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brewerfan82

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Everything posted by brewerfan82

  1. brewerfan82
    All year: If the Brewers don't trade Burnes it's an embarrassment Brewers trade Burnes for a fair return: This is all they're getting?? lol, I think a lot of people had unrealistic expectations on a possible Burnes return. We'll see how this goes, I'm just surprised they decided to do it so late in the offseason right after plugging their biggest hole on the roster. Let's see what happens next! Adames trade? Free agent pitcher signing? Nothing?
  2. brewerfan82
    Solano + Ryu would make me feel very comfortable heading into the season. With Ryu the rotation would feel a lot more stable. 2021-23: And Solano could mix and match in the 1B/2B/3B/DH slots nicely. 2021-23 vs. RHP: 2021-23 vs LHP: Throw Black into the mix as well and I think we can find a combination of guys that fill out the infield nicely.
  3. brewerfan82
    One name that popped out at me while compiling that list that I hadn't considered was Donovan Solano. He played primarily 1B with the Twins last season (85 G, 64 GS), but also put in some time at 2B (28 G, 10 GS) and 3B (19 G, 13 GS). I hadn't realized how consistent he's been on offense the past 5 seasons, putting up good OBP (.360, .365, .344, .339, and .369) and wRC+ (116, 125, 105, 100, and 116) numbers each year while also not having huge lefty/righty splits (a bit better against lefties from 2019-2022, and a little better against righties last year). He could be an interesting piece to the puzzle for the right price.
  4. brewerfan82
    As January nears an end, here's where Free Agency stands in regards to remaining players available grouped by projected fWAR (according to https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/free-agent-tracker?&sign=unsigned): 2.0+ proj. fWAR - 5 of 21 remain unsigned (incl. Snell, Montgomery, Chapman, Bellinger, and Rosario) 1.5-1.9 proj. fWAR - 4 of 13 remain unsigned (incl. Soler, Ryu, Kershaw, and Anderson) 1.0-1.4 proj. fWAR - 9 of 18 remain unsigned (incl. Clevinger, Lorenzen, German, Junis, Greinke, Urshela, Pham, Taylor, and Segura) 0.5-0.9 proj. fWAR - 30 of 53 remain unsigned (incl. Merrifield, Santana, Hill, Longoria, Solano, Syndergaard, Profar, Donaldson, Odorizzi, JD Martinez, and others) It'll be interesting to see where they all land!
  5. brewerfan82
    Both FG and MLBTR have him predicted for a 2 yr / $18M contract. I think he's maybe too close to what's expected from Turang at this point for it to be worth it. Brice Turang: Amed Rosario: That said, he did have a couple nice back-to-back years in 2021-22 (102 wRC+, 2.5 fWAR and 105 wRC+, 2.7 fWAR respectively) and he's only going into his age 28 season, so he could have a bounce back year. But I probably prefer to put that money towards a Ryu/Clevinger/Lorenzen/Odorizzi type that lengthens the rotation and/or a Martinez/Santana/Urshela/Donaldson type that adds a little more threat to the lineup.
  6. brewerfan82
    1.) He may have preferred the Dodgers and it may have taken more than $12M for the Brewers to get him. 2.) I'm not sure $12M is a super safe investment for a team like the Brewers to spend on a 35 year old pitcher that has only been able to compile 25 starts and 1.3 fWAR over the past 4 years combined. I do feel like our rotation is a little thin without Woodruff and would like a guy like Paxton if he had been added (for instance I wouldn't mind them picking up Ryu if he came at the right price), but I can't fault them for not going that high on him specifically.
  7. brewerfan82
    I'll give'em a chance and see how he looks in the Spring. Sounds like he was battling injuries last year, but before that from 2018-2022 he posted a .268/.320/.420/.740 line with a 101 wRC+ and 18 homers over 651 PAs. That's comparable to what Jace Peterson gave us from 2020-2022 (.238/.337/.373/.710, 98 wRC+, 16 HRs, 691 PAs) and certainly better than a lot of other bench guys we've thrown out there in the past. He's going into his age 29 season and I believe has has one more year of arbitration available after this season as well if we want to retain him. Seems like a good, low risk pickup!
