@markedman5 had the list above, and it is equally stunning and troubling. The 2nd most pitches were by deGrom, who has 50. Miz has 18 already, good for 7th all-time. At this pace, he’ll be halfway to 2nd after his next start, meaning the rate at which he is going is practically unprecedented. We’d all be thrilled with a deGrom outcome, obviously, but he tore his UCL during his first year in the minors, came back and was a stud for the next decade, and then needed another Tommy John in 2023. That feels like the absolute ceiling for Miz, but that elbow has to be the world’s most high-stakes game of Jack-in-the-box at this point.
Considering the Brewers don’t offer stud pitchers second contracts under normal circumstances (Peralta and Ashby got deals before they really showed their true form, Woody got a make-good deal after injury), plus the real possibility of finishing ROY taking away a year of team control, and it just seems like the value clock is racing almost as fast as he climbs that chart of most pitches over 101.
To be clear, I hate having to think like this. I wish we could play the game like the Dodgers, using the IL to stash injured superstar arms left and right while we bide time to get them back for another pennant run, but we can’t operate that way. The team needs to maximize value, and I suspect the most likely way to do that is to trade him before injury and while he has the most number of cost-controlled years. I’m equally convinced that that will never happen in a million years, so I’m left with just hoping he beats the odds. I’m over the moon at how he’s started, after all that’s said and done. He will struggle at some point, of course, but he could be as good as it gets, and having him wear the Brewers uniform for several years is still a dream come true.