jay87shot
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Everything posted by jay87shot
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Seigler plays 2B/C/OF right, any 3B in is past? Maybe he should start getting some reps if not. Misi needs to get a big league shot even if we are a bit cramped on our roster and have guys coming back from injury. -
Nice, if he can even throw that like 15% of the time I think 2 and 1/2 pitches might be enough for at least the 1st couple years.
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I forgot about Quintana, if we sent off those guys we would probably trade him as well. But your point is good, in all likelihood we would probably get a mlb ready pitcher back for one of them even if it was a lower value guy. Probably at that point even a AA guy like Crow or Wichrowski could be ready if they get a promotion in a month or so.
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I think with how many teams need quality starting pitching we will get something, I wouldn't think that we could get a top 20 prospect but as an early season trade candidate (hopefully with good numbers in the next 2-3 games) there should be a little return. Ramon Urias is probably to much but the O's are probably more desperate than us and have lots of 3B options. Would could always attach Peguero or a different reliever if need be.
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If we are at .500 I would think we might trade a starter or two and try and a bat. If we are like 5 games under I can see us selling the 1 year guys and entertaining bigger offers on Freddy, William, Megill among others (only take an overpay). Some of it depends on where some of our younger pitchers are on innings and having a plan, I doubt Misi and Henderson will be allow to throw much over 130 innings so it does get hard to trade Nestor, Woody, and Civale and then move a couple starters to the pen. Also the division will play a role, if we are under .500 but only 4ish games behind the Cubs or whoever is in the lead that is a big difference than say 8 games back. I doubt there is a chance at the Wild Card with how good the NL is.
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My hesitation to annoint Henderson is that with 2 pitches the league will adjust fast. He has looked like a top of the rotation guy for the 2 starts but will teams be able to adjust. I hope we can give Civale 2-3 starts to show that he is the pitcher we saw at the end of the year and then potentially flip him for a SS or 3B. Maybe Ramon Urias for Civale???
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I don't get the Dalbec (played RF) and Rosario signings. I feel like both are vets that are going to expect a mlb chance sooner than later. I really dont see either being better than Daz, Collins, and maybe on par with Oliva. My guess is that there is a some bad news coming from the organization somewhere from Perk or Mitchell probably.
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If things fall right by maybe mid 2028 we should have an entire lineup of guys who are like 25 or younger and Yelich (maybe Turang or Sal). The pitching staff should be really young and high potential as well but gets a bit harder to predict. C-Quero/Dinges 1B-Bitonti/Adams/EMJ/Burke 2B-Turang/Josh A/Pena SS- Pratt/Made/Pena 3B-Wilken/Boeve/Pratt/Made OF-Chourio/Sal/Mitchell/Lara/Payne/Anderson/one the IF young guys I left of a ton of potential names and there is probably like 20 logical guys who could be in the rotation. It does leave the door open to think about adding a big name free agent at some point if it isn't more than a 4/5 year deal.
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Mears has been amazing, I would guess if he was healthy to start the year he would also be pushing for the league lead in appearances. With Mears, Uribe, Keonig, Megill, and Anderson the back end of the bullpen should be pretty solid, add in Yoho, Ashby, and Hall/Hudson/Payamps/Peguero if they get right and the bullpen should be solid the rest of the way. I really like how Mears explodes of the rubber, I dont remember his delivery being quite the same last year.
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Wow, the top 5 in Biloxi have been beyond impressive the past couple weeks. It is also amazing that we have the youngest and best team in A ball and now it would appear that we have the youngest and best team in rookie ball as well. Reading these reports makes watching 2 back to back big league shutout way more bearable. I might have to start watching the minor league games instead of the big league team if things continue. I read that Miqueas Mercedes is up to 96 mph at 18, he is someone I really didn't even know about until last week. Add in Dorchies at 6'5" with k number like that and some growth, those are probably 2 guys who can be top of the rotation guys if they stay healthy and develop.
