Spencer Michaelis

Appreciate you taking the time to read, the thoughts and the compliment! The Murphy deal is probably higher than it would actually take, I just couldn't find any predictions for him and since I had plenty of space in my "budget" I definitely went on the higher end. I do think there's a lot more value to a good backup catcher though, more than most. Imo, it's the most important non-pitching position to have good depth at. As for Turang, I think I'd be a lot more surprised if he does hit, unfortunately. He was essentially a league average hitter from High-A to Triple-A in his final three full minor league seasons (wRC+ of 88, 99 and 108). I think if he can be a league average hitter at MLB that he would definitely have a lot of value at 2B. I'm just not super sold on it. I would absolutely love to be wrong. I think Adames is going to be able to fetch a lot more money than we may hope. The shortstop market is so bare this year and doesn't appear to be much better next year. But if an extension is possible at a reasonable rate, I am with you in saying I would love to see it.

Appreciate that! I definitely get where you're coming from on the Turang trade. I have always been a bit lower on him, so didn't feel too bad about that, but I definitely get it.

Yeah, tbh I decided to sign Murphy before I considered what the contract would actually be, and I have no idea if it would actually be around $10 mil. I couldn't find any predictions for his deal. I decided to go on the high end. That said, I do think there's a ton of value to having a good backup catcher and if funds aren't being allocated elsewhere, I have zero issue with solidifying that spot on a one year deal of any type. My guess as to what they will actually do is to simply bring Caratini back at this point. Especially with it looking like they're going to keep Burnes.

