Jopal78
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Everything posted by Jopal78
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YES! which is why he is available. Thats why its hard for me to propose a trade, because anything i come up with, i think then team X would never do that. Isn't this how it works? In reality everyone on the Brewers roster is available for the right price. It is just the fact the return needed to move Yelich, Woodruff, Hiura, Hader is so high a trade for those players is virtually impossible. The return for a star type player from the Brewers would have to make the team better in the short run and the long run. Otherwise to move any of those players the return would have to compensate for the fact the Brewers would be breaking up their club during a competitive window. For an NL club in particular, the return package would have to be so enticing that it is worth facing Hader a half dozen times a year or more for the next several seasons.
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Free Agent Starting Pitchers (not named Gerrit Cole)
Jopal78 replied to Eye Black's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Or how about Strasburg as #1 and Woody #2? That I can get behind. We NEED another TOR arm, without it, we can only hope to contend as far as the pitching goes... Need context. Strasburg opted out of his deal in Washington for one reason: an attempt to break the bank. There’s zero chance he signs a contract for less than top dollar giving he already opted out of a huge contract. There’s zero chance the Brewers commit 120+ million dollars to a free agent pitcher. Strasburg as a brewer....ain’t happening -
I kind of think the Padres got the best player in this trade. They got a pitcher who has made 111 major leagues starts with a 1.29 whip, 3.91 era and 2.5:1 k : bb ratio. He’ll probably improve upon those numbers pitching in the larger parks on the west coast. I know I’d be thrilled had the Brewers acquired a starter with those career numbers.
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When is the last time Braun played first base in the major leagues? Answer: July 23rd 2018. The number of players who have manned first base since for the Brewers since Ryan Braun last played there: 8 Bonus Points if you can name them all. I think it is quite logical if they've played 8 different players at first base since the last time they sent Braun out there, having him play 1B in 2020 is more talk than real intentions of doing so. ANSWER: Kratz, Aguilar, Thames, Perez, Shaw, Austin, Nottingham and Grandal.
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Travis d'Arnaud to Braves - 2 years/$16M
Jopal78 replied to Matt Breen's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
At some point don't they have to try to break Nottingham in at the major league level? He had one good year at AAA and one down year at AAA, but he's been with the organization going on 5 years and has over 500 plate appearances in AAA. There comes a time when you find out what you've got, or you cut bait. -
First of all, Seattle is rebuilding. For those who may have forgotten this means they are looking to add long term talent to their organization. They’re not going to trade one of the few chips they have, a catcher who can hit, without getting long term pieces in return. So regardless if a ‘trade evaluater’ website says it’s even, Seattle has zero use for Lorenzo Cain. (This goes without mentioning the GM who signed Cain less than two calendar years ago likely has a different perspective on him than many of the posters here). Also, Seager was a 2.5 WAR player last year. I’m sure Seattle would move him if they were offered the right combination of young talent. They’re not going to simply give him away, let alone pay cash for him to play for somebody else. I presume Jerry DiPoto wants to keep his job. The scenario of actually pulling the trigger on deals where he trades his most valuable major league pieces and throws in cash to get another big contract and some dog rockets from Milwaukee’s farm system doesn’t make his organization better in the long run nor the short run.
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I don't see Roark or Gibson being above average and worth the money. Roark: 4.35 ERA - 4.67 FIP - more hits than IPs - 1.4 WHIP. All those number would increase at Miller Park. He made $10M last year. Gibson: 4.84 ERA - more hits than IPs - 1.45 WHIP - made $8.1M last year. Pineda would cost about the same and was much better. IMO Burnes doesn't start in the big leagues much less the starting rotation. I think everyone wants Pomeranz back, but there might be a bidding war for a lefty pen guy. Kendrick would be a great pickup with Walker as the backup 1B-3B. If Stearns can re-sign Moose, then Shaw is cut or traded. The bottom line is the Brewers don’t have five bonafide major league starters on the roster. Gonzalez won’t be back, Lyles like Miley before him is probably going to be hunting for greener ($) pastures. The Brewers aren’t likely going to add a $20 mil/season starter. So they’re shopping in the 2nd tier aisle for starting pitching. Players like Roark, Gibson, Kuechel, Porcello, Pineda. None of them world beaters but all bonafide major league starting pitchers, which allows the Brewers to avoid having to pitch, Peralta, Burnes, Suter, as starting pitchers. The problem with Pineda is he is never healthy with a history of multiple elbow injuries, a shoulder injury, a knee injury. Then when finally healthy for once, he gets busted for prescription medications that “a friend gave him” used for “weight loss” or as a masking agent for PEDs. Too risky for a team like the Brewers
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I think there is probably more value in pitching on the free agent market than there is for hitters. For example, for the 18.25 million they would have had to pay Grandal they could likely land two above average starting pitchers like Tanner Roark and Kyle Gibson. Arguably an improved rotation of Woodruff, Gibson, Roark, Davies, Houser/Nelson/Burnes and the SP Depth it would subsequently create is likely greater to the whole than Grandal. The team would also still have money to flesh out their lineup without having added significantly to last year's payroll. Without a true 1B on the roster, they could look to someone like Kendrick or Encarnacion. Because they jettisoned Thames instead of paying him an add'l 6.5 million dollars, I assume the team believes they can find a similar player for cheaper or even a better player for the substantially same amount of money. If Moustakas comes back, they can move Shaw to first and find a right handed platoon player from the bargain bin. I think Pomeranz has a chance to return as well even at a market rate. Having Hader, Pomeranz and Knebel at the back of the bullpen would make late innings tough.