  8. brewerfan82
    Where the heck is the ignore button? I've spent the past 10 minutes trying to find it, lol. This whole thing has gotten ridiculous. There is zero possibility this person is in their right mind and not trolling the place on purpose at this point and it doesn't seem like the moderators are doing anything about it, so I'd like to give the ignore feature a try and would encourage anyone else that's ready to move on to do the same. Update: Found it! Hover their profile image without clicking on it and the button is in a popup that appears.
  9. brewerfan82
    I completely understand this sentiment. However, if there ever was a time to be okay taking the draft pick as compensation, I think this is it. We're coming off a division title and the division is looking like it'll be up for grabs again. Our farm system is already in a very healthy state with a wave of prospects making its way to the big leagues now and in the near future. And we just filled our most glaring hole on the roster with one of the best available options in free agency. It's a big if, but if guys like Chourio, Black, and Gasser hit the ground running, having the rotation anchored with Burnes, the bullpen locked down with Williams, and having a bat like Hoskins added to the lineup is going to make this a very interesting team to watch this year. All that said, if you get blown away with an offer for Burnes you gotta take it, but it's very possible those kinds of offers aren't on the table. In which case, let's give it a go this year and then go nuts with all the extra picks and pool money we'll have in the 2025 draft to make sure we have another wave of prospects coming in another 3-4 years to compliment this current wave of players.
  10. brewerfan82
    I think Bauers is just a depth move. I know he had a little bit of an acquisition cost and he's out of options, but I still view him more of an "invite to Spring Training and see what he's got" kind of pick up like Perkins or Voit than anything they were planning on being a more concrete part of the team's 2024 plans. I think he's just here to compete for the 26th man on the roster and he may not be that bad of an option in that role as 28 year old currently projected with a 90 wRC+ with the possibility of outperforming that with some sort of break out this year.
  11. brewerfan82
    I believe they're moving Harper to 1st and would probably prefer Schwarber in the DH spot instead of the OF
  12. brewerfan82
    Also add this to the list of post-December acquisitions for the people that get impatient in November about not signing anyone. 2018 January 25th - Trade Brinson, Diaz, Harrison, and Yamamoto for Christian Yelich January 26th - Sign Lorenzo Cain to a 5 year, $80M contract 2019 January 14th - Sign Yasmani Grandal to a 1 year, $18.250M contract (incl. mutual buyout) February 19th - Sign Mike Moustakas to a 1 year, $10M contract (incl. mutual option) 2020 March 6th - Sign Christian Yelich to a 7 year, $188.5M contract extension 2021 February 5th - Sign Kolten Wong to a 2 year, $18M contract March 4th - Sign Jackie Bradley, Jr to a 2 year, $24M contract w/ player option on 2nd year 2023 January 4th - Sign Wade Miley to a 1 year, $4.5M contract 2024 January 23rd - Sign Rhys Hoskins to a 2 year, $34M contract
  13. brewerfan82
    Now the question becomes... how much of a "go for it" year does this become? It's not like Hoskins is an annual MVP candidate or anything, but we were sooooo bad at 1B and DH that this is a significant upgrade for 2024. And it's not likely a longterm upgrade, so if they were planning on trading away guys like Burnes, Adames, and possibly even Williams, it wouldn't be a necessary acquisition for their plans 2-3 years down the line. So 1.) is this enough to change anyone's minds on this board about whether they prefer the Brewers trade any of those guys now? And more interestingly, 2.) is this enough to make the Brewers' brass decide not only to keep those guys, but now stretch the budget a tad and get 2-3 more reinforcements for this year? There are still a ton of guys still out there (plus trade possibilities), it could get interesting over the next couple weeks!
