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Everything posted by Spencer Michaelis
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Hard to believe that the season is already a month old. It just started. With the calendar now turned to May, let's take a look back at some of the top performances in the Brewers minor-league system. Today we begin with the top hitters. Image courtesy of Neal Hock, Carolina Mudcats Similar to the big league team, a number of Brewers minor league hitters got off to a fast start to their seasons during the month of April. We will take a look at the top five position players as well as a few other notable performances. We will begin with the group of honorable mentions. A group of three hitters that had a very solid month, but could not quite crack the top five. Honorable Mentions IF Eddy Alvarez - Nashville Sounds - 27 H, .370/.484/.616 (1.100 OPS), 176 wRC+, with 8 doubles, 2 triples, 2 home runs, 20 R, 9 RBI, 14 BB, 15 K, 8 SB, 1 CS. Alvarez had a fantastic April. As a 33-year-old in AAA, it didn’t feel quite right to include the former Olympic speed skater in the top 5, but he does deserve a mention for having a fantastic month. He provides interesting depth if the Brewers fall into a bad injury situation in the infield. IF Ben Metzinger - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - 11 H, .275/.500/.375 (.875 OPS), 173 wRC+, with 1 double, 1 home run, 7 R, 7 RBI, 18 BB, 16 K. The Brewers 7th Rounder in 2022, Metzinger had a very solid month at the plate, walking more than he struck out and reaching base in half of his plate appearances. The combination of a lack of extra base hits and being a bit older for his level kept him off the main list. C/IF Alex Hall - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - H, .233/.327/.605 (.932 OPS), 158 wRC+, with 1 double, 5 home runs, 7 R, 10 RBI, 6 BB, 11 K. Alex Hall hit as many home runs in April this year as he had in the 2021 and 2022 seasons, combined. Known mainly for being called up to the majors for one game during a COVID outbreak, Hall is not getting regular playing time in Appleton yet, but he followed up a great showing in the Australian Winter League with a really nice April! THE TOP FIVE APRIL HITTERS #5 SS Daniel Guilarte - Carolina Mudcats - 21 H, .309/.427/.382 (.809 OPS), 138 wRC+, with 1 double, 2 triples, 10 R, 11 RBI, 13 BB, 20 K, 12 SB, 3 CS. Guilarte was an international signing by the Brewers in 2021, and is somebody the organization appears to be very high on internally. If you have a chance to watch a Mudcats game, it is very evident why. Guilarte can really pick it at shortstop, as well as third and second base, playing errorless baseball the entire month while spending time at all three spots. He has clean actions, good range and a strong arm. These rankings don’t take defense into account, but if they did he may be a bit higher up. Offensively, Guilarte has a patient approach that may border on being a bit too passive at times. It shows up in the very solid walk totals, though it also shows up a bit in the batted ball profile. A bit of indecisiveness can lead to a profile such as Guilarte’s, in which he is only pulling the ball 15% of the time. Despite that, Guilarte has appeared to make a bit of a jump in terms of elevating the ball more often. His line drive rate is up from 15% in 2022 to 25% in April of 2023, and that 10% was taken directly from his ground ball rate. This will be an important thing to monitor for Guilarte moving forward. Guilarte showed a very good feel for getting the bat to the ball in April, with a swinging strike rate of only 7.5%. This and the fact that he does a good job of getting the barrel to the ball helped him hit 18 singles despite the somewhat questionable batted ball profile. He was then able to use his athleticism and speed to steal 12 bases in 15 attempts. An increase in the regularity that he lifts the ball is unlikely to suddenly have Guilarte showing much home run power, but it could help him tap into a little more gap to gap power, where he will be able to use his aforementioned above-average speed to turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples (like the video above). A jump in extra base hits could have Guilarte moving up prospect charts very quickly, April was a great start to his first season in full season ball. #4 C Matt Wood - Carolina Mudcats - 14 H, .292/.433/.458 (.891 OPS), 156 wRC+, with 5 doubles, 1 home run, 7 R, 8 RBI, 11 BB, 10 K, 1 SB. Wood was the Brewers 2022 4th round pick and was seen as a high floor catcher who should be able to stick behind the plate, with a very sound approach at the plate. He also has an ability to drive the ball for extra base hits. His defense was very solid in April, as he threw out nine would-be base stealers. There have been 20 successful attempts as well, but with the current base stealing environment, a caught stealing rate over 30% is fantastic. After only logging five professional plate appearances last year, due to injury, Wood got himself off to a nice start in Carolina. Over the first month, Wood showed both of the previously mentioned offensive traits off by having more walks than strikeouts, as well as connecting for six extra base hits, including a home run. Wood had an incredible line drive rate of 38%, which is almost certainly unsustainable but is a great sign that his swing path is in a very good place at the moment. At 22 years old, Wood is a bit older for the Low-A level, so it would not be a huge surprise to see him make his way to Appleton at some point this season. More performances like he put together in April will help push that envelope. #3 IF/DH Keston Hiura - Nashville Sounds - 27 H, .325/.383/.687 (1.070 OPS), 163 wRC+, with 3 doubles, 9 home runs, 16 R, 24 RBI, 7 BB, 25 K, 1 CS. Keston Hiura is a bit of a divisive figure within the Brewers fanbase, but what we all know is that Hiura is capable of being a good major league hitter. What is a little less obvious is whether he can do it consistently and whether he can keep the strikeouts down to a somewhat reasonable level. In April, Keston was able to keep the K% under 30% and showed the big time power that could allow him to still make a really nice impact at the major league level, though likely as a DH only. Hiura hit nine home runs in April to go along with a .325 batting average. He still could probably stand to draw more walks, but if you hit .325, walks definitely become less important. There has been another noticeable change in his stance from last season to this season, continuing to simplify his load and his stride. It has appeared that pitchers have had a slightly tougher time beating him at the top of the zone thus far, but it’s still shown to be a weakness that pitchers know they can exploit. The hope should be that this month was a big confidence builder for Hiura. The bad news is that we did see similar results for Keston in AAA last year, yet the strikeout rate would remain too high once he returned to MLB. A few more months of everyday playing time and consistent work may be needed before giving Hiura another shot at the major league roster, but April was a very good start from him in terms of trying to force his way back up to the big leagues. #2 IF/OF Tyler Black - Biloxi Shuckers - H, .250/.456/.482 (.938 OPS), 165 wRC+, with 1 double, 4 home runs, 15 R, 13 RBI, 17 BB, 14 K, 10 SB, 1 CS The Brewers Competitive Balance Round A selection in 2021, Black hits the ball pretty hard, he doesn’t strike out much and he is willing to take walks. In the infield his defensive actions can get a little rushed and his throwing arm isn’t the strongest or most accurate. Because of this Black’s bat will likely be what carries the profile, along with some pretty good baserunning instincts and hustle. In April, Black’s bat definitely held up its end of the bargain. He started out his season with an OPS of .938 to go along with four home runs. These numbers are due in part to the fact that Black has been able to improve his batted ball profile so far in 2023, only hitting the ball on the ground 33% of the time in April. Getting under the ball more has helped contribute to his four home runs in April, which equaled his total from 2022, in just over 1/4 of the plate appearances. Black had a positive walk to strikeout ratio in April, which is something he has now done since he began playing at High-A. Quite the feat for a player who has some pop in the bat, as well as an ability to spray the ball to all fields. He showed off that ability in April pulling the ball 34% of the time and going to the opposite field 39% of the time. His power will most likely come to the pull side, but he did hit one of his home runs to left field, which would be a welcome addition to his arsenal. To go along with the bat, Black was also 10-for-11 on stolen base attempts in April. While he isn’t the fastest player in baseball, he does have above average speed and he uses good baserunning instincts and his overall intelligence to swipe bases. With the new rules, the Brewers are a more aggressive team and their minor league teams have certainly followed suit. Considering Black will turn 23 during the season, and with his pedigree as a pure hitter, another month or two similar to the one he put up in April and he may find himself in AAA, knocking on the doorstep to the big club. #1 IF/OF Luke Adams - Carolina Mudcats - 10 H, .227/.469/.500 (.969), 176 wRC+, with 3 doubles, 3 home runs, 7 R, 8 RBI, 16 BB, 15 K, 5 SB, 2 CS. The Brewers 12th round pick in the 2022 draft. Adams was drafted out of Hinsdale Central High School in Illinois and spent the first few weeks of the current 2023 season at 18 years old, before turning 19 on April 24th. Standing 6’4, 210 pounds, he comes with a rare blend of patience at the plate to go along with his power and surprising speed for his size. He also plays a very solid third base where he not only has the arm to handle the position, but has shown an early ability to make off-platform throws, which is not easily done at 6’4. That said, it would not be a huge surprise to see Adams mix in some corner outfield appearances as well, just in case he is not able to continue to make third base work. Adams began his career in 2022 with an 11 game stint in the Arizona Complex League. In that small sample, he was able to give a glimpse of what he is able to do with the previously mentioned tools, coming out of those 11 games with an OPS of 1.075 and a wRC+ of 196 to go along with nine steals, only being caught once. Beginning 2023 as one of the younger players in full season ball, he once again got off to a fantastic start. When tuning in to watch him play, it quickly becomes clear that Adams plays with fire and passion on the field. To be clear, he isn’t out there showing up opponents or umpires, nor has he been seen sulking after a poor plate appearance. He just looks energized to be out there playing. Adams' great month was highlighted by a two home run day on his last day as an 18 year old and you can see some of the fire after the first home run. When taking a look at the statistical side of the equation, one thing that stands out besides the slash line, a common theme amongst those on this list, is a positive Walk to Strikeout ratio. Adams has a violent swing, yet he shows an impressive amount of patience at the plate. The key for Adams is going to be continuing to find the balance between passive and patient, otherwise that may be something that pitchers will be able to take advantage of as he begins to climb the organizational ladder. Putting up five stolen bases also stands out for a guy his size, though it should be mentioned that the baserunning doesn’t start and stop with stealing bases. He has shown to be an aggressive base runner in general, that looks to take an extra base if he can, as well as one that will be going hard down the line on even the most routine ground balls. It is still a small sample, but Adams is beginning to look like a player that will make a leap in the prospect rankings, and a big leap at that. Please feel free to agree or disagree with the rankings. Putting them in order was quite difficult. Age and prospect standing were the deciding factors when settling some of the closer calls. Let us know what you think! View full article
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Brewers Minor League Hitter of the Month - April 2023
Spencer Michaelis posted an article in Minor Leagues
Similar to the big league team, a number of Brewers minor league hitters got off to a fast start to their seasons during the month of April. We will take a look at the top five position players as well as a few other notable performances. We will begin with the group of honorable mentions. A group of three hitters that had a very solid month, but could not quite crack the top five. Honorable Mentions IF Eddy Alvarez - Nashville Sounds - 27 H, .370/.484/.616 (1.100 OPS), 176 wRC+, with 8 doubles, 2 triples, 2 home runs, 20 R, 9 RBI, 14 BB, 15 K, 8 SB, 1 CS. Alvarez had a fantastic April. As a 33-year-old in AAA, it didn’t feel quite right to include the former Olympic speed skater in the top 5, but he does deserve a mention for having a fantastic month. He provides interesting depth if the Brewers fall into a bad injury situation in the infield. IF Ben Metzinger - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - 11 H, .275/.500/.375 (.875 OPS), 173 wRC+, with 1 double, 1 home run, 7 R, 7 RBI, 18 BB, 16 K. The Brewers 7th Rounder in 2022, Metzinger had a very solid month at the plate, walking more than he struck out and reaching base in half of his plate appearances. The combination of a lack of extra base hits and being a bit older for his level kept him off the main list. C/IF Alex Hall - Wisconsin Timber Rattlers - H, .233/.327/.605 (.932 OPS), 158 wRC+, with 1 double, 5 home runs, 7 R, 10 RBI, 6 BB, 11 K. Alex Hall hit as many home runs in April this year as he had in the 2021 and 2022 seasons, combined. Known mainly for being called up to the majors for one game during a COVID outbreak, Hall is not getting regular playing time in Appleton yet, but he followed up a great showing in the Australian Winter League with a really nice April! THE TOP FIVE APRIL HITTERS #5 SS Daniel Guilarte - Carolina Mudcats - 21 H, .309/.427/.382 (.809 OPS), 138 wRC+, with 1 double, 2 triples, 10 R, 11 RBI, 13 BB, 20 K, 12 SB, 3 CS. Guilarte was an international signing by the Brewers in 2021, and is somebody the organization appears to be very high on internally. If you have a chance to watch a Mudcats game, it is very evident why. Guilarte can really pick it at shortstop, as well as third and second base, playing errorless baseball the entire month while spending time at all three spots. He has clean actions, good range and a strong arm. These rankings don’t take defense into account, but if they did he may be a bit higher up. Offensively, Guilarte has a patient approach that may border on being a bit too passive at times. It shows up in the very solid walk totals, though it also shows up a bit in the batted ball profile. A bit of indecisiveness can lead to a profile such as Guilarte’s, in which he is only pulling the ball 15% of the time. Despite that, Guilarte has appeared to make a bit of a jump in terms of elevating the ball more often. His line drive rate is up from 15% in 2022 to 25% in April of 