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Ron Robinsons Beard

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Everything posted by Ron Robinsons Beard

  1. Mark Feinsand @Feinsand · 14m David Phelps will earn $1.25 million in 2020 with up to $1.9 million in performance bonuses based on appearances, per source. Phelps’ 2021 club option is worth $4.5 million ($250K buyout), also with $1.9 million in performance bonuses based on appearances. That's a steal for this year. Next year would be pricier, but if he pitches the way he did in 2016-2017 (before going down with Tommy John surgery), it might be worth it.
  2. The Brewers have a bunch of "high ceiling, high upside" pen arms available to them, but the majority of those guys also have a very low floor. Phelps is the opposite. He doesn't have a huge arm (91-92), but generally stays out of trouble and does a solid job keeping the ball in the park. He's a solid "bridge" guy to Hader and Knebel, and should be able to keep his ERA in the mid to low 3s. He's a guy that should be able to successfully pick up the innings lost with Junior Guerra leaving town. Obviously we don't know the contract details yet, but it's tough to see any negatives to this deal. Phelps isn't a "needle mover" per se, but he's a guy that can hopefully give you 80 innings, some of which will be high-leverage.
  3. Bobby Wahl is still on the team's Top 30. I expect him to have an important bullpen role. Obviously Devin Williams is looking at potentially a large role. Drew Rasmussen looks primed for a potential MLB jump this year as well. As for position players ... hmm. I want it to be Corey Ray. But logically ... probably Tyrone Taylor.
  4. It certainly increases his value if the Cubs decide to trade him. They should get quite the haul back.
  5. Yeah, Brad Nelson. But his fizzled career may just have been because he simply wasn't very good, though.
  6. Stearns was asked about it. He said that Urias was going to be evaluated by a specialist this week, but didn't want to speculate on a course of action until the results of that evaluation were known. Apparently the evaluation said surgery, and they got it done quick. My question is that Urias first reported the discomfort on Jan 6 I believe. I understand if maybe they thought giving it a rest might alleviate the problem, but it is somewhat disappointing that it took this long to diagnose and treat a broken bone.
  7. This is a bummer for sure, but it doesn't necessarily mean that Arcia is a roster lock, though. Sogard, Gyorko, Rodriguez and Mathias can all play SS.
  8. Well, that's not ideal. Hopefully it will solve the issue, though, so it isn't something that lingers and affects him long-term.
  9. I thought you were going in a different direction with this. I thought he and JJ broke up. I thought you were going to say surprised he didn't laugh at this offer because switching agents clearly didn't help his cause. Actually thought that as I wrote that, but couldn't remember if it happened or I invented it in my head. Tried to Google quickly but it was inconclusive. JJ fired Josh Kusnick last November, and hired Roc Nation (Jay-Z's agency). Kusnick is softly bashing the deal that JJ got today on Twitter. Reading between the lines, it appears that Kusnick had a better offer than this lined up for JJ last fall, and urged him to take it, but JJ got mad and instead fired Kusnick.
  10. That's kinda the point. Every thread lately has devolved into this argument ... heck, even the thread discussing the minor league deal for Shelby Miller. I thought that by creating a seperate thread to discuss a topic that is obviously on a lot of posters' minds, it might keep some of the other threads more on point.
  11. It would make it even more funny if the Brewers ended up signing Pedro Strop now. Like the two teams traded erratic relievers.
  12. Well, that's going to be interesting. That's a really good deal for them if JJ is right. But if he isn't, he won't last long, and the Cubs are not out much. It's actually a really good contract for them. I kinda wish the Brewers would have re-upped with JJ for that.
  13. My opinion is that the Reds need to prove they belong. They've been bad the last 6 years. It seems that with every move the Reds have made, there's been more "certainty" that they will suddenly be the class of the division. I'm sorry, but that's just hard for me to buy. They certainly have the talent to win 90+ games. But having the talent and utilizing it are two different things. The Brewers, however, are coming off two straight playoff appearances. They have a track record to fall back on. That's the major difference between the two in my eyes. The Reds are, in my eyes, where the Brewers were going into 2017/2018. The Brewers were on the verge of the playoffs in 2017, and won 96 games in 2018, but a ton went right for that to happen. A ton is going to have to go right for the Reds to get to those levels as well. They just have no track record to point to and say "this team has the Central wrapped up." Obviously this is a message board, and we're all speculating. But I think there are better, more tactful ways to go about getting some points across. I mean, instead of saying something like "the Reds are trying to improve, while Mark A sits on his piles of cash" say something like "I'm concerned that the Reds have made smart additions to improve their team, while in my opinion the Brewers haven't done enough." It's pretty much the same point, right? But I think I'm done commenting on the Reds. I've made my point.
