brewerfan82
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Everything posted by brewerfan82
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Manfred proposes two Expansion Teams and Re-alignment
brewerfan82 replied to jay87shot's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I don't believe deferring the money is dodging any luxury tax. Like you said, agents aren't stupid, the overall guarantee of the contract to the player is the same if you heavily defer a $680M contract vs paying a traditional $460M contract without deferrals (ie. it's not like the player had an option of $680M without deferrals and is just allowing the Dodgers to defer it). That's why the luxury tax hit is $46M either way, based on present-value calculations. -
What could Freddy Peralta fetch in a trade?
brewerfan82 replied to jonescm128's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Just curious where you heard this? It seems like a lot for the O's to give up, so I'm surprised to hear they think that would be fair. It'd be interesting to see the conversation around it if it came from a fan forum or something. Mountcastle also seems like a redundant piece with Vaughn already on board (both RH, 97 vs 98 wRC+ the past two years, 28 vs 27 yo) and at $7M basically negates saving anything on Freddy's salary. So he only makes sense if including him allows the rest of the package to be better than without him. -
If a team extends the player after the trade, any additional value the player gains by having more team control is cancelled out by the fact that you are extending them at current market value. His value comes from the fact that he is expected to outperform his $8M contract. If they tack on another 5-7 yrs at $125-175M (or 2-3 years for $50-75M, whatever it ends up being), they could just go get a FA for the same price without giving up any prospects. Long story short, it absolutely matters that he only has 1 year remaining on his team friendly contract.
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You haven't been following this team very long I guess
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2025-26 Offseason Around the League Thread
brewerfan82 replied to sveumrules's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I agree, I miss it, but I think it's just so easy to communicate other ways now that you're just not going to see a huge increase in activity just because everyone's physically in the same location. -
Let's hope Joey's okay, he's been great since the deadline! (link)
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He's already there and doing very well! 🙂
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Castro, Kwan, and Suarez all off to abysmal post-trade deadline starts... (live link, nice call @SRB!)
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I don't think there's an easy way for me to do that, but I'm planning to check it once a week or so and happy to paste updates! Since August 1st:
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Created a custom report in FanGraphs that includes a bunch of players that got traded, players the forum brought up as trade targets, and current Brewers whose playing time would have likely been affected by acquisitions. Super small sample, but so far so good. Since August 1st:
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Lockridge now has a .429 OBP as the Brewers' leadoff hitter 😉
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Lol. And after that scoreless inning (lowering McGee's ERA to 3.60), Koenig now has the Crew's worst ERA at 3.68... amazing.
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Love what these guys are doing tonight, but just took a peak at the ERAs of the guys the Nationals are throwing out there and oof! The WORST ERA on the Brewers' active roster is 4.00 (and that's in a 9 IP sample), lol
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This game is a great confidence builder for a few guys on this roster that we need to step up the rest of the year. Keep it rolling boys!
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It'd be nice for Quintana to eat up some innings with the big lead, but it's also a nice opportunity to get some guys like Koenig/Mears/McGee who have been a little iffy recently some innings to work through some stuff as well if Jose can't stretch out past the 5th.
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I'll give Lockridge's .400+ OBP (and 14%+ BB%) in his last 501 AAA PA's a little credit towards a possibility that he may have an eye at the plate and might have the ability to get on base at an okay-ish rate at the big league level still despite a pretty horrid 100-ish PA start to his MLB career. Not betting on a huge role from him moving forward, but a few pre-arby years of nice depth from the guy would be great!
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It's fine being disappointed, I think everyone's disappointed on some level. It's when you repeat it over and over and over again that it starts feeling like you're having a meltdown over it even if that's not the case. Regardless, we still have a very good team and it'll be fun watching the rest of the season unfold. We didn't "win the offseason" either and have been pretty okay despite some complaints about that at the time as well ;) Let's go Crew!
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So we're about to have an inevitable collapse because other teams added fringe players and bullpen arms and we didn't? I would love to get another infielder here in the last 20 minutes, but man, nothing that happened today was Earth shattering enough to get up in arms over, lol.
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I always wonder if people would feel better if the Brewers waited to the deadline to make all their deals. If Vaughn was doing what he's been doing with the White Sox instead and Priester was doing what he's doing with the Red Sox, would everyone be happier just because we picked up Vaughn, Priester, and Jansen today instead of being proactive with moves, even though we'd probably be 5 games back and would have to pay more for those players by waiting until today?
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Very very good March-May, bad June, good enough July:
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The Return Timeline For Rhys Hoskins Has Been Pushed Back
brewerfan82 replied to Jason Wang's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
From a pure offensive standpoint (because he obviously doesn't do anything to fix the black hole at SS that's been Ortiz this year) I think people are underselling the potential impact of Hoskins returning... His year this year was pretty competitive with a lot of the names people have been throwing around this week. If Vaughn can do what he's been doing, there's hope that Hoskins can come back and provide some above average offense for a month or two (and possibly some insurance if/when Vaughn falls back to Earth).
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Unfortunately, I think this is why he's a perfect fit for someone like the Yankees and not so perfect for the Brewers. $16M is a lot to commit to a 100-ish wRC+ guy next year who was injured the first half of the year, came back for two weeks, and is currently back on the IL again. I'd love to add him, just think it's going to take some tinkering with the money to get it done.
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I like the fit on the field, just a little concerned with that salary eating up space for next year. It might be a bit risky for a guy on the wrong side of 30 coming off injuries. That said, maybe additional pieces and money are sent one way or another to make it make sense.
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Don't forget Yelich to 1st, Vaughn to catcher, and Siegler to DH!
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I mean the guy does have a .881 OPS, including an OBP over .400, 7 bombs, and 20 stolen bases, in 267 AAA plate appearances this year. His first 25 big league at bats may be a little quick to be baffled by his appearance in the lineup. Could prove to be a valuable piece still 😉