2023, and that 10% was taken directly from his ground ball rate. This will be an important thing to monitor for Guilarte moving forward. Guilarte showed a very good feel for getting the bat to the ball in April, with a swinging strike rate of only 7.5%. This and the fact that he does a good job of getting the barrel to the ball helped him hit 18 singles despite the somewhat questionable batted ball profile. He was then able to use his athleticism and speed to steal 12 bases in 15 attempts. An increase in the regularity that he lifts the ball is unlikely to suddenly have Guilarte showing much home run power, but it could help him tap into a little more gap to gap power, where he will be able to use his aforementioned above-average speed to turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples (like the video above). A jump in extra base hits could have Guilarte moving up prospect charts very quickly, April was a great start to his first season in full season ball. #4 C Matt Wood - Carolina Mudcats - 14 H, .292/.433/.458 (.891 OPS), 156 wRC+, with 5 doubles, 1 home run, 7 R, 8 RBI, 11 BB, 10 K, 1 SB. Wood was the Brewers 2022 4th round pick and was seen as a high floor catcher who should be able to stick behind the plate, with a very sound approach at the plate. He also has an ability to drive the ball for extra base hits. His defense was very solid in April, as he threw out nine would-be base stealers. There have been 20 successful attempts as well, but with the current base stealing environment, a caught stealing rate over 30% is fantastic. After only logging five professional plate appearances last year, due to injury, Wood got himself off to a nice start in Carolina. Over the first month, Wood showed both of the previously mentioned offensive traits off by having more walks than strikeouts, as well as connecting for six extra base hits, including a home run. Wood had an incredible line drive rate of 38%, which is almost certainly unsustainable but is a great sign that his swing path is in a very good place at the moment. At 22 years old, Wood is a bit older for the Low-A level, so it would not be a huge surprise to see him make his way to Appleton at some point this season. More performances like he put together in April will help push that envelope. #3 IF/DH Keston Hiura - Nashville Sounds - 27 H, .325/.383/.687 (1.070 OPS), 163 wRC+, with 3 doubles, 9 home runs, 16 R, 24 RBI, 7 BB, 25 K, 1 CS. Keston Hiura is a bit of a divisive figure within the Brewers fanbase, but what we all know is that Hiura is capable of being a good major league hitter. What is a little less obvious is whether he can do it consistently and whether he can keep the strikeouts down to a somewhat reasonable level. In April, Keston was able to keep the K% under 30% and showed the big time power that could allow him to still make a really nice impact at the major league level, though likely as a DH only. Hiura hit nine home runs in April to go along with a .325 batting average. He still could probably stand to draw more walks, but if you hit .325, walks definitely become less important. There has been another noticeable change in his stance from last season to this season, continuing to simplify his load and his stride. It has appeared that pitchers have had a slightly tougher time beating him at the top of the zone thus far, but it’s still shown to be a weakness that pitchers know they can exploit. The hope should be that this month was a big confidence builder for Hiura. The bad news is that we did see similar results for Keston in AAA last year, yet the strikeout rate would remain too high once he returned to MLB. A few more months of everyday playing time and consistent work may be needed before giving Hiura another shot at the major league roster, but April was a very good start from him in terms of trying to force his way back up to the big leagues. #2 IF/OF Tyler Black - Biloxi Shuckers - H, .250/.456/.482 (.938 OPS), 165 wRC+, with 1 double, 4 home runs, 15 R, 13 RBI, 17 BB, 14 K, 10 SB, 1 CS The Brewers Competitive Balance Round A selection in 2021, Black hits the ball pretty hard, he doesn’t strike out much and he is willing to take walks. In the infield his defensive actions can get a little rushed and his throwing arm isn’t the strongest or most accurate. Because of this Black’s bat will likely be what carries the profile, along with some pretty good baserunning instincts and hustle. In April, Black’s bat definitely held up its end of the bargain. He started out his season with an OPS of .938 to go along with four home runs. These numbers are due in part to the fact that Black has been able to improve his batted ball profile so far in 2023, only hitting the ball on the ground 33% of the time in April. Getting under the ball more has helped contribute to his four home runs in April, which equaled his total from 2022, in just over 1/4 of the plate appearances. Black had a positive walk to strikeout ratio in April, which is something he has now done since he began playing at High-A. Quite the feat for a player who has some pop in the bat, as well as an ability to spray the ball to all fields. He showed off that ability in April pulling the ball 34% of the time and going to the opposite field 39% of the time. His power will most likely come to the pull side, but he did hit one of his home runs to left field, which would be a welcome addition to his arsenal. To go along with the bat, Black was also 10-for-11 on stolen base attempts in April. While he isn’t the fastest player in baseball, he does have above average speed and he uses good baserunning instincts and his overall intelligence to swipe bases. With the new rules, the Brewers are a more aggressive team and their minor league teams have certainly followed suit. Considering Black will turn 23 during the season, and with his pedigree as a pure hitter, another month or two similar to the one he put up in April and he may find himself in AAA, knocking on the doorstep to the big club. #1 IF/OF Luke Adams - Carolina Mudcats - 10 H, .227/.469/.500 (.969), 176 wRC+, with 3 doubles, 3 home runs, 7 R, 8 RBI, 16 BB, 15 K, 5 SB, 2 CS. The Brewers 12th round pick in the 2022 draft. Adams was drafted out of Hinsdale Central High School in Illinois and spent the first few weeks of the current 2023 season at 18 years old, before turning 19 on April 24th. Standing 6’4, 210 pounds, he comes with a rare blend of patience at the plate to go along with his power and surprising speed for his size. He also plays a very solid third base where he not only has the arm to handle the position, but has shown an early ability to make off-platform throws, which is not easily done at 6’4. That said, it would not be a huge surprise to see Adams mix in some corner outfield appearances as well, just in case he is not able to continue to make third base work. Adams began his career in 2022 with an 11 game stint in the Arizona Complex League. In that small sample, he was able to give a glimpse of what he is able to do with the previously mentioned tools, coming out of those 11 games with an OPS of 1.075 and a wRC+ of 196 to go along with nine steals, only being caught once. Beginning 2023 as one of the younger players in full season ball, he once again got off to a fantastic start. When tuning in to watch him play, it quickly becomes clear that Adams plays with fire and passion on the field. To be clear, he isn’t out there showing up opponents or umpires, nor has he been seen sulking after a poor plate appearance. He just looks energized to be out there playing. Adams' great month was highlighted by a two home run day on his last day as an 18 year old and you can see some of the fire after the first home run. When taking a look at the statistical side of the equation, one thing that stands out besides the slash line, a common theme amongst those on this list, is a positive Walk to Strikeout ratio. Adams has a violent swing, yet he shows an impressive amount of patience at the plate. The key for Adams is going to be continuing to find the balance between passive and patient, otherwise that may be something that pitchers will be able to take advantage of as he begins to climb the organizational ladder. Putting up five stolen bases also stands out for a guy his size, though it should be mentioned that the baserunning doesn’t start and stop with stealing bases. He has shown to be an aggressive base runner in general, that looks to take an extra base if he can, as well as one that will be going hard down the line on even the most routine ground balls. It is still a small sample, but Adams is beginning to look like a player that will make a leap in the prospect rankings, and a big leap at that. Please feel free to agree or disagree with the rankings. Putting them in order was quite difficult. Age and prospect standing were the deciding factors when settling some of the closer calls. Let us know what you think!- 3 comments
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Zach Vennaro is another. Kaleb Bowman, Tanner Shears and Chase Costello are three that signed this offseason. I'm sure there are a couple other arms I'm forgetting...
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Statcast data now public for AAA?
Spencer Michaelis replied to wiguy94's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
As cool as the single game data is to have, it felt like we were still missing a lot, because they weren't aggregating the data for the season on BaseballSavant, luckily it looks like Prospects Live will be putting all of it together here! https://www.prospectslive.com/2023-aaa-statcast-data -
Brewer Fanatic 2023 Top 20 Prospects: #1 - Jackson Chourio
Spencer Michaelis posted an article in Minor Leagues
Over the last nine months, Brewers fans have likely heard as much about Jackson Chourio as any prospect this decade, and rightfully so. Chourio received the Brewers' largest bonus in the 2020-21 International class, signing for $1.8 million. He put up good numbers in the Dominican Summer League as a 17-year-old, posting a 131 wRC+ with five home runs in 189 PAs. Despite the excellent output, he played with peers his age in the DSL. This past season was set up to be his first action stateside and his first time playing against full-blown adults. This would be his first real test, and Chourio went out and aced it, including the extra credit points. Chourio appeared to be headed for the Arizona Complex League after spring training, remaining in “Extended Spring Training” out of camp. At least, that’s where he remained for one month. On May 3rd, Chourio was summoned to Low-A Carolina, immediately becoming the youngest baseball player in full-season ball. Chourio was considered a fringe top-10 prospect in the Brewers system at the call-up. By June, he was already being talked about as a potential top-10 prospect in baseball. Nobody in baseball had the helium that Chourio had in 2022. What To Like Chourio doesn’t get cheated on his swings at the plate but still looks to be in total control of his bat. Many have described him as having a “toe tap,” but in reality, it’s more of a “heel tap” as he doesn’t lift his foot off the ground. He does a great job of being direct to the ball with his swing while still getting the loft needed to elevate the ball and get to his raw power in games. Twenty home runs in 439 plate appearances, as the youngest player at each of the three levels he played at, is very rare. He can drive pitches in every area of the strike zone. While in Appleton, Chourio turned around a 100 MPH fastball at the top of the zone for a home run. He also drove sliders on the outer half out to right for home runs and extra-base hits throughout the year. His hit tool has the potential to be above average, with plus power and good bat-to-ball skills. Defensively, Chourio is still new to the outfield after being signed as a shortstop. He uses his plus speed to cover a lot of ground but has some room for refinement in his routes and jumps. This is not unexpected from a player of Chourio’s age, especially one that hasn’t spent much time out there. He projects to be an above-average center fielder once he has gained more experience, though as a teenager, his size could impact defense as he ages into his twenties. His plus speed also factors in on the basepaths, stolen bases, and batted balls. With the attention Chourio was receiving last season, it would have been understandable for him to have some lazy moments on the field. He never did. Chourio was not taking plays off, whether it was a routine ground ball to an infielder or an opportunity to go first to third on a single; his motor was extremely high all season. In fact, it’s fair to wonder if the Brewers won’t ask him to rein it in a bit to maintain his health. What to Work On No, Chourio is not perfect. No matter how exciting he is, there are some reasons to hold off on the MVP trophy engravings. For one, Chourio is still 18 years old. He will be 19 at the start of the season. Young players come with some inherent risks due to a lack of experience. He hasn’t faced much adversity in his career yet. How players respond to a prolonged slump can tell us a lot about their future. Another thing you might find with a young player is an inability to adjust once the “book is out on them,” which Brewers fans have seen with a Keston Hiura, for example. Hiura was never at a level long enough to have pitchers find the holes in his swing, but that showed up eventually. Chourio hasn’t given reason to worry about either of those situations, but they are a few things to watch. In terms of non-hypothetical concerns for Chourio, only one stands out. Chourio did strike out quite a bit in Low-A, and scouts did note that he does have some swing-and-miss in his profile. The good news is that in his promotion to High-A, Chourio cut the strikeout rate from 28% to 21% and cut the chase rate and whiff rate a bit simultaneously. Pitch selection/ recognition is the biggest contributor to these issues, more than his ability to get the bat on the ball. However, if Chourio can’t limit the strikeouts, his hit tool will likely be more average than above average. As mentioned earlier, he should be able to handle center field defensively; the one knock on him will likely be his arm, which is fringe-average. It will hold up well enough in center field; it’s the only tool without the potential to be above average or plus. What’s Next With the way, Chourio burst onto the scene last year as an 18-year-old, it would be fair to assume that his body has matured faster than most his age. It doesn’t appear that this is the case. He still has a pretty thin frame that should allow him to add quite a bit of good weight to his body over the next couple of years. In other words, he’s already showing his abilities in games, but he still has the projectability to dream of too. Chourio will likely start in 2023 in Double-A in Biloxi. A 2023 MLB debut isn’t something Brewers fans should expect, but it would seem somewhat foolish to rule it out entirely. Thank you for reading Brewer Fanatic's 2023 top Brewers prospects ranking! Use the links below to navigate to any previous write-ups and leave a comment below! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects Brewers Top 11-15 Prospects Brewers Top 6-10 Prospects Brewers #5 Prospect: Jeferson Quero Brewers #4 Prospect: Brice Turang Brewers #3 Prospect: Joey Wiemer Brewers #2 Prospect: Sal Frelick Brewers #1 Prospect: Jackson Chourio -