Trade #1 BAL Acquires: RHP Corbin Burnes MIL Acquires: 3B/1B Coby Mayo, OF Dylan Beavers, RHP Trace Bright I believe the Brewers can trade Burnes and still be competitive in 2024. That's the aim of this trade. The Orioles receive the frontline starter they were missing in the playoffs this past season (though they will need to be convinced Burnes is that type of guy in the bigger moments). The Brewers acquire one of their starting corner infielders for 2024 in Mayo. Beavers was a guy the Brewers liked a lot in the draft a year and a half ago, and Bright has some really good stuff, but middling command at the moment. Someone who could impact the MLB rotation by 2025 with an uptick in the command, or become a helpful pen arm even if the command doesn't improve much. Trade #2 SEA Acquires: OF Garrett Mitchell, SS Freddy Zamora MIL Acquires: RHP Bryan Woo Both teams trade a strength for a relative weakness. The Brewers acquire a very talented young starter that could be part of the next era for this team. They are lacking some upper level pitching talent at the moment, especially in terms of sure-fire starters. Woo would really help fill that void that Woodruff and Burnes would be leaving behind. The Mariners acquire an outfielder that could form an incredible defensive outfield with J-Rod, and he does have a lot of interesting offensive qualities. This would obviously rely on the Mariners being enamored with Mitchell's tools, and it's hard to know how he's valued league wide. If they're on the higher side of the Mitchell evaluation, then they are likely interested in this type of deal. If they're on the lower side, they would likely decline without a second thought. Idk, I'm having fun here so I'll lean toward a shot of it being accepted. Trade #3 MIN Acquires: 2B/SS Brice Turang, RHP Yorman Galindez MIL Acquires: 2B Jorge Polanco Polanco adds some much needed power to the lineup, and does it at one of the worst offensive spots for the Brewers in 2023. For Minnesota, they're looking to shed some salary and Polanco is a clear candidate for that, so the return will likely need to be solid, but not spectacular. Polanco does have a team option for 2025 as well. Turang gives them a very solid defensive floor and at least a semi-interesting bat to work with to go along with some of the excitement that a post-hype prospect seems to bring teams. The Brewers also include a pretty interesting young pitcher in Galindez, with a very good curveball, in the deal to sweeten the pot a bit. Again, this is very dependent on how the Twins would view Turang and you may have to improve the secondary piece in the trade. Galindez is a guy I'm high on personally, but that doesn't mean the Twins are. Free Agency Free Agent Signing #1 RHP Luis Severino (1 year/$15 million) Severino has really struggled with health for a few years now, so definite risk here. When he is healthy and "on", very few compare to him in terms of their ability. A one year flier might not be enough to get it done, but if I were in his spot, there aren't many better organizations to sign a "prove it" deal with Free Agent Signing #2 C Tom Murphy (1 year/$10.0 million) Brewers could use a backup catcher, Murphy is coming off a couple of very strong seasons in that role with the Mariners. If Quero proves to be ready mid-season, or the Brewers are falling out of contention, then Murphy could be a very nice trade piece at the deadline. Free Agent Signing #3 1B/DH Carlos Santana (1 year/$8.0 million) Bringing Santana back because I think he's a good vet presence, has a good approach at the plate and should continue to be a decent hitter. I wouldn't want him hitting 3 or 4 anymore, but you could do a lot worse than Santana in the, for example, sixth spot. His defense at first is a plus as well. Summary The trades are iffy, and I totally get if people push back against them. Baseball is so reliant on each organizations assessment of a player, that it is foolish to believe we can really figure out what makes sense in both teams' eyes. For example, the A's thought that Esteury Ruiz was worth William Contreras, Joel Payamps and Justin Yeager. Nobody understood that even at the time of the trade, but they thought it was the best way to go. I feel like the Burnes trade is the most realistic, but if you told me the other two got made, I wouldn't be shocked. So, that's the logic there. Maybe somewhat surprisingly, Chourio, Black and Gasser (as well as Mayo) all make my OD roster, while Joey Wiemer gets a chance to get every day playing time in Nashville for now. I'd be expecting Black to play some first, some second and some third on this roster. The DH spot is very unlikely to be filled by the same player on a regular basis. Yelich, Contreras, Murphy, Santana, etc would all see time in that spot as well. Despite those four rookies all being relied upon (along with Frelick and a young arm in Woo), I am planning on this team competing in 2024. Think there's a good blend of youth and experience on this roster. The bullpen does not have much "shuttle" flexibility due to a lack of optionable arms, but neither did the 2023 version and they made it work just fine. There are bound to be injuries and other circumstances allowing some of the optionable pitchers to make appearances throughout the season. Aaron Ashby's ability to recover from his injury could swing some decisions this offseason as well. Healthy Ashby has some of the best stuff of any lefty in baseball. But as we know, shoulder injuries are very tough on pitchers. Last thing, even if this team were to struggle to contend, they would have teams knocking down the door to make deals with them at the deadline, with guys like Adames, Murphy, Polanco, Santana, etc. which would hopefully mean 2024 would be the only down year before a bounce back in 2025. C: William Contreras ($0.77M) 1B: Carlos Santana ($8.0M) 2B: Jorge Polanco ($10.50M) 3B: Coby Mayo ($0.77M) SS: Willy Adames ($12.40M) LF: Christian Yelich ($26.00M) CF: Jackson Chourio ($0.77M) RF: Sal Frelick ($0.77M) DH: Tyler Black ($0.77M) Bench OF: Tyrone Taylor ($1.70M) Utility: Jake Bauers ($1.70M) Utility: Andruw Monasterio ($0.77M) Backup C: Tom Murphy ($10.00M) SP1: Freddy Peralta ($5.50M) SP2: Luis Severino ($15.00M) SP3: Bryan Woo ($0.77M) SP4: Robert Gasser ($0.77M) SP5: Adrian Houser ($5.60M) CL: Devin Williams ($6.50M) RP: Abner Uribe ($0.77M) RP: Hoby Milner ($1.70M) RP: Bryse Wilson ($1.30M) RP: Joel Payamps ($1.70M) RP: Trevor Megill ($0.77M) RP: Elvis Peguero ($0.77M) RP: Colin Rea ($3.50M) Payroll is 14.59% under budget

Hey everyone, I will try to do a better job of keeping up with this here, but we have released 4 more episodes of the podcast now. I have links and a brief description of all of them below, we'd love if you would check it out! Again, we are very open to feedback as well! For Brewers fans specifically, Episode 3 and 5 are likely the ones you will be most interested in 🙂 Links to the Podcast: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-cream-city-club-podcast/id1715593489 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5vOSy8yXOjlqZqaooT26KR?si=148cc1bddabb49a0 YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheCreamCityClubPod Episode 2 (Released on 11/13/2023) In this episode Gunner and Spencer assess Adrian Griffin's start as the Milwaukee Bucks head coach. What has gone right? What has gone wrong? Where should he go from here? They also discuss the Dame and Giannis pairing, Khris Middleton's health and answer a number of questions from listeners. Episode 3 (Released on 11/16/2023) In this episode Gunner and Spencer are joined by Jack Stern (⁠@ByJackStern⁠ on Twitter) to discuss the managerial hiring of Pat Murphy, the transactions that have already taken place this offseason (including Colin Rea's return, as well as a trade that happened mid-pod). They also take a look forward at the rest of the offseason and answer some listener questions. Episode 4 (Released on 11/21/2023) In this episode Gunner and Spencer break down the Bucks 5 game winning streak and the changes they have seen. They also preview the Celtics game coming up on 11/22 and further discuss Damian Lillard's fit within the team and the defense, as well as the defense as a whole. Episode 5 (Released on 11/21/2023) In this episode Gunner and Spencer break down what Brandon Woodruff meant to the franchise and why the Brewers made the decision that they did. They also discussed the possibility of a Burnes trade and some of Burnes' recent comments about extensions and more (Spencer rants during this portion, in case that interests you). They talked about the Jake Bauers trade, and also mentioned some other potential trade candidates the Brewers could be interested in.

