3 SV. Unranked by all publications RIvero was a member of the Brewers’ 2021 International signing class. He possesses some of the best pure stuff in the Brewers minor league system. He uses a fastball, slider, changeup, and what appears to be a sinker as his primary mix. Fastball readings have been few and far between on broadcasts, but the few that have been announced have been in the 94-95 range. He likely has reached back for a bit extra as well. The ball explodes out of his hand. It seems to have some of the Brandon Woodruff characteristics on it, where it’s a “heavy” pitch that can still be thrown up in the zone. The slider has been his go to put-away pitch in two-strike counts for both lefties and righties. In fact, throwing it to the back foot of lefties has probably been more effective than throwing it away from righties. His changeup has a very big drop in velocity, down to the low 80’s. His command in general is not where you’d want it to be, but the changeup in particular has been a struggle for him so far. As mentioned above, command has been a bit of a concern for Rivero so far and the walk numbers in July certainly show that. However, five of his nine walks came in his first four innings of the month. He walked, a much more respectable, four batters in his final nine innings. The strikeout numbers were there all month, as he struck out at least a batter per inning in all four of his appearances. His best outing of the month came on July 27th when he pitched the final four innings of the game. He only allowed two baserunners, one on a hit by pitch and the other on a walk, but he struck out seven and recorded his third save of the month. Rivero’s stuff is going to start drawing more attention now that he is in full-season ball. He will need to rein in the command to at least a respectable number of free passes, but this is one of the more talented arms in all of minor league baseball. His stays at each level may not be all that long. #2 RHP - Shane Smith - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - 7 G, 12.2 IP, 1-0, 0.71 ERA, 3.24 FIP, 0.63 WHIP, 4 H , 4 BB, 14 K, 2 SV Unranked by all publications Smith was a member of the undrafted class following the 2021 draft, signed out of Wake Forest, where he had been their closer in 2020. Unfortunately for Smith he was in the midst of Tommy John rehab during the draft, which played a big role in him not being selected. Prior to this 2023 season, he had only thrown three professional innings at the complex level. Armed with a mid-90’s fastball and a sharp curveball that he often goes to as his “out’ pitch, Smith also mixes in a cutter that shows good shape and life as well. He may also be mixing in a slider, but it’s very possible that those are just cutters that are generating a bit more movement than average. He has had a very strong season overall, and his July was a continuation of that. As he has all season, Smith was often used multiple innings at a time, Smith not only used his three-pitch mix to rack up more than a strikeout per inning, but also to keep the baseball off the barrel of his opponents. Having allowed three home runs in the first two months, Smith did not allow a single extra base hit in June. In July, Smith allowed one home run, but that was the only extra base hit he gave up. He was once again using his curveball when he was in strikeout counts and it continues to perform very well for him in those situations. His cutter is the pitch to contact pitch and he does a good job keeping it off of barrels. Smith’s month was highlighted by his July 15th outing against the Cardinals High-A affiliate. That Friday night, he threw two perfect innings and was able to punch out three. That was probably his best appearance but you really could have picked any of his seven appearances. He never allowed more than one hit, nor did he ever allow more than two baserunners total. After his very successful June, Smith was promoted to High-A Wisconsin and he just kept on trucking in July. He may have a chance to touch Double-A this year. #1 RHP - Sam Gardner - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - 6 G, 14.1 IP, 1-0, 0.00 ERA, 3.10 FIP, 0.58 WHIP, 5 H , 2 BB, 14 K, 1 SV Unranked by all publications Gardner graduated from Murray State in 2021, and after going undrafted, he signed with the Gateway Grizzlies of the Frontier League. The Brewers purchased his contract from the Grizzlies in early June and after a slow start in his first few appearances, he has been unhittable for a month and a half now. Gardner throws a low 90’s fastball that will get up to 94 at times and 95 once or twice. The fastball works well at the top of the zone. He plays off of that fastball with a curveball that sits in the high 70’s and he can both land it for strikes as well as throw it out of the zone to get hitters to chase. It’s his put-away pitch, and might even be his primary pitch. It’s probably around a 50-50 split in terms of usage. At times the fastball will show more run on it than usual, unable to tell if that’s on purpose or if it just happens from time to time. Gardner’s best appearance of the month came on July 23rd against Dayton, a Reds affiliate. In that appearance he threw 3 1/3 scoreless innings while striking out four. He didn’t have any free passes and only allowed two baserunners overall, both on ground ball singles. Gardner limited hard contact all month, and in that appearance the only ball that left the bat with anything on it was one of the ground ball singles. At 26 years old, Gardner should probably be getting a chance to see Double-A this year and see him in a more age-appropriate environment. For now all he can do is dominate High-A and he certainly did that in July. Thanks for following along with this three part series on the Brewers minor league system. Please let us know your thoughts in the comments. We hope you learn something new each time around!- 3 comments
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Yesterday, Brewer Fanatic named our choices for minor-league position player and starting pitcher of the month. Today, we conclude the monthly series by looking at the top relievers in the system in July. We close out our Brewers Minor League Player of the Month series with our Top 5 Relief Pitchers for the month of July. While June was a dominant month for the relievers in the system, July was a bit of a step back, though there were still five that stood out above the rest, as well as a couple honorable mentions. HONORABLE MENTIONS RHP - Gerson Calzadilla - ACL Brewers - 7 G, 16.1 IP, 2-0, 1.65 ERA, 4.87 FIP, 1.16 WHIP, 13 H , 6 BB, 20 K RHP - Jeferson Figueroa - Carolina Mudcats - 6 G, 12.0 IP, 0-0, 1.50 ERA, 4.76 FIP, 1.17 WHIP, 8 H , 6 BB, 12 K. TOP FIVE RELIEF PITCHERS FOR JULY #5 RHP - Yerlin Rodriguez - Carolina Mudcats - 8 G, 10.2 IP, 0-0, 2.53 ERA, 2.55 FIP, 1.13 WHIP, 9 H , 3 BB, 12 K, 6 SV Unranked by all publications Signed as part of the Brewers 2019 international signing class, Rodriguez is in possession of some of the highest velo readings in the Brewers system this year. His fastball regularly sits in the upper 90’s and has been touching triple digits with relative regularity too. It works well up in the zone, though he also seems to throw a fastball with a bit more sink at times. His slider is a wipeout offering that has reached 3000 RPM’s a number of times. It’s a very similar profile to that of Abner Uribe, though he doesn’t quite have the ability to reach 102+ like Uribe was during his time in Carolina. Unfortunately for Rodriguez, he also has similar issues with throwing strikes to those that Uribe battled throughout his minor-league career. Rodriguez made some big strides in terms of limiting walks in July. He only walked three in his 10 2/3 innings pitched. He was given the closer role for the Mudcats early on, and he rewarded them with an organizational-high six saves on the month. His month was highlighted by his July 20th outing against the White Sox affiliate, Kannapolis Cannonballers. That night, he recorded a save while allowing one hit, but striking out the side around that hit. His first save on July 7th included a web gem of his own, as well as him touching triple digits. Take a look at the video below. Rodriguez just turned 21, but he has been in the organization for a while now and is getting close to his Rule 5 date. Considering his raw stuff, he will likely be pushed next season to see how he handles the assignments. This year though, it seems safe to assume he will remain in the closer role for Carolina and continue to work on commanding his pitches. #4 RHP - Tanner Shears - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - 9 G, 9.1 