Question: Does WAR take place in a vacuum, or is it related to the actual record of the team? Would an entire team's WAR equal the games over/under .500 that their record would indicate? Next question: what is the pitching WAR since the trade? That would probably answer my first question. WAR is context neutral, so while there is some correlation to teams wins it is not a straight one to one relationship. I believe replacement level is set at 46 wins, so a replacement team would have around 38/39 wins at this point in the season + 19 WAR from position players + 24 WAR from pitchers = 81/82 wins. Starters have been relatively steady all year, but the bullpen really took off after the deal... Starters thru 5/21: 228 IP | 3.27 ERA | 3.42 FIP | 5.9 rWAR (6th) Starters post 5/22: 470 IP | 3.10 ERA | 3.16 FIP | 12.7 rWAR (2nd) Relievers thru 5/21: 164 IP | 4.59 ERA | 4.83 FIP | 0.3 rWAR (19th) Relievers post 5/22: 317 IP | 3.12 ERA | 3.76 FIP | 5.3 rWAR (3rd) So, purposely ignoring everything you said to create a hot take, Brewers have had 18 WAR from pitchers, 16 WAR from position players, which equals 34, yet are only 31 over since the trade? Conclusion: They lost the trade. Lock the thread.