brewerfan82
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Everything posted by brewerfan82
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And once they add Suarez, it'll look like this 😉: Kwan LF Chourio CF Yelich DH Suarez 3B Vaughn/Hoskins 1B Contreras/Jansen C Frelick RF Turang SS Durbin/Collins 2B -
Teams like the Cubs can spend prospect capital because they know they can just replace any potential loss from a trade by spending in free agency. It's just not the same risk for bigger market teams as it is for the Brewers. That said, I understand the sentiment, and given our deep farm and the fact we're just about to enter August with the best record in baseball, if we're ever going to stretch our resources, this seems like a good year to do so. Should/might/could/may be an interesting next couple days!
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Kwan makes a lot more sense if... Collins, Perkins, or Frelick are being dangled in another trade (or I 'spose in return for Kwan, but that's not as fun 😉).
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I'm not sure this is a given. Picking up Suarez (143 wRC+, 3.1 WAR) bumps down playing time on guys like Durbin (105 wRC+), Ortiz (61), or Monasterio (59), while picking up Kwan (115 wRC+, 2.7 WAR) bumps down playing time on guys like Collins (128 wRC+), Perkins (83), Frelick (119), Yelich (119), Hoskins (115), or Vaughn (78 overall, 208 with Brewers). Even if you think this year is an outlier, going the couple seasons prior Kwan and Suarez' production is pretty similar, but it's the guys you're replacing on the roster that makes Suarez a better fit to improve the roster overall. 2025: 2023-24:
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Replace Haase. Sit Contreas more. Right handed bench power. DH platoon partner in case Hoskins misses more time.
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2025 Overall: 2025 vs. LHP: Last 30 days: By no means is this an earth shattering acquisition, but he should strengthen the position.
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So is Naylor! Go get these guys, drop them into the heart of the lineup, play the matchups, and LET'S GO!!! 🥳🏆
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Brewers voodoo is real!
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Chalk it up to a slow start! Since May 18th (over two months now): Team Offense 115 wRC+ (3rd in MLB behind SEA and CHC, each with 116) .267 AVG (3rd in MLB, 1st in NL) .340 OBP (2nd in MLB, 1st in NL) 274 R (2nd in MLB, 1st in NL) 55 SB (2nd in MLB, 1st in NL) Team Pitching 3.20 ERA (1st in MLB, 1st in NL) 1.17 WHIP (3rd in MLB, 3rd in NL) 79 ERA- (1st in MLB, 1st in NL) 3.64 xFIP (4th in MLB, 3rd in NL)
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To take this sentiment one step further, this is nearly his best season as far as going deep into games goes. Career as a SP:
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I'm curious on this as well. Maybe power rankings just aren't what you're looking for as the idea of them is that they do take into consideration opinions beyond team records and statistics, such as injuries, breakout prospects, team momentum, players they expect to play better the rest of the season, etc. I'm sure there is some big market bias that comes along with that, but is that being demonstrated currently with the rankings you've seen? Is there a big market team with a worse record ranked higher than the Brewers? And if not, who do you think we should be ranked ahead of and why? All that said, if you want more statistically driven rankings, there are some fun options over at FanGraphs Playoff Odds page: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds/fg/mlb Their default "FanGraphs" projection mode I think is based on ZiPS projections, but you can switch to have projections based on other projection modes like Season-to-Date stats as well. That said, the reason power rankings can be fun is if a writer believes the Brewers just brought up their own "Paul Skenes" with Jacob Misiorowski, you might see them jump up in the their power rankings to reflect that, whereas stat-based rankings aren't going to jump on that band wagon as quickly.