IP, 1-0, 1.93 ERA, 4.76 FIP, 0.97 WHIP, 6 H , 7 BB, 14 K, 3 SV Unranked by all publications An independent league signing by the Brewers this past offseason, Shears has continued to work through some command issues all season. He has really good stuff. His splitter is a borderline elite pitch that completely kills spin and sits around 83-86. His fastball has arm side run, but sits mid-90's and touches higher. It does a great job riding up in the zone and plays well with the big splitter. He also mixes in a slider as a solid third pitch that gets some sweep in the mid-80's as well. Shears struck out a lot of batters in May, but also walked a lot and gave up his fair share of hits too. The results were a little fluky as the FIP indicates, but with his pure stuff, he can get himself into and out of danger. In July, Shears had his best appearance on July 4th. He went 2 1/3 scoreless innings that night, striking out four and only allowing one baserunner. Shears then recorded his first save as a Timber Rattler later in the week with a dominant 1-2-3 inning that featured two punch outs. Shears is 24 years old, and the command issues are pretty legitimate, but he has the type of stuff you find in MLB relievers. He will likely be pushed relatively quickly. Similar to Yerlin Rodriguez, if Shears can hone in the strike zone a bit more consistently there could be a future high leverage arm here. #3 RHP - Jesus Rivero - Carolina Mudcats - 4 G, 13.0 IP, 0-0, 1.38 ERA, 3.45 FIP, 1.00 WHIP, 4 H , 9 BB, 18 K, 3 SV. Unranked by all publications RIvero was a member of the Brewers’ 2021 International signing class. He possesses some of the best pure stuff in the Brewers minor league system. He uses a fastball, slider, changeup, and what appears to be a sinker as his primary mix. Fastball readings have been few and far between on broadcasts, but the few that have been announced have been in the 94-95 range. He likely has reached back for a bit extra as well. The ball explodes out of his hand. It seems to have some of the Brandon Woodruff characteristics on it, where it’s a “heavy” pitch that can still be thrown up in the zone. The slider has been his go to put-away pitch in two-strike counts for both lefties and righties. In fact, throwing it to the back foot of lefties has probably been more effective than throwing it away from righties. His changeup has a very big drop in velocity, down to the low 80’s. His command in general is not where you’d want it to be, but the changeup in particular has been a struggle for him so far. As mentioned above, command has been a bit of a concern for Rivero so far and the walk numbers in July certainly show that. However, five of his nine walks came in his first four innings of the month. He walked, a much more respectable, four batters in his final nine innings. The strikeout numbers were there all month, as he struck out at least a batter per inning in all four of his appearances. His best outing of the month came on July 27th when he pitched the final four innings of the game. He only allowed two baserunners, one on a hit by pitch and the other on a walk, but he struck out seven and recorded his third save of the month. Rivero’s stuff is going to start drawing more attention now that he is in full-season ball. He will need to rein in the command to at least a respectable number of free passes, but this is one of the more talented arms in all of minor league baseball. His stays at each level may not be all that long. #2 RHP - Shane Smith - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - 7 G, 12.2 IP, 1-0, 0.71 ERA, 3.24 FIP, 0.63 WHIP, 4 H , 4 BB, 14 K, 2 SV Unranked by all publications Smith was a member of the undrafted class following the 2021 draft, signed out of Wake Forest, where he had been their closer in 2020. Unfortunately for Smith he was in the midst of Tommy John rehab during the draft, which played a big role in him not being selected. Prior to this 2023 season, he had only thrown three professional innings at the complex level. Armed with a mid-90’s fastball and a sharp curveball that he often goes to as his “out’ pitch, Smith also mixes in a cutter that shows good shape and life as well. He may also be mixing in a slider, but it’s very possible that those are just cutters that are generating a bit more movement than average. He has had a very strong season overall, and his July was a continuation of that. As he has all season, Smith was often used multiple innings at a time, Smith not only used his three-pitch mix to rack up more than a strikeout per inning, but also to keep the baseball off the barrel of his opponents. Having allowed three home runs in the first two months, Smith did not allow a single extra base hit in June. In July, Smith allowed one home run, but that was the only extra base hit he gave up. He was once again using his curveball when he was in strikeout counts and it continues to perform very well for him in those situations. His cutter is the pitch to contact pitch and he does a good job keeping it off of barrels. Smith’s month was highlighted by his July 15th outing against the Cardinals High-A affiliate. That Friday night, he threw two perfect innings and was able to punch out three. That was probably his best appearance but you really could have picked any of his seven appearances. He never allowed more than one hit, nor did he ever allow more than two baserunners total. After his very successful June, Smith was promoted to High-A Wisconsin and he just kept on trucking in July. He may have a chance to touch Double-A this year. #1 RHP - Sam Gardner - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - 6 G, 14.1 IP, 1-0, 0.00 ERA, 3.10 FIP, 0.58 WHIP, 5 H , 2 BB, 14 K, 1 SV Unranked by all publications Gardner graduated from Murray State in 2021, and after going undrafted, he signed with the Gateway Grizzlies of the Frontier League. The Brewers purchased his contract from the Grizzlies in early June and after a slow start in his first few appearances, he has been unhittable for a month and a half now. Gardner throws a low 90’s fastball that will get up to 94 at times and 95 once or twice. The fastball works well at the top of the zone. He plays off of that fastball with a curveball that sits in the high 70’s and he can both land it for strikes as well as throw it out of the zone to get hitters to chase. It’s his put-away pitch, and might even be his primary pitch. It’s probably around a 50-50 split in terms of usage. At times the fastball will show more run on it than usual, unable to tell if that’s on purpose or if it just happens from time to time. Gardner’s best appearance of the month came on July 23rd against Dayton, a Reds affiliate. In that appearance he threw 3 1/3 scoreless innings while striking out four. He didn’t have any free passes and only allowed two baserunners overall, both on ground ball singles. Gardner limited hard contact all month, and in that appearance the only ball that left the bat with anything on it was one of the ground ball singles. At 26 years old, Gardner should probably be getting a chance to see Double-A this year and see him in a more age-appropriate environment. For now all he can do is dominate High-A and he certainly did that in July. Thanks for following along with this three part series on the Brewers minor league system. Please let us know your thoughts in the comments. We hope you learn something new each time around! View full article
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I made the mistake of venturing to the MLB side of things instead of sticking in the minor league side, but boy this is a fun one... I'm gonna go ahead and 3000% guarantee that the pitching coach (and others) spends over an hour (minimum) doing exactly this every single game. Miley went one inning too far today, but... didn't give up a run in that inning? Winker is on the IL. Cutting him opens up zero roster spots. Yes, blaming the journeyman infielder who has brought a ton of value to the team since being here and arguably been the teams third best hitter since coming up, that seems like the correct direction to go. Also, comparing throwing from the outfield to throwing on the infield (on the move) is absolutely hilarious nonsense. Absolutely not. I'm going to leave a lot of the other stuff alone, because I get why fans are upset after today's game, but I genuinely don't think I agree with a single statement you made in this entire three paragraph rant other than that I also like Willy's adjustment at the plate and that it was a brutal way to lose a game. I am also certain that this team would have at least 10 more losses if they were managed the way you are saying they should be.