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- brock wilken
- luke adams
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Any chance we could trade Dame for Bradley Beal? We would be taking on an extra year of bad contract but would be getting a big time help to lure Giannis to stay. The Suns likely won't be able to unload Beal but at least here they get out of a year of the contract and have a big time player for 2026. 1)Dame for Beal 2)Kuzma and Pat C, lotto protected 2031 pick for Jrue Holiday Ok this is a pipe dream but with Tatem going down Kuz would help fill that role, the Celts also have White and Pritchard as point guards. On top of that Jrue's contract isn't looking good based on some decline in numbers this year. 3) Re-Sign Bobby 4)Sign Russell Westbrook I posted this before but Russ playing fast with Giannis is super interesting, in the half court not helpful. 1)Jrue 2)Russ 3) Beal 4)Bobby 5) Giannis Bench)Green, whoever we can get on minimum deals. I feel like that team is interesting enough to keep Giannis around for another year or 2 and has some potential to be really good even though it is an old team with holes.
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My 10 years prediction is based on not having draft picks until 2031, you have to realize we have basically nothing of substantial value after Giannis. If we can get say 2 young players and 4 1st round picks that really doesn't make a decent team. Especially since the team we get those picks from will be good until 2030 because they have Giannis. We will be clean in 2 years but there is no way we will be able to sign any decent free agents with a couple decent young players and no long term picks. Essentially if we trade Giannis we become the Pelicans after Anthony Davis but without the high end picks to get Zion and others. By 2031 it will take at least 3 or 4 years to get our own young players experience and add vets around them.
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Well if Giannis wants out we really dont have much of a choose. Players pretty muchly hold all the cards in the nba. The mismanagement has put us in a entire organization out of contention for like probably the next 10 years any way you slice it. I would love to keep Giannis for ever but if he ever wants to win it won't be in Milwaukee. A team with Kuzma and say Bobby Portis with a bunch of minimum salary guys likely isn't much better than 7th or 8th maybe 6th if Giannis is special like he normally is. However we can't content with teams that are 6 players as good or better than Bobby and Kuz.
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Here are my initial thoughts on packages. 1) We get Chet Homgren, Cason Wallace, PJ Washington (trade away later), OKC (picks), Dallas Pick (future 1st), OKC gets Giannis, Dallas gets Lu Dort 2) We get Zion, Reed Shepherd, Tari Easton, Houton Picks Houston gets Giannis, NO gets Dillion Brooks and Jabari Smith 3) We get OG Anunoby, Mikal Bridges (probably trade both) and picks for Giannis and Pat C 4) We get Castle, Vassell, Sochan, #2, extra pick(s) for Giannis Here is my crazy deal We get Chet, Cason Wallace, Bradley Beal, Podziemski, Mark Williams, picks from OKC, Pheonix, and GS OKC gets Giannis Charlotte gets 2 1st (1 OKC, 1 GS) Phoenix gets Lu Dort, Pat C, Kuzma, Aaron Wiggins, sign and trade Kuminga (4/142) GS gets Durant
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I feel like the young players the Rockets and Thunder have to go with picks makes them high on the list. The Spurs should be in the running though. Fox, Wemby, and Giannis is scary.
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Yeah that does seem pretty close. I think Noelvi Marte was a top 50 prospect, Arroyo was borderline top 100, Stout was a borderline top 10 organizational guy, there was a throw in 4th prospect that I don't believe was much. Probably close to Burned when you boil it down.
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Finding a recent trade to gauge value is tough for Freddy, We should get more than for Burnes because he has the extra 1/2 year, although he isn't really an ace. I would really prefer a package with like 2 high quality players/prospects than on with like 1 good prospect and 3 other nice pieces. I think we really need to think quality over quantity on any deadline deals this year.
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I think there will be an option to sell and possible buy if the right young pieces are available. If Cortes, Civale, Quintana, or Alexander have any value they can go. If they market for relievers is high Megill has 2 years so dealing him for a big package would make sense. If anyone wants to overpay for another reliever that would be fine. If Freddy got us a top 50 prospect and a couple other solid pieces that would be fine with me (if under .500). I kind of like a Dodgers package of Alex Freeland, Eduardo Quintero, and 1 or 2 of Emmett Sheehan/River Ryan/Bobby Miller/Nick Frasso/Kyle Hurt/Jackson Ferris. However Dodgers prospects haven't panned out well. I would want an mlb ready left side of the infield IF and a high upside pitcher. The Mets for Jett Williams, Jonah Tong, and other pieces Red Sox for Marcelo Mayer (maybe we give them something extra) Rangers for Walcott Probably a half dozen other teams would be interested. I wonder if the Nationals would look to trade CJ Abrams, I know they were upset with him and suspended him the last week of last year. He is cheap and conrolable so he would be very expensive but if there is young talent like him available I could see us trying to add a star and still selling vets. Maybe the O's or Rays will be willing to sell an IF.