Dunn is 19 for me

Hey everyone, I appreciate everybody following along with the prospect content I have been fortunate enough to put out on here. I wanted to let you all know that I and one of my friends from college, Gunner Amelunk, have started a podcast called The Cream City Club Podcast. It is out on Apple, Spotify, as well as YouTube. Our plan is to discuss the current happenings with the Brewers, as well as the Milwaukee Bucks. The goal will be to focus the episodes on one or the other though, so if you're not a Bucks fan you shouldn't have to listen to us ramble about them, while waiting to get to the Brewers content. The first episode released this morning on all three platforms, discussing (what else) the Craig Counsell situation. The links below will take you to the pod and if you would like to shoot us a follow on whatever platform you choose to use, as well as on Twitter/X the handle is @TheCreamCityPod and our personal handles are @smichaelis234 and @GunnerAmelunk . Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-cream-city-club-podcast/id1715593489 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5vOSy8yXOjlqZqaooT26KR?si=148cc1bddabb49a0 YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheCreamCityClubPod If you ever have questions or prompts you would like us to discuss, the best place to do that would be at the podcast's Twitter handle, but my personal handle should work as well. Both of us are new to this (and you can probably tell in the first episode), so the hope is that the fluidity will get better as we go along. We are very open to feedback and appreciate any of you who give it a shot!

On Saturday, the Brewers made a trade involving a player who had quickly become a fan favorite during his two months with the franchise. They traded Mark Canha to the Detroit Tigers. In return, they received 25 year old right-handed reliever Blake Holub, a member of the Tigers' 2021 draft class. Image courtesy of © Jeff Miller / Special to the Press & Sun-Bulletin / USA TODAY NETWORK A former two-way player at Division II St. Edward's (TX), Blake Holub has an interesting delivery. He throws from a three-quarter slot that looks similar to how an outfielder throws. Holub sits in the 94-95 range with his fastball, and tops out at 97 miles per hour. The fastball has some natural cut to it, and it also has extreme ride. It’s a borderline plus pitch overall, and is the pitch the Brewers will likely continue to build his repertoire around. As for his secondaries, Holub throws a short, vertical-breaking slider that sits in the mid-to-upper 80s, as well as a splitter. The splitter he showed in 2023 appears to have replaced what used to be a more traditional changeup at the time he was drafted. It’s a pitch that he’s still learning to throw, but it shows signs of being a solid offering to generate whiffs. In 2022, Holub would mix in a curveball in the low 80s at times. The pitch was a bit “slurvy,” and it appears to have been scrapped in 2023. The Brewers have liked the combination of curveball/splitter or curveball/cutter in the past, so perhaps they will try to bring the hook back after some tweaking in their pitch lab. For now, you can expect Holub to be working primarily with his riding, cutting fastball, and mixing in both the slider and splitter. After a tough professional debut in 2022 wherein he posted a 6.23 ERA (struggles driven by a walk rate of 5.4 per nine innings), Holub saw quite a bit more success throughout his 2023 season. Splitting time between the Tigers' High-A and Double-A affiliates, Holub appeared in 18 games for the former and 30 for the latter. Pitching exclusively out of the bullpen, he posted a 3.03 ERA between the two levels, to go along with a solid 3.75 FIP. Holub also struck out a strong 10.5 per nine innings. What changed from 2022 to 2023 to yield such better results? Outside of the tweaks to his repertoire, Holub also showed tremendous improvement in his control. Holub cut that ugly walk rate by more than three full walks per nine frames, bringing it all the way down to 2.3 in 2023. While Holub did a great job of cutting down the free passes, his in-zone command will continue to be a work in progress. He does struggle to locate his secondaries at times, leaving them in vulnerable hitting zones. He didn’t get burned too often in High A, but that lack of command within the zone did start to hurt him a bit more at Double A. As he continues to climb through the system, continued improvement in that area will be paramount to his success. As a two-way player in college, this will only be Holub’s third season where he will be solely focused on pitching. There’s likely still more untapped potential in his arm than what would normally be expected from a 25-year-old prospect. Likely beginning 2024 at either Double A or Triple A, Holub doesn't need to be added to the 40-man roster until he is big-league ready, or when he becomes eligible for the Rule 5 Draft next winter, whichever comes first. He has the type of arm (as well as the previously mentioned projectability) where a 2024 MLB debut couldn't be ruled out--if he can get off to a strong start to his season at the upper levels. View full article