To the surprise of absolutely no one, Jackson Chourio is Brewer Fanatic's top Brewers prospect. Take a look at why he's so incredible. Image courtesy of © Curt Hogg / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK Over the last nine months, Brewers fans have likely heard as much about Jackson Chourio as any prospect this decade, and rightfully so. Chourio received the Brewers' largest bonus in the 2020-21 International class, signing for $1.8 million. He put up good numbers in the Dominican Summer League as a 17-year-old, posting a 131 wRC+ with five home runs in 189 PAs. Despite the excellent output, he played with peers his age in the DSL. This past season was set up to be his first action stateside and his first time playing against full-blown adults. This would be his first real test, and Chourio went out and aced it, including the extra credit points. Chourio appeared to be headed for the Arizona Complex League after spring training, remaining in “Extended Spring Training” out of camp. At least, that’s where he remained for one month. On May 3rd, Chourio was summoned to Low-A Carolina, immediately becoming the youngest baseball player in full-season ball. Chourio was considered a fringe top-10 prospect in the Brewers system at the call-up. By June, he was already being talked about as a potential top-10 prospect in baseball. Nobody in baseball had the helium that Chourio had in 2022. What To Like Chourio doesn’t get cheated on his swings at the plate but still looks to be in total control of his bat. Many have described him as having a “toe tap,” but in reality, it’s more of a “heel tap” as he doesn’t lift his foot off the ground. He does a great job of being direct to the ball with his swing while still getting the loft needed to elevate the ball and get to his raw power in games. Twenty home runs in 439 plate appearances, as the youngest player at each of the three levels he played at, is very rare. He can drive pitches in every area of the strike zone. While in Appleton, Chourio turned around a 100 MPH fastball at the top of the zone for a home run. He also drove sliders on the outer half out to right for home runs and extra-base hits throughout the year. His hit tool has the potential to be above average, with plus power and good bat-to-ball skills. Defensively, Chourio is still new to the outfield after being signed as a shortstop. He uses his plus speed to cover a lot of ground but has some room for refinement in his routes and jumps. This is not unexpected from a player of Chourio’s age, especially one that hasn’t spent much time out there. He projects to be an above-average center fielder once he has gained more experience, though as a teenager, his size could impact defense as he ages into his twenties. His plus speed also factors in on the basepaths, stolen bases, and batted balls. With the attention Chourio was receiving last season, it would have been understandable for him to have some lazy moments on the field. He never did. Chourio was not taking plays off, whether it was a routine ground ball to an infielder or an opportunity to go first to third on a single; his motor was extremely high all season. In fact, it’s fair to wonder if the Brewers won’t ask him to rein it in a bit to maintain his health. What to Work On No, Chourio is not perfect. No matter how exciting he is, there are some reasons to hold off on the MVP trophy engravings. For one, Chourio is still 18 years old. He will be 19 at the start of the season. Young players come with some inherent risks due to a lack of experience. He hasn’t faced much adversity in his career yet. How players respond to a prolonged slump can tell us a lot about their future. Another thing you might find with a young player is an inability to adjust once the “book is out on them,” which Brewers fans have seen with a Keston Hiura, for example. Hiura was never at a level long enough to have pitchers find the holes in his swing, but that showed up eventually. Chourio hasn’t given reason to worry about either of those situations, but they are a few things to watch. In terms of non-hypothetical concerns for Chourio, only one stands out. Chourio did strike out quite a bit in Low-A, and scouts did note that he does have some swing-and-miss in his profile. The good news is that in his promotion to High-A, Chourio cut the strikeout rate from 28% to 21% and cut the chase rate and whiff rate a bit simultaneously. Pitch selection/ recognition is the biggest contributor to these issues, more than his ability to get the bat on the ball. However, if Chourio can’t limit the strikeouts, his hit tool will likely be more average than above average. As mentioned earlier, he should be able to handle center field defensively; the one knock on him will likely be his arm, which is fringe-average. It will hold up well enough in center field; it’s the only tool without the potential to be above average or plus. What’s Next With the way, Chourio burst onto the scene last year as an 18-year-old, it would be fair to assume that his body has matured faster than most his age. It doesn’t appear that this is the case. He still has a pretty thin frame that should allow him to add quite a bit of good weight to his body over the next couple of years. In other words, he’s already showing his abilities in games, but he still has the projectability to dream of too. Chourio will likely start in 2023 in Double-A in Biloxi. A 2023 MLB debut isn’t something Brewers fans should expect, but it would seem somewhat foolish to rule it out entirely. Thank you for reading Brewer Fanatic's 2023 top Brewers prospects ranking! Use the links below to navigate to any previous write-ups and leave a comment below! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects Brewers Top 11-15 Prospects Brewers Top 6-10 Prospects Brewers #5 Prospect: Jeferson Quero Brewers #4 Prospect: Brice Turang Brewers #3 Prospect: Joey Wiemer Brewers #2 Prospect: Sal Frelick Brewers #1 Prospect: Jackson Chourio View full article
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Brewer Fanatic 2023 Top 20 Prospects: #2 - Sal Frelick
Spencer Michaelis posted an article in Minor Leagues
Unlike many other prospects on this list, Sal Frelick may have a direct route to a daily role in American Family Field early in the 2023 season. With no clear starting center field option and his only other prospect competition coming from #6 prospect Garrett Mitchell, Frelick may be the first of the Brewers' top five prospects to see action in a Brewers uniform. On to Frelick's history and scouting report, the #2 Brewers prospect as ranked by our community. What To Like The Brewers' first-round pick in 2021, Frelick was an enigma in the draft world coming out of Boston College. Due to some unfortunate injury luck and COVID, Frelick needed more data to work with. He had shown good bat-to-ball and on-base skills and a lot of athleticism. He had shown an ability to hit the ball with some authority but had struggled to elevate. There were a lot of signs that gave scouts hope that Frelick would eventually become a solid hitter, but without the sample size in college, there was still reason for skepticism. Less than two years post-draft, Frelick is universally viewed as having a plus hit tool, if not an elite one. MLB Pipeline gave him a 70 grade in that regard, which was the highest they gave to any prospect in baseball. Impressively, Frelick’s strikeout rate has continued to decrease as he has risen through the minors, bottoming out at under 9% in Triple-A last season. His swing decisions are elite, he has very good bat-to-ball skills, and he uses his athleticism to turn some groundouts into singles and stretch singles to doubles. Frelick has been a pretty successful base stealer in the minor leagues, but at times it does appear he’s more reliant on his athleticism and speed than his jumps. As with many players around the game, the new pitch clock and pickoff rules should only help his success on the bases. What to Work On Offensively, there’s only one downfall to Frelick’s profile: a lack of home run power. He has a very short and fast swing that should allow him to hit plenty of line drives into gaps for doubles and triples, but it will likely make it hard to generate the elevation required to tap into more home run power. 10-15 home runs in a season still feel possible, though, and would at least help keep pitchers on their toes if he can punish their mistakes. Despite what FanGraphs has said about his defense, Frelick appears to be an average defender in center field presently. He primarily relies on his athleticism, as his routes and jumps are fringe-average at best. Having been recruited to Boston College as a utility guy many thought would eventually play second base, Frelick is still relatively new to the outfield. This makes him more likely to see progression as he gains more experience. Brewers fans will not have to worry about Frelick playing with any fear in the outfield. He plays with his hair on fire and is unafraid to smash into a wall or three. What’s Next Frelick has a lot of similarities to Steven Kwan, who posted a WAR over five as a rookie. Kwan had a better batted ball profile in the minors (fewer grounders, more line drives), so Frelick may not have quite as good a debut season as Kwan did, but he does have a profile that should lend him to early MLB success. Frelick is in major league camp and will likely remain there until he heads off to play in the World Baseball Classic for Team Italy, where he should get a lot of high-level experience facing MLB-level talent. The Brewers' signing of Tyler Naquin may have shut the door further on his already slim chances of making the team out of spring. Barring a major regression in Triple-A this season, Frelick has all of the ingredients to be a fantastic table setter for the Brewers for a long time. He’s already waiting at the doorstep of the majors, and fans should expect to see him entrenched in the everyday lineup sometime in 2023. What do you think, Brewer Fanatics? When will we see Frelick in the Milwaukee lineup and should he be a consideration out of Spring Training? Comment and let us know! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects Brewers Top 11-15 Prospects Brewers Top 6-10 Prospects Brewers #5 Prospect: Jeferson Quero Brewers #4 Prospect: Brice Turang Brewers #3 Prospect: Joey Wiemer Brewers #2 Prospect: Sal Frelick -
Heading into the 2023 MLB season, center field is one of the few positions relatively wide open for the Brewers. Sal Frelick is one of the players in the mix for that role. Image courtesy of © Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports Unlike many other prospects on this list, Sal Frelick may have a direct route to a daily role in American Family Field early in the 2023 season. With no clear starting center field option and his only other prospect competition coming from #6 prospect Garrett Mitchell, Frelick may be the first of the Brewers' top five prospects to see action in a Brewers uniform. On to Frelick's history and scouting report, the #2 Brewers prospect as ranked by our community. What To Like The Brewers' first-round pick in 2021, Frelick was an enigma in the draft world coming out of Boston College. Due to some unfortunate injury luck and COVID, Frelick needed more data to work with. He had shown good bat-to-ball and on-base skills and a lot of athleticism. He had shown an ability to hit the ball with some authority but had struggled to elevate. There were a lot of signs that gave scouts hope that Frelick would eventually become a solid hitter, but without the sample size in college, there was still reason for skepticism. Less than two years post-draft, Frelick is universally viewed as having a plus hit tool, if not an elite one. MLB Pipeline gave him a 70 grade in that regard, which was the highest they gave to any prospect in baseball. Impressively, Frelick’s strikeout rate has continued to decrease as he has risen through the minors, bottoming out at under 9% in Triple-A last season. His swing decisions are elite, he has very good bat-to-ball skills, and he uses his athleticism to turn some groundouts into singles and stretch singles to doubles. Frelick has been a pretty successful base stealer in the minor leagues, but at times it does appear he’s more reliant on his athleticism and speed than his jumps. As with many players around the game, the new pitch clock and pickoff rules should only help his success on the bases. What to Work On Offensively, there’s only one downfall to Frelick’s profile: a lack of home run power. He has a very short and fast swing that should allow him to hit plenty of line drives into gaps for doubles and triples, but it will likely make it hard to generate the elevation required to tap into more home run power. 10-15 home runs in a season still feel possible, though, and would at least help keep pitchers on their toes if he can punish their mistakes. Despite what FanGraphs has said about his defense, Frelick appears to be an average defender in center field presently. He primarily relies on his athleticism, as his routes and jumps are fringe-average at best. Having been recruited to Boston College as a utility guy many thought would eventually play second base, Frelick is still relatively new to the outfield. This makes him more likely to see progression as he gains more experience. Brewers fans will not have to worry about Frelick playing with any fear in the outfield. He plays with his hair on fire and is unafraid to smash into a wall or three. What’s Next Frelick has a lot of similarities to Steven Kwan, who posted a WAR over five as a rookie. Kwan had a better batted ball profile in the minors (fewer grounders, more line drives), so Frelick may not have quite as good a debut season as Kwan did, but he does have a profile that should lend him to early MLB success. Frelick is in major league camp and will likely remain there until he heads off to play in the World Baseball Classic for Team Italy, where he should get a lot of high-level experience facing MLB-level talent. The Brewers' signing of Tyler Naquin may have shut the door further on his already slim chances of making the team out of spring. Barring a major regression in Triple-A this season, Frelick has all of the ingredients to be a fantastic table setter for the Brewers for a long time. He’s already waiting at the doorstep of the majors, and fans should expect to see him entrenched in the everyday lineup sometime in 2023. What do you think, Brewer Fanatics? When will we see Frelick in the Milwaukee lineup and should he be a consideration out of Spring Training? Comment and let us know! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects Brewers Top 11-15 Prospects Brewers Top 6-10 Prospects Brewers #5 Prospect: Jeferson Quero Brewers #4 Prospect: Brice Turang Brewers #3 Prospect: Joey Wiemer Brewers #2 Prospect: Sal Frelick View full article
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That's a great question. Probably fewer than it feels like, since Arcia was so highly regarded, then Brinson was waiting in the wings as a very highly ranked guy. Followed by Burnes/Hiura. Prior to Arcia though, there was a pretty long stretch where someone like Wiemer would have definitely taken the top spot in the org.
