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TJseven7

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Everything posted by TJseven7

  1. Broxton has a .243/.349/.459/.808 line since returning. If he gave us that with solid defense consistently I'm sure we would take that. Don't disagree with this but when one analytics hub makes a big play at decreasing Ks... I doubt the other isn't looking into it. Broxton remains the least impactful bat where you can shave a bunch of Ks.
  2. Just excited to see Walker Braun Shaw Santana Thames Pina Arcia.... and then theres Broxton
  3. I'm of the belief analytics are still a work in progress where filters are being added/removed and tested in the attempts to find the proper weight for each factor. When the question was proposed.... what is wrong with the offense I did some digging. Sample size is small and much of it might be an anomaly. I'm not capable of doing the analytics they are but I found this interesting and possibly telling. Since the ASB the team is 10-18 Since the ASB in games where the team had 2bb or less 2-12 Since the ASB in games where the team had 3bb or more 8-6 Sample size... i know Since the season started the brewers are 38-28 in games with 3bb or more (30-22 pre asb) Since the season started the brewers are 22-31 in games 2bb or less (20-19 pre asb) I can hear it... "yeah idiots bbs are good." Since asb 4.28 runs in games with 3bb or more Since asb 2.64 runs in games 2bb or less Ks since asb are also up .8 per game.... when I ran this 3 games ago it was up 1.1 per game. In the k decrease 6 runs per game average. Bbs had also dropped after the asb... they are currently down .2 bb per game... they were down .4bb per game 3 games ago... in the bb increase 6 runs per game. Again... team is 10 over 500 in 3bb or more games... and it dropped from 3.3 average to a post asb average of 2.9... corrected to 3.1 the last 3 where the team averaged 6 rpg. First thing I suppose. The 3bb line is not a false indicator. The increase in Ks and drop in BBs was enough to push the offense off a statstical cliff. Second thing I suppose. Analytics once argued Ks are not that bad of a thing. I don't believe that has changed for individuals. But I believe they've identified a threshhold effect where Ks choke an offense as a whole. 1 indicator: Houston... offseason of beltran aoki mccann do not strike out. Mccann is a very good catcher but the others are mediocre. But what they do is raise walks and lower Ks. 2 indicator: Draft... 2nd base Huira elite contact hitter. Expected low K rate. Lutz very natural contact tool for a plus power profile. 3 indicator: Sogard preseason... low K batter. 4 indicator: Why Kinsler? Cuts 2nd base Ks in half (almost shaves 60% off villar). Granderson? Ks 40% less than Broxton. None of them are all that good but their big plus is better bb far lower K. Walker? Better than kinsler and still shaves 40% off Ks. You can call this nonsense and sample size but for some reason houston and now a competative MKE are actively looking to shave Ks and add walks to their power based lineups. Trying to stay away from a saturation point I'd suppose. With high k power in santana, 1st (thames and aguilar), shaw, that you cant sacrifice. Braun Arcia fit in just fine with moderate K rates (braun lately rusing his contact and plate duscipline as if told they need obp over power from him) and Pina is the ideal catcher. That leaves 2 spots where bbs need to rise and Ks need to be cleaved out. If that's the case... villar is done in MKE and Broxton is next. 2b and CF who do not K and have a healthy difference in avg and obp are the target.
  4. Not only would I be furious but it seems nuts like... casual mets fans looking at our farm system and putting together a wish list while acting like they are being reasonable...nuts
  5. Im critical of CC often and no he's not getting fired for this. Stearns didn't expect this year. Bp has been bad and out of respect for the season he tried to add help but only at rock bottom prices. He tried to get others and always offered what he felt was low. This is why swarzak and jj were the only ones that got done. He offered low ball offers to show he was trying and would have loved for the low ball offers to work but was not going to get into a bidding war. Stearns knew this team was at an offensive statistical cliff for awhile now. That cliff issue was what all the random brewer trade targets had in common including walker. I think I see "what's wrong"... If I'm right Stearns absolutely sees it and the astros addressed it in FA. Stearns is altering as well. None of that is on CC. He angers me at times but he's staying.
  6. Stearns is looking to cut Ks and add OBP. We are on the wrong side of both stats. Villar broxton arent producing enough to overcome the Ks and low obp they bring to the team. Astros brought in beltran mccann and aoki for a reason. Walker has a lower K rate. Granderson Kinsler all our targets have a few similar traits. We need to lessen the empty outs at cf and 2nd. Walker helps that. They shouldkeep him and sogard... interesting time for villar here.
  7. Wow throw it into the dugout... i want to see if perez swings at that...
  8. Well... these are the 6 you'd want tonight.... crosses fingers
  9. I go swarzak here and give the bats a chance. Hughes sucks and its terribly deflating.
  10. Bull That reminds me of Chicago. They believed in their team and got Quintana, and the team took off immediately after that. That vote of confidence got them going! Come on man... give me a break
  11. Well.... this would be a big enough come back to jump start anyone for a few days.... keep it rolling... bravo thames.
  12. Is this on mke elkhorn area radio anywhere or do packers trump all?
  13. 25 games since ASB 9-16 Post ASB 2.88 bb/9 avg runs 3.16 Pre ASB 3.34 bb/9 avg runs 5 Post ASB 10.6k/9 Pre ASB 9.6k/9 Record POST ASB with 3bb or more 7-5 avg bb 3.5 avg runs 3.66 Record POST ASB with less than 3bb 2-11 avg bb 1.7 avg runs 2.69 Discuss...
  14. Yes. This mess is completely on the players. They've flat out embarrassed themselves since the break. He's been a solid part of the problem in multiple games since the break. Terrible decisions with the staff... not just ones that didnt work... putting in the worst in high leverage... but hell they are big leaguers... if they aren't good thats on them right. Managers do pit their teams in position to fail. CC has a few since ASB where he's guilty of that.
  15. Just play villar... lol... more like huira diaz or dubon can't get here soon enough.
  16. Yup CC... sano vs barnes.... just keep him in.... going great.
  17. 12 innings.... 2 er... 1.25 whip...4 and a 3rd with his control. Not bad.
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