I get where you're coming from on "selling low" on a lot of them, but I'm not sure they would be, honestly. Teams aren't going to strictly judge them off their first taste of the majors. Esteury Ruiz, Lewis Brinson, Brett Phillips are all pretty recent examples of players who struggled (Brinson and Ruiz pretty mightily) in their first taste of MLB and were then turned into headliners in deals for William Contreras, Christian Yelich and Mike Moustakas. The Brewers would certainly have to trust their internal evaluations of each of them to decide which one to move, but I bet they'll be fielding quite a few calls on all three this offseason. To be clear, they shouldn't just trade them to do it, but I would be surprised if they don't get some pretty tempting offers.

That is all very fair. I have gone back and forth on the subject 4 or 5 times now, so I can certainly be convinced either way haha. Honestly though, I would say that I expect them to trade at least one of the Mitchell/Frelick/Wiemer trio.

Welcome to the final edition of Brewer Fanatic's 2023 top 20 prospect rundown! In this article, we will take a deep dive look at Jackson Chourio. To the surprise of nobody, Chourio slots in as the number one prospect in the system, as voted on and compiled by the Brewer Fanatic community. Image courtesy of Biloxi Shuckers #1 OF Jackson Chourio (Biloxi Shuckers, Nashville Sounds) Perhaps the most well-known prospect the Brewers have had in their system since The mid-2000s, Chourio received the Brewers' largest bonus in the 2020-21 International class, signing for $1.8 million. Beginning his career in the DSL in 2021, nobody in baseball had Chourio's helium in 2022. He began the season in Extended Spring Training, and after dominating Low-A and doing well at High-A, he eventually finished it with a week in Double-A. He spent most of 2023 in Double-A before receiving a cup of coffee in Triple-A to close the season. Chourio was awarded the Brewers Co-Player of the Year along with Tyler Black. What to Like: Chourio doesn’t get cheated on his swings at the plate but still looks to be in total control of his bat. He does a great job of being direct to the ball with his swing with a very flat vertical bat approach, but he is still getting the loft needed to elevate the ball and allowing him to get to his plus raw power in games. Twenty-two home runs as a teenager in the upper levels is an impressive feat. His elite bat speed, above-average or better bat-to-ball skills, and raw power form a rare combination for any prospect, let alone one who played the entire season in the upper minors at 19 years old. On the defensive side, he covers a lot of ground in center field and saw quite a bit of improvement in the quality of his reads and jumps in 2023. Having signed as an infielder only a couple of years ago, he was understandably a little raw out there in 2022, but there was a lot of improvement in 2023. He is firmly an above-average defender, and there is still room to grow, with the potential to be a plus. His plus speed helps him in center field, and it also showed quite a bit on the bases this year, going 44/53 on stolen base attempts. In the Future’s Game, Chourio ran over 30 ft/second, considered elite if he can maintain it regularly. He posted home-to-first times around four seconds flat as well, which is elite for anyone, especially a right-handed hitter with an aggressive swing. He’s a plus/plus athlete overall. Chourio’s season was a tale of two halves in 2023. A variety of things likely caused this. He was the youngest hitter in the league most of the year; he also had some bad luck on batted balls. Most likely, the biggest reason was due to the Southern League baseball that was being tested. In the first half, they used a “pre-tacked” baseball that caused issues for hitters and pitchers alike. For hitters, the ball was spinning and moving more than a regular baseball, and it showed in Chourio’s numbers. Chourio posted a .737 OPS in the first half, good for a 91 wRC+, and also struck out at a 22.6% rate. His second-half numbers were much more in line with what is expected out of a consensus top 5 prospect in baseball, putting up a .884 OPS (132 wRC+) with a 12.9% strikeout rate. For a player who had never really struggled in his pro career before this season, it was important to see how he would handle that, especially as more and more people were paying attention to him. His second half showed that he wouldn’t let it deter him. His ability to battle through struggles and adversity this season is a positive sign for Chourio’s future. What to Work On: While Chourio does a great job of getting the bat to the ball, he has some issues with swing decisions. He can get swing-happy at times, and his plate discipline was well below average in 2023, though his plate discipline did improve a bit when the Southern League went away from the pre-tacked baseball. His chase rate of 32% with the tacked ball went down to 27% for the remainder of the season. Carrying a strikeout rate of under 18% with a high chase rate illustrates his bat-to-ball ability. On the bases, his base stealing is largely done with his plus speed and not as much with his jumps. Like many other young players, getting more reps against elite pitcher/catcher combinations will only help him improve the jumps he gets. Defensively, Chourio has made big strides, as noted earlier, though he could still use some refinement in terms of the routes he takes. That’s the difference right now between him being above average and being plus out there. His arm is probably his worst tool at the moment, though it’s still around average in terms of strength, and he throws the ball pretty accurately. What’s next: Chourio has played games at Triple-A, which means he is on the verge of impacting the Major League ball club. MLB’s new CBA may be the biggest reason he will have a chance to make the team out of spring training. If a top 100 prospect is on the roster on Opening Day and wins the Rookie of the Year, the team he plays for receives a first-round pick in the next draft. Chourio has the talent that could win the award, and the stipulation that he must be on the Opening Day roster to be eligible will give the Brewers a lot to consider. Barring a poor spring, it seems likely that they will take that chance and give him an everyday role in 2024 from day one. What are your thoughts on Chourio? What are you hoping to see from him in 2024? Let us know in the comments! View full article