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Brewers Minor League Starting Pitcher of the Month - July 2023
Spencer Michaelis posted an article in Minor Leagues
While the offense had a bevy of hitters to choose from for their article, the starting pitcher options were a bit more limited this month. We will take a look at the top four starters in the month of July, but first we begin with our lone honorable mention. Honorable Mention LHP - Anthony Flores - DSL Brewers 2 - 4 G, 4 GS, 18.2 IP, 1-0, 1.93 ERA, 2.80 FIP, 0.91 WHIP, 10 H , 7 BB, 24 K. TOP FOUR STARTING PITCHERS OF JULY #4 RHP - Enniel Cortez - DSL Brewers 1 - 4 G, 2 GS, 15.0 IP, 2-0, 0.00 ERA, 2.42 FIP, 0.73 WHIP, 8 H , 3 BB, 17 K. Unranked by all publications Signed by the Brewers in this past international signing class, Cortez has posted some eye opening numbers in his short professional career. Through his first two months his ERA is 1.34 and he’s striking out nearly eight times as many batters as he’s walking. He has touched 94 MPH as a 17 year old, though it’s safe to assume he sits more in the 89-91 range regularly. His curveball seems to be his best secondary presently, though he does also have some feel for a changeup. It could be a strong three pitch mix, though his fastball velocity likely doesn’t have too much more room for development as he is pretty filled out for somebody his age. His delivery is pretty smooth, and the delivery and stuff both look somewhat similar to Yovani Gallardo at first glance. In July, Cortez did not allow a single earned run, and he only allowed one unearned run. He limited baserunners at a very high level and struck out over ten per nine innings while keeping walks to a minimum and avoiding the hit by pitch entirely as well. His best appearance was probably his final one in July when he went five complete innings and struck out six batters. Dominican Summer League results are always hard to get a read on, but Cortez is hitting all the thresholds you’d be hoping for. He limits free passes, he strikes batters out and he’s avoiding giving up runs extremely well. He could be one we see in Carolina at some point next season. #3 RHP - Alexander Cornielle - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - 4 G, 3 GS, 17.1 IP, 0-0, 2.08 ERA, 2.84 FIP, 1.10 WHIP, 12 H, 7 BB, 19 K. Unranked by all publications Cornielle was signed by the Brewers in the 2019 International signing class and has moved quickly through the system, making it all the way to High-A last season. He has spent all of 2023 with the Timber Rattlers, though he did not get off to a very good start and he lost a lot of the prospect helium that he had created with his performance last year. He seemed to figure some things out this past month. Cornielle’s profile resembles that of Freddy Peralta’s. He doesn’t throw the hardest, sitting mainly in the low-90’s, but he still shows an ability to get a lot of swing and miss, particularly with elevated fastballs. The fastball shape does differ from Peralta’s, Cornielle gets a decent amount of run on his fastball while Freddy’s primary fastball is a bit straighter. Cornielle seems to generate good extension which helps him replicate the “disappearing fastball” that Freddy is known for. This month, Cornielle looked a lot more like the guy we saw last season. He had struggled to strike batters out this year, but he was able to punch out over ten per nine in July. He did a decent job limiting walks as well, though he will need to continue to improve in that regard. His longest (and best) outing of the month was actually the one time he came out of the bullpen. On the 27th, Cornielle came on in relief and tossed five innings with zero earned runs, striking out seven and only allowing two hits to go along with one walk. Hopefully he will be able to carry that outing and a strong month overall into a big finish the last two months of the season. Though Cornielle has been pushed at times during his career, it seems unlikely that he will be advancing beyond High-A this year. A strong finish could allow him to begin in Double-A next season though. #2 RHP - Logan Henderson - Carolina Mudcats - 5 G, 5 GS, 25.0 IP, 2-0, 2.16 ERA, 3.52 FIP, 0.68 WHIP, 11 H, 6 BB, 32 K. Both the number two and the number one pitchers on this month’s list were Junior College selections in the 2021 draft. Henderson was the Brewers fourth round selection that year, out of McLennan Community College in Texas. He was committed to Texas A&M at that point but chose to sign with the Brewers. His first year and a half after signing he was extremely injury plagued. He had only thrown 15.2 professional innings before this season. He’s had good results the majority of this season, but he was being built up and his lack of innings kept him off of the previous Pitcher of the Month lists. Equipped with a low 90’s fastball coming out of McLennan, he has raised his average velocity to a little closer to 93 and has even reached 97 MPH a few times. The fastball plays well up in the zone due to high spin and high spin efficiency. He spins his slider at near 3000 RPM’s but at times it seems that he loses the angle/tilt on the pitch and it doesn’t actually move much. His best pitch though, is his changeup. You would be hard pressed to find a better changeup in the Brewers system. There are some airbender qualities to it when he’s got it going. Much like with Devin Williams, the changeup allows his fastball to play up above the velocity readings. He used all three pitches in unison during the month of July to have his most productive month in professional baseball. Henderson threw 25 innings this month and went five or more innings in four of his five starts. The other outing was four innings and then he went six innings once as well. That was the first time in his pro career that he worked into the sixth inning. He posted strikeout totals of eight, two, eight, six and 8 in his five starts. The six inning start was his best of the month as he struck out six and only allowed two walks and two hits with one earned run. Henderson appears to have reached the threshold where the organization is comfortable letting him pitch deep into games. That would seem to be a good sign that he’s ready for High-A Wisconsin. Perhaps his next start will be as a Timber Rattler. #1 RHP Carlos F. Rodriguez - Biloxi Shuckers - 4 G, 4 GS, 18.1 IP, 2-1, 0.98 ERA, 3.00 FIP, 0.93 WHIP, 10 H , 7 BB, 24 K. Rodriguez has now made this list in three out of four months, for a little more background on him, check out April’s article when he earned the third spot on the list. The Brewer Fanatic #9 prospect had his first down month of 2023 and missed out on the June edition of this article, but he bounced back in a big way in July. Only making four starts, Rodriguez appeared to be on a bit more of a pitch limit this month. Despite that, he had three really strong starts and another that he battled through 3 1/3 innings and didn’t end up allowing any runs. Despite the Southern League going away from the pre-tacked baseballs, Rodriguez’s fastball continued to ride well up in the zone and his changeup was still a plus pitch against lefties. The slider was still his go-to secondary against righties, and he seemed to mix in his slower, loopy curve more this month to keep hitters off balance. He also appeared to be mixing in a sinker more often this month when he had runners on, likely trying to induce more ground balls. Having that sinker in his back pocket could be very helpful for him moving forward. It helped him generate his Rodriguez continues to be overlooked by national publications, and it continues to be confusing. He doesn’t have plus stuff, but he has above average pitches across the board in a 4-5 pitch mix. As mentioned earlier, they may be beginning to limit his pitches and innings the rest of the season, but a promotion to Triple-A is likely still not out of the question. He’s proven more than capable of handling his current level. Please share your opinions! Who should have made it that didn’t? Who made it, but should not have?- 2 comments
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After reviewing the top hitters in the Brewers farm system yesterday, today we start to look at the pitchers, specifically the starting pitchers. There weren't as many options, but the quality in this list is impressive. Image courtesy of Biloxi Shuckers While the offense had a bevy of hitters to choose from for their article, the starting pitcher options were a bit more limited this month. We will take a look at the top four starters in the month of July, but first we begin with our lone honorable mention. Honorable Mention LHP - Anthony Flores - DSL Brewers 2 - 4 G, 4 GS, 18.2 IP, 1-0, 1.93 ERA, 2.80 FIP, 0.91 WHIP, 10 H , 7 BB, 24 K. TOP FOUR STARTING PITCHERS OF JULY #4 RHP - Enniel Cortez - DSL Brewers 1 - 4 G, 2 GS, 15.0 IP, 2-0, 0.00 ERA, 2.42 FIP, 0.73 WHIP, 8 H , 3 BB, 17 K. Unranked by all publications Signed by the Brewers in this past international signing class, Cortez has posted some eye opening numbers in his short professional career. Through his first two months his ERA is 1.34 and he’s striking out nearly eight times as many batters as he’s walking. He has touched 94 MPH as a 17 year old, though it’s safe to assume he sits more in the 89-91 range regularly. His curveball seems to be his best secondary presently, though he does also have some feel for a changeup. It could be a strong three pitch mix, though his fastball velocity likely doesn’t have too much more