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The best option for the Brewers now: BREWERS GET: C Mejia 3B Potts SP Lauer PADRES GET: LHRP Hader 3B Erceg The Brewers left Erceg unprotected for the Rule 5 draft. San Diego could theoretically acquire him for nothing
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There’s nothing wrong with it as an idea in a vacuum it doesn’t make any sense for a Philadelphia in reality. They could trade free agent to be Caesar Hernandez for a better return, pay no cash and move Segura to 2B.
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It's not that simple, it comes down to how much cash they're eating. Yes obviously if they're eating 12M out of 15M they're going to want a big return, but no one is suggesting that. Baseballtradevalues.com estimates Segura at about -4M in surplus value with his current contract remaining of 14.25 a year for the next 3 years. If they knock that down to 10M a year for a trade partner that's eating about 13.75M, which leaves him about 9.75 in surplus value which is not a blue chip prospect by any means. Says you, and maybe that seems logical in a vacuum. The Phillies aren’t trying to get under the luxury tax/slash payroll nor are they trying to rebuild. Absent those two scenarios historically major league teams don’t give All-Star players away for crap let alone pay said player to compete against them. It just doesn’t happen.
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The thing is, Arcia has, at times, shown elite defensive skills. He has also shown, at times, the ability to be better than average with the bat and he’s still just 25 years old. Teams like the Brewers that don’t have the luxury of pulling the plug on unique talent before knowing if said player will reach their potential. Sort of similar with the Twins punting on an maddeningly inconsistent Gomez only to have him reach his potential with the Brewers. For those reasons I would anticipate they roll with Arcia in 2020 and keep their powder dry for improvements to their pitching staff
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First off, if Segura makes 15 million per season, the Brewers are not going to trade for him. That’s a substantial contract and they can likely get 80% of Segura’s anticipated production for 50% of his cost on the free agent market. Also, conveniently left out, if the Phillies ate cash in a Segura trade they’re going to want real players in return not dog rockets. Roll call on who is going to give up legit prospects to reacquire Segura. I’ll hang up and listen...
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Jose Abreu New Contract, 3-Year $50 Million
Jopal78 replied to RollieTime's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
He accepted their QO so really it’s 32 million for two extra years. Career OPS of .862 and averages 33 homers per year. -
A franchise where the two largest free agent contracts ever handed out were 5yrs/80 million (Cain) and 4yrs/52 million (Garza), I don't see any way they commit nearly twice that amount for a free agent. I see it more likely they will sign two pitcher at 10 million per season than one hitter for 20.
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I'd love to get Duffy too. He would be an excellent backup infielder. Not a platoon with Shaw because Duffy has absolutely no power and if Shaw continues to stink, it makes 3B a huge hole w/o a remedy. Goody would be a decent pickup as a backend of the pen reliever, especially if the 26th man can be a 14th pitcher. Just say no to Cortes. He was badly overmatched in the big leagues last year (5.80 ERA - 5.57 FIP - 28 walks in only 66 IPS - 1.55 WHIP - 2.2 HRs per 9). He needs to prove he is a big lg. pitcher. Maybe if they can get him signed to a minor lg. deal. I'm not sure what you see in Cotton either. Even before the TJ surgery he wasn't much. In 2017: 5.58 ERA/5.68 FIP - 2 HRs per 9 - more hits than IPs - almost 4 walkes per 9.. Now he hasn't pitched for two years and a huge injury history. Maybe take a flyer and sign him to a minor lg. deal with a spring training invite. I don't think a team that has its eyes on contending in 2020 is going to get involved with Rule 5 picks. The aforementioned Duffy made 2.6 million dollars last year, that's why Tampa is getting rid of them. No team is going to claim him and assume his contract. Nick Goody is Ray Black without the options. Cotton hasn't pitched in two years, maybe a team like Detroit can afford to carry a player like that on their major league roster all year, but not a team that wants to win in 2020.