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As we round into the top three Brewers prospects, we see a trio of promising outfielders. Let's take a look at the first of those, Joey Wiemer. Image courtesy of © Allan Henry-USA TODAY Sports As mentioned in yesterday's write-up for the #4 top prospect Brice Turang, the top of the Brewers prospect list features several players that may see time in Milwaukee in 2023. Joey Wiemer is one of those possibilities, having spent substantial time at AAA Nashville in 2022. Let's look at his scouting report and what to expect from him this season. We continue the 2023 Brewer Fanatic top prospects list, as ranked by our community. What To Like The Brewers' fourth-round pick in the COVID-shortened five-round draft of 2020, Wiemer is already on the verge of cracking the MLB roster after an incredible debut season in 2021 and a solid, if slightly less spectacular, 2022. If you were to see Wiemer out in the wild, you might think he was a tight end or a small forward. In reality, he’s a 6'5", 215 lbs outfielder with so much athleticism that he can hold his own in center field and excel out there. The Brewers' surplus of center field prospects will likely relegate Wiemer to right field, making him one of the better defensive right fielders in baseball. Wiemer’s arm will also fit in just fine in right field, as it is universally regarded as one of the best arms in all of baseball. Wiemer gets great carry on his throws, can throw on the move and from uncomfortable angles, and has an impressive amount of accuracy to go with it. It’s hard to grade the arm as anything other than a 70 or possibly even an 80. On the offensive side of the ball, Wiemer shows raw power that very few have, and he can also get to it in games. To illustrate the type of power he has, FanGraphs lists him as having hit a ball with a 122 MPH exit velocity last season, which has only happened three times in the Statcast era. The validity of that number is a little up in the air, but it wasn’t high enough that FanGraphs considered it a complete outlier that Wiemer could not reach. Along with his power, Wiemer shows an ability and a willingness to take walks, with a career walk rate of over 11% thus far. Wiemer’s athleticism has been mentioned several times already, but another place it shines is on the basepaths. Wiemer is a combined 61/70 on stolen base attempts in his two minor league seasons. With the new pitch clock rules, this should continue to be a weapon for Wiemer at the MLB level. What to Work On The main focus for Wiemer moving forward will likely be on his bat-to-ball skills. Wiemer takes explosive, exciting swings every time the bat leaves his shoulder. When he’s making contact, it’s very fun to watch. However, that swing has also left him susceptible to swing and miss. In his time at Double-A this past season, Wiemer struck out at a 30.2% rate which normally would not bode well, as those rates tend to go up as players continue up the organizational ladder. The good news is that Wiemer slashed that rate down to 19.5% at Triple-A, though in a smaller sample size. He also lowered his swinging strike rate while walking more, making that lower percentage more believable. If he can settle into a 25-28% K rate at the major league level, he will likely be a good major leaguer. What’s Next Wiemer is a non-roster invitee for Spring Training this year. It would seem a long shot for him to make the Opening Day roster, meaning he will likely begin the season in Nashville, where he will look to prove the lower strikeout rate wasn’t a fluke. If he can show that he can make consistent contact, he will find himself in the Brewers lineup sooner rather than later. What do you think, Brewer Fanatics? What will we see from Wiemer in 2023? Leave a comment and let us know! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects Brewers Top 11-15 Prospects Brewers Top 6-10 Prospects Brewers #5 Prospect: Jeferson Quero Brewers #4 Prospect: Brice Turang Brewers #3 Prospect: Joey Wiemer View full article
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Brewer Fanatic 2023 Top 20 Prospects: #3 - Joey Wiemer
Spencer Michaelis posted an article in Minor Leagues
As mentioned in yesterday's write-up for the #4 top prospect Brice Turang, the top of the Brewers prospect list features several players that may see time in Milwaukee in 2023. Joey Wiemer is one of those possibilities, having spent substantial time at AAA Nashville in 2022. Let's look at his scouting report and what to expect from him this season. We continue the 2023 Brewer Fanatic top prospects list, as ranked by our community. What To Like The Brewers' fourth-round pick in the COVID-shortened five-round draft of 2020, Wiemer is already on the verge of cracking the MLB roster after an incredible debut season in 2021 and a solid, if slightly less spectacular, 2022. If you were to see Wiemer out in the wild, you might think he was a tight end or a small forward. In reality, he’s a 6'5", 215 lbs outfielder with so much athleticism that he can hold his own in center field and excel out there. The Brewers' surplus of center field prospects will likely relegate Wiemer to right field, making him one of the better defensive right fielders in baseball. Wiemer’s arm will also fit in just fine in right field, as it is universally regarded as one of the best arms in all of baseball. Wiemer gets great carry on his throws, can throw on the move and from uncomfortable angles, and has an impressive amount of accuracy to go with it. It’s hard to grade the arm as anything other than a 70 or possibly even an 80. On the offensive side of the ball, Wiemer shows raw power that very few have, and he can also get to it in games. To illustrate the type of power he has, FanGraphs lists him as having hit a ball with a 122 MPH exit velocity last season, which has only happened three times in the Statcast era. The validity of that number is a little up in the air, but it wasn’t high enough that FanGraphs considered it a complete outlier that Wiemer could not reach. Along with his power, Wiemer shows an ability and a willingness to take walks, with a career walk rate of over 11% thus far. Wiemer’s athleticism has been mentioned several times already, but another place it shines is on the basepaths. Wiemer is a combined 61/70 on stolen base attempts in his two minor league seasons. With the new pitch clock rules, this should continue to be a weapon for Wiemer at the MLB level. What to Work On The main focus for Wiemer moving forward will likely be on his bat-to-ball skills. Wiemer takes explosive, exciting swings every time the bat leaves his shoulder. When he’s making contact, it’s very fun to watch. However, that swing has also left him susceptible to swing and miss. In his time at Double-A this past season, Wiemer struck out at a 30.2% rate which normally would not bode well, as those rates tend to go up as players continue up the organizational ladder. The good news is that Wiemer slashed that rate down to 19.5% at Triple-A, though in a smaller sample size. He also lowered his swinging strike rate while walking more, making that lower percentage more believable. If he can settle into a 25-28% K rate at the major league level, he will likely be a good major leaguer. What’s Next Wiemer is a non-roster invitee for Spring Training this year. It would seem a long shot for him to make the Opening Day roster, meaning he will likely begin the season in Nashville, where he will look to prove the lower strikeout rate wasn’t a fluke. If he can show that he can make consistent contact, he will find himself in the Brewers lineup sooner rather than later. What do you think, Brewer Fanatics? What will we see from Wiemer in 2023? Leave a comment and let us know! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects Brewers Top 11-15 Prospects Brewers Top 6-10 Prospects Brewers #5 Prospect: Jeferson Quero Brewers #4 Prospect: Brice Turang Brewers #3 Prospect: Joey Wiemer -
As we approach the top of the 2023 Milwaukee Brewers prospect list, we see more close-to-MLB position players. At spot #4, today's entry is infielder Brice Turang. Image courtesy of © USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin via Imagn Content Services, LLC While the Brewers farm system has been noted for its ability to churn out big league starters for the past half-decade, the organization's depth has transitioned more toward position players in the past two years. While their outfield depth is impressive - as we'll see near the top of the prospect rankings - infielders like Brice Turang also give Milwaukee hope that they'll be able to cover the potential loss of star shortstop Willy Adames sometime in the next 20 months. Let's talk about Turang, Brewer Fanatic's #4 prospect as ranked by our community. What To Like Turang has major league bloodlines with his father; Brian spent time in MLB for two years in the 1990s and has received good grades for his makeup. Turang was once considered the likely number-one selection in his draft, but after a somewhat disappointing senior season of high school and travel ball, he fell to the Brewers at 21. One thing nobody will have to worry about with Turang will be his defense. He’s a very good defensive shortstop who has shown an ability to move around to second and third, as well as some center field. His instincts, glovework, and arm strength allowed him to play each of them seamlessly. A plus defender at shortstop specifically gives Turang a lot of value. As a baserunner, he was successful on 34 of 36 stolen base attempts in 2023 and showed an impressive ability to pick up on pitcher timing to get great jumps. Combining those baserunning instincts with his above-average speed should make him a threat on the bases at the major league level. Offensively, Turang has shown a very good feel for the strike zone, rarely expanding outside of it, which makes him an on-base threat even if he isn’t driving the ball. He has decent bat-to-ball skills to go along with that feel for the zone, giving him an average to slightly above-average hit tool overall. Turang doesn’t need to be a world-beater offensively to have a lot of value, but being better than league average would raise that value rather significantly. What to Work On The main reason Turang being a patient hitter is so important is because his offensive game does leave a bit to be desired at times, especially in the extra base hit department. Since being drafted, Turang has adjusted his stance at the plate. His front foot is now slightly more open than when he was drafted, sinking a bit further into the back leg. This was done with power output on the mind, as it keeps him from closing himself off with his front foot. With that adjustment, he began to tap into his in-game power more this past season, especially in the second half. Through June of last season, Turang had 308 plate appearances with only 13 extra-base hits, three of which were home runs. He had a .348 SLG at that point. From July through the end of the season, he had 295 plate appearances. In that span, he hit ten home runs and had 26 extra-base hits, which amounted to a .484 SLG. That type of output over the course of a full season would be above average at the major league level. Proving that the second half of the season is more indicative of his future offensive output than the first was would go a long way toward making Turang a very productive MLB bat. What’s Next Turang has a chance to be a long-time regular in MLB. Some improvements at the plate would go a long way toward making that reality. He had an up-and-down 2022 season, and some off-season additions may have lessened the chances of Turang making the Opening Day roster. As long as he remains healthy, though, we will see him in Milwaukee sometime this season. What do you think, Brewer Fanatics? What will we see from Turang in 2023, and who do you think slots into the #3 top prospect slot? Leave a comment and let us know! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects Brewers Top 11-15 Prospects Brewers Top 6-10 Prospects Brewers #5 Prospect: Jeferson Quero Brewers #4 Prospect: Brice Turang View full article
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Brewer Fanatic 2023 Top 20 Prospects: #4 - Brice Turang
Spencer Michaelis posted an article in Minor Leagues
While the Brewers farm system has been noted for its ability to churn out big league starters for the past half-decade, the organization's depth has transitioned more toward position players in the past two years. While their outfield depth is impressive - as we'll see near the top of the prospect rankings - infielders like Brice Turang also give Milwaukee hope that they'll be able to cover the potential loss of star shortstop Willy Adames sometime in the next 20 months. Let's talk about Turang, Brewer Fanatic's #4 prospect as ranked by our community. What To Like Turang has major league bloodlines with his father; Brian spent time in MLB for two years in the 1990s and has received good grades for his makeup. Turang was once considered the likely number-one selection in his draft, but after a somewhat disappointing senior season of high school and travel ball, he fell to the Brewers at 21. One thing nobody will have to worry about with Turang will be his defense. He’s a very good defensive shortstop who has shown an ability to move around to second and third, as well as some center field. His instincts, glovework, and arm strength allowed him to play each of them seamlessly. A plus defender at shortstop specifically gives Turang a lot of value. As a baserunner, he was successful on 34 of 36 stolen base attempts in 2023 and showed an impressive ability to pick up on pitcher timing to get great jumps. Combining those baserunning instincts with his above-average speed should make him a threat on the bases at the major league level. Offensively, Turang has shown a very good feel for the strike zone, rarely expanding outside of it, which makes him an on-base threat even if he isn’t driving the ball. He has decent bat-to-ball skills to go along with that feel for the zone, giving him an average to slightly above-average hit tool overall. Turang doesn’t need to be a world-beater offensively to have a lot of value, but being better than league average would raise that value rather significantly. What to Work On The main reason Turang being a patient hitter is so important is because his offensive game does leave a bit to be desired at times, especially in the extra base hit department. Since being drafted, Turang has adjusted his stance at the plate. His front foot is now slightly more open than when he was drafted, sinking a bit further into the back leg. This was done with power output on the mind, as it keeps him from closing himself off with his front foot. With that adjustment, he began to tap into his in-game power more this past season, especially in the second half. Through June of last season, Turang had 308 plate appearances with only 13 extra-base hits, three of which were home runs. He had a .348 SLG at that point. From July through the end of the season, he had 295 plate appearances. In that span, he hit ten home runs and had 26 extra-base hits, which amounted to a .484 SLG. That type of output over the course of a full season would be above average at the major league level. Proving that the second half of the season is more indicative of his future offensive output than the first was would go a long way toward making Turang a very productive MLB bat. What’s Next Turang has a chance to be a long-time regular in MLB. Some improvements at the plate would go a long way toward making that reality. He had an up-and-down 2022 season, and some off-season additions may have lessened the chances of Turang making the Opening Day roster. As long as he remains healthy, though, we will see him in Milwaukee sometime this season. What do you think, Brewer Fanatics? What will we see from Turang in 2023, and who do you think slots into the #3 top prospect slot? Leave a comment and let us know! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects Brewers Top 11-15 Prospects Brewers Top 6-10 Prospects Brewers #5 Prospect: Jeferson Quero Brewers #4 Prospect: Brice Turang -
Brewer Fanatic 2023 Top 20 Prospects: #5 - Jeferson Quero
Spencer Michaelis posted an article in Minor Leagues
The format has changed a bit since we're in the top five of our 20 prospect countdown. Instead of five prospects per article, we deep dive into each player, giving them the focus of an entire article. This week, we'll examine the top five Milwaukee Brewers' prospects in ascending order. Starting off the top five is catcher Jeferson Quero, as voted by the Brewer Fanatic community. What To Like Though he hasn’t played above High-A professionally, Quero is no stranger to a bigger stage. He once hit a go-ahead home run in extra innings of a semi-final Little League World Series game against Japan. His ability to balance maturity and passion, as seen in that clip, has also carried over to his professional career. From the moment he signed out of Venezuela in 2019, Quero has been heralded for his makeup and ability to handle a pitching staff, both within the organization and externally. His defense and his arm are his calling cards at the moment. A very good athlete for a catcher, Quero moves extremely well behind the plate and showed big improvement in his blocking abilities last season. His arm is rated plus, already posting pop times in the 1.8-1.9 range and with good accuracy. He threw out 30% of attempted base stealers against him between Low-A and High-A last year. 30% doesn’t stand out as being better than average, but it’s important to note that Minor League Baseball was already operating under the new pitch clock rules. This means baserunners were at a huge advantage due to the pickoff rules accompanying the pitch clock. Quero also spent time in the Arizona Fall League in 2022, where he threw out 46% of attempted base stealers, while all other AFL catchers combined for a 17% Caught Stealing rate. While defense may be his calling card, there is much to like with Quero at the plate. Quero hit 10 HR as a 19-year-old catcher, to go along with a 116 wRC+ between Low-A and High-A; he also showed off a few exit velocities over 105 MPH in the AFL. Between High-A and Low-A, he combined to strike out under 20% of the time and showed very good bat-to-ball skills. His bat is something Brewers fans will want to watch closely this season, as his development will be very important to his future. What to Work On While Quero does a great job getting his bat on the ball, he sometimes needs help with pitch selection. He chases quite a bit, and after having nearly a 15% walk rate in the Complex League in 2021, that was cut in half to just over 7% in 2022. Finding the balance between being aggressive but not too aggressive will likely play a major part in determining the level of hitter he can be at the upper levels. Defensively, the only real knock on Quero now is in his receiving. This isn’t uncommon for catchers his age, especially as the pitchers they are catching start throwing harder while they move up the organizational ladder. The good news is that Quero seems to struggle more with low pitches than anywhere else, which is often a matter of strength more than ability. The Brewers are among the best in baseball at developing catchers as receivers, and Quero is already further along than most at his age. What’s Next As far as young catchers go, Quero has a higher floor than most and a pretty fun ceiling to dream of if he can continue to develop offensively. Though he will only be 20 years old for all of the 2023 season, he will be Rule 5 eligible in December. Quero is the type of player teams will often take a chance on in the Rule 5 setting, so the Brewers will most likely protect him, even if he has a bit of a down season. Being a non-roster invitee to MLB spring training is also noteworthy, as he will get the chance to catch some major league arms, even if mainly in a bullpen setting. Quero appears to be ticketed for either a return to Appleton or potentially a more aggressive placement in Double-A Biloxi. What do you think, Brewer Fanatics? What will we see from Quero in 2023 and who do you think slots into the #4 top prospect slot? Leave a comment and let us know! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects Brewers Top 11-15 Prospects Brewers Top 6-10 Prospects Brewers #5 Prospect: Jeferson Quero -
