I'm of the belief analytics are still a work in progress where filters are being added/removed and tested in the attempts to find the proper weight for each factor. When the question was proposed.... what is wrong with the offense I did some digging. Sample size is small and much of it might be an anomaly. I'm not capable of doing the analytics they are but I found this interesting and possibly telling. Since the ASB the team is 10-18 Since the ASB in games where the team had 2bb or less 2-12 Since the ASB in games where the team had 3bb or more 8-6 Sample size... i know Since the season started the brewers are 38-28 in games with 3bb or more (30-22 pre asb) Since the season started the brewers are 22-31 in games 2bb or less (20-19 pre asb) I can hear it... "yeah idiots bbs are good." Since asb 4.28 runs in games with 3bb or more Since asb 2.64 runs in games 2bb or less Ks since asb are also up .8 per game.... when I ran this 3 games ago it was up 1.1 per game. In the k decrease 6 runs per game average. Bbs had also dropped after the asb... they are currently down .2 bb per game... they were down .4bb per game 3 games ago... in the bb increase 6 runs per game. Again... team is 10 over 500 in 3bb or more games... and it dropped from 3.3 average to a post asb average of 2.9... corrected to 3.1 the last 3 where the team averaged 6 rpg. First thing I suppose. The 3bb line is not a false indicator. The increase in Ks and drop in BBs was enough to push the offense off a statstical cliff. Second thing I suppose. Analytics once argued Ks are not that bad of a thing. I don't believe that has changed for individuals. But I believe they've identified a threshhold effect where Ks choke an offense as a whole. 1 indicator: Houston... offseason of beltran aoki mccann do not strike out. Mccann is a very good catcher but the others are mediocre. But what they do is raise walks and lower Ks. 2 indicator: Draft... 2nd base Huira elite contact hitter. Expected low K rate. Lutz very natural contact tool for a plus power profile. 3 indicator: Sogard preseason... low K batter. 4 indicator: Why Kinsler? Cuts 2nd base Ks in half (almost shaves 60% off villar). Granderson? Ks 40% less than Broxton. None of them are all that good but their big plus is better bb far lower K. Walker? Better than kinsler and still shaves 40% off Ks. You can call this nonsense and sample size but for some reason houston and now a competative MKE are actively looking to shave Ks and add walks to their power based lineups. Trying to stay away from a saturation point I'd suppose. With high k power in santana, 1st (thames and aguilar), shaw, that you cant sacrifice. Braun Arcia fit in just fine with moderate K rates (braun lately rusing his contact and plate duscipline as if told they need obp over power from him) and Pina is the ideal catcher. That leaves 2 spots where bbs need to rise and Ks need to be cleaved out. If that's the case... villar is done in MKE and Broxton is next. 2b and CF who do not K and have a healthy difference in avg and obp are the target.