room for development as he is pretty filled out for somebody his age. His delivery is pretty smooth, and the delivery and stuff both look somewhat similar to Yovani Gallardo at first glance. In July, Cortez did not allow a single earned run, and he only allowed one unearned run. He limited baserunners at a very high level and struck out over ten per nine innings while keeping walks to a minimum and avoiding the hit by pitch entirely as well. His best appearance was probably his final one in July when he went five complete innings and struck out six batters. Dominican Summer League results are always hard to get a read on, but Cortez is hitting all the thresholds you’d be hoping for. He limits free passes, he strikes batters out and he’s avoiding giving up runs extremely well. He could be one we see in Carolina at some point next season. #3 RHP - Alexander Cornielle - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - 4 G, 3 GS, 17.1 IP, 0-0, 2.08 ERA, 2.84 FIP, 1.10 WHIP, 12 H, 7 BB, 19 K. Unranked by all publications Cornielle was signed by the Brewers in the 2019 International signing class and has moved quickly through the system, making it all the way to High-A last season. He has spent all of 2023 with the Timber Rattlers, though he did not get off to a very good start and he lost a lot of the prospect helium that he had created with his performance last year. He seemed to figure some things out this past month. Cornielle’s profile resembles that of Freddy Peralta’s. He doesn’t throw the hardest, sitting mainly in the low-90’s, but he still shows an ability to get a lot of swing and miss, particularly with elevated fastballs. The fastball shape does differ from Peralta’s, Cornielle gets a decent amount of run on his fastball while Freddy’s primary fastball is a bit straighter. Cornielle seems to generate good extension which helps him replicate the “disappearing fastball” that Freddy is known for. This month, Cornielle looked a lot more like the guy we saw last season. He had struggled to strike batters out this year, but he was able to punch out over ten per nine in July. He did a decent job limiting walks as well, though he will need to continue to improve in that regard. His longest (and best) outing of the month was actually the one time he came out of the bullpen. On the 27th, Cornielle came on in relief and tossed five innings with zero earned runs, striking out seven and only allowing two hits to go along with one walk. Hopefully he will be able to carry that outing and a strong month overall into a big finish the last two months of the season. Though Cornielle has been pushed at times during his career, it seems unlikely that he will be advancing beyond High-A this year. A strong finish could allow him to begin in Double-A next season though. #2 RHP - Logan Henderson - Carolina Mudcats - 5 G, 5 GS, 25.0 IP, 2-0, 2.16 ERA, 3.52 FIP, 0.68 WHIP, 11 H, 6 BB, 32 K. Both the number two and the number one pitchers on this month’s list were Junior College selections in the 2021 draft. Henderson was the Brewers fourth round selection that year, out of McLennan Community College in Texas. He was committed to Texas A&M at that point but chose to sign with the Brewers. His first year and a half after signing he was extremely injury plagued. He had only thrown 15.2 professional innings before this season. He’s had good results the majority of this season, but he was being built up and his lack of innings kept him off of the previous Pitcher of the Month lists. Equipped with a low 90’s fastball coming out of McLennan, he has raised his average velocity to a little closer to 93 and has even reached 97 MPH a few times. The fastball plays well up in the zone due to high spin and high spin efficiency. He spins his slider at near 3000 RPM’s but at times it seems that he loses the angle/tilt on the pitch and it doesn’t actually move much. His best pitch though, is his changeup. You would be hard pressed to find a better changeup in the Brewers system. There are some airbender qualities to it when he’s got it going. Much like with Devin Williams, the changeup allows his fastball to play up above the velocity readings. He used all three pitches in unison during the month of July to have his most productive month in professional baseball. Henderson threw 25 innings this month and went five or more innings in four of his five starts. The other outing was four innings and then he went six innings once as well. That was the first time in his pro career that he worked into the sixth inning. He posted strikeout totals of eight, two, eight, six and 8 in his five starts. The six inning start was his best of the month as he struck out six and only allowed two walks and two hits with one earned run. Henderson appears to have reached the threshold where the organization is comfortable letting him pitch deep into games. That would seem to be a good sign that he’s ready for High-A Wisconsin. Perhaps his next start will be as a Timber Rattler. #1 RHP Carlos F. Rodriguez - Biloxi Shuckers - 4 G, 4 GS, 18.1 IP, 2-1, 0.98 ERA, 3.00 FIP, 0.93 WHIP, 10 H , 7 BB, 24 K. Rodriguez has now made this list in three out of four months, for a little more background on him, check out April’s article when he earned the third spot on the list. The Brewer Fanatic #9 prospect had his first down month of 2023 and missed out on the June edition of this article, but he bounced back in a big way in July. Only making four starts, Rodriguez appeared to be on a bit more of a pitch limit this month. Despite that, he had three really strong starts and another that he battled through 3 1/3 innings and didn’t end up allowing any runs. Despite the Southern League going away from the pre-tacked baseballs, Rodriguez’s fastball continued to ride well up in the zone and his changeup was still a plus pitch against lefties. The slider was still his go-to secondary against righties, and he seemed to mix in his slower, loopy curve more this month to keep hitters off balance. He also appeared to be mixing in a sinker more often this month when he had runners on, likely trying to induce more ground balls. Having that sinker in his back pocket could be very helpful for him moving forward. It helped him generate his Rodriguez continues to be overlooked by national publications, and it continues to be confusing. He doesn’t have plus stuff, but he has above average pitches across the board in a 4-5 pitch mix. As mentioned earlier, they may be beginning to limit his pitches and innings the rest of the season, but a promotion to Triple-A is likely still not out of the question. He’s proven more than capable of handling his current level. Please share your opinions! Who should have made it that didn’t? Who made it, but should not have? View full article
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- carlos rodriguez
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We are past the trade deadline. The Brewers made some moves. We named our Brewers Hitter and Pitcher of the Month of July, so now it's time to starting handing out some minor-league hardware. We start with an article that should have all Brewers fans excited. July was the month of the hitter in the Brewers system. Brewers affiliates finished the month with 19 qualified hitters that had an OPS over .900 and an incredible 13 hitters with OPS’ over 1.000, including some of the higher ranked prospects in the system. We will look at the top six hitters for the month, as well as a pretty long list of honorable mentions. Honorable Mention 1B/3B Abraham Toro - Nashville Sounds - 27 H, .386/.443/.770 (1.143 OPS), 179 wRC+, with 11 doubles, 1 triple, 3 home runs, 15 R, 16 RBI, 6 BB, 15 K. C Jeferson Quero - Biloxi Shuckers - 19 H, .364/.500/.500 (1.000 OPS), 176 wRC+, with 3 doubles, 2 home runs, 6 R, 11 RBI, 14 BB, 10 K, 1 SB Quero keeps hitting, though he did go down with an injury to his hand after only 12 games this month. Read more about Quero in the article on May's Hitter of the Month. 1B Ernesto Martinez - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - 26 H, .366/.429/.573 (1.002 OPS), 182 wRC+, with 2 doubles, 5 home runs, 13 R, 12 RBI, 12 BB, 12 K, 5 SB, 2 CS C Jose Sibrian - Carolina Mudcats - 23 H, .338/.408/.632 (1.040 OPS), 189 wRC+, with 8 doubles, 4 home runs, 16 R, 23 RBI, 3 BB, 10 K OF Jace Avina - Carolina Mudcats - 19 H, .306/.368/.613 (.981 OPS), 170 wRC+, with 5 doubles, 1 triple, 4 home runs, 15 R, 7 RBI, 5 BB, 19 K, 3SB OF Demetrio Nadal - Dominican Summer League - 17 H, .395/.526/.581 (1.108 OPS), 198 wRC+, with 1 triple, 2 home runs, 10 R, 10 RBI, 8 BB, 7 K, 14 SB, 3 CS THE TOP SIX JULY HITTERS #6 IF Juan Baez - ACL Brewers - 27 H, .361/.397/.625 (1.022 OPS), 140 wRC+, with 6 doubles, 2 triples, 3 home runs, 12 R, 22 RBI, 3 BB, 6 K, 4 SB Unranked by all publications As mentioned in the June version of this article, Baez was signed in the 2022 international class. After a pretty mediocre showing in the DSL, he was given a surprising assignment to the Arizona Complex League as a 17 year old (he turned 18 in late June). Equipped with a big leg kick and a smooth upper half, Baez has plus feel for contact at the plate. Along with his offensive abilities, he is said to have plus speed and to play a very solid middle infield. Baez had 26 hits in the month, compared to 27 last month, but the big difference between June and July was the extra base pop he showed. In only nine more at-bats than June, he had 11 extra base hits, compared to the six he posted the month prior. Showing