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Ron Robinsons Beard

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Everything posted by Ron Robinsons Beard

  1. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Or it tells us they had room on the 40 man roster at this point in time. Nothing stopping them from removing him when a spot is needed. It tells me that they like him enough that they didn't want to risk losing him as a minor league free agent, or if resigned to a minors deal, in the Rule 5 draft. I'm not sure if he would have qualified for free agency or not, but he surely would have been Rule 5 eligible.
  2. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I think this probably has more to do with how you present your information than the information itself. You are basically calling everyone who doesn't agree with your opinion uninformed. That isn't going to play well. That said, I totally get why you are excited about Peralta. His stuff, when on, is electric. But ... it is easy, too, to see after looking at how Burnes and Woodruff performed in September and in the playoffs how many fans can rank Peralta #3 of the "big 3" young pitchers, therefore making him the most expendable in a deal. It's certainly a terrific situation for the Brewers to be in.
  3. Ron Robinsons Beard
    And that's exactly what he did against the Bears when he knew his feet couldn't save him. My opinion: Rodgers is playing like a frustrated QB who wants to see more innovation with the offense. Lately he has been prone to taking lower percentage shots than taking what is available. Part of me thinks that, deep down, Rodgers wants to see McCarthy coach the Browns next year.
  4. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Woodruff started 4 games this year on 19 appearances, he was a reliever at the mlb level most of the year. At what point are you trying to claim he abandoned his changeup as he was shifted to relief? What's far more likely is you are just making stuff up. Just like his fastball having no movement is made up, most of us watch these game...if you try to make stuff up to drive your point home, others will catch it and call you on it. I've seen Woodruff throw plenty of changeups in September and the post season, I've also seen him throw a fastball generally with arm-side movement...as in not straight. The only thing I've noted that wasn't simply made up, is that he had a bit of a bump in fastball velocity out of the bullpen. Fangraphs had him at 94.7 in 2017(when he only started) and 95.8 in 2018 which he was mostly a reliever. You could probably say he's 94-96 as a starter and 95-98 as a reliever. Those couple ticks matter, but his ability to locate was far more important though than that extra 1-2 ticks. I don't understand why it just can't be accepted that some posters like Woodruff more than they like Peralta. I'm one of them. I really like Peralta, but I think he has more flame-out potential, mostly because he is small. Woodruff, on the other hand, is pretty much the body type you see when you look up "workhorse starting pitcher" in the encyclopedia. Now, that doesn't mean that he will make it and Freddy won't. All it means is that I personally like Woodruff's upside better, and if they were going to trade one, I'd prefer it be Peralta.
  5. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Gotta give up value to get it back. Peralta has a lot of value.
  6. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Soria makes big bucks because he has a ton of closer experience and gets saves. That's the way salaries typically work in MLB. The guys that ring up the stats get the money. Which means the guys who prove to be the best middle relievers aren't typically middle relievers for long before they are moved to the closer's role. Is that an antiquated mindset? maybe. But it is what it is. These guys care about team success, but they also care about personal stats. A piggybacking starter isn't going to rack up the wins and innings they will typically need to garner big money in both arbitration and free agency.
  7. Ron Robinsons Beard
    It is 100% rumor and speculation. There has been nothing confirmed, and there likely never will be.
  8. Ron Robinsons Beard
    But then you have the issue of statistics suffering for these guys, and when salaries (both arbitration and free agent contracts) are largely driven by statistics, I foresee if being extremely difficult getting those guys to buy in. You didn't hear much harping out of the team last year because the plan was being utilized in the middle of a playoff push, and it was effective, but if you try to utilize it over the course of a season, I fear that it just isn't going to be sustainable long-term, until the majority of other teams, and MLB as a whole, buy in and revamp the arbitration salary structure and how they value free agent hurlers. Is that possible? Maybe ... but given how long it takes MLB to evolve even a little bit, it is likely going to take multiple years, if not decades.