  14. brewerfan82
    Especially ones that have been complaining for 3 months assuming they wouldn't make this exact move. Glad they didn't need to "throw a 4-5 year contract" at him to get it done! ;) Great signing, now let's hope he opts out after this year (as that would mean good things)!
  15. brewerfan82
    Haha, love it! This was the biggest "realistic" splash move I thought they could make this offseason. Still wasn't expecting it to happen just with it being a numbers game with other teams interested as well, but love that they got it done! Not to mention, in true Brewer form, there wasn't much talk actually connecting them to Hoskins until the last 24 hours or so and then *boom* signed!
  16. brewerfan82
    Because you're asking this board... Keston Hiura? 😬
  17. brewerfan82
    Thanks! The article admits it's speculation from "MLB insiders", but if Santana is asking for too much currently, that takes away some of the concern that someone else is just going to scoop him up while we wait to see if something better comes along first. Although if the article's speculation that the Brewers want to pay less at first base regardless (hence the Cooper talk), that doesn't bode well for the Hoskins possibility either. Hopefully this just indicates Santana is asking for more than they're willing to pay for him specifically and that Hoskins for a bit more would still be a possibility. Make a push for Hoskins and then check back in on Santana if it doesn't work out!
  18. brewerfan82
    link?
  19. brewerfan82
    Gotcha, just a hunch based on lack of activity. But I'd argue that no one has shown an urgency to sign him or about half of the bigger free agents still (25 of 56 FAs proj. to have at least 1.0 fWAR haven't signed yet, and the Brewers have signed 2 of 31 that have signed, so they've actually been more active than the average team on that front). Still reason to believe they could pick up the pace as we get closer to Spring Training. It's been an awfully slow offseason for anyone not named the Dodgers and players and teams are viewing the "deadline" to make moves as being closer and closer to Spring Training or even Opening Day each year. There are A LOT of players to be signed and traded still and there's a good chance a few of the names added to teams are going to go to the Brewers. Would love to get Hoskins and years past have shown the later these guys hang around and don't get picked up by other teams the more likely the Brewers make a late play on them.
  20. brewerfan82
    According to who?
  21. brewerfan82
    It'd be fun from an entertainment standpoint at least, lol. His projected 95 wRC+ would probably be an upgrade over what we have if we're not throwing Black there right away (Bauers proj. for a 90 wRC+), and it's a jump up from what we did at 1B (81 wRC+) and DH last year (also 81 wRC+). But there's a lot of better options out there currently, so unless they all fall through and he comes super cheap, prob a better idea to pass. 2-Year Splits for Available Free Agents Listed w/ 1B on FanGraphs (Votto had a big year 3 seasons ago, so I did 2 years so that wouldn't skew his results too much, especially as a 40-year-old who's less likely to return to production from 3+ years ago now):
  22. brewerfan82
    He probably should as he would likely make way more than $700M over 20 years if he was paid $470M upfront.
  23. brewerfan82
    This is incorrect: https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/milwaukee-brewers/christian-yelich-14316/
  24. brewerfan82
    Agree to disagree I guess :)
  25. brewerfan82
    Hope this doesn't completely derail the topic, but... my understanding is that if the Dodgers had given Ohtani a traditional contract that paid out equally over 10 years, it would have been for the $46M per year that the luxury tax is penalizing them for. Essentially a $460M contract distributed equally over 10 years is equal to a $700M contract distributed the way the Dodgers are paying Ohtani over the next 20 years. So any team able to pay him a $460M deal over 10 years would have been able to do the same thing the Dodgers are doing. If $700M severely backloaded over 20 years equals $460M over 10 years, then they shouldn't be penalized further than $46M per year just because they structured the same amount of money differently. If luxury tax wasn't adjusted for present day value, then you risk teams actually being able to skirt the luxury tax by severely frontloading contracts instead (ie. giving Ohtani $300M or whatever upfront over 10 years instead and only being penalize $30M against the luxury tax each year).
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