First thing that pops out to me is you might want to do the same thing you did with Miley's option for Canha's, by putting his $2 Mil buyout in the dead money and taking it off of his 11.5 mil. I'd probably include Tyrone Taylor in the initial list as well.

I think the DH could make it possible for both to play pretty regularly and stay fresh while doing it. But yeah, I don't think they'd ever want him to be a straight backup. That doesn't help him, or the team very much.

Welcome back to Brewer Fanatic's 2023 top 20 prospect rundown! In this edition, we will be taking a deep dive look at Jeferson Quero. Quero slots in as the number two prospect in the system, as voted on and compiled by the Brewer Fanatic community. Image courtesy of Mike Krebs, Biloxi Shuckers #2 C Jeferson Quero (Biloxi Shuckers) The Brewers signed Quero out of Venezuela in the 2019 international class. He was given the 6th highest bonus in the Brewers class at $200,000. While the Brewers did not hit like they would have liked on their biggest bonus players, like Luis Medina and Hedbert Perez, Quero has been a revelation since signing. From the moment he was signed, Quero has been heralded for his makeup and his ability to handle a pitching staff, both within the organization and externally. What to Like: As mentioned above, Quero has been lauded for his moxie behind the plate and having only turned 21 in early October, is considered to be extremely mature for his age. He has the respect of his pitchers and coaches as a game caller and a vocal and energetic competitor. He’s more than just a smart defensive catcher though, he’s an extremely talented one as well. His arm grades out as plus, posting pop times as low as 1.86 and averaging around 1.9, which would have placed him in the top 10 in MLB last year. He also does a good job as a receiver, stealing his pitchers strikes and fighting for every close pitch. Defense is definitely his biggest calling card and it gives him a pretty high floor as an MLB level backup. The reason his prospect status has grown so much over the last year and a half is the improvements he has made on the other side of the ball. At the plate, Quero has consistently had above average bat to ball skills and has always shown some pop in his bat, to all fields. That continued in 2023 as the pop turned into more in-game power than he had shown in the past, hitting 16 home runs. Those 16 home runs surpassed his previous career high of 10 in 2022, in fewer plate appearances. His batted ball profile is one that points to continued improvement in the power department as well. He hits the ball in the air quite a bit, and he hits the ball with authority, posting exit velocities of up to 110 MPH this year. Quero has the potential to hit for a relatively high average and also to hit for power at a premium defensive position. What to Work On: While Quero has very good bat to ball skills, he would do well to exercise a bit more patience at the dish. His walk numbers aren’t bad, but they are a bit misleading in terms of his plate discipline. He’s a very aggressive hitter, and he swings out of the zone at an above average rate. We aren’t talking about a Javier Baez level of chase, so it’s not something that should ever hamper him completely, but improving his swing decisions would go a very long way toward helping him reach his full potential offensively. Speed is the least important tool for a catcher, so it’s not a big deal, but Quero is below average in that regard. He appears to be a heady base runner though and was able to go five for five on stolen bases in 2023. Despite that, his legs are more likely to be a negative than a positive at the MLB level. On the defensive side, Quero is just very well rounded. He did at times struggle with receiving lower fastballs, but even that improved as the season progressed. He had a few more passed balls than you would hope for, something that is not uncommon amongst younger catchers, for a multitude of reasons. Losing concentration from time to time, or simply being too focused on attempting to frame a pitch rather than making sure the ball is actually caught, are often the culprits. At times Quero can also have a bit too much faith in his arm, which caused a few different errors when he didn't have a chance of getting an out. The good news is that the majority of these “concerns” appear to simply be youthful mistakes and simply trying to do too much. What’s next: Quero is Rule 5 eligible in the 2023 offseason, which means he will certainly be added to the Brewers 40 man roster over the next few weeks. Depending on how the rest of the offseason goes, Quero could potentially enter spring training with a chance at the backup catcher position in 2024. The more likely scenario though is that he will begin next season in Triple-A Nashville and get the chance to play every day. Even if it does lean that direction, he will be on the doorstep to the majors in 2024, where he could have a chance to make an immediate impact. What are your thoughts on Jeferson Quero? What are you hoping to see from him in 2024? Let us know in the comments! View full article