  9. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I wouldn't give up hope. It will depend on how the Marlins value these prospects, not how arbitrary 3rd party prospect rankers value them. Plus, we really have no idea how much value the Braves, or the Brewers, place on Realmuto. The Brewers definitely have the ammunition to get a deal done if they want to, and they determine that Realmuto is worth the cost. One thing the Brewers offer that the Braves do not is a set of upper-end prospects that are closer to Major League ready.
  10. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Lol, what team has the horses to go 7 regularly? Even the big markets are lucky if they have 1. And are said horses putting up .500 to low .600 OPS against in those 5th, 6th, 7th innings? If the Brewers ever get ONE of those guys they won't be able to keep him. By limiting pitchers to 2 trips through there's a huge statistical advantage to be had. Woodruff's OPS against goes from .582 to .889 the 2ND time through. Can you imagine a team where the worst pitcher's OPS against is in the 600s? And it's cost effective for small markets as well. You can call it nonsense all you want but it's coming so you may as well get used to it. And honestly looking at the data, the Brewers would be committing an egregious error not to go this route. Much rather to be ahead of this trend than behind. It is a trend and the team saw success utilizing it in September and the playoffs. It is not a bad thing to have it in their back pocket come roster expansion time. I just can't see it being sustainable for a full regular season schedule without wearing the heck out of the pen.
  11. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Not saying he would be a bad choice, however isn’t he extremely old school ? Does he fit what our GM is looking for with his analects based coaching concepts? Huh? The Cubs got nothing out of Darvish and Chatwood, lost their closer for the last 2 1/2 months, and still had the 2nd best ERA in the NL and won 95 games despite their offense scoring 0 or 1 run in more games than any team in the NL. Pitching is pitching. Yep. I personally think all this "piggybacking" and "initial out-getter" stuff is complete and utter nonsense. This isn't a Rookie League team. If the Brewers had the horses to go 7 regularly, they would have been going 7 regularly. They didn't, and I give them credit for adjusting. But now it is looking like we may just have some horses coming up the pipeline, so maybe a little "old school" is exactly what they need.
  12. Ron Robinsons Beard
    This is pretty clearly not true. My post was in regards to the Gerardo Parra comment... D'oh ... context bites me again! I agree on Parra. He's a useful reserve outfielder at this point, but is coming off a pretty blah year. Also, he's exactly the type of player Counsell would play too often.
  13. Ron Robinsons Beard
    This is pretty clearly not true. I think Brantley actually fits very well into what they team needs, which is another top-of-the-order bat who is going to get on base, move runners over, not strike out a ton, and not go into extended slumps. My reservation would be that he would probably need to play LF, which moves Yelich out of his best position and lowers the overall defensive value. But plugging a healthy Michael Brantley into the #2 or #3 hole in that lineup would be a good thing overall.
  14. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I think it would be safe to say that he looked far better as a reliever, though, than he did at any point in his last year in the Brewers' rotation.
  15. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Are you applying any sort of precedent or critical thinking to your trade offer? That should be in blue because the answer is obvious... Peralta/Woodruff has equal or more value to the entire Lucroy return. And i've explained how Lucroy is probably the closest comparison we have to work from. Nottingham and the MLB piece would have significant value. Thames probably wouldn't be the guy, it would probably be one of the other 3 or maybe a young bullpen piece like Williams/Houser...largely dependent on what the Marlins want. Sometimes teams get desperate and overpay. Look no further than pretty much any significant trade the cubs have made over the last 3-4 years. If that happens, we lose and move on. I think if this offer doesn't get Realmuto, it's in the top 2 or 3 offers and would only lose because someone really blows the Marlins away with an offer. I think you are spot on. Proven, affordable MLB talent should theoretically be worth more than potential talent such as Harrison, Diaz and Yamamoto. If the Marlins got a package of Peralta, Nottingham, and Davies or Santana for Realmuto, that would be a lot of young value.