home run power would be a big development for him, as it would raise his ceiling quite a bit and he flashed the ability three times in July. One month isn’t necessarily a sign of things to come, but it’s nice to know that he has the ability to run into a few. As was the case in June, his inability to draw walks is the biggest concern. He did triple his walk total from June, but when that is only going from one to three, it isn’t quite as exciting as it sounds at first. His improvement in the power department is a welcome sign though, and if he continues to hit like he did in his first two months, it would not be a surprise if the Brewers reward/challenge him with a Low-A promotion later in the season. Not bad for an 18 year old who struggled in the DSL just last season. #5 1B Jesus Chirinos - Carolina Mudcats - 15 H, .417/.567/.604 (1.171 OPS), 229 wRC+, with 3 doubles, 2 home runs, 12 R, 11 RBI, 17 BB, 16 K, 1 SB Unranked by all publications It feels like Chirinos has been in the Brewers system for a long time, and he has been. He was signed as a 16 year old in 2018. Which means, despite this being his sixth year in the organization, he actually only turned 22 years old this past week. After some struggles at the High-A level to start this season, Chirinos returned to Low-A Carolina and has been tearing the cover off of the ball. Especially in July. Chirinos is a large human being, and he possesses quite a bit of raw power, but he has struggled to get to it in games at times. He is not fleet of foot, and his defense can be a little underwhelming at first base. He does however tend to hit the ball hard when he makes contact. In July, he had the best month of his career in that regard. He walked more often than he struck out and he posted a batting average over .400 for the month. He hit his first two homers of the year at Low-A, his third and fourth overall, on back to back days against the White Sox affiliate Kannapolis Cannonballers. Overall, he looked to be putting it all together on the offensive side of the ball, even stealing a base for the sixth time in his six year career. Chirinos likely doesn’t have much more to prove at Low-A, but High-A also has a logjam at first base with the one of our honorable mentions on this list currently holding down that spot in Ernesto Martinez. Martinez may also be due for a bump to Double-A as a 24 year old, so that could open the door for Chirinos. #4 2B/OF Isaac Collins - Biloxi Shuckers - 26 H, .356/.449/.616 (1.066 OPS), 177 wRC+, with 4 doubles, 5 home runs, 18 R, 16 RBI, 13 BB, 10 K, 7 SB, 1 CS Unranked by all publications The former Rockies ninth round pick in 2019, Collins was selected by the Brewers in the minor league portion of the Rule 5 draft this past winter, in what is looking to be a shrewd move by the club. Collins is a better infielder than outfielder, but he has shown an ability to play some left field. He’s a good athlete and more reps will likely help his development out there. Only 25 years old, Collins shows some similarities to Andruw Monasterio. A player the Brewers signed as MiLB free agent in the 2022 offseason and is now contributing more than anyone would have imagined to the MLB club. Collins had been showing a lot of the characteristics you look for in a hitter, even prior to July. He had a positive walk to strikeout ratio and he rarely swings and misses, posting a very impressive 6% swinging strike rate. However, before launching five home runs in July, Collins had only six extra base hits the entire season, all of them being doubles. If he has discovered a power stroke, he’s going to be someone to watch as a potential utility option. He once again had more walks than strikeouts in July and he was seven for eight on stolen base attempts. It’s more likely an end of the order profile than a top of the order profile, but being able to get on base at the bottom of the order is an extremely valuable tool to bring to the table. Collins’ best game of the month came on July 8th, when he went 3-4 with two home runs and two walks as well against a solid Marlins affiliate. That was his first of three games with three hits, and one of nine multi-hit games overall. A player with positional versatility and a bat that seems to be rounding into form, Collins should not be completely overlooked as a potential future contributor. Collins did reach Triple-A for a few game stretch earlier this year and while it will likely depend on who else gets promoted there over the next month, he could be in line to see another opportunity up there soon. #3 2B/SS Dylan O’Rae - ACL Brewers - 26 H, .441/.558/.525 (1.084 OPS), 181 wRC+, with 3 doubles, 1 triple, 21 R, 12 RBI, 16 BB, 14 K, 10 SB, 1 CS The Brewers selected O’Rae with their third round pick in 2022, to the surprise of pretty much everyone. Unranked on all of the major publications at draft time, the MLB Pipeline guys struggled to find information on him. The Brewers clearly dug deep for the pick, and the early returns have been very good. O’Rae is small in stature, standing only 5’7 and is listed at 160 pounds, but he appears to have bulked up this offseason and that weight may no longer be accurate. It isn’t out of the realm of possibilities that he has gotten taller either, as he’s still a teenager. Even if the growth spurt never hits, O’Rae has the potential to be a top of the order hitter, as well as handle the middle infield defensively. He possesses an elite eye at the plate and very good bat to ball skills with a 22% walk rate and only an 11% swinging strike rate to go with his 14% strikeout rate. All elite numbers for anybody, but especially for a teenager in his first real taste of pro ball. O’Rae drew a ton of walks in the month of June, but in July he combined the walks with 26 hits, including four extra base hits. His best game of the month came on July 27th when he went 3-3 with two walks and a stolen base. That was one of three games with three hits, and one of nine total multi-hit games. The extra base hit power is currently close to non-existent, and many of his extra base hits, presently, will likely come due to his speed stretching singles into doubles. However, he is carrying a very strong 27% line drive rate, so if he continues to add strength and impact as one would expect him to as a 19 year old, he might be able to become more of a pure doubles hitter with enough pop to hit a few home runs. O’Rae will also likely be able to steal quite a few bases, which helps negate some of the extra base hit pop he is currently lacking. Carrying a .514 OBP through two months is pretty incredible, and that ability to get on base could give O’Rae a chance to see Low-A Carolina in his first full season of professional baseball. Much like the next player on this list, the Brewers scouting department should be applauded for the depths they have gone to in order to find talent. #2 3B/1B Luke Adams - Carolina Mudcats - 18 H, .321/.513/.518 (1.031 OPS), 194 wRC+, with 5 doubles, 2 home runs, 15 R, 11 RBI, 19 BB, 17 K, 8 SB, 2 CS Adams continues to put up really strong numbers as a 19 year old in Low-A. For a bit more information on him as a player, check out April’s Hitter of the Month article. As for what he was able to do in July, it was more of the same from Adams, who has been mentioned in all of these articles outside of May. The on-base machine lived up to that moniker in July, reaching base in over half of his plate appearances, and walking more than he struck out. His funky swing mechanics make his plate discipline and bat to ball skills hard to believe, but he continues to pull it off. In fact, his 7.9% SwStr% is fifth among all qualified Brewers minor league hitters, of which there are 43 hitters who fit that description. In July, Adams had seven extra base hits, including two home runs. He hit the ball over 108 MPH at least eight times and he broke 110 MPH a few times as well. 19 year olds do not tend to put up those types of exit velocities, especially with wood bats. The raw power is up there with anybody in the system, and his batted ball profile has continued to improve as the season has progressed. He is cutting down on infield pop-ups and turning those into more fly balls, which allows that raw power to translate more to games. If Adams had made it to Michigan State instead of signing, this may have been a guy who was generating first round buzz in a couple of years. This is a huge win for the Brewers scouting department. Tyler Black is a Top 100 prospect by most publications, and Adams is putting up similar plate discipline numbers to what Black did in Carolina two years ago. Adams is two years younger than Black was then, and he’s showing a lot more power than Black did. First round pick Brock Wilken will likely end up in High-A Appleton soon, which may make an Adams promotion to High-A difficult, logistically. But his play may end up forcing the Brewers hand anyway. #1 OF Jackson Chourio - Biloxi Shuckers - 33 H, .388/.447/.718 (1.165 OPS), 200 wRC+, with 6 doubles, 2 Triples, 6 home runs, 24 R, 20 RBI, 8 BB, 10 K, 9 SB, 1 CS Chourio is probably the most well known Brewers prospect to come through the system over the last decade and a half. A top five prospect by basically every national outlet, Chourio flew through the system in 2022 as an 18 year old. He destroyed Low-A Carolina, took care of business at High-A Wisconsin and then got a short cup of coffee in Double-A to end the season. When the 2023 season began, he was sent to Double-A once again. He has been the youngest