brewerfan82
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Everything posted by brewerfan82
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Castro, Kwan, and Suarez all off to abysmal post-trade deadline starts... (live link, nice call @SRB!)
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I don't think there's an easy way for me to do that, but I'm planning to check it once a week or so and happy to paste updates! Since August 1st:
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Created a custom report in FanGraphs that includes a bunch of players that got traded, players the forum brought up as trade targets, and current Brewers whose playing time would have likely been affected by acquisitions. Super small sample, but so far so good. Since August 1st:
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Lockridge now has a .429 OBP as the Brewers' leadoff hitter 😉 -
Lol. And after that scoreless inning (lowering McGee's ERA to 3.60), Koenig now has the Crew's worst ERA at 3.68... amazing.
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Love what these guys are doing tonight, but just took a peak at the ERAs of the guys the Nationals are throwing out there and oof! The WORST ERA on the Brewers' active roster is 4.00 (and that's in a 9 IP sample), lol
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This game is a great confidence builder for a few guys on this roster that we need to step up the rest of the year. Keep it rolling boys!
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It'd be nice for Quintana to eat up some innings with the big lead, but it's also a nice opportunity to get some guys like Koenig/Mears/McGee who have been a little iffy recently some innings to work through some stuff as well if Jose can't stretch out past the 5th.
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I'll give Lockridge's .400+ OBP (and 14%+ BB%) in his last 501 AAA PA's a little credit towards a possibility that he may have an eye at the plate and might have the ability to get on base at an okay-ish rate at the big league level still despite a pretty horrid 100-ish PA start to his MLB career. Not betting on a huge role from him moving forward, but a few pre-arby years of nice depth from the guy would be great!
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It's fine being disappointed, I think everyone's disappointed on some level. It's when you repeat it over and over and over again that it starts feeling like you're having a meltdown over it even if that's not the case. Regardless, we still have a very good team and it'll be fun watching the rest of the season unfold. We didn't "win the offseason" either and have been pretty okay despite some complaints about that at the time as well ;) Let's go Crew!
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So we're about to have an inevitable collapse because other teams added fringe players and bullpen arms and we didn't? I would love to get another infielder here in the last 20 minutes, but man, nothing that happened today was Earth shattering enough to get up in arms over, lol.
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I always wonder if people would feel better if the Brewers waited to the deadline to make all their deals. If Vaughn was doing what he's been doing with the White Sox instead and Priester was doing what he's doing with the Red Sox, would everyone be happier just because we picked up Vaughn, Priester, and Jansen today instead of being proactive with moves, even though we'd probably be 5 games back and would have to pay more for those players by waiting until today?
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Very very good March-May, bad June, good enough July:
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The Return Timeline For Rhys Hoskins Has Been Pushed Back
brewerfan82 replied to Jason Wang's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
From a pure offensive standpoint (because he obviously doesn't do anything to fix the black hole at SS that's been Ortiz this year) I think people are underselling the potential impact of Hoskins returning... His year this year was pretty competitive with a lot of the names people have been throwing around this week. If Vaughn can do what he's been doing, there's hope that Hoskins can come back and provide some above average offense for a month or two (and possibly some insurance if/when Vaughn falls back to Earth).
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Unfortunately, I think this is why he's a perfect fit for someone like the Yankees and not so perfect for the Brewers. $16M is a lot to commit to a 100-ish wRC+ guy next year who was injured the first half of the year, came back for two weeks, and is currently back on the IL again. I'd love to add him, just think it's going to take some tinkering with the money to get it done.
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I like the fit on the field, just a little concerned with that salary eating up space for next year. It might be a bit risky for a guy on the wrong side of 30 coming off injuries. That said, maybe additional pieces and money are sent one way or another to make it make sense.
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Don't forget Yelich to 1st, Vaughn to catcher, and Siegler to DH!
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I mean the guy does have a .881 OPS, including an OBP over .400, 7 bombs, and 20 stolen bases, in 267 AAA plate appearances this year. His first 25 big league at bats may be a little quick to be baffled by his appearance in the lineup. Could prove to be a valuable piece still 😉
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And once they add Suarez, it'll look like this 😉: Kwan LF Chourio CF Yelich DH Suarez 3B Vaughn/Hoskins 1B Contreras/Jansen C Frelick RF Turang SS Durbin/Collins 2B
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Teams like the Cubs can spend prospect capital because they know they can just replace any potential loss from a trade by spending in free agency. It's just not the same risk for bigger market teams as it is for the Brewers. That said, I understand the sentiment, and given our deep farm and the fact we're just about to enter August with the best record in baseball, if we're ever going to stretch our resources, this seems like a good year to do so. Should/might/could/may be an interesting next couple days!
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Kwan makes a lot more sense if... Collins, Perkins, or Frelick are being dangled in another trade (or I 'spose in return for Kwan, but that's not as fun 😉).
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I'm not sure this is a given. Picking up Suarez (143 wRC+, 3.1 WAR) bumps down playing time on guys like Durbin (105 wRC+), Ortiz (61), or Monasterio (59), while picking up Kwan (115 wRC+, 2.7 WAR) bumps down playing time on guys like Collins (128 wRC+), Perkins (83), Frelick (119), Yelich (119), Hoskins (115), or Vaughn (78 overall, 208 with Brewers). Even if you think this year is an outlier, going the couple seasons prior Kwan and Suarez' production is pretty similar, but it's the guys you're replacing on the roster that makes Suarez a better fit to improve the roster overall. 2025: 2023-24:
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Replace Haase. Sit Contreas more. Right handed bench power. DH platoon partner in case Hoskins misses more time.
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2025 Overall: 2025 vs. LHP: Last 30 days: By no means is this an earth shattering acquisition, but he should strengthen the position.