  16. Ron Robinsons Beard
    The majority of offers have included Hiura, Peralta, and Nottingham...along with a 4th piece of varying value. So he's not the centerpiece in the majority of offers. There's been a few offering that kind of package, but those have mostly been met by replies saying its way too much. I think if it happens, it would be Hiura or Peralta, not both. I think both those guys likely have more value right now than anyone in the Yelich package.
  17. Ron Robinsons Beard
    That's specifically what I'm referring to. Given his age and dominance, he should be looked at as the least expendable of the 3. If people are going to be creating all these hypothetical trades, you'd think they have Woodruff in there as the headlining arm. I've been around sports forums long enough to know that if people realized what the Brewers had in Peralta he'd be on most people's untouchables list. Instead just about every trade proposal has him name in it. It's astonishing. Personally, given the multiple inning arms needed to build the type of 12-man staff I know is coming, I don't think they should or would trade any of those 3. But if they think they have enough coverage, I believe Woodruff would be the one they'd move. That would make sense from a recency point of view, as Woodruff's dominant showings in September and the playoffs are fresh on other GM's minds. But ... those dominant showings are also exciting for Brewer fans. Peralta also looked great in his playoff experience, but it was much more abbreviated than Woodruff's. Most fans are going to point to Freddy's up-and-down regular season results. There were games where he looked like he had TOR potential, and others where he had trouble locating, which is completely understandable for a 22-year-old rookie. I don't see how it's astonishing that he's being discussed in potential deals. I wish you would lay out why you believe Peralta is a future TOR guy and an untouchable, because right now it appears that you are talking down to those posters who don't quite see it that way.
  18. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Peralta throws strikes. Using Pitch Info data from Fangraphs, had he qualified for the ERA title, he would have been 16th amongst MLB starters in Zone% (percentage of pitches thrown in strike zone). His Zone% was 50.8%; MLB starter average was 48.1%. There might be a question about quality strikes or that he relies so heavily on one pitch, but he fills the zone pretty well. Peralta is 2 years younger than Burnes, 3 years younger than Woodruff, while posting more dominant numbers than both in the majors yet people continue to add him in trades like he's a throwaway piece. It's mind-blowing. Thankfully he's going nowhere. No one is treating Peralta like a throwaway piece. He's the headliner in a potential trade for possibly the best catcher in baseball. Personally, I don't think he's going anywhere, but of Burnes, Woodruff or Peralta, I think most would say that Peralta is the most expendable in a potential deal.
  19. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Yep ... I could see Peralta with Nottingham or Henry and then someone like Turang. I am by no means advocating that the Brewers empty out the upper minors in this deal, but I think many of us are underestimating the value some of our lower minors guys have.
  20. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I've been strongly against some of these offers, but I guess it's sorta fair to say maybe that's what it takes to get him... but then if it does we should run far far away. This team is a World Series contender for the next 3-4 years max. Some of those prospects may be contributors, but many won't. Can't hug 'em when a significant upgrade is on the table.
  21. Ron Robinsons Beard
    It makes sense regardless. He's a terrific bounce-back candidate. I have no doubt that whoever is chosen as the new pitching coach will follow many of the same principles as the previous one.
  22. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Or Jermaine Whitehead actually being a valuable player, and not the worthless scrub that he actually is.
  23. Ron Robinsons Beard
    You can say this about just about any team, but they have a 39-year-old QB at the controls, and they are one injury to him away from being a .500 or below team. Bridgewater is junk, and Taysom Hill has a ton of talent, but you wouldn't be able to count on him as your starter just yet. With Brees, they are a Top 5 team. Without him, they are mediocre ... but they do have more talent than the Packers.
  24. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I understand the intrigue with Mazieka, clancy, but you are comparing apples and ... well ... giraffes now. You are comparing a Top 5 MLB catcher to a guy that hasn't played an inning above AA. I mean it is fun to speculate on a guy, but you don't have to beat his name into the ground in nearly every post.
  25. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I imagine Suter's roster spot is precarious at best. Really too bad he got hurt, because his profile is a good fit for a role either as a short starter or as a multi-inning bullpen arm. I hope he makes it back.
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