player at that level all season. Even now he is over four months younger than the next youngest (recently promoted Jackson Holliday). The “five tool prospect” moniker is thrown around more often than it should be in prospect circles, but in the case of Chourio, it’s an apt description. Chourio has both the hit tool and the power that can make someone one of the better hitters in all of MLB. He has 70 grade speed and he knows how to use it on the bases, as well as in the field. That speed helps him in center field where his routes are closer to average than elite, but his jumps have improved this season. He is still learning the position, but he has shown huge strides this season and has the potential to be a plus defender in center field in the future. The one tool that might be lacking more than the others is his arm. However, it has been noted that due to some past elbow issues, he’s been instructed to only air it out on special occasions. When he does actually attempt to put a lot behind his throws, it appears to be at least an average arm, potentially above average. Chourio’s statline through June was certainly nothing to scoff at for a 19 year old at this level, he was on pace for a 20/40 season after all, but his 89 wRC+ didn’t exactly look the part of a top five prospect in baseball. That all changed in July. After the month he put together, Chourio’s season-long wRC+ is up to 115. Raising that number nearly 30 points at this point in the season is not easy to do, but a 1.165 OPS over a full month isn’t exactly common either. His breakout does appear to coincide with the dismissal of the pre-tacked baseballs that the Southern League had been using this season. However, he was showing signs of putting it all together even before that change. The change likely expedited the progress he was already making. If you tuned into a Biloxi Shuckers game in July, you likely saw Chourio reach base. The only time he didn’t reach base at least once was on the 4th of July. He was only held hitless in three games all month. Chourio matched his career high for hits in a month with 33, though he did that in only 19 games due to the All-Star break. Of the 19 games he played in, he had more than one hit in 12 of them. 14 of his 33 hits went for extra base hits, including six home runs. He also stole nine bases in ten attempts. Meaning even when he didn’t hit an extra base hit, he often turned a walk or single into a double on the bases. It was an utterly dominant month from him at the plate and likely re-cemented him as an elite prospect in the eyes of most national publications. Chourio has been pushed extremely aggressively so far in his young career. A promotion to Triple-A may be in store after the trade deadline, and if he continues to hit at that level, it’s hard to rule out a September call-up to Milwaukee for the final push. Waiting until that point would also allow Chourio to maintain his rookie eligibility for 2024, which the Brewers will likely want to do for a number of reasons. The possibility of gaining a draft pick if Chourio wins Rookie of the Year in 2024 being one of them. Please feel free to agree or disagree with the rankings. Putting them in order was quite difficult. Age and prospect standing were the deciding factors when settling some of the closer calls. Let us know what you think! View full article
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Brewers Minor League Position Player of the Month: July 2023
Spencer Michaelis posted an article in Minor Leagues
July was the month of the hitter in the Brewers system. Brewers affiliates finished the month with 19 qualified hitters that had an OPS over .900 and an incredible 13 hitters with OPS’ over 1.000, including some of the higher ranked prospects in the system. We will look at the top six hitters for the month, as well as a pretty long list of honorable mentions. Honorable Mention 1B/3B Abraham Toro - Nashville Sounds - 27 H, .386/.443/.770 (1.143 OPS), 179 wRC+, with 11 doubles, 1 triple, 3 home runs, 15 R, 16 RBI, 6 BB, 15 K. C Jeferson Quero - Biloxi Shuckers - 19 H, .364/.500/.500 (1.000 OPS), 176 wRC+, with 3 doubles, 2 home runs, 6 R, 11 RBI, 14 BB, 10 K, 1 SB Quero keeps hitting, though he did go down with an injury to his hand after only 12 games this month. Read more about Quero in the article on May's Hitter of the Month. 1B Ernesto Martinez - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - 26 H, .366/.429/.573 (1.002 OPS), 182 wRC+, with 2 doubles, 5 home runs, 13 R, 12 RBI, 12 BB, 12 K, 5 SB, 2 CS C Jose Sibrian - Carolina Mudcats - 23 H, .338/.408/.632 (1.040 OPS), 189 wRC+, with 8 doubles, 4 home runs, 16 R, 23 RBI, 3 BB, 10 K OF Jace Avina - Carolina Mudcats - 19 H, .306/.368/.613 (.981 OPS), 170 wRC+, with 5 doubles, 1 triple, 4 home runs, 15 R, 7 RBI, 5 BB, 19 K, 3SB OF Demetrio Nadal - Dominican Summer League - 17 H, .395/.526/.581 (1.108 OPS), 198 wRC+, with 1 triple, 2 home runs, 10 R, 10 RBI, 8 BB, 7 K, 14 SB, 3 CS THE TOP SIX JULY HITTERS #6 IF Juan Baez - ACL Brewers - 27 H, .361/.397/.625 (1.022 OPS), 140 wRC+, with 6 doubles, 2 triples, 3 home runs, 12 R, 22 RBI, 3 BB, 6 K, 4 SB Unranked by all publications As mentioned in the June version of this article, Baez was signed in the 2022 international class. After a pretty mediocre showing in the DSL, he was given a surprising assignment to the Arizona Complex League as a 17 year old (he turned 18 in late June). Equipped with a big leg kick and a smooth upper half, Baez has plus feel for contact at the plate. Along with his offensive abilities, he is said to have plus speed and to play a very solid middle infield. Baez had 26 hits in the month, compared to 27 last month, but the big difference between June and July was the extra base pop he showed. In only nine more at-bats than June, he had 11 extra base hits, compared to the six he posted the month prior. Showing home run power would be a big development for him, as it would raise his ceiling quite a bit and he flashed the ability three times in July. One month isn’t necessarily a sign of things to come, but it’s nice to know that he has the ability to run into a few. As was the case in June, his inability to draw walks is the biggest concern. He did triple his walk total from June, but when that is only going from one to three, it isn’t quite as exciting as it sounds at first. His improvement in the power department is a welcome sign though, and if he continues to hit like he did in his first two months, it would not be a surprise if the Brewers reward/challenge him with a Low-A promotion later in the season. Not bad for an 18 year old who struggled in the DSL just last season. #5 1B Jesus Chirinos - Carolina Mudcats - 15 H, .417/.567/.604 (1.171 OPS), 229 wRC+, with 3 doubles, 2 home runs, 12 R, 11 RBI, 17 BB, 16 K, 1 SB Unranked by all publications It feels like Chirinos has been in the Brewers system for a long time, and he has been. He was signed as a 16 year old in 2018. Which means, despite this being his sixth year in the organization, he actually only turned 22 years old this past week. After some struggles at the High-A level to start this season, Chirinos returned to Low-A Carolina and has been tearing the cover off of the ball. Especially in July. Chirinos is a large human being, and he possesses quite a bit of raw power, but he has struggled to get to it in games at times. He is not fleet of foot, and his defense can be a little underwhelming at first base. He does however tend to hit the ball hard when he makes contact. In July, he had the best month of his career in that regard. He walked more often than he struck out and he posted a batting average over .400 for the month. He hit his first two homers of the year at Low-A, his third and fourth overall, on back to back days against the White Sox affiliate Kannapolis Cannonballers. Overall, he looked to be putting it all together on the offensive side of the ball, even stealing a base for the sixth time in his six year career. Chirinos likely doesn’t have much more to prove at Low-A, but High-A also has a logjam at first base with the one of our honorable mentions on this list currently holding down that spot in Ernesto Martinez. Martinez may also be due for a bump to Double-A as a 24 year old, so that could open the door for Chirinos. #4 2B/OF Isaac Collins - Biloxi Shuckers - 26 H, .356/.449/.616 (1.066 OPS), 177 wRC+, with 4 doubles, 5 home runs, 18 R, 16 RBI, 13 BB, 10 K, 7 SB, 1 CS Unranked by all publications The former Rockies ninth round pick in 2019, Collins was selected by the Brewers in the minor league portion of the Rule 5 draft this past winter, in what is looking to be a shrewd move by the club. Collins is a better infielder than outfielder, but he has shown an ability to play some left field. He’s a good athlete and more reps will likely help his development out there. Only 25 years old, Collins shows some similarities to Andruw Monasterio. A player the Brewers signed as MiLB free agent in the 2022 offseason and is now contributing more than anyone would have imagined to the MLB club. Collins had been showing a lot of the characteristics you look for in a hitter, even prior to July. He had a positive walk to strikeout ratio and he rarely swings and misses, posting a very impressive 6% swinging strike rate. However, before launching five home runs in July, Collins had only six extra base hits the entire season, all of them being doubles. If he has discovered a power stroke, he’s going to be someone to watch as a potential utility