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Edwin Encarnacion. Fits the profile. One year deal for decent but not top money
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To be honest this is probably what it is going to be every year. They have their core: Yelich, Braun, Cain, Hiura, in the field, Woodruff and Hader on the mound and they look to fill in the gaps with players they can get on short term deals or bargain buys, etc.
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I think you can say the same thing for all their free agents from the 2019 season. Grandal, Moustakas, Gio Gonzalez. They got all those players on their terms after waiting them out. I’d expect the same for any free agent they sign this year.
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Anybody pundit who thought he was going to take a pay cut wasn’t paying attention. A guy who says he’s paying it forward for the people behind him isn’t going to take less AAV. Too bad, he was a great player. Stearns probably going for pitching and defense this off season
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Because they're focused on winning 60 games instead of 55? I don't think that deal entices KC either, but they also have literally zero reason to hang onto a guy like Whit, as they're terrible and he's unlikely to be a contributing member of their next competitive team a few years down the line. They should be focused on moving him this offseason. Like all small market teams, I would imagine they rely on ticket revenue. Moving those two players tells their fans there is zero reason to come to the park, unless the return coming back for those players is awesome. My point was, those players Burnes, Lutz and Feliciano would not be considered an awesome return
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Think of the Yelich trade and compare it to this one. The Brewers gave up ,at the time, a consensus top 50 prospect who was MLB ready. Plus three other well regarded minor league players across multiple levels of their system. Without Merrifield and Perez the Royals would be devoid of talent. Lutz and Feliciano might be great players but they’re equally as likely to fizzle out at AAA it’s hard to predict when they are multiple years away. Further, after his 2019 season, Burnes has legitimate questions about him mainly whether he can find consistent success at the major league level. Those players won’t be enough to entice Kansas City into gutting their major league team.
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1B Tyler Austin signs with Yokohama DeNA Baystars
Jopal78 replied to Ron Robinsons Beard's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Baseball has been a ‘thing’ in Japan since even before 1945. Their pro-league pre dates WWII so literally spanning multiple generations. I doubt it has much to do with growing the sport, as opposed to simply Japanese baseball for Japanese people. -
1B Tyler Austin signs with Yokohama DeNA Baystars
Jopal78 replied to Ron Robinsons Beard's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
From what I read each Japanese team can have 4 foreign players on the 25 man roster. 3 position players max or 3 pitchers max. All 4 cannot be pitchers or all 4 cannot be position players. I believe they can also have one Korean or asian player that does not count as one of the 4. I guess I was aware of those rules but never really gave it much thought. Imagine if MLB said 21 of the 25 players on a roster had to be natural born Americans. -
While I hope the Brewers will resign both Moustakas and Grandal, logically I don't think they'll sign either. Last year, they waited out Moustakas last and got him at their price. I don't think they're going to pay market price for him this winter on a multi-year deal. Similarly, they signed Grandal in a unique situation where they didn't tie up long term money. After all, at an AAV for 18 million dollars they could have had Grandal for as many years as they wanted last off season. Since they traded Anderson, and Gonzalez and Lyles are free agents I wouldn't be surprised if the Brewers go for pitching and defense with their free agents signings . I'm sure they can get one of the Hamels, Ryu, Keuchel for the AAV they'd have to pump into a multi-year deal for Grandal. Likewise, they could get one from the group of: Pineda, Roark, Kyle Gibson for the money they'd otherwise commit to Moustakas. Under this scenario they could put forth a rotation of, for example: Woodruff, Ryu, Davies, Pineda and Houser with Burnes and Peralta as depth pieces. They could still resign Pomeranz to give them three killers out of the pen with Pomeranz, Hader and Knebel. Then fill in the gaps with some of the bargain free agents like Todd Frazier, Asdrubal Cabrera, etc. The increase in the quality of the starting pitching likely takes them further than the status quo of their offense from last year.