Agree with everything here. I think there's a very good chance he's in the MLB bullpen by August or so.

Welcome back to Brewer Fanatic's 2023 top 20 prospect rundown! In this edition, we will take a deep dive look at Jacob Misiorowski. Misiorowski slots in as the number three prospect in the system, as voted on and compiled by the Brewer Fanatic community. Image courtesy of Biloxi Shuckers #3 RHP Jacob Misiorowski (Carolina Mudcats, Wisconsin Timber Rattlers, Biloxi Shuckers) In terms of pure ceiling, the Brewers' second-round selection in the 2022 draft has one of the highest in baseball. A junior college standout from Crowder College in Missouri, Misiorowski is a freak athlete on the mound, with long levers and a blazing fastball. His first full season of pro ball showed all the exciting traits Misiorowski brings and showcased the areas he will need to improve. Since selecting Misiorowski, the Brewers have been extremely cautious in managing his workload. He only appeared in two games in 2022 and was built up very slowly in 2023 as well. What to Like: Misiorowski has, arguably, the most electric fastball in the minor leagues. Sitting in the 96-99 range most of the time, he has proven capable of running it up all the way to 102 in shorter stints. Not only does his fastball have 80-grade velocity, but it also has excellent movement characteristics, generating a lot of carry and life. He also gets an insane 7.5 feet of extension, which would have finished 100th percentile in MLB this past season and would have finished third behind only Alexis Diaz and Jackson Wolf. The consensus is that somebody with around 6.5 feet of extension will have essentially the same perceived velocity as their actual velocity. Each foot of extension beyond that adds about two MPH from the hitter's point of view. That means that a 98 MPH fastball from Misiorowski looks like 100, and when he runs it up to 102, it looks like 104. Factoring in his long limbs and that he hides the ball pretty well, it gets on hitters even faster than that at times. His fastball is his best pitch, but his secondaries aren’t lagging too far behind. His slider has been seen as his best secondary offering, and it is a very good pitch, sitting in the low 90s and misses a lot of bats. His mid-80s curveball made a massive leap in 2023. It has a quick drop, with an above-average sweep, and hitters take it for many strikes because of how tough it is to pick up. It probably surpassed the slider as the best secondary. Both of them are plus pitches. In terms of performance, Misiorowski began the year in Low-A Carolina and ended it in Double-A Biloxi despite getting his season started about a month later than everyone else. He led the Brewers organization in strikeouts per nine innings and was second only to Logan Henderson in K% (minimum of five starts). He posted a respectable 3.41 ERA, which his 3.40 FIP backed up. Misiorowski was missing barrels all season long, only allowing two home runs. Both of which came during his first three starts at the Double-A level. Overall, he performed very well in his first real taste of pro ball. What to Work On: It’s not a secret that Misiorowski has command concerns. It was the main knock on him during the draft and has followed him early in his career. Over five walks per nine innings is not something he will be able to get away with at the upper levels, especially if he wants to continue down the path of being a starting pitcher. Along those lines, there is some concern over whether Misiorowski will be forced into a relief role at some point. His delivery involves a ton of effort and has many moving parts. From the time he was drafted to the end of the 2023 season, there has already been quite a bit of improvement in terms of repeating his mechanics and staying within himself more often, so he will look to continue to build upon that. While his fastball, slider, and curveball combination have done most of the work for Misiorowski, he also throws a changeup. The changeup is a distant fourth offering at the moment. He has minimal command over it and is almost entirely unable to throw it for strikes. The pitch shows signs of having good, late depth on it, but if he can’t learn to command it better, he will likely need to scrap it. Left-handed hitters have struggled against him so far, but the home runs he gave up were to lefties. The upper levels may start to unearth some platoon issues, and one way Misiorowski could try to combat that is by adding a second fastball, such as a sinker. What’s next: Misiorowski moved very quickly in 2023. He will almost certainly begin 2024 back in Biloxi, where he will attempt to build upon his final three starts, especially his final start of the 2023 season, when he went six innings of shutout ball while striking out 12 and only allowing one hit. His stuff is good enough to pitch in MLB right now. He could make his MLB debut during the 2024 season if he shows improvement in his command. Perhaps out of the bullpen early on. What are your thoughts on Misiorowski? What are you hoping to see from him in 2024? Let us know in the comments! View full article

