I'm cool with not trading draft capital at this point. Goodness knows we're going to need it going forward, because our cap situation between 69 and 12 is hot garbage.
So, then, looking for a way forward this year, since punting on a season with this much invested in it should be unpalatable to all, it seems to me that 7-2 is the minimum required stretch run. That can be accomplished by following a simple rule: if it is a division game or a home game, better heck'n win, some way, some how. That means, in order:
W @ DET (have to have it to stop the bleeding)
W vs. DAL (Rodgers cannot and will not lose to MM)
W vs. TEN (I'd be ok dropping this one if we beat Miami later, but see below...)
L @ PHI (yeah, no)
W @ CHI (no time to let our younger brother of the division win one)
BYE
W v. LAR (MLF has to continue recent dominance of the Rams)
L @ MIA (...we never win in Florida)
W vs. MIN (we ain't winning the division, but have to have a season split here)
W vs. DET (if we're still in contention by this point, this had better be a lock)
Tiebreakers will be critical, so minimizing conference losses is a key to the above scenario. There is no way we are going to be in Philly's orbit so we don't need to have a head to head win there, but we probably need every other conference win on the schedule. As such, the Miami loss, while painful because any loss hurts our chances, is not an absolute killer.
But, I have eyes just like anyone else here, and I know everything has been cheeks so far, so under what circumstances is a turnaround even feasible? First, it all starts up front. Our run blocking has been serviceable recently (especially with most defenses taking a run funnel approach this year), but pass pro has been a critical failing on several fronts. Most worryingly, this has continued despite getting weak-link Newman out of the lineup. Simply put, if the Packers have a prayer of going anywhere, that has to get right, and it has to happen fast. Maybe they beat Detroit performing like this, but then Parsons is in town--time is short, and Stenavich and Butkus need to earn their money now. Hopefully Jenkins is back in at guard this week (his injury is from getting stepped on, it seems, nothing more serious).
Second, Barry needs to find whatever chemistry and answers he can to prevent a mutiny on defense. The rumblings are getting louder, and if he completely loses the players, we're hosed. This brain trust is as conservative as they come as far as in-season staffing changes, so until the offseason (hello, Vic Fangio?), Barry is the guy.
Third, the offense stops pretending it is what it wants to be, and starts acting like what it is. This sort of happened in Buffalo, but two turnovers on downs short-circuited promising drives that they could ill-afford against a superior opponent on the road. In theory, the margin for error is slightly more forgiving in Detroit this week. But everyone needs to keep looking in the mirror. LaFleur needs to ensure Aaron Jones remains an integral part of this offense, Rodgers needs to keep trusting the rookies to develop, and everybody needs to perform better in critical short-yardage situations. Going for it on 4th in your opponent's territory is the correct call, but between the tackle run calls? We can do better; the team has the talent under center and the creativity in the playbook to progress to the mean on that. And a few more over the middle throws from 12, especially on play-action passes with the QB's back to the defense, should do wonders. Other teams are making do this way with less talent than we have.
Finally, assuming the above happens and we're 7-6 going into the bye, it would be time for a talent infusion. Assuming one (or both!) of Fuller or OBJ is still waiting by the phone, that should probably get done. An extra player that must be accounted for (or even double-teamed?!) would do wonders down the stretch.
In summary, and in descending order of my confidence they will happen:
Offensive line improves in pass pro
Offense continues upward trajectory
Barry holds it together
Gute brings in Fuller and/or OBJ for the stretch
That's all I got. Personally, I give us one chance in three.