option. He once again had more walks than strikeouts in July and he was seven for eight on stolen base attempts. It’s more likely an end of the order profile than a top of the order profile, but being able to get on base at the bottom of the order is an extremely valuable tool to bring to the table. Collins’ best game of the month came on July 8th, when he went 3-4 with two home runs and two walks as well against a solid Marlins affiliate. That was his first of three games with three hits, and one of nine multi-hit games overall. A player with positional versatility and a bat that seems to be rounding into form, Collins should not be completely overlooked as a potential future contributor. Collins did reach Triple-A for a few game stretch earlier this year and while it will likely depend on who else gets promoted there over the next month, he could be in line to see another opportunity up there soon. #3 2B/SS Dylan O’Rae - ACL Brewers - 26 H, .441/.558/.525 (1.084 OPS), 181 wRC+, with 3 doubles, 1 triple, 21 R, 12 RBI, 16 BB, 14 K, 10 SB, 1 CS The Brewers selected O’Rae with their third round pick in 2022, to the surprise of pretty much everyone. Unranked on all of the major publications at draft time, the MLB Pipeline guys struggled to find information on him. The Brewers clearly dug deep for the pick, and the early returns have been very good. O’Rae is small in stature, standing only 5’7 and is listed at 160 pounds, but he appears to have bulked up this offseason and that weight may no longer be accurate. It isn’t out of the realm of possibilities that he has gotten taller either, as he’s still a teenager. Even if the growth spurt never hits, O’Rae has the potential to be a top of the order hitter, as well as handle the middle infield defensively. He possesses an elite eye at the plate and very good bat to ball skills with a 22% walk rate and only an 11% swinging strike rate to go with his 14% strikeout rate. All elite numbers for anybody, but especially for a teenager in his first real taste of pro ball. O’Rae drew a ton of walks in the month of June, but in July he combined the walks with 26 hits, including four extra base hits. His best game of the month came on July 27th when he went 3-3 with two walks and a stolen base. That was one of three games with three hits, and one of nine total multi-hit games. The extra base hit power is currently close to non-existent, and many of his extra base hits, presently, will likely come due to his speed stretching singles into doubles. However, he is carrying a very strong 27% line drive rate, so if he continues to add strength and impact as one would expect him to as a 19 year old, he might be able to become more of a pure doubles hitter with enough pop to hit a few home runs. O’Rae will also likely be able to steal quite a few bases, which helps negate some of the extra base hit pop he is currently lacking. Carrying a .514 OBP through two months is pretty incredible, and that ability to get on base could give O’Rae a chance to see Low-A Carolina in his first full season of professional baseball. Much like the next player on this list, the Brewers scouting department should be applauded for the depths they have gone to in order to find talent. #2 3B/1B Luke Adams - Carolina Mudcats - 18 H, .321/.513/.518 (1.031 OPS), 194 wRC+, with 5 doubles, 2 home runs, 15 R, 11 RBI, 19 BB, 17 K, 8 SB, 2 CS Adams continues to put up really strong numbers as a 19 year old in Low-A. For a bit more information on him as a player, check out April’s Hitter of the Month article. As for what he was able to do in July, it was more of the same from Adams, who has been mentioned in all of these articles outside of May. The on-base machine lived up to that moniker in July, reaching base in over half of his plate appearances, and walking more than he struck out. His funky swing mechanics make his plate discipline and bat to ball skills hard to believe, but he continues to pull it off. In fact, his 7.9% SwStr% is fifth among all qualified Brewers minor league hitters, of which there are 43 hitters who fit that description. In July, Adams had seven extra base hits, including two home runs. He hit the ball over 108 MPH at least eight times and he broke 110 MPH a few times as well. 19 year olds do not tend to put up those types of exit velocities, especially with wood bats. The raw power is up there with anybody in the system, and his batted ball profile has continued to improve as the season has progressed. He is cutting down on infield pop-ups and turning those into more fly balls, which allows that raw power to translate more to games. If Adams had made it to Michigan State instead of signing, this may have been a guy who was generating first round buzz in a couple of years. This is a huge win for the Brewers scouting department. Tyler Black is a Top 100 prospect by most publications, and Adams is putting up similar plate discipline numbers to what Black did in Carolina two years ago. Adams is two years younger than Black was then, and he’s showing a lot more power than Black did. First round pick Brock Wilken will likely end up in High-A Appleton soon, which may make an Adams promotion to High-A difficult, logistically. But his play may end up forcing the Brewers hand anyway. #1 OF Jackson Chourio - Biloxi Shuckers - 33 H, .388/.447/.718 (1.165 OPS), 200 wRC+, with 6 doubles, 2 Triples, 6 home runs, 24 R, 20 RBI, 8 BB, 10 K, 9 SB, 1 CS Chourio is probably the most well known Brewers prospect to come through the system over the last decade and a half. A top five prospect by basically every national outlet, Chourio flew through the system in 2022 as an 18 year old. He destroyed Low-A Carolina, took care of business at High-A Wisconsin and then got a short cup of coffee in Double-A to end the season. When the 2023 season began, he was sent to Double-A once again. He has been the youngest player at that level all season. Even now he is over four months younger than the next youngest (recently promoted Jackson Holliday). The “five tool prospect” moniker is thrown around more often than it should be in prospect circles, but in the case of Chourio, it’s an apt description. Chourio has both the hit tool and the power that can make someone one of the better hitters in all of MLB. He has 70 grade speed and he knows how to use it on the bases, as well as in the field. That speed helps him in center field where his routes are closer to average than elite, but his jumps have improved this season. He is still learning the position, but he has shown huge strides this season and has the potential to be a plus defender in center field in the future. The one tool that might be lacking more than the others is his arm. However, it has been noted that due to some past elbow issues, he’s been instructed to only air it out on special occasions. When he does actually attempt to put a lot behind his throws, it appears to be at least an average arm, potentially above average. Chourio’s statline through June was certainly nothing to scoff at for a 19 year old at this level, he was on pace for a 20/40 season after all, but his 89 wRC+ didn’t exactly look the part of a top five prospect in baseball. That all changed in July. After the month he put together, Chourio’s season-long wRC+ is up to 115. Raising that number nearly 30 points at this point in the season is not easy to do, but a 1.165 OPS over a full month isn’t exactly common either. His breakout does appear to coincide with the dismissal of the pre-tacked baseballs that the Southern League had been using this season. However, he was showing signs of putting it all together even before that change. The change likely expedited the progress he was already making. If you tuned into a Biloxi Shuckers game in July, you likely saw Chourio reach base. The only time he didn’t reach base at least once was on the 4th of July. He was only held hitless in three games all month. Chourio matched his career high for hits in a month with 33, though he did that in only 19 games due to the All-Star break. Of the 19 games he played in, he had more than one hit in 12 of them. 14 of his 33 hits went for extra base hits, including six home runs. He also stole nine bases in ten attempts. Meaning even when he didn’t hit an extra base hit, he often turned a walk or single into a double on the bases. It was an utterly dominant month from him at the plate and likely re-cemented him as an elite prospect in the eyes of most national publications. Chourio has been pushed extremely aggressively so far in his young career. A promotion to Triple-A may be in store after the trade deadline, and if he continues to hit at that level, it’s hard to rule out a September call-up to Milwaukee for the final push. Waiting until that point would also allow Chourio to maintain his rookie eligibility for 2024, which the Brewers will likely want to do for a number of reasons. The possibility of gaining a draft pick if Chourio wins Rookie of the Year in 2024 being one of them. Please feel free to agree or disagree with the rankings. Putting them in order was quite difficult. Age and prospect standing were the deciding factors when settling some of the closer calls. Let us know what you think!-
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That goes for @Mass Haasand @Joseph Zarr as well. Fantastic stuff every single time. I feel like I keep up with the system quite well, but these articles almost always catch something that I didn't notice or highlight someone or something I had brushed past.