Welcome back to Brewer Fanatic's 2023 top 20 prospect rundown! In this edition, we will take a deep dive into Tyler Black. Black slots in as the number four prospect in the system, as voted on and compiled by the Brewer Fanatic community. Image courtesy of Mike Krebs, Biloxi Shuckers #4 IF Tyler Black (Biloxi Shuckers, Nashville Sounds) The Brewers took Black with their Competitive Balance Round A pick in 2021. Coming out of Wright State, Black was a small school, model-based type of pick. After battling some tough injury luck in his first full season in 2022, Black stayed on the field in 2023 and broke out in a major way at the plate and on the bases. What to Like: Black’s profile is going to be carried by his bat. At Wright State, he showed some in-game power, hitting 13 home runs in his final season. However, his batted ball profile didn’t point to a ton of power in his future. He had a max exit velocity of 102.2 while in college. Jacob Wilson and Black are the only two first-round picks in the last three seasons with a 90th percentile exit velocity under 100 MPH. In his first 400 plate appearances of his career, that batted ball data appeared to be a more accurate sign of his power than the 13 home runs, as he only hit five home runs in that period. In 2023, that changed, and it changed pretty dramatically as Black hit 18 home runs. It doesn’t appear to have been a fluke either, as his batted ball data has improved significantly since he entered pro ball. From 2022 to 2023, his 90th percentile exit velocity improved by four MPH, and his max exit velocity in Triple-A was up to 109.6 MPH. He cut his ground ball rate by over 11% to prove that his power jump is sustainable. The two main ingredients for sudden power upgrades are to hit the ball hard more often and to hit it in the air more often. Black did both in 2023. Even if the power isn’t there for Black, he does a fantastic job controlling the zone and has the ability to spray the ball to all fields. His walk-to-strikeout ratio of 0.88 was sixth highest amongst the qualified hitters in the Brewers organization and second highest if you remove the short-season qualifiers. He has the tools to be a very good, all-around hitter at the major league level. On the bases, Black stole 55 bases in 2023, the most in the Brewers system. Unlike most minor leaguers who stole bases at a clip similar to him, Black stole that many bases largely due to his instincts and his feel. Those paired well with above-average speed, but a step below being plus speed to make him a threat all season long. What to Work On: Defense is the question mark for Black. If he were an above-average defender, he would have a case for being a top-25 prospect in baseball. Coming into 2023, there were questions on whether he could handle the infield at all. He spent time in center field in 2022, and the outfield looked like a legitimate possibility for him. However, considering the amount of outfield depth the Brewers have, the organization knew that keeping him on the infield would be the best outcome for him and the team if he could handle it. To Black’s credit, there was a definite improvement from him on the infield dirt this year. His actions improved from 2022 to 2023, looking more comfortable with his footwork and showing more range than in the past. While his arm isn’t the strongest, it does appear that, at least glove-wise, third base would be a better fit for him than second base. Another possibility for Black moving forward would be seeing time at first base. He saw his first in-game action there this season, and it looks like a spot he could handle. It would lessen the importance of his arm, and he should be able to handle it with his athleticism. What’s next: A Ben Zobrist role is not out of the question for Black when he first reaches MLB. He’d be playing an everyday role but doing it by constantly moving around to give other players the day off. Black made a case to be called up at the end of 2023, and given he plays three positions that are pretty big question marks for the organization as they head into the offseason, Black will likely have a good chance of making the team out of camp. The fact that he is now making Top 100 lists around the league won’t hurt him either, as he will most likely be one of the players eligible for the possible draft pick that comes with Rookie of the Year voting. What are your thoughts on Tyler Black? Should he be on the Opening Day roster in 2024? Let us know in the comments! View full article