We're into the top five 2023 Milwaukee Brewers prospects. Coming in at #5 is the promising young catching prospect, Jeferson Quero. Image courtesy of © USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin via Imagn Content Services, LLC The format has changed a bit since we're in the top five of our 20 prospect countdown. Instead of five prospects per article, we deep dive into each player, giving them the focus of an entire article. This week, we'll examine the top five Milwaukee Brewers' prospects in ascending order. Starting off the top five is catcher Jeferson Quero, as voted by the Brewer Fanatic community. What To Like Though he hasn’t played above High-A professionally, Quero is no stranger to a bigger stage. He once hit a go-ahead home run in extra innings of a semi-final Little League World Series game against Japan. His ability to balance maturity and passion, as seen in that clip, has also carried over to his professional career. From the moment he signed out of Venezuela in 2019, Quero has been heralded for his makeup and ability to handle a pitching staff, both within the organization and externally. His defense and his arm are his calling cards at the moment. A very good athlete for a catcher, Quero moves extremely well behind the plate and showed big improvement in his blocking abilities last season. His arm is rated plus, already posting pop times in the 1.8-1.9 range and with good accuracy. He threw out 30% of attempted base stealers against him between Low-A and High-A last year. 30% doesn’t stand out as being better than average, but it’s important to note that Minor League Baseball was already operating under the new pitch clock rules. This means baserunners were at a huge advantage due to the pickoff rules accompanying the pitch clock. Quero also spent time in the Arizona Fall League in 2022, where he threw out 46% of attempted base stealers, while all other AFL catchers combined for a 17% Caught Stealing rate. While defense may be his calling card, there is much to like with Quero at the plate. Quero hit 10 HR as a 19-year-old catcher, to go along with a 116 wRC+ between Low-A and High-A; he also showed off a few exit velocities over 105 MPH in the AFL. Between High-A and Low-A, he combined to strike out under 20% of the time and showed very good bat-to-ball skills. His bat is something Brewers fans will want to watch closely this season, as his development will be very important to his future. What to Work On While Quero does a great job getting his bat on the ball, he sometimes needs help with pitch selection. He chases quite a bit, and after having nearly a 15% walk rate in the Complex League in 2021, that was cut in half to just over 7% in 2022. Finding the balance between being aggressive but not too aggressive will likely play a major part in determining the level of hitter he can be at the upper levels. Defensively, the only real knock on Quero now is in his receiving. This isn’t uncommon for catchers his age, especially as the pitchers they are catching start throwing harder while they move up the organizational ladder. The good news is that Quero seems to struggle more with low pitches than anywhere else, which is often a matter of strength more than ability. The Brewers are among the best in baseball at developing catchers as receivers, and Quero is already further along than most at his age. What’s Next As far as young catchers go, Quero has a higher floor than most and a pretty fun ceiling to dream of if he can continue to develop offensively. Though he will only be 20 years old for all of the 2023 season, he will be Rule 5 eligible in December. Quero is the type of player teams will often take a chance on in the Rule 5 setting, so the Brewers will most likely protect him, even if he has a bit of a down season. Being a non-roster invitee to MLB spring training is also noteworthy, as he will get the chance to catch some major league arms, even if mainly in a bullpen setting. Quero appears to be ticketed for either a return to Appleton or potentially a more aggressive placement in Double-A Biloxi. What do you think, Brewer Fanatics? What will we see from Quero in 2023 and who do you think slots into the #4 top prospect slot? Leave a comment and let us know! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects Brewers Top 11-15 Prospects Brewers Top 6-10 Prospects Brewers #5 Prospect: Jeferson Quero View full article
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After seeing the back end of the top 20 prospects list swing pitcher-heavy, we're starting to see hitters represented more in the top ten. This trend only strengthens the closer we get to the 2023 Brewers' number one prospect (it doesn't require you to be Nostradamus to figure out who that will be). As we work through this list, it becomes evident that this system has much more depth than it has for several years. During their 2022 mid-season update, MLB.com ranked the Brewers system 19th in baseball, a stark improvement from where they were two years prior, ranked down at 29th. Seeing the Stearns/Arnold regimes accomplish this feat while posting five winning seasons in six years (falling just a little short of the mark in the weird 2020 shortened season). There's a lot to be excited about as Brewers fans. Let's dive into the 2023 Brewers' top 6-10 prospects, as voted on by the Brewer Fanatic community. 10. Jacob Misiorowski Age: 20 2022 Stats (A): 1.2 IP, 5.40 ERA In terms of pure ceiling, the Brewers' second-round selection in last year's draft has been one of the highest of any Brewers pitcher in recent memory. Misiorowski is a freak athlete on the mound, with long levers and a fastball that regularly touched triple digits in his short Low-A stint and instructs. The fastball also has good movement characteristics, making it a potential 70 or 80-grade pitch that would play best when elevated. The slider is a wipeout pitch with high spin; some have said it could be another 80-grade pitch. When Misiorowski was pitching against JUCO hitters, he only needed those two pitches to get by, so there were some questions about his other secondary offerings. However, he flashed some good-looking curveballs in instructs, and the changeup looked serviceable, with flashes of being above average. For Misiorowski, it will all boil down to what level he can get his command to, which is currently well below average. It may take a year or two to start seeing some of the bigger improvements. Thus, his overall development will likely be a waiting game but a game worth playing from the Brewers' perspective. If he can make the jump with his command, he will likely be one of the best pitching prospects in baseball. In terms of pure “stuff,” very few pitchers in all of baseball can match Misiorowski. He would probably begin in 2023 in Low-A Carolina to get his feet under him, but High-A can’t be ruled out. 9. Eric Brown Jr Age: 22 2022 Stats (Rook/A): 117 PAs, .268/.385/.454, 3 HR, 8 RBI The Brewers' first-round pick in last year’s draft, Brown Jr, is a premium athlete at a premium position. He had a meager strikeout rate and an even lower chase rate in college, along with big-time exit velocity readings. The question then would be, “why was he available at the Brewers' pick?” The main reason is that Brown had a very peculiar-looking load and stance in college. He was an analytical darling, but traditional scouts were less excited due to his stance. It appeared at the end of the season that the Brewers were trying to normalize the load to something much more “traditional.” It will be interesting to see how he adjusts to it to start this next season. Defensively Brown has a really good glove with smooth defensive actions that will allow him to stick at shortstop. Despite a throwing arm that is probably closer to average than it is to plus, he has a quick release on his throws which helps make up for that lack of big-time arm strength. Brown's athleticism, as mentioned above, doesn’t just show up in a showcase type of setting. He uses it to his advantage regularly in games, combining it with a high motor and a lot of hustle. Perhaps not as crucial to his baseball development, but important nonetheless, Brown also receives high grades for his makeup and is said to be a great teammate. 8. Tyler Black Age: 22 2022 Stats (A+): 283 PAs, .281/.406/.424, 4 HR, 35 RBI The Brewers Competitive Balance Round A selection in 2021, Black has a similar profile to many recent early picks of the Brewers. He hits the ball pretty hard, doesn’t strike out much, and is willing to take walks. He also hits the ball on the ground quite a bit. Black had a solid stint in the Arizona Fall League. His OPS of .790 was impressive, especially given it was his first action since his regular season ended early due to a broken arm he suffered on a diving play out in center field. He was facing many more high-level arms than he had seen in High-A. Black’s bat will likely carry the profile, along with some good baserunning instincts and hustle. There have been concerns over whether Black can stick on the infield since the draft in 2021, and he did spend about 80% of his time in the outfield in the AFL. He has been solid defensively in the outfield and would probably even be considered a good defender. Whereas in the infield, his actions can get a little rushed, and his throwing arm isn’t the strongest or most accurate, which is likely why the Brewers have been exploring the possibilities in the outfield. The bat becomes much more critical if he can’t stick at second base. An aggressive placement in Double-A would not be a massive surprise for Black to start 2023, given he did show an ability to hit higher-level pitching in the AFL, and he will be turning 23 during the season. 7. Robert Gasser Age: 23 2022 Stats (A+/AA/AAA): 137.0 IP, 3.94 ERA, 11.30 K/9, 3.32 BB/9 Gasser was one of the prospects in the infamous Josh Hader trade. A second-round pick by San Diego in 2021, Gasser throws four above-average pitches in his fastball, slider, changeup, and cutter. The regular fastball probably being the worst of the four, closest to average. His slider is best described as a sweeper, a pitch he can throw in any count or situation. His changeup is a bit firmer than you would want, but it has good action and is a good counter to right-handed hitters. He likely has a goal to get more separation between his fastball velocity and his changeup. He mixed his cutter in more with the Brewers than he had with the Padres, and while it wasn’t always perfect, it showed some flashes of being a really good pitch for missing barrels and as another counter to right-handed hitters. He did not throw many curves for the Brewers, and that will likely continue as it lags behind his other offerings. After dominating Double-A for a month, Gasser received a quick promotion to Triple-A Nashville. The command took a step back in Nashville, but it would feel fair to assume some fatigue was in play. The velocity on his fastball was bouncing around more than it did in Biloxi, which is another sign of fatigue. He will likely begin in Triple-A again this season, with a chance to perform well and eventually make his MLB debut. Despite the negatives that come with the Hader trade, Esteury Ruiz helped net the Brewers a long-term catcher in William Contreras. Gasser appears to be well on his way to being a productive Major League pitcher. 6. Garrett Mitchell Age: 24 2022 Stats (AA/AAA): 289 PAs, .287/.377/.426, 5 HR, 34 RBI Mitchell was the Brewers' first-round pick in the COVID-shortened five-round draft of 2020; he is about as athletic as anybody you will find at his size. There have long been concerns about his ability to elevate baseball as a hitter, and his professional career hasn’t done much to eliminate those concerns. The issue appears to be derived from some inconsistency in his timing more than needing a major swing overhaul to get to his huge raw power, though his swing could probably use some tinkering too. The 41% strikeout rate in the majors is a concern, as he does have some holes in his swing. While the surface stats were very exciting for Mitchell in his month-long stint in MLB, there are reasons to question his hitting ability at this point in his development. On the other hand, his speed is game-changing and his defense isn’t far behind. He will beat out ground balls to the left, and even right, side as if it’s nothing to him. He would always be a base-stealing threat, but the new rules MLB has put in place will only make that even more likely. Defensively he can run down just about anything in center field and has the arm to handle right field as well. Mitchell will most likely get the first crack at the starting center field spot for the big league club this season. Defensively he will be able to hold his own. His offensive performance will be the thing that Brewers fans will need to keep a close eye on. We're now 75% of the way through the top 20 prospect list. How do you order your top five Brewer Fanatics? Leave a comment below and let us know! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects Brewers Top 11-15 Prospects
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We're into the top half of the 2023 Milwaukee Brewers' top 20 prospects. The system's depth is impressive, and there are many reasons to be optimistic about this franchise going forward. Image courtesy of © Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports After seeing the back end of the top 20 prospects list swing pitcher-heavy, we're starting to see hitters represented more in the top ten. This trend only strengthens the closer we get to the 2023 Brewers' number one prospect (it doesn't require you to be Nostradamus to figure out who that will be). As we work through this list, it becomes evident that this system has much more depth than it has for several years. During their 2022 mid-season update, MLB.com ranked the Brewers system 19th in baseball, a stark improvement from where they were two years prior, ranked down at 29th. Seeing the Stearns/Arnold regimes accomplish this feat while posting five winning seasons in six years (falling just a little short of the mark in the weird 2020 shortened season). There's a lot to be excited about as Brewers fans. Let's dive into the 2023 Brewers' top 6-10 prospects, as voted on by the Brewer Fanatic community. 10. Jacob Misiorowski Age: 20 2022 Stats (A): 1.2 IP, 5.40 ERA In terms of pure ceiling, the Brewers' second-round selection in last year's draft has been one of the highest of any Brewers pitcher in recent memory. Misiorowski is a freak athlete on the mound, with long levers and a fastball that regularly touched triple digits in his short Low-A stint and instructs. The fastball also has good movement characteristics, making it a potential 70 or 80-grade pitch that would play best when elevated. The slider is a wipeout pitch with high spin; some have said it could be another 80-grade pitch. When Misiorowski was pitching against JUCO hitters, he only needed those two pitches to get by, so there were some questions about his other secondary offerings. However, he flashed some good-looking curveballs in instructs, and the changeup looked serviceable, with flashes of being above average. For Misiorowski, it will all boil down to what level he can get his command to, which is currently well below average. It may take a year or two to start seeing some of the bigger improvements. Thus, his overall development will likely be a waiting game but a game worth playing from the Brewers' perspective. If he can make the jump with his command, he will likely be one of the best pitching prospects in baseball. In terms of pure “stuff,” very few pitchers in all of baseball can match Misiorowski. He would probably begin in 2023 in Low-A Carolina to get his feet under him, but High-A can’t be ruled out. 9. Eric Brown Jr Age: 22 2022 Stats (Rook/A): 117 PAs, .268/.385/.454, 3 HR, 8 RBI The Brewers' first-round pick in last year’s draft, Brown Jr, is a premium athlete at a premium position. He had a meager strikeout rate and an even lower chase rate in college, along with big-time exit velocity readings. The question then would be, “why was he available at the Brewers' pick?” The main reason is that Brown had a very peculiar-looking load and stance in college. He was an analytical darling, but traditional scouts were less excited due to his stance. It appeared at the end of the season that the Brewers were trying to normalize the load to something much more “traditional.” It will be interesting to see how he adjusts to it to start this next season. Defensively Brown has a really good glove with smooth defensive actions that will allow him to stick at shortstop. Despite a throwing arm that is probably closer to average than it is to plus, he has a quick release on his throws which helps make up for that lack of big-time arm strength. Brown's athleticism, as mentioned above, doesn’t just show up in a showcase type of setting. He uses it to his advantage regularly in games, combining it with a high motor and a lot of hustle. Perhaps not as crucial to his baseball development, but important nonetheless, Brown also receives high grades for his makeup and is said to be a great teammate. 8. Tyler Black Age: 22 2022 Stats (A+): 283 PAs, .281/.406/.424, 4 HR, 35 RBI The Brewers Competitive Balance Round A selection in 2021, Black has a similar profile to many recent early picks of the Brewers. He hits the ball pretty hard, doesn’t strike out much, and is willing to take walks. He also hits the ball on the ground quite a bit. Black had a solid stint in the Arizona Fall League. His OPS of .790 was impressive, especially given it was his first action since his regular season ended early due to a broken arm he suffered on a diving play out in center field. He was facing many more high-level arms than he had seen in High-A. Black’s bat will likely carry the profile, along with some good baserunning instincts and hustle. There have been concerns over whether Black can stick on the infield since the draft in 2021, and he did spend about 80% of his time in the outfield in the AFL. He has been solid defensively in the outfield and would probably even be considered a good defender. Whereas in the infield, his actions can get a little rushed, and his throwing arm isn’t the strongest or most accurate, which is likely why the Brewers have been exploring the possibilities in the outfield. The bat becomes much more critical if he can’t stick at second base. An aggressive placement in Double-A would not be a massive surprise for Black to start 2023, given he did show an ability to hit higher-level pitching in the AFL, and he will be turning 23 during the season. 7. Robert Gasser Age: 23 2022 Stats (A+/AA/AAA): 137.0 IP, 3.94 ERA, 11.30 K/9, 3.32 BB/9 Gasser was one of the prospects in the infamous Josh Hader trade. A second-round pick by San Diego in 2021, Gasser throws four above-average pitches in his fastball, slider, changeup, and cutter. The regular fastball probably being the worst of the four, closest to average. His slider is best described as a sweeper, a pitch he can throw in any count or situation. His changeup is a bit firmer than you would want, but it has good action and is a good counter to right-handed hitters. He likely has a goal to get more separation between his fastball velocity and his changeup. He mixed his cutter in more with the Brewers than he had with the Padres, and while it wasn’t always perfect, it showed some flashes of being a really good pitch for missing barrels and as another counter to right-handed hitters. He did not throw many curves for the Brewers, and that will likely continue as it lags behind his other offerings. After dominating Double-A for a month, Gasser received a quick promotion to Triple-A Nashville. The command took a step back in Nashville, but it would feel fair to assume some fatigue was in play. The velocity on his fastball was bouncing around more than it did in Biloxi, which is another sign of fatigue. He will likely begin in Triple-A again this season, with a chance to perform well and eventually make his MLB debut. Despite the negatives that come with the Hader trade, Esteury Ruiz helped net the Brewers a long-term catcher in William Contreras. Gasser appears to be well on his way to being a productive Major League pitcher. 6. Garrett Mitchell Age: 24 2022 Stats (AA/AAA): 289 PAs, .287/.377/.426, 5 HR, 34 RBI Mitchell was the Brewers' first-round pick in the COVID-shortened five-round draft of 2020; he is about as athletic as anybody you will find at his size. There have long been concerns about his ability to elevate baseball as a hitter, and his professional career hasn’t done much to eliminate those concerns. The issue appears to be derived from some inconsistency in his timing more than needing a major swing overhaul to get to his huge raw power, though his swing could probably use some tinkering too. The 41% strikeout rate in the majors is a concern, as he does have some holes in his swing. While the surface stats were very exciting for Mitchell in his month-long stint in MLB, there are reasons to question his hitting ability at this point in his development. On the other hand, his speed is game-changing and his defense isn’t far behind. He will beat out ground balls to the left, and even right, side as if it’s nothing to him. He would always be a base-stealing threat, but the new rules MLB has put in place will only make that even more likely. Defensively he can run down just about anything in center field and has the arm to handle right field as well. Mitchell will most likely get the first crack at the starting center field spot for the big league club this season. Defensively he will be able to hold his own. His offensive performance will be the thing that Brewers fans will need to keep a close eye on. We're now 75% of the way through the top 20 prospect list. How do you order your top five Brewer Fanatics? Leave a comment below and let us know! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects Brewers Top 11-15 Prospects View full article
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I definitely agree on Miller. I have him ranked 27th in my own rankings. He'd probably be up in the teens if I held out any hope of him sticking behind the plate. I just can't see his arm being strong enough to do it. The bat is extremely interesting, though it does lose some of its muster if he isn't a catcher. He has gone deep to some of the biggest parts of the ballpark which shows he does have the raw power in him, and as you mentioned he has a lot of leadoff hitter qualities already. If he is forced to move to first base though, for example, he would definitely need a power uptick to give him a good shot at an MLB role.