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Upcoming Brewers Minor League Free Agents
Spencer Michaelis replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Harold Chirino was looking like a guy that might help the MLB bullpen this year before his injury. He's one they will likely consider adding to the 40. -
I like Noah Campbell as a potential utility type player, but some of the reasoning here is... interesting. A player being able to be an emergency catcher is really not worth anything. Him throwing garbage time clean-up innings on the mound is also pretty irrelevant to his value as a player. The on base skills and having some thump in his bat, while limiting strikeouts is definitely what makes him interesting. His defense is pretty mediocre all over the field though, so playing all of those spots doesn't mean too much other than it gives him a lot of ways to fill in as needed. I can't imagine he's ever a defensive replacement for anybody. He has a prototypical utility player profile, and that's very nice to have on the roster, but if a team came to Matt Arnold and offered almost any league average MLB hitter for him, the Brewers should probably take that deal.
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https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/minor-league-park-factors-2022/ If you have a Baseball America subscription, here's a very good article on park factors for the minors, from last season.
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Jackson Chourio I absolutely love Jeferson Quero and have been saying it for a couple years, but the upside for Chourio is still leaps and bounds above him. Chourio is on pace for a 20/40 season in AA as a 19 year old. I know some of the stats don't look great, but I'm expecting the true breakout to happen soon here. Especially now that the Southern League is back to the normal baseballs.Jeferson Quero As I mentioned, I absolutely love Quero. Pretty much any time the last 10 years outside of the current time, he'd be my top prospect and it wouldn't be much of a debate.Jacob Misiorowski Misiorowski passes Frelick for me in this update. I just think there's an insane upside with him. Like, best pitcher in baseball upside. The risk is still huge at this stage, so he isn't quite top 2 for me. I think the fastball, slider and curve can all be elite pitches.Sal Frelick Frelick has struggled this year, there's no way around it. I still think there's a leadoff hitter here and I wonder if the thumb isn't still bothering him a bit. Last night (7/16) he had 4 hard hit balls, including 2 sweet spots, so hopefully that will be the start of a hot streak.Tyler Black I have no clue how Black isn't in AAA yet. He is on pace for nearly a 20/80 season. The glove is still concerning and I think he most likely ends up at 1B still, but I'll say the defense is better than in the past and he seems to be a guy who works very hard to get better. I won't entirely rule out third or second working out, just for that reason.Luis Lara A 129 wRC+ as an 18 year old, Lara is just a pure hitter. He plays a fantastic center field and has some raw power that you wouldn't expect from his frame. There's a ton of upside here.Cooper Pratt Pratt has the highest ceiling of the Brewers picks in my opinion. Legit first round talent in the sixth round. I think he can stick at short and like many others, I see a lot of Gunnar Henderson in him.Eric Brown Jr I still really strongly believe in EBJ. If he stays healthy, I think he's the starting SS once Willy is gone, or at least shortly after that. Staying healthy is going to be the most important thing. Outside of April, he was having a fantastic couple of months, until his latest freak injury.Carlos F Rodriguez I really like Rodriguez. I'm not sure what else he needs to do to get national attention. It's a 4 pitch mix that all can play. Command can falter at times, but he has strikeout stuff and showed well in the WBC against a bunch of MLB hitters. I think he's in Milwaukee some time next season.Josh Knoth Fastball up to 98 as a 17 year old, sitting mid-90's. 3000 RPM curve and slider combo. Just a really fun arm. Highest pitcher ceiling behind Misiorowski for sure.Brock Wilken I've made my thoughts on Wilken pretty known. I think it ended up being a very solid pick once the rest of the draft played out. There is a Pete Alonso type bat in there as a semi-realistic outcome.Robert Gasser He's ready for the majors. Not sure the Brewers have a clear opening for him any time soon, but he is ready to pitch MLB innings. He's been really good for a month and a half or so now.Luke Adams Adams is one of my favorites. The swing is not pretty, but it gets the job done. Super advanced eye at the plate. Incredible athlete for his size. Can legitimately handle third base in my opinion. Needs to cut down the infield pop-ups a bit. If he turns those into regular fly balls or line drives, he's got a huge ceiling.Mike Boeve One of my favorites in the draft. I think there's a real upside of a Tyler Black type hitter. You won't get the same SB production as with Black, but I think Boeve is much more likely to be able to handle third or second base defensively. Eric Bitonti Absolutely huge power for a high schooler, did struggle with breaking balls a bit. Not in recognition, but just in squaring them up. Chased a surprisingly low amount in the summer circuit. Will move to third base. Could quickly move up my list if he shows an ability to handle spin.Justin Jarvis Jarvis' test will come in Nashville as he gets used to the non-tacky ball and better competition. The fastball always had really good characteristics, so I don't think the tacky ball helped him as much as others. The velo jump was legit and the splitter is a great pitch. He's got the potential to be a major league starter.Daniel Guilarte One of my favorite defensive players to watch. He can really pick it, has good range and a strong arm. It reminds me of Eduardo Garcia, but with a legitimate approach at the plate. He needs to start elevating more and preferably pulling the ball more, but if the bat is even average he will have a MLB career ahead of him.Abner Uribe We got a small taste of what he has before the All Star break. It's a legit triple digit fastball and the slider is a really good pitch. Probably the best of his three, as he commands it much better and more regularly than his fastball/sinker.Logan Henderson By far the best changeup in the system, it has some airbender qualities. Fastball plays well up and the slider gets really high spin numbers, though it looks to me like it could use some adjusting on it's axis. It seems like, at times, he gets around it too much and causes it to just spin but not get the movement you'd be hoping for.Hendry Mendez If Mendez hits the ball in the air without losing his contact skills, he will shoot back up my rankings. When he hits the ball in the air and not on the infield dirt, it very often turns into extra base hits. Solid defender as well. The batted ball profile just really needs to improve. Yophery Rodriguez would be 21. I rarely put DSL players that high, but I think they may have something here. He may end up following the Lara/Chourio route and skipping the ACL next year for Carolina. Juan Baez probably would sneak in pre-draft, but got bumped by the 5 draftees. The contact skills are ridiculous. Hoping he can learn to draw a few more walks as he moves through the system. Patricio Aquino also may have made my list before the draft guys got added. He's got a legit starters repertoire and is showing really well in Carolina having only turned 20 a couple months ago.
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I think EBJ's arm is a lot stronger than the pre-draft reports indicated. I'd put it as above average and more than capable of handling short. He also gets rid of it very quickly which helps it play up even further. Brown was actually my number one choice for the Brewers pick last year, so I obviously am a bit biased. But I think there's a legit starting shortstop in there. He's got to get healthy and hopefully start avoiding these freak injuries he's had. If you exclude his awful start in April (his first real action with his new stance/load), he was slashing .316/.404/.421 and only 26 K's with 18 BB's. Also was 19/21 on SB attempts in that time (27/30 overall). The defense is legit, and like I said, I think the arm is plenty good to handle short too.
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This, 100%. It's obviously a lot easier to look back and say "they should have taken ________" when, in reality, the selection they made was what allowed them to put the rest of their plan into motion. Now, if Davis is a monster and Wilken doesn't do well and none of the high schoolers do well, then it would obviously look bad. Personally, I still think it was a good process overall, whether it works out 5-10 years down the line or not. But it's still a results based business in the end.