Welcome back to Brewer Fanatic's 2023 top 20 prospect rundown! In this edition, we will be taking a deep dive look at Robert Gasser. Gasser slots in as the number five prospect in the system, as voted on and compiled by the Brewer Fanatic community. Image courtesy of Rob Thompson, St. Paul Saints #5 LHP Robert Gasser (Nashville Sounds) A second-round draft pick by the Padres in the 2021 draft, Gasser was in the midst of his first full season when the infamous Josh Hader trade went down at the trade deadline in 2022. He finished his Padres career at the High-A level, having thrown 90.1 innings for the Fort Wayne TinCaps. The Brewers decided that was plenty of experience at that level and assigned him to Double-A Biloxi to begin his Brewers career. Four starts later, Gasser and his 2.21 ERA and 11.5 strikeouts per nine were headed to Triple-A Nashville. This is where he would finish the 2022 campaign and where he spent all of 2023. What to Like: Gasser throws five pitches total, and three of those are above-average or better pitches in his four-seam fastball, slider, and cutter. He generates a lot of ride with the fastball, and because of that, it works best at the top of the zone or above. He usually sits in the 91-93 range and can get up to 94 or 95. His slider is best described as a sweeper and is a pitch he will throw in any count or situation. The sweeper sits in the low 80s and was his biggest swing-and-miss pitch in 2023. He does a decent job of landing it for strikes when the situation calls for it, as well. Since coming to the Brewers organization, Gasser has been mixing in his upper 80s cutter more often than with the Padres. It was the pitch that he was able to show the most improvement with during the 2023 season, landing it in the zone more often than any of his other offerings and consistently keeping it off of barrels. Regarding production, Gasser’s final season line may not look special compared to what we expect from an MLB starting pitcher. When the numbers are looked at in the hitter-friendly Triple-A environment, however, Gasser stacks up extremely well. Among the 38 pitchers who threw at least 100 innings in Triple-A, Gasser finished first in total strikeouts and strikeouts per nine innings; he finished second in ERA and FIP while also having the second-highest K: BB ratio. Gasser got off to a slow start in the walk department, walking 5.5 per nine innings in April. From May forward, though, he only walked 2.88 per nine, which brought his total for the season to a more reasonable 3.33 per nine. What to Work On: As mentioned, Gasser has a total of five pitches, and while the four-seam fastball, slider, and cutter all show signs of being plus pitches, his other two pitches still need to catch up a bit. His changeup is an average offering that comes in a bit firmer than you would hope, usually sitting in the upper-80’s. While he would benefit from being able to take a bit more velocity off of it, he does get some good late action on it, and it could act as a counter to right-handed hitters. He also mixes in a sinker that is in a similar velocity range to his four-seam, though he does not use it all that often. Gasser will also mix in a lower arm angle on some of his four-seamers, which have been classified as sinkers at times. In reality, he’s dropping his arm angle, causing the pitch to generate less vertical break than his regular four-seamers. Improvement in those two would go a long way toward rounding out his repertoire. Right now, his best pitches all move toward a right-handed hitter; the sinker and changeup go the other way. That could help him improve his platoon splits. While Gasser did get the previously mentioned walk number down to a more reasonable number over the course of the season, he will likely be aiming to drop it even further and be under three per nine moving forward. One other thing that will need to be monitored is Gasser’s line drive rate. His 28.6% line drive rate was the highest among Triple-A pitchers with at least 100 innings pitched, and as Freddy Peralta has demonstrated at times, a four-seamer like Gasser’s can have a propensity to get barreled. Continuing to locate the fastball at the top of the zone or higher will help keep it above barrels. When it leaks down into the zone, then hitters can get a pretty good look at it. Improvement to the sinker and/or changeup could be another way to keep the ball out of the air more often. What’s next: Gasser appears to be ready for the MLB rotation, and during most times in Brewers history, he likely would have already debuted during the 2023 season. Pitching depth has been a strong suit for the organization during the Stearns and Arnold era, but they will enter this offseason with perhaps the most questions since the offseason going into 2018. That should help Gasser’s chances. The unfortunate recent news of Brandon Woodruff being out for the 2024 season probably raises his chances of making the rotation directly out of spring training even further. What are your thoughts on Robert Gasser? What are you hoping to see from him in 2024? Let us know in the comments! View full article