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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. No, there is no point to promote Turang from AAA at 22 years old and with a .680 OPS. It wouldn't improve the Brewers in the short run, nor would it improve them in the long run. Sure, some teams can carry a player with a sub .700 OPS when the middle of their order is a bunch of monsters. That is not the '22 Brewers who need every bit of hitting they can get. As for Severino, the price of back up catchers is nil. The Brewers got Caratini (and cash) for Korry Howell (who the Padres already cut loose) and Brett Sullivan (a 28 year old back up catcher yet to play in the majors). Sure they could trade Severino but it most likely would be for cash or future considerations; and the reality is if Milwaukee decides to move on when he is eligible to play, they'd probably just release him.
  2. I don't know, it probably means they aren't going to be making an earth shaking move to bolster the offense. In fact, if you look at the team's recent history they've never really added the marquee player anyways. In prior deadlines they've added more supplemental rental players: Moustakas, Schoop, Granderson, Drew Pomeranz, Eduardo Escobar. If they stay on the pace I would expect more of the same. I get the prospect love, but there really is no reason to trade Kolten Wong. Besides, Turang has a .680 OPS at AAA. Unless he really improves his offense he will get eaten alive by pitching at the major league level. Maybe Weimer forces his way on to the roster later this summer (like Grisham in 2019) but I wouldn't count on it. Finally nobody, is going to trade for Severino. He's ineligible for the post-season and there's even odds he'll be non-tendered after the season.
  3. I have no idea if players (ignoring cliche statements made to the media) like playing for the Brewers organization, or if one organization is better to the players than another. However, it would be some bad PR with their labor force if Milwaukee cut a player one day before reaching 10 years of service time and all the perks the Union gives players for reaching that milestone. With Cain calling the decision "mutual" I do wonder if he was not particularly interested in his recent role of coming off the bench, or if he was asked to go to the minors in an attempt to get his swing going and he refused. Either way, its likely the end of the line because no club is going to offer him a major league deal at this point.
  4. I suppose it depends which version of Kolten Wong they get for the rest of the year. I agree $10 million dollars in today's game is actually cheap for an everyday player. In an article on The Athletic, Stearns was just reiterating they are a built as a "run-prevention" team; thus if Wong finishes the year as the perennial gold glover he has been, it's likely they pick up his option due to his value in "run prevention". If he continues to pile up errors, go down with nagging injuries, and swing a weak bat, he'll be looking for a new club next year. The Brewers are actually in good shape for next year with only 32 million dollars already guaranteed. Just holding the line on their overall payroll they should be able to bring back whatever players they choose regardless of salary.
  5. Sure talent-wise yes. Results-wise its the Cardinals both offensively and defensively. Anyways as a reason for optimism, the Brewers would likely need a total collapse to miss the playoffs in 2022. The NL is so bad, that 1/3 of the teams are already out of the hunt (Was, Pitt, Chicago, Cincy, and Colorado) and realistically Arizona and Miami will likely fade in the next month so the competition to get in the playoffs in the NL doesn't appear to be that fierce this year.
  6. There isn't anything wrong with Adames, he's a great hitting shortstop, nobody should have realistically expected him to continue to produce an .890 OPS. Even with his drop in production he's still a top 5 hitting shortstop in the NL. Their core hitters are Yelich, Adames, and Tellez players who have been productive in the majors, are in the prime of their careers and under team control for multiple seasons. The problem is Tellez and the current version of Yelich have been disappointments this year. As for the supporting cast of veterans and short-timers, Kolten Wong has always been an up and down player and is not far from his career norms, ditto with Hunter Renfroe. When a player is a one or two good games from being at their career norms, its hard to be disappointed in their play. Narvaez smells that free agent money and is having a terrific year. Jace Peterson is probably amongst the best utility players in the NL. Caratini has been the best back up catcher in the NL this year. Tyrone Taylor is just a guy, Lorenzo Cain and McCutchen are two washed up veterans trying to hang on. I don't know if anyone knows what they truly have in Urias; sometimes he looks like an every day player, at others he looks like another light hitting middle infielder. What the Brewers lack and why their offense will likely continue to struggle is they have a collection of hitters who when going their best are fair to average hitters, they do not have that guy that hits for both average and power to pick up the slack.
  7. Haha. Their commercial is all urban youth, hip hair cuts, local shops, surfing, and they put a grill on the unis; classic Brewers….no identity.
  8. They’re already out of their misery. 7 guys hitting less than .250, and a handful of pitchers with ERAs north of 4.25; without significant improvement this is an 85 loss club.
  9. Only because Hiura has fewer plate appearances, there isn't a doubt in my mind if Hiura had 220 plate appearances, he'd have a sub. 300 OBP. His most recent 550 plate appearances in the majors says he would anyways. The Brewers are a very patient organization which is why they haven't turned the page completely by now. Yet, I am surprised how many posters think that Hiura isn't the guy he was in 2019 because of some combination of lack of opportunity, "mis-use" by a manager who is otherwise a master of playing the matchups, swing mechanics and off-the-field issues etc. Occum's Razor would suggest the league learned how to attack him at the plate where he can neither hit it nor lay off of it and since that time he has failed to make a counter-adjustment. The annals of MLB are littered with guys with one big year to their name then zip. Everything else, at this point sounds like a lot of excuse making. McCutchen has sucked, and very well could be washed up. However, he puts the ball in play (which I know is frowned upon by the sabermetricians) which on a team of slumping light hitters is better than seeing three pitches and walking back to the dugout. The Brewers need somebody to get hot on offense for an extended period of time, that's what would cure this team. Back to the topic: the 2014 team was almost the complete opposite of the 2022 club. In 2014, Milwaukee had a good offense and a mediocre pitching staff. Wily Peralta, Garza and Lohse made a combined 38 starts that year where they received 6+ runs of support. Their combined pitching record in those blowouts was 19-2 and yet the team finished only 82-80 on the season. The September swoon is what is remembered from that year, but their big lead vanished at the end of June during a 7 games losing streak. The ten game losing streak in September knocked them out of the hunt.
