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brewerfan82

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Everything posted by brewerfan82

  1. There have been some memorable miscues against some very bad teams (*cough* A's *cough*), but overall they've actually been 36-21 with a .632 winning percentage against teams .500 or worse (compared to 38-38 against teams over .500). So this is definitely a good situation :)
  2. Tack on two more 6+ run games since this post. The Brewers have now scored at least 6 runs in 6 straight games (and in 10 of their last 15 games)!
  3. In the last 23 games (since July 28th), the Brewers have scored at least 6 runs in over half their games (12 games) and averaged 5.26 runs per game overall. In the 103 games prior to July 28th, they averaged 4.11 runs per game. In the same time frame, the Brewers' pitching has had the 3rd best xFIP in the NL at 3.96 (an improvement from the 4.28 xFIP they put up in the first 103 games). That fielding independent pitching combined with their NL best fielding (1st in both DRS and UZR/150 on the year) should make for a pretty good run prevention unit the rest of the way. Also of note, after a bit of a slow start after being acquired by the Brewers, Santana and Canha have wRC+ of 117 and 154 and OPS's of .838 and .953 respectively for their new club since August 13th. Things are trending nicely for the Crew!
  4. Luckily it doesn't matter where their full season stats land, just what they do moving forward. In the past 30 days they've been 8th in the NL in runs scored (and 9th in wRC+). In those same 30 days, their first basemen have been last in the NL with a 45 wRC+, their DH have been 13th in the league with a 57 wRC+, and RF has been 12th in the NL with a 70 wRC+. Adding a couple 90-110 wRC+ players to that mix is going to help shore up some black holes on an already improving offense. I'm still hoping for one more bat today, but I think they've done a really nice job filling some huge needs without mortgaging the future so far.
  5. Reasons to be optimistic about the lineup turning it around the rest of the season: Position (current wRC+, MLB rank) - Optimistic Notes Catcher (113, 3rd) - All set, great offseason pickup MA! Firstbase (78, 30th) - Santana 2023: 99 wRC+, Last 30 days: 96 wRC+, Proj. ROS: 101 wRC+ Secondbase (77, 21st) - Turang Last 14 days: 100 wRC+, Proj. ROS: 78 wRC+ (but 80-ish is fine with glove) Thirdbase (94, 16th) - This is actually better than I expected, but Monasterio is also on fire... AM Last 30 days: 123 wRC+ Shortstop (83, 19th) - Adames Last 30 days: 93 wRC+, Proj. ROS: 102 wRC+ Leftfield (132, 2nd) - Excellent job Yeli Centerfield (87, 24th) - Canha pick up allows Wiemer and Frelick to platoon. Wiemer vs LHP: 148 wRC+, Frelick vs RHP: 132 wRC+ Rightfield (74, 28th) - Frelick Last 30 days: 132 wRC+, Canha (see next) can play here when Frelick's in CF DH (55, 30th) - Canha 2023: 107 wRC+, Last 30 days: 122 wRC+, Proj ROS: 109 wRC+
  6. I'd actually go the other way. I think Miller's run out of his pixie dust. Last 30 days: Last 14 days is even starker:
  7. They've still got 22.5 hours to make more moves!
  8. Do you realize 1B and DH have been bigger holes in the lineup this year than any of the positions you listed? Additionally, Canha's presence potentially allows Frelick to play more in center as well. I would have loved to get Candelario, but Canha and Santana are likely similarly as big of improvements for this team as he would have been.
  9. Obviously because they just got a guy that's projected for 106 wRC+ the remainder of the season and the bum we just got is only projected at 113 wRC+ moving forward... I would have loved to get Candelario, but posters thinking he would have been "going for it" while Canha and Santana are non-needle movers is a really odd stance to take.
  10. Canha's Stats: 2023 vs. RHP - .255/.337/.373/.710 103 wRC+ 2021-23 vs. RHP - .257/.371/.389/.759 123 wRC+ 2023 vs. LHP - .229/.347/.396/.743 111 wRC+ 2021-23 vs. LHP - .230/.335/.397/.733 111 wRC+ Brewers DH Stats: 2023 vs. RHP - .203/.317/.251/.568 65 wRC+ 2023 vs. LHP - .162/.219/.206/.425 16 wRC+
  11. I like it, I thought he was one of the better fits available at this point and sounds like we didn't have to give up anything too regrettable to get him either. 2023 vs. RHP - .255/.337/.373/.710 103 wRC+ 2021-23 vs. RHP - .257/.371/.389/.759 123 wRC+ 2023 vs. LHP - .229/.347/.396/.743 111 wRC+ 2021-23 vs. LHP - .230/.335/.397/.733 111 wRC+ Should be an above average bat against both righties and lefties. Has positive DRS's at both corner outfield spots and has logged a decent amount of time at first base this year as well. Santana and Canha aren't exactly the sexiest moves, but they're exactly what we needed. Going from 79 wRC+ at 1B, 55 wRC+ at DH, and 75 wRC+ in RF to what should be right around 100 if not higher is a major boost. Now slam the cherry on top with a Hernandez/Jimenez/Candelario type guy and we're really talking :)
  12. Looking at the splits, any of Canha, Candelario, and/or Teoscar would be really nice additions. Throw Pham in there as well if you think his "personality issues" are being overblown (I'll assume they're not, but I really don't know much about it). I have less interest in DeJong, Duvall, and Verdugo, but they'd probably still be welcome additions.
  13. For reference, here are some splits for the players in the Rosenthal piece... 2023 vs. RHP: 2021-23 vs. RHP: 2023 vs. LHP: 2021-23 vs. LHP:
  14. No worries! It'd be easy to miss if you just start with the Brewers-specific paragraph as the list of players it references is actually in the previous paragraph.
  15. I have a subscription, I don't want to copy-paste the whole section, but he did list off Jeimer Candelario, Mark Canha, Tommy Pham, Teoscar Hernández, Paul DeJong, Adam Duvall, and possibly Alex Verdugo as remaining available hitters and that the Brewers "figure to grab one name off that list."
  16. I think so? But he's been pretty much the same as Tellez/Winker last year and this year, but is 5 years older and has worse projections for the rest of the season: Hosmer: Tellez: Winker:
  17. Not to mention each of them are actually trending even better than that the last 30 days: Tellez: 18.2 K% Adames: 19.6 K% Turang: 13.2 K% Wiemer: 22.4 K% Not sure where "at or close to a 40% clip" came from...
  18. Burnes (Age 28, $10M in '23, Arb3 in '24) vs. Bieber (Age 28, $10M in '23, Arb3 in '24) vs. Wheeler (Age 33, $24.5M in '23, $23.5M in '24) is interesting. 2023: Past 2 Seasons: Past 3 Seasons:
  19. I think predominantly ZiPS player projections. I'm not sure if it's updated throughout the season (or how often) to account for injuries to Woodruff, Ashby, Houser, Mitchell, Urias, Taylor, etc., but that's certainly a concern as well.
  20. I'm not there yet. Neither is FanGraphs:
  21. Through 5 games... 6.2 runs scored per game 2.0 runs allowed per game
  22. Count me in as a non-gamer that's enjoying Last of Us! I definitely haven't felt like I've missed anything by never playing the game. I was a Walking Dead fan and made it through that whole thing. There's a lot of similarity between the two (especially the first season of TWD when they were still actually trying to figure out what was going on), but so far Last of Us has a much nicer pace than what TWD became (ie. not staying in one location for 20 straight episodes). Definitely check it out if that genre is your thing.
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