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1/4 Season Evaluations, Predictions, Etc
jay87shot replied to jay87shot's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Ok here is some intersting stuff. Conner Thomas has more earned runs than Freddy Peralta. In fact, Thomas, Payamps, Nestor, ERod, Civale, Yoho account for 63 earned runs which is 38% of our earned runs. Despite only pitching 55 1/3 innings, which is 15% of the team innings. Contreras has 12 runners caught stealing 4 more than the next best. He is also close to the pace of 100 walks on the season (95ish pace) If he keeps his paces Chourio is in line for around 52 doubles, 28 HR, 100 rbi, 20 sb, 148 k, and 12 walks Joey Ortiz has the lowest ops in the league amongst qualifying hitters at .461, Vinny Capra's ops is .250. (The rest of 3rd base is bad as well). We are tied for last in 3rd base WAR -1.1 and last at SS -1.6. -
The biggest mis-step was trading for and giving a ton of playing time to old bums. Serge Ibaka, Jae Crowder, Wes Matthews, George Hill, Goran Dragic, Joe Ingles among others striped us of numerous 2nd round picks and ate up minutes young developing guys should have been playing. Look at how much better this team was playing fast with KPJ, Green, and Rollins. We should have a couple Payton Pritchard/Naz Ried style players instead of those old wasted bums.
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Sun. 5/11 - Do it for All the Mom's, Woody!
jay87shot replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Any chance that if Wilken stays hot for a couple weeks more that we just have him skip AAA and go to the bigs? I know it's not really our org. way but we need an offensive boost and no one is as hot as Brock. -
Would we be able to pry Josh Jung (or Josh Smith) away from Texas? They have lots of pitching needs especially bullpen help maybe OF help when Mitchell is back. With Josh Smith, Seager, and Semien as well as Duran and prospects they could let Jung (or Smith) go. It might be a good chance to turn some quantity into quality. Would Payamps, Peguero, and Perkins for Jung be to much trash for a quality player.
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If we were to acquire Mayer or just have Pratt explode and get a call up my guess is that either of them would just play SS. Move Ortiz back to 3B where he was great defensively (if the bat come back around).
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When does Arnold start to receive some criticism
jay87shot replied to brewers888's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I don't have to many problems with Arnold. It's not his fault Yeli and Contreras aren't living up to expectation and none of us would have invasion Joey Ortiz's bat to fall apart. As others have mentioned the other options at 3rd that we could afford have not been good. You can beat him up some for the Devin return, Smith debacle, and the Priester overpay but also need to give credit for Myers, Patrick, and basically the entire bullpen. No other team could lose their offensive leader, top notch closer, have the 2-8 starters miss extended time while only having a 120 million dollar budget (or so) and be around .500. Arnold has at least through the trade deadline before I start getting critical of his job. Individual moves, yes I will criticize but Arnold overall is still top notch in my book. -
We are 20-21, just a smidgen over 1/4 of the way through the year. I like to think at 1/4 of the way it is OK to make diffinitive statements that don't include small the phrases sample size or it is early in the year. Yes the term there is a lot of season left is OK. Here are my observations. 1) We need someone to jump start this offense badly. Yeli and Contreras have been underwhelming. Chourio shows some signs but needs a slight adjustment to take more walks (or chase less pitches). Sal and Turang have been good but aren't the run producers we need. 2) The pitching has been great, especially when you take account of the injuries sustained. The bullpen is starting to take shape and looks to be close to settled. It will be really interesting to see how Arnold manages the roster spots over the next couple weeks as Woody, Civale, Ashby, Hall finish rehab. Not to mention Misi and likely Yoho deserving big league innings. I have been mentioning trading pitching for a 3B/SS as much as possible. 3)The future looks brighter than ever, even though the big league team isn't quite where we would all like it. Our minors seem to be getting deeper and deeper. 4) I am predicting a very active trade season. We will likely be one of the only teams with excess mlb arms to trade away and prospect to send out to add. Hopefully Arnold can find a way to add a controllable potential star or two that will help us catch the cubs this year and contribute long term.