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I thought your feed was ahead of mine and was waiting for the three run homer from Naylor, lol
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Brewers trade for RHP Quinn Priester
brewerfan82 replied to Ron Robinsons Beard's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I started poking around at this using FanGraph's Transaction Tracker (https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/transaction-tracker?transactiontype=trade&season=2023) and think I found a decent comp: Ryan Weathers (MIA - SP) Acquired from Padres for 1B Garrett Cooper and RP Sean Reynolds 23 years old at time of trade (vs. 24 for Priester) Drafted 7th overall in the 2018 Amateur Draft (vs. 18th pick overall in 2019 draft) Major League stats at time of trade: 143 IP (vs. 99.2 for Priester), 5.73 ERA (vs. 6.23), 1.49 WHIP (vs. 1.55), 70 ERA+ (vs. 71), 5.53 FIP (vs. 5.72), 10.2 H/9 (vs. 10.3), 1.8 HR/9 (vs. 1.7), 3.2 BB/9 (vs. 3.7), 6.5 SO/9 (vs. 6.2), -1.0 WAR (vs. -1.0) So Priester's a little older, was picked a little later in the draft, and has performed a little worse, but it's in the realm of similar ;) Since his trade, Ryan Weathers had a rough 13 inning start with Miami (7.62 ERA), but really took a step forward last year putting up a 3.63 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 126 ERA+, 4.11 FIP, and 2.1 WAR in 86.2 IP . --- Edited: To take this one step further and compare their minor league careers... Overall Minors: Weathers (age 18-24): 337.2 IP, 4.69 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 4.67 xFIP, 8.34 K/9, 3.31 BB/9, 1.33 HR/9 Priester (age 18-24): 408.2 IP, 3.61 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 3.89 xFIP, 9.43 K/9, 3.28 BB/9, 0.59 HR/9 -
Spring Training Games, week of 3/16-3/22
brewerfan82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
The camera angle for the A's broadcast is absolutely brutal with some combination of the umpire, shortstop, and baserunner all blocking the strike zone at different times.
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He started 16 games last year (albeit only averaging 4.1 IP) with pretty good results:
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Even if you don't think he's a highly regarded prospect, it's hard to argue that he hasn't statistically been one of the best pitchers in the minors for two years. That said, two years isn't a long time. So yes, it is possible for him to both not be in those top 25 lists, while at the same time have performed as one of the best pitchers in the minors for two years. I don't know if the Brewers made a mistake or not with him yet, but there are reasons why he's not ranked higher and the Brewers didn't protect him (short sustained success and limited room in a stacked, competitive Brewers' system) and also reasons the White Sox took him with the first pick in the Rule 5 Draft (he literally has been one of the best pitchers in the minors for two years now and their team is in a position to absorb him at the major league level). Any additional arguing about him "being one of the best pitchers in the minors" feels more like semantics at this point ("has been statistically" vs. "is").
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Spring Training Games, Week of 3/9 - 3/15
brewerfan82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Add Joey to that list!
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Spring Training Games, Week of 3/9 - 3/15
brewerfan82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
By the looks of those OPS's, I think our top five are ready for the season to start 👀
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Wow, nice deal for the Padres
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I think at this point we go with what we have and make a move later if needed. The only other free agent I think could be helpful/stabilizing is Whit Merrifield, but I'm not even sure he's better than our internal options anyways.
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A big move would have been exciting, but I think this team is in a solid starting position as-is. Waiting out the offseason to add Quintana, Canha, and Margot for depth and Spring Training insurance—all for under $7M—helps round out the roster nicely. We could still grab Iglesias on a discount, or I wouldn’t mind adding another utility player who can cover 3B if needed (I’ve mentioned Merrifield on a Canha/Margot-type deal). But with a good position battle already brewing between Durbin, Dunn, Capra, and Monasterio, we have solid internal options. Plus, by holding onto our prospects now, we’ll have more flexibility for moves later in the season if needed.
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I'm going with Nyjer Morgan.
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Under the Radar (3B, 2B, SS) Targets
brewerfan82 replied to BraunWeeksFielder's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
With all the talk the past couple days about McMahon, there are a couple free agents still out there that can be had without having to trade away anyone. The obvious one is Jose Iglesias, but I wouldn't be opposed to taking a flyer on Whit Merrifield for a year at the right price as well. He has pretty even splits while putting in 54 games at 2B, 25 games in LF, and 13 games at 3B last year, so he would add some flexibility and ability to mix and match. 2022-24 vs. RHP: 2022-24 vs. LHP: Iglesias (35) and Merrifield (36) have a few more years on them than McMahon (30), but they're likely available on one year deals for less than McMahon (especially Merrifield) as well, which may be preferable while we see which of our younger players develop. Overall, I think I'd see what happens with Iglesias before making a deal for McMahon, and then if there's not a deal that makes sense with him, throw a similar offer out to Merrifield as we did with Canha/Margot in case none of the guys currently on the roster are able to secure a spot.