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While the top of the Brewers prospect list heavily features upper minors hitting, the back half of the top 20 shows that the Brewers pitching machine is still something to reckon with. While none of the following prospects are blue chippers, Corbin Burnes and Brandon Woodruff weren't elite prospects for most of their run through the minors, either, especially the lower minors. It was only as they approached the Major Leagues did they emerge as the promising arms they are today. Let's take a look at prospects 11-15, as compiled by the Brewer Fanatic community. 15. Stiven Cruz Age: 21 2022 Stats (A/A+): 91.1 IP, 3.74 ERA, 10.75 K/9, 2.36 BB/9 A 2021 IFA signing, Cruz began his 2022 season in Low-A Carolina. He was bitten by the home run ball but still showed a ton of good qualities during his time there, striking out over 11 per 9 and walking only 2.27 per nine innings. He received a late-season promotion to High-A Wisconsin, which couldn’t have gone much better than it did. He struck out over a batter an inning, still limited walks, and also limited the homers (although only in a 19-inning sample). Cruz has a very slight frame that makes him very projectable and should allow him to add some velocity to what is currently a low-90s fastball. He throws a big, slow curve similar to a Zach Greinke type of curveball, which has yielded promising results. Cruz also throws an above-average changeup to go along with a decent slider as well. Cruz will likely begin 2023 back in High-A, where he could move relatively quickly to Double-A Biloxi if he starts 2023 the way he finished 2022. 14. Robert Moore Age: 20 2022 Stats (Rook/A): 143 PAs, .248/.343/.392, 3 HR, 16 RBI Moore was the Brewers' third selection in the 2022 draft. A very young, draft-eligible college player with a lot of big game experience and being the son of long-time MLB executive Dayton Moore, Moore is known to have great makeup. After a very productive sophomore season, Moore was viewed as a likely first-round pick, having shown plenty of power in the bat and an ability to limit strikeouts and draw walks. He took a step back in all three of those departments in his 2022 season. And he ended up having a more mediocre junior season. Despite that, the 2021 campaign shows the ability he has. Moore is a very sound defender that will likely be good enough to handle short and be very good at second base, as his arm is good enough to handle shortstop and is above average at second base. Moore showed a very aggressive baserunning mindset in his pro debut, often attempting to stretch singles into doubles and going first to third on singles. He’s not the fastest guy on the field, but he has above-average speed. He cuts the bases well and shows good instincts, making him an above-average baserunner overall. After a strong offensive showing for the Brisbane Bandits this offseason, Moore has a good chance to begin in High-A with the Timber Rattlers this season, where he could seemingly move quickly if he succeeds. 13. Abner Uribe Age: 22 2022 Stats (AA): 3.0 IP, 0.00 ERA, 12.00 K/9, 12.00 BB/9 (lol) Uribe is another former international signee out of the Dominican Republic. Featuring a fastball that has reached 103 MPH, many would assume that the fastball is his best pitch. In reality, his slider is the pitch that has helped him have the most success. Having had some injury issues throughout his career, Uribe’s Arizona Fall League stint was highly encouraging. He limited walks better than before and still showed enormous velocity, often reaching triple digits. As mentioned, the slider was a great pitch for him and was highly effective in the AFL. The fastball doesn’t have the best movement characteristics, which could cause him some issues at the major league level despite the huge velocity. It will be interesting to see if Uribe perhaps goes the Edwin Diaz route and uses his slider as his primary offering. It allows him to use the huge velocity as his “off-speed" offering. It seems likely that a healthy Uribe will see some innings with the big league club this season. 12. Hendry Mendez Age: 19 2022 Stats (A): 446 PAs, .244/.357/.318, 5 HR, 39 RBI Mendez was signed out of Venezuela as part of the Brewers 2021 IFA class. Playing his entire 2022 season in Low-A, Mendez’s surface numbers don’t necessarily jump off the page. However, he played the entire season in full-season ball at 18 and was still essentially a league-average bat, with a nearly even strikeout-to-walk ratio. Mendez rarely appears overmatched and has a very mature approach at the plate. He has decent raw power, but to get to some of it in-game, he will likely require a swing change as his current swing path is considered “choppy.” Mendez was not great as a baserunner last year, having been caught more times than he was successful. He is a good athlete for his 6’2” frame, but base stealing doesn’t appear part of his package moving forward. Mendez is also a solid defender with an above-average arm and will likely remain in the right field. The profile will be carried by the bat, though. If he can tap into his raw strength with a swing adjustment while still maintaining his borderline elite bat-to-ball skills, he could be top of the order type of offensive player. There is a good chance Mendez will be pushed again this year and begin in High-A Wisconsin. 11. Carlos F. Rodriguez Age: 21 2022 Stats (A/A+): 107.2 IP, 3.01 ERA, 10.78 K/9, 3.34 BB/9 Rodriguez was the Brewers' sixth-round selection in the 2021 draft. After a slow start in Low-A, Rodriguez got himself going and earned a mid-season promotion to High-A. What he did at Wisconsin was extremely impressive, posting an ERA of 1.98 and a K/9 of 11.1 to only 3.2 BB/9, including his penultimate start of the season, where he threw six perfect innings with nine strikeouts. Rodriguez features three above-average or better pitches in his fastball, which sits in the 92-94 range but has touched 96, his sharp slider, and much slower changeup. He also throws a curve, which is more of a “get me over” offering when he tosses that in, but it is a fringe-average offering as well, with time to develop. He commands all of the off-speed pitches pretty well, able to land all of them for strikes and generate chases when the opportunity is right. Brewers fans hoping to get a look at Rodriguez will be happy to hear that he will be taking part in the World Baseball Classic this spring (playing for team Nicaragua). Assuming he does get an opportunity to see some innings, it will be great for a young pitcher to face experienced offensive players. A Double-A assignment to start the 2023 season doesn’t seem out of the realm of possibilities for Rodriguez. What do you think, Brewer Fanatics? Who are your 11-15 prospects? Leave a comment below and let us know! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects
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Continuing our 2023 top prospect rankings, we examine prospects 11-15 in the Milwaukee Brewers system, which again displays the pitching depth within the farm. Image courtesy of © Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports While the top of the Brewers prospect list heavily features upper minors hitting, the back half of the top 20 shows that the Brewers pitching machine is still something to reckon with. While none of the following prospects are blue chippers, Corbin Burnes and Brandon Woodruff weren't elite prospects for most of their run through the minors, either, especially the lower minors. It was only as they approached the Major Leagues did they emerge as the promising arms they are today. Let's take a look at prospects 11-15, as compiled by the Brewer Fanatic community. 15. Stiven Cruz Age: 21 2022 Stats (A/A+): 91.1 IP, 3.74 ERA, 10.75 K/9, 2.36 BB/9 A 2021 IFA signing, Cruz began his 2022 season in Low-A Carolina. He was bitten by the home run ball but still showed a ton of good qualities during his time there, striking out over 11 per 9 and walking only 2.27 per nine innings. He received a late-season promotion to High-A Wisconsin, which couldn’t have gone much better than it did. He struck out over a batter an inning, still limited walks, and also limited the homers (although only in a 19-inning sample). Cruz has a very slight frame that makes him very projectable and should allow him to add some velocity to what is currently a low-90s fastball. He throws a big, slow curve similar to a Zach Greinke type of curveball, which has yielded promising results. Cruz also throws an above-average changeup to go along with a decent slider as well. Cruz will likely begin 2023 back in High-A, where he could move relatively quickly to Double-A Biloxi if he starts 2023 the way he finished 2022. 14. Robert Moore Age: 20 2022 Stats (Rook/A): 143 PAs, .248/.343/.392, 3 HR, 16 RBI Moore was the Brewers' third selection in the 2022 draft. A very young, draft-eligible college player with a lot of big game experience and being the son of long-time MLB executive Dayton Moore, Moore is known to have great makeup. After a very productive sophomore season, Moore was viewed as a likely first-round pick, having shown plenty of power in the bat and an ability to limit strikeouts and draw walks. He took a step back in all three of those departments in his 2022 season. And he ended up having a more mediocre junior season. Despite that, the 2021 campaign shows the ability he has. Moore is a very sound defender that will likely be good enough to handle short and be very good at second base, as his arm is good enough to handle shortstop and is above average at second base. Moore showed a very aggressive baserunning mindset in his pro debut, often attempting to stretch singles into doubles and going first to third on singles. He’s not the fastest guy on the field, but he has above-average speed. He cuts the bases well and shows good instincts, making him an above-average baserunner overall. After a strong offensive showing for the Brisbane Bandits this offseason, Moore has a good chance to begin in High-A with the Timber Rattlers this season, where he could seemingly move quickly if he succeeds. 13. Abner Uribe Age: 22 2022 Stats (AA): 3.0 IP, 0.00 ERA, 12.00 K/9, 12.00 BB/9 (lol) Uribe is another former international signee out of the Dominican Republic. Featuring a fastball that has reached 103 MPH, many would assume that the fastball is his best pitch. In reality, his slider is the pitch that has helped him have the most success. Having had some injury issues throughout his career, Uribe’s Arizona Fall League stint was highly encouraging. He limited walks better than before and still showed enormous velocity, often reaching triple digits. As mentioned, the slider was a great pitch for him and was highly effective in the AFL. The fastball doesn’t have the best movement characteristics, which could cause him some issues at the major league level despite the huge velocity. It will be interesting to see if Uribe perhaps goes the Edwin Diaz route and uses his slider as his primary offering. It allows him to use the huge velocity as his “off-speed" offering. It seems likely that a healthy Uribe will see some innings with the big league club this season. 12. Hendry Mendez Age: 19 2022 Stats (A): 446 PAs, .244/.357/.318, 5 HR, 39 RBI Mendez was signed out of Venezuela as part of the Brewers 2021 IFA class. Playing his entire 2022 season in Low-A, Mendez’s surface numbers don’t necessarily jump off the page. However, he played the entire season in full-season ball at 18 and was still essentially a league-average bat, with a nearly even strikeout-to-walk ratio. Mendez rarely appears overmatched and has a very mature approach at the plate. He has decent raw power, but to get to some of it in-game, he will likely require a swing change as his current swing path is considered “choppy.” Mendez was not great as a baserunner last year, having been caught more times than he was successful. He is a good athlete for his 6’2” frame, but base stealing doesn’t appear part of his package moving forward. Mendez is also a solid defender with an above-average arm and will likely remain in the right field. The profile will be carried by the bat, though. If he can tap into his raw strength with a swing adjustment while still maintaining his borderline elite bat-to-ball skills, he could be top of the order type of offensive player. There is a good chance Mendez will be pushed again this year and begin in High-A Wisconsin. 11. Carlos F. Rodriguez Age: 21 2022 Stats (A/A+): 107.2 IP, 3.01 ERA, 10.78 K/9, 3.34 BB/9 Rodriguez was the Brewers' sixth-round selection in the 2021 draft. After a slow start in Low-A, Rodriguez got himself going and earned a mid-season promotion to High-A. What he did at Wisconsin was extremely impressive, posting an ERA of 1.98 and a K/9 of 11.1 to only 3.2 BB/9, including his penultimate start of the season, where he threw six perfect innings with nine strikeouts. Rodriguez features three above-average or better pitches in his fastball, which sits in the 92-94 range but has touched 96, his sharp slider, and much slower changeup. He also throws a curve, which is more of a “get me over” offering when he tosses that in, but it is a fringe-average offering as well, with time to develop. He commands all of the off-speed pitches pretty well, able to land all of them for strikes and generate chases when the opportunity is right. Brewers fans hoping to get a look at Rodriguez will be happy to hear that he will be taking part in the World Baseball Classic this spring (playing for team Nicaragua). Assuming he does get an opportunity to see some innings, it will be great for a young pitcher to face experienced offensive players. A Double-A assignment to start the 2023 season doesn’t seem out of the realm of possibilities for Rodriguez. What do you think, Brewer Fanatics? Who are your 11-15 prospects? Leave a comment below and let us know! Previous Installments Brewers Top 16-20 Prospects View full article
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Appreciate it! Peguero is definitely an interesting arm. He looks somewhat similar to Jandel Gustave to me, at least in terms of his profile and being sinker/slider guys. He's probably a fringe big leaguer, but it wouldn't surprise me to see him help the team the next few years.