  10. I don't know, seems strange to go off plate appearances instead of at bats, but it doesn't make a difference. The percentage is too high either way for a major league player. Hiura simply doesn't put the ball in play enough to warrant more playing time. But you do mention Hiura's 2019 indirectly because his splits against RHP in 2020 and 2021 weren't good. His splits are driven by the 1.000 OPS against RHP in 2019, and the fact that 5 of his 12 hits against RHP this year went over the fence. Which is also why they're irrelevant: driven by numbers he put up 3 years ago before teams figured out how to successfully attack him, and some unsustainable luck that half of his hits against RHP this year left the yard. It's too bad really, because a young middle of the order slugger is what this team needs. And, I'm not defending McCutchen or anyone else on the roster, but when Hiura basically hands the other team two free outs per evening, why should they rush to get him in the lineup?
  11. I used his numbers this year (44Ks in 81 ABs) to get 55%. I don’t care what his splits are (and I especially don’t care what he did in 2019 before teams learned how to attack him at the plate), a player striking out 55% of the time doesn’t need more chances, and probably shouldn’t be on the roster but for their long list of injuries.
  12. Hiura has 44Ks in 81 ABs, 55% of his ABs end up in a strike out. McCutchen has been bad for Milwaukee but has "only" struck out 24% of the time. There's no reason to give 4 ABs per night to a guy who K's that often, it'd be like playing with 25 outs instead of 27; that's why McCutchen plays over him nearly every night.
  13. Frankly, Peterson (.721 OPS in 140 ABs) and Brosseau (.798 in 68 ABs) have been two of their most consistent offensive players this year. My point was, even if healthy, there isn't a lot to get excited about offensively with Urias (career .717 OPS) and Wong (career .725). Moreover, even if Urias was hitting at .789 like last year, he'd still be somewhere around 5th best in the NL at 3B.; and given how up and down Wong has been offensively as a major leaguer, its really hard to argue his .709 OPS is disappointing.
  14. But there’s the problem; even if 100% are Urias, Wong and Adames great offensive players? No. Adames is a great hitting shortstop, Urias and Wong are average hitters at best, neither of whom would be amongst the top in the division at their respective positions offensively. Which is the larger issue, with all middle of the road hitters, when a bunch of players all slump at the same time they don’t have that .850+ OPS hitter to pick up the slack.
  15. Fans are great at statements like that “it’s a sunk cost” but fans aren’t the ones who have to write the checks while Cain is relaxing at home in Oklahoma. They most likely will need his roster spot at some point, but they are going to try everything before they write him checks to stay home. That’s just reality.
  16. Wrong. Cain makes 18 million this year. Suppan never made that type of money with the Brewers. So no they didn’t basically eat 12 million (2/3 of 18 million) with Suppan.
  17. You’re dreaming if you think the Brewers would DFA Cain anytime soon regardless of one game. He makes what? 15% of the total team payroll. They might need his roster spot eventually, but nobody wants to have that percentage of their payroll go to a player to not play for them. Injuries might force their hand but they’ll give Cain every chance to get it going before eating that type of money. The Brewers just don’t eat 12 million dollars, never have and never will.
  18. All kidding aside; there’s a lot of baseball left but I think it’s fair to wonder which extreme this team will end up being closest too.
  19. Or maybe he’s just a .715 OPS guy and not the .790 guy he was last year.
  20. Haha. Stearns isn’t going to shuffle the deck; he’s getting ready to leave. This will be Matt Arnold’s mess to figure out
  21. One half of the team needs to find themselves quick, because a team that doesn’t hit and can’t pitch will sink like a rock.
  22. The reality is, Cain has already been moved to a bench player, and is still owed a guaranteed 12 million dollars. The Brewers are not likely to pay him that kind of money to sit home, just so they can bring up an organizational depth piece to take his spot on the bench. If Cain cannot get it going at the plate, they will need his roster spot at some point and he'll be gone, but it won't be to bring up someone like Jonathan Davis.
  23. There's a reason he's 30, with his fourth organization and has barely pitched in the majors. Yuck
  24. Fact is the Cardinals pitching staff has allowed 219 runs, and have scored 271 runs. The Brewers pitching staff has allowed 224 runs, and have scored 249 runs. What the metrics say is really irrelevant, the Cardinals have scored more on offense than the Brewers, and their pitching staff has been better than Milwaukee in giving up runs. It also seems the same argument that the Brewers hitters will hit better, is also tied to a notion that the hitters for the Cardinals will falter at the same time which nobody really knows if either of these are true.
  25. The Brewers attendance numbers won't be down in 2022. School has just let out, and they have been at home only 3 weekends out of the 9 so far this season. As for the "Entertainment District", seems like the team wants improvements/repairs to the stadium that the Stadium District doesn't have money to pay for. In today's climate, it's doubtful a bill would pass the General Assembly restarting the sales tax, so the entertainment district is a way to generate more revenue to fund those improvements. After all, the parking lots sit empty half the year, they may as well redevelop some of the land to not only generate property taxes, but to sell beer and concessions on game days. If it ultimately has to done at the expense of some fans who bring their own beer and food to consume before the game, I don't think that will stop anyone from tapping a potentially lucrative new revenue stream.
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