  14. Personally, my only goal is to make the postseason. I've always believed that all bets are off once that starts. A National League Wild Card team won it all in 2019, and the Brewers were a bad Hader pitch away from knocking them out of it. I don't know if the Brewers (who were still the hottest team in baseball) would have had the firepower to knock off the Dodgers and Cardinals, but I would have loved to see them try. But this is where I am as well. I think the lineup will be good. The pitching is the big question mark. Can Houser establish himself as a legit middle-of-the-rotation starter? Can Lauer live up to his potential as a 1st round pick? Can Lindblom do a Miles Mikolas impression in his return stateside? Can Anderson provide a steadying influence and avoid the IL? Can Burnes and Peralta rebound into solid homegrown starters? Lots of questions, and that is just the rotation.
  15. It seems that every thread over the past couple weeks is devolving into this question. This offseason certainly hasn't gone the way I thought and hoped it would, but there is still plenty of reason for hope. Still, that isn't stopping people from predicting a big downturn for the team this season. So let's lay it out there. Why will this team be a contender? Why won't it be? Have they done enough? Do the projection systems that seem to indicate that they should be a solid team hold water? Note: I'm not interested in seeing people being accused of "drinking the kool-aid" (which is extremely condescending, by the way) if they are optimistic, nor am I interested in seeing people called a Debbie Downer if they aren't (also condescending). I just want people to lay out their reasons why or why not they believe this team will be good in 2020. Because I truly don't know. I see reason for optimism, but there's a lot of rebound hopes too. I think this is a team that could realistically win 95 .... or 75.
  16. I'm not seeing much unbridled optimism. I'm seeing much, much more "wait and see", which seems totally plausible. Divisions are not won or lost in January. I mean, Stearns and company have managed to put contending teams on the field for arguably three seasons in a row. Does that not earn any benefit of the doubt? If we get to early June, and this team is scuffling ... then yeah, by all means, be upset. I personally was hoping that this offseason would have taken a different turn than it has when it comes to player acquisition, but they did what they did for a reason, it is what it is, and I just think that it is worth seeing how things partially play out before writing any 2020 season obituaries or calling for David Stearns' head. I guess that's what bothers me the most ... the people who not only assume, but "know" that the team will be terrible. The truth is, the book on the 2020 season hasn't been written yet. Also, you are posting on BrewerFAN.com. A lot of fans are, in essence, fanatically optimistic. I mean, if someone can predict that they win 65 games, I can predict that they win 95. That doesn't make either of us right. Skepticism is fine and warranted, but so is optimism.
  17. I believe I saw that he was hoping to be ready to go by mid-April. But considering the Brewers seem to be overly cautious, and he will likely need to go out for a rehab assignment, I don't think we'll see him until sometime in May.
  18. How did Grandal and Moose do for the Brewers in 2018, when they won 96 games and made it a few outs from the World Series? Seems to me that the position player group has a lot of similarities to that group. Yeah, a lot went right in 2018. But you know what ... things can go right in 2020 too.
  19. It's a minor league deal. Miller is a guy who has seen success in his career, and was considered one of the best young pitchers in the game not too long ago. He's only 29, his fastball is still good, and there's a chance, however minute, that he's still got some upside. He's the type of guy that minor league contracts were designed for. A total flyer.
  20. Who is trying to fool anyone? If it makes you feel better, I can wear a disclaimer sign around my neck so everyone knows I'm not trying to fool them. I am far past the point of trying to impress anyone with material objects such as baseball jerseys. I simply don't care. I ordered one so that when I do wear it, I don't have to worry about it getting wrecked by some idiot at a game, or myself for that matter. If I get a stain on a $20 jersey, no sweat off my back. If I get a stain on a $300 jersey, that would be a problem for me. Hell, if I was foolish enough to spend $300 on a baseball jersey, I would be scared to wear it. This is spot on, and pretty dang funny to boot Having to spend upwards of $400 on a jersey is a travesty. I don't blame people for buying knockoffs at all. Hell, my 10-year-old wears a pinstriped throwback that I found for him at the local Goodwill. $6.99, and he absolutely loves it. The name on the back? Hardy.
  21. I don't see what this has to do with anything......at all. The Reds have improved, and makes the division that much tougher to win. The Reds are obviously making a last ditch (and frankly, weird) attempt at a 1-year run. This is an organization that has been run poorly the last 20 years. Simply, there are plenty of spots on the Reds bandwagon for those heaping praise on a team that's been a train wreck. A few high dollar signings isn't going to change what they are.
  22. Or, and hear me out here, he was impressed with the organization in his short time last year, and sees them as a team that might help him bounce back to being a solid major league starter. Not every perspective needs to be negative.
  23. That's why the only deal that would make sense would be Senzel as a centerpiece for Hader. That theoretically strengthens a weak point for the Reds in the bullpen, while weakening the Brewers significantly. Hard to see it happening, though.
  24. I don't think he ever was offered one.
  25. 19-year old RHP Brennan Malone is the other piece. 33rd overall pick in last year's draft, and the D-Backs' 9th ranked prospect (and they have a stacked system). Brewers equivalent would probably be Ethan Small/Antoine Kelly and Eduardo Garcia. This is a pretty good haul for the Pirates.
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