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With new players populating the list from the low minors and offseason acquisitions, one can walk away from this list hopeful of where the Brewers organization is today and where it is going shortly. With several players preparing to leave via free agency in the next two years, help will need to come from the farm. Here are some of the most promising names you might still need to become more familiar with. Let's take a look at the first installment of 16-20 prospects, as voted on and compiled by the Brewer Fanatic community. 20. Alexander Cornielle Age: 21 2022 Stats (A/A+): 119.0 IP, 3.03 ERA, 10.97 K/9, 4.46 BB/9 Initially signed in 2019, Cornielle received a bump in 2021 to Low-A Carolina to close the season. He began the 2022 season back in Carolina before a mid-season promotion to High-A Wisconsin. Though he’s a bit taller than Freddy Peralta, Cornielle’s profile resembles that of Peralta’s. Cornielle doesn’t throw the hardest or have the “nastiest” secondaries, but he still shows an ability to get a lot of swing and miss, particularly with elevated fastballs. While the fastball shape differs from Peralta’s, Cornielle gets a good amount of run on his fastball. In contrast, Freddy’s primary fastball is a bit straighter; Cornielle appears to get a good extension which helps him replicate the “disappearing fastball” that Freddy is known for. An intriguing arm to follow next year, Cornielle could be a breakout candidate within the organization. 19. Janson Junk Age: 27 2022 Stats (AAA): 73.2 IP, 4.64 ERA, 8.43 K/9, 2.20 BB/9 A former 22nd-round pick, it’s funny to think that Junk would likely not have been drafted under the current 20-round setup. Despite facing long odds, Junk has worked his way up the ladder to make his Major League debut, with a few different organizational stops along the way. After being traded from the Yankees to the Angels in 2021, Junk was moved for a second time this offseason. Considered the prize of the Hunter Renfroe trade, Junk was a more valuable piece than his last name may imply. His best pitch is his slider, which has shown flashes of being an above-average to plus pitch at the major league level. The Angels seemed to tinker with the pitch a bit last year and didn’t show the same movement level as in the past. The Brewers likely have had him in the lab this offseason and will work to get that pitch to live up to its potential. Junk rounds out his repertoire with a high spin, low-velocity fastball, an average curveball, and a changeup that lags behind his other pitches. Junk will likely see a few starts at the major league level this season, and if not, he will almost certainly be seeing time in the major league bullpen. 18. Ethan Small Age: 26 2022 Stats (AAA): 103.0 IP, 4.46 ERA, 9.96 K/9, 5.07 BB/9 The Brewers' 2019 first-round pick, Small, is best described as having decent stuff and a profile that has always been driven by pitchability and command. He still shows plenty of flashes of the pitchability, though his command has regressed dramatically as he climbed the organizational ladder. He’s a data-driven pitcher with a fastball that plays well up in the zone and knows how to use it. His changeup is his best pitch, and it could still be a big weapon for him. He has been working to find a breaking ball for years and can’t seem to find the right one yet. Small made his MLB debut during the 2022 season. As far as debuts go, it could’ve been worse, as he went 2.2 IP with 2 ER (though he did walk four as well). That outing was always expected to be a “one and done” situation, and he would return to AAA after the game. Once Small did return to AAA, the results were not very good. The command issues reared their ugly head in a major way, and he was never able to get back on track. From the start of June through the end of the season, Small posted a 5.89 ERA and walked 5.15 per 9 innings in AAA. Many viewed Small as having reliever risk, even going back to that 2019 draft, due to a lower velocity fastball and concern over hitters seeing him multiple times. Barring the command he showed at the lower levels making a sudden reappearance, the multi-inning reliever route does feel like his best chance at a prolonged MLB career. 17. Jace Avina Age: 19 2022 Stats (Rook/A): 268 PAs, .271/.392/.557, 15 HR, 54 RBI The Brewers 14th round selection in 2021 out of Spanish Springs High School in Nevada, Avina burst onto the scene early in the 2022 Arizona Complex League season, hitting ten home runs in 36 games. He finished that stretch with an absurd 183 wRC+ and earned a promotion to Low-A Carolina, where the offense didn’t slow down, at least initially. In his first game in Carolina, he hit two home runs. He followed that game up with another home run and a triple. He finally ran into a rough stretch after that, which can be attributed to the one primary concern he has. Avina strikes out at a very high rate. Despite that, Avina features a very clean-looking swing that appears adjustable. He hit balls hard in every quadrant of the zone throughout the year. So it seems to be the swing decisions that are the driving factor behind the high strikeout rates, more than his bat-to-ball skills overall. Avina is a good defender who can handle center field, with a strong throwing arm and above-average speed. The entire profile is very exciting. If Avina can improve his strikeout rates and swing decisions, this could be a rising star in prospect circles. 16. Luis Lara Age: 18 2022 Stats (Rook): 229 PAs, .260/.341/.385, 2 HR, 21 RBI Lara was one of the bigger signings for the Brewers in last year’s international free-agent class. After getting off to a scalding hot start in the DSL, he slowed down dramatically for a few weeks before a strong finish. Lara’s 2022 stats aren’t super exciting, but a 12% K-Rate and 9% BB-Rate are great signs for a player his age. Despite his diminutive stature, Lara has a chance for above-average power from both sides of the plate. Combine that with his bat-to-ball skills; there’s a good chance that Lara also ends up with an above-average hit tool. Scouts have said he should be able to stay in center field defensively, and FanGraphs gave him a 60-grade arm. Expecting a Jackson Chourio-esque breakout from any player is probably not a good idea, but Lara is someone whom it would not be a surprise to see make the biggest jump in the rankings by this time next year. Brewer Fanatics, what do you think of prospects 16-20? Leave a comment below and give us your opinion!
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Welcome to Brewer Fanatic's 2023 top 20 prospect rundown! Starting with prospects 16-20, we'll see a lot of new names and a lot of promising young arms. Image courtesy of © Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports With new players populating the list from the low minors and offseason acquisitions, one can walk away from this list hopeful of where the Brewers organization is today and where it is going shortly. With several players preparing to leave via free agency in the next two years, help will need to come from the farm. Here are some of the most promising names you might still need to become more familiar with. Let's take a look at the first installment of 16-20 prospects, as voted on and compiled by the Brewer Fanatic community. 20. Alexander Cornielle Age: 21 2022 Stats (A/A+): 119.0 IP, 3.03 ERA, 10.97 K/9, 4.46 BB/9 Initially signed in 2019, Cornielle received a bump in 2021 to Low-A Carolina to close the season. He began the 2022 season back in Carolina before a mid-season promotion to High-A Wisconsin. Though he’s a bit taller than Freddy Peralta, Cornielle’s profile resembles that of Peralta’s. Cornielle doesn’t throw the hardest or have the “nastiest” secondaries, but he still shows an ability to get a lot of swing and miss, particularly with elevated fastballs. While the fastball shape differs from Peralta’s, Cornielle gets a good amount of run on his fastball. In contrast, Freddy’s primary fastball is a bit straighter; Cornielle appears to get a good extension which helps him replicate the “disappearing fastball” that Freddy is known for. An intriguing arm to follow next year, Cornielle could be a breakout candidate within the organization. 19. Janson Junk Age: 27 2022 Stats (AAA): 73.2 IP, 4.64 ERA, 8.43 K/9, 2.20 BB/9 A former 22nd-round pick, it’s funny to think that Junk would likely not have been drafted under the current 20-round setup. Despite facing long odds, Junk has worked his way up the ladder to make his Major League debut, with a few different organizational stops along the way. After being traded from the Yankees to the Angels in 2021, Junk was moved for a second time this offseason. Considered the prize of the Hunter Renfroe trade, Junk was a more valuable piece than his last name may imply. His best pitch is his slider, which has shown flashes of being an above-average to plus pitch at the major league level. The Angels seemed to tinker with the pitch a bit last year and didn’t show the same movement level as in the past. The Brewers likely have had him in the lab this offseason and will work to get that pitch to live up to its potential. Junk rounds out his repertoire with a high spin, low-velocity fastball, an average curveball, and a changeup that lags behind his other pitches. Junk will likely see a few starts at the major league level this season, and if not, he will almost certainly be seeing time in the major league bullpen. 18. Ethan Small Age: 26 2022 Stats (AAA): 103.0 IP, 4.46 ERA, 9.96 K/9, 5.07 BB/9 The Brewers' 2019 first-round pick, Small, is best described as having decent stuff and a profile that has always been driven by pitchability and command. He still shows plenty of flashes of the pitchability, though his command has regressed dramatically as he climbed the organizational ladder. He’s a data-driven pitcher with a fastball that plays well up in the zone and knows how to use it. His changeup is his best pitch, and it could still be a big weapon for him. He has been working to find a breaking ball for years and can’t seem to find the right one yet. Small made his MLB debut during the 2022 season. As far as debuts go, it could’ve been worse, as he went 2.2 IP with 2 ER (though he did walk four as well). That outing was always expected to be a “one and done” situation, and he would return to AAA after the game. Once Small did return to AAA, the results were not very good. The command issues reared their ugly head in a major way, and he was never able to get back on track. From the start of June through the end of the season, Small posted a 5.89 ERA and walked 5.15 per 9 innings in AAA. Many viewed Small as having reliever risk, even going back to that 2019 draft, due to a lower velocity fastball and concern over hitters seeing him multiple times. Barring the command he showed at the lower levels making a sudden reappearance, the multi-inning reliever route does feel like his best chance at a prolonged MLB career. 17. Jace Avina Age: 19 2022 Stats (Rook/A): 268 PAs, .271/.392/.557, 15 HR, 54 RBI The Brewers 14th round selection in 2021 out of Spanish Springs High School in Nevada, Avina burst onto the scene early in the 2022 Arizona Complex League season, hitting ten home runs in 36 games. He finished that stretch with an absurd 183 wRC+ and earned a promotion to Low-A Carolina, where the offense didn’t slow down, at least initially. In his first game in Carolina, he hit two home runs. He followed that game up with another home run and a triple. He finally ran into a rough stretch after that, which can be attributed to the one primary concern he has. Avina strikes out at a very high rate. Despite that, Avina features a very clean-looking swing that appears adjustable. He hit balls hard in every quadrant of the zone throughout the year. So it seems to be the swing decisions that are the driving factor behind the high strikeout rates, more than his bat-to-ball skills overall. Avina is a good defender who can handle center field, with a strong throwing arm and above-average speed. The entire profile is very exciting. If Avina can improve his strikeout rates and swing decisions, this could be a rising star in prospect circles. 16. Luis Lara Age: 18 2022 Stats (Rook): 229 PAs, .260/.341/.385, 2 HR, 21 RBI Lara was one of the bigger signings for the Brewers in last year’s international free-agent class. After getting off to a scalding hot start in the DSL, he slowed down dramatically for a few weeks before a strong finish. Lara’s 2022 stats aren’t super exciting, but a 12% K-Rate and 9% BB-Rate are great signs for a player his age. Despite his diminutive stature, Lara has a chance for above-average power from both sides of the plate. Combine that with his bat-to-ball skills; there’s a good chance that Lara also ends up with an above-average hit tool. Scouts have said he should be able to stay in center field defensively, and FanGraphs gave him a 60-grade arm. Expecting a Jackson Chourio-esque breakout from any player is probably not a good idea, but Lara is someone whom it would not be a surprise to see make the biggest jump in the rankings by this time next year. Brewer Fanatics, what do you think of prospects 16-20? Leave a comment below and give us your opinion! View full article
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Top prospect voting, 2023 edition!
Spencer Michaelis replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Going with my top 100 this time around. TIER 1 70 OFP Jackson Chourio OF Easily the best prospect in the system. Possibly the best prospect in baseball who hasn't touched the majors yet. Very few limits to put on his ceiling, though it’s important to note that there is still always going to be some inherent risk with a teenage player. He’s not a sure thing, but he’s closer to it than almost any teenage prospect you will find. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TIER 2 55 OFP Sal Frelick OF Bat to ball and on base skills are elite. We are talking about a 70 hit tool. Despite what Fangraphs has said about his glove, I see Sal as a pretty good defender in center with room for improvement, and a decent enough arm. He’s a capable base stealer with more raw speed than great base stealing instincts. Lots of Steven Kwan similarities, who posted a WAR over 5 as a rookie. Kwan had a bit of a better batted ball profile in the minors (less grounders, more line drives) so I’m not sure Sal will be *that* good right away, but it wouldn't shock me if he was pretty close. Jeferson Quero C I planted my flag on him as my number 3 prospect in the system early last year, and he went out and mashed to close out the season in High-A. This is a guy who could be an elite defender behind the plate with 20 HR power and limited strikeouts. Those types of numbers will lead to a lot of all star appearances if he can reach them. There’s also a solid floor, in a scenario where the bat doesn’t quite develop as hoped, of a guy who sticks around in the majors as a defense first catcher. As far as young catchers go, he’s got both a floor and a ceiling going for him that you don’t find super often. I am also seeing that he will be in big league camp this year, which is about as ringing an endorsement as he could get from the organization. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TIER 3 50+ OFP Joey Wiemer OF Still incredibly toolsy, I feel comfortable blaming his mid-season struggles on the thumb issue that was putting him in and out of the lineup. He hit very well in AAA and lowered the K rate at the same time, though the whiff rate didn't improve that much more. If he can maintain a K rate under 30, he will be really good, He can handle center defensively, but likely does end up in right field with one of the strongest arms in the minors (very accurate as well). Brice Turang SS Turang was very up and down last season. Good start. Awful May and June. Fantastic July and August. Mediocre September. The glove is really good and can handle any infield spot and likely some outfield as well. The power started to show up more last season after a noticeable swing change and I think he can be a decent major league bat. I have my doubts that he makes the opening day roster, but as long as he’s healthy he will be impacting the major league roster this year. Robert Gasser LHP After watching almost all of his starts at AA and AAA with the Brewers, I feel comfortable saying he’s the best pitching prospect in the system and that I think he will be impacting the starting rotation in the majors next season. The command did look a bit worse in AAA, but I think there was some fatigue setting in. The velo was bouncing around more than it did in Biloxi. I think he has 4 above average pitches in his Fastball, Slider, Changeup and Cutter. The regular fastball probably being the worst of the 4, closest to average. He didn’t throw many curves for the Brewers, and that’s probably fine. It’s a mediocre 5th pitch at best. Eric Brown SS I really like EBJ. I loved him going into the draft (shameless plug of my Twitter and me asking them to draft him). It appeared at the end of the season they were trying to normalize the load to something more “traditional” and as you can see here, it looks like he is working to really normalize it. Personally, I would have let that ride for a little longer, but I get why they felt the change may be needed. I will be interested to see how he adjusts to it to start next year. Love the glove and the athleticism. Perhaps not as important to his baseball development, but important nonetheless, I happen to know a guy who knew some of the players at Coastal who said Brown is a genuinely great teammate and person too. Garrett Mitchell OF As mentioned on every list, Mitchell is an enigma to me. I actually think his swing looks pretty good at times, despite the weird step in the bucket and his propensity for grounders. I think that it is actually more of a consistency issue with his hands than an issue with his approach, as I’d thought in the past. The K-rate in the majors is obviously a concern and the more I look at it, there are some very real holes at the top of the zone for him. His speed is game changing though and his defense isn’t far behind. I feel a bit better about him being the future center fielder than I did before his callup, which is not often the case. But there are still plenty of concerns with the profile. I’d consider myself cautiously optimistic. Jacob Misiorowski RHP Another guy I was really hoping the Brewers would take. In terms of pure ceiling, Misiorowski has one of the highest ceilings of any Brewers pitcher I can remember. He’s freaky athletic on the mound, even with somewhat long levers. Fastball has regularly touched triple digits in his short Low-A stint and in instructs with high spin. A possible 80 grade pitch. The slider is a wipeout pitch with high spin as well, honestly could be another 80 grade pitch. He flashed some good curveballs in instructs (at least from the few videos we got of him throwing down there) and the changeup has looked serviceable as well. It still comes down to command, which may take a year or two to start seeing some of the bigger improvements. It’ll be a waiting game, but a game worth playing. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TIER 4 50 OFP Tyler Black 2B/OF Black had an interesting AFL stint. His OPS of .790 is pretty solid, especially given it was his first action since his season ended early with his arm injury. I have been pretty steadfast in my belief that I don’t think he can stick on the infield, and he did end up spending about 80% of his time in the outfield in Arizona. His approach and his bat could still carry this profile to being a top 5 guy in the system. He’s been solid defensively in the outfield and could even be considered a good defender out there. The bat becomes just that much more important though if he can’t play on the dirt, so that’s why he’s still only hovering around 10th for me. Luis Lara OF I don’t think the Brewers will have any Jackson Chourio type breakouts this year (I mean, expecting that from anyone would be asinine). If I were to choose an offensive player to make a huge jump this year, Lara is my pick. After getting off to a scalding hot start in the DSL, he slowed down dramatically for a few weeks, before a pretty strong finish. His end of season stats aren’t that exciting on the surface, but a 12% K-Rate and 9% BB-Rate are both really nice to see. He’s a small guy but he has a chance for above average power from both sides of the plate and is a really good athlete. Combine that with his bat to ball skills that could give him an above average hit tool, and his glove that should be able to stick in center and a breakout feels very realistic. Maybe even likely. Carlos Rodriguez RHP After a slow start in Low-A, Rodriguez finished extremely well to get the mid-season call to High-A. What he did at Wisconsin was quite incredible. An ERA of 1.98 and a K/9 of 11.1 to only 3.2 BB/9. He has three really good pitches in his fastball, slider, changeup mix and he commands his offspeed really well. The curve is more of a “get me over” when he tosses that in, but it’s probably a fringe-average offering as well, with time to develop. Very excited to see how he does, first in the WBC (playing for team Nicaragua), but then also throughout the minor league season. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a Double-A assignment to start. Abner Uribe RHP Uribe’s AFL stint moved him up my list very quickly. He limited walks better than he ever had before, and still showed the huge velocity, often reaching triple digits. The slider has been a great pitch for him. It might be his best pitch. The fastball doesn’t have the best characteristics, and I imagine it could cause him some issues at the major league level, but he may go the Edwin Diaz route and use his slider as his primary offering, and then use the huge velocity as the “off-speed”. I imagine we will see him in Milwaukee at some point this year. Hendry Mendez OF His numbers don’t jump out at you but he was 18 the entire season in pro ball and was essentially a league average bat with a nearly even K to BB ratio. He has rarely appeared overmatched and has a very mature approach. Mendez has pretty decent raw power, but will need to get to some of it in game, which will require a swing change. Baserunning was not great, but he is a solid defender with an ok arm. The bat is what will carry the profile though. Potential for a top of the order bat. Logan Henderson RHP Pretty much nothing changed for me for Henderson from last time. He had one really tough outing in Carolina, but that will happen. I was hoping for some solid results and experience in the AZ Fall League and to learn more about where he is at velocity wise now, but he was dealing with another injury. I really like the arm, but am definitely beginning to see some major health concerns. Daniel Guilarte SS Stealing this from a post I made in July “I don’t have many sources, but I have heard from one guy that I trust to be in the know, that the Brewers *really* like Guilarte. They told me that the Brewers think he can stick at short defensively and that he has a great arm. He's got plus speed. The issue sounds like it's similar to a lot of Brewers prospects, in that he hits the ball hard but is mostly on the ground and it's a slappy swing. If he can make a change and start elevating the ball more often, this could be a stud.” ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TIER 5 45+ OFP Cam Robinson RHP Robinson flashes a great cutter that he can get up to 96 or so. His slider is a really solid pitch as well. It sounds as though they’ve more or less gone away from the 4 seam and curveball. I’m not sure I agree with that plan. I think having those in your back pocket are still nice to have, since the cutter and slider are similar movement profiles. Which is good for tunneling but not as good for keeping a hitter on his toes. Stiven Cruz RHP Cruz was bitten by the HR ball in Carolina, but still showed a ton of good qualities, striking out over 11 per 9 and walking only 2.27 per 9. His late season promotion to High-A couldn’t have gone much better. He struck out over a batter an inning, still limited walks and also limited the homers (although only in a 19 inning sample). I think he will gain some velo from his low-90’s fastball once he puts on some weight. I think the curve and the changeup are both above average with a decent slider as well. Definitely a guy I could see having a big breakout if the fastball does make a jump in velocity. Janson Junk RHP Junk was the prize of the Hunter Renfroe trade, and he is a legitimately interesting pickup for the Crew. The slider shows some flashes of being a big time plus. The Angels seemed to mess with it last year and it wasn’t as good of a pitch. The Brewers likely will have him in the lab right away and get that back to where it’s capable of being. His other pitches are all pretty average, but if they can get a little more out of one of those and maintain his command, he will be a very helpful arm for the Brewers under team control for 5 years. Robert Moore 2B Moore wasn’t my favorite pick, but in hindsight I see the logic a lot more now. He was a very young draft eligible college player with a lot of experience in big games with great makeup and with a really good sophomore season before the more mediocre junior season. He also clearly helped save some slot money that they clearly needed for Misiorowski. Moore has a really good glove that will likely be good enough for short and great for second base. I like his bat a lot more from the left side than the right. I would consider scrapping the switch hitting early with him and going lefty at all times. Joseph Hernandez RHP I honestly am still in a bit of shock on this one. I was as big a Topa fan as anyone I knew, but I can’t believe the Brewers were able to grab Hernandez for him. Hernandez touts an elite slider. 70+ type of pitch. It’s also the pitch he commands the best. He flashes a really good changeup as well, but it’s inconsistent. The fastball works well up in the zone, and could be a good pitch. He just really needs to improve the command of it. I can see the slider being a huge weapon out of the pen if he doesn’t improve that command. I can see a starter long term if he does. Eduardo Garcia SS Still concerned about the strikeouts and propensity for swinging at everything. It’s a really good glove at short though, with juice in the bat. If the approach can improve, there’s a lot to like here. I have my doubts about that though. Cameron Wagoner RHP I think this could be an absolute steal in the 11th round. He has filthy stuff. Apparently academic ineligibility caused him to be unable to throw in games this past season. I can’t imagine if he was flashing the stuff he’s shown in pro ball, that he would’ve made it to the Brewers in the 11th. Results were a little underwhelming in Australia, in terms of K/BB ratio but he was still flashing the power stuff. I just need a larger sample, but this is one of my favorite pure arms in the system. Alexander Cornielle RHP I just get a lot of Freddy Peralta vibes from Cornielle. He doesn’t throw that hard, he doesn’t have the nastiest offspeed, but he just generates a ton of whiffs. He appears to get good extension like Freddy and have a bit of that “magic fastball”. I’m really intrigued to see how he does this year. I think the pitching talent at the lower levels is underrated. There will be some really solid pitchers from this group. Ethan Small LHP The command issues have been a concern for over a year now and it’s just gotten to the point where I just can’t see a great future for him. I always viewed him with some reliever risk, but at this point I think it’s basically his only chance at a major league spot long term. Some will point to Ashby getting opportunities to start, but Ashby has elite stuff. Small has mediocre stuff and a profile that was driven by his command… I hope he puts it together, but if some team still views him highly in a trade, I’d jump on that quickly if I were the Brewers Front Office. Darrien Miller C Jace Avina OF The bat cooled down after the first week in A ball, but he still had a 120 wRC+ there as a 19 year old. He hits the ball in the air a ton, and he hits the ball hard a ton. Now we just need him to not strikeout a ton. 35% K rate won’t work. But the rest of the tools are all there for a really solid player with big time, in game pop. Let’s hope we see some improvement in the bat to ball next year! Jadher Areinamo 3B Hedbert Perez OF Carlos Rodriguez OF Victor Castaneda RHP Luis Castillo OF Have heard he has some of the most consistently high exit velos in minor league baseball, but that it’s consistently on the ground. If he can elevate the ball more, there’s a lot to like in his offensive profile. Luke Adams UTIL The Brewers have done well with their day 3 high school picks lately. Adams got off to a blazing start in the ACL. Big pop, and appears to have a patient approach to go with it. I had assumed he’d move to the corner outfield (lot’s of Hunter Renfroe vibes for me), but I’ve heard positive early returns on his glove at third. Yeison Perez OF --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tier 6: 45 OFP Freddy Zamora SS Justin Jarvis RHP Like Stiven Cruz, Jarvis had some issues with the home run ball this year, but he did make a leap in terms of his strikeouts and walks at High-A. I still see an elite fastball with lagging secondaries, but some improvement in the slider. Still see a lot of Woodruff similarities to the profile, but obviously a long way to go to be the current Woodruff. Zavier Warren 1B Blake Perkins OF Tyler Woessner RHP Cam Devanney UTIL Ryan Middendorf RHP Justin Yeager RHP Gregory Barrios SS Will Rudy RHP Quinton Low 1B/RHP Adam Seminaris LHP Matthew Wood C Felix Valerio 2B Jheremy Vargas 3B Wes Clarke 1B Dylan O'Rae INF Jhonny Severino SS Joe Gray OF Anfernny Reyes LHP Je'Von Ward OF Tristen Lutz OF Ben Metzinger 3B TJ Shook RHP Tayden Hall C Aidan Maldonado RHP Fastball velo isn't anything crazy, but gets really good movement and should break a lot of RHH bats. Slider shows flashes of being a true sweeper and could be a plus pitch.Changeup has shown big time flashes of moving like a reverse breaking ball. No command right now and doesn't take a ton off his FB velo. Curve is a fine 4th pitch that he used as his secondary in college. Guessing the Brewers will change that. He has already been working on a cutter (if there’s any good use for TikTok, it’s that there is some good video of Brewers minor leaguers on there). Really athletic arm that I like a lot. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TIER 7 40+ OFP Brandon Knarr LHP Israel Puello RHP Jeison Pena RHP Lamar Sparks OF Yujanyer Herrera RHP Ernesto Martinez 1B Kaylan Nicasia SS Johan Barrios SS Patricio Aquino RHP Russell Smith LHP Edwin Jimenez RHP Idalberto Santiesteban OF Micah Bello OF Osbriel Mogollon LHP Lucas Erceg RHP Noah Campbell UTIL Satchell Norman C Max Lazar RHP Clayton Andrews LHP James Meeker RHP Alexander Vallecillo RHP Nate Peterson LHP Alexander Perez SS Jeral Vizcaino RHP Pablo Garabitos LHP ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Tier 6: 45 OFP Kevin Briceno RHP Caden Vire LHP Arbert Cipion OF Miguel Segura RHP Miguel Briceno INF Nick Bennett LHP Taylor Floyd RHP Luis Contreras RHP Luis Medina OF Jesus Parra 3B Eduarqui Fernandez OF Zach Vennaro RHP Michele Vassalotti RHP Harold Chirino RHP Jhonnys Cabrera C

