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jay87shot

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Everything posted by jay87shot

  1. jay87shot
    Hopefully he is can be right all year. If he can hit .250/.350/500 with like 35 bombs this lineup should have no problem filling in for Willy. Through spring so far our starting lineup has looked amazing (maybe not Turang).
  2. jay87shot
    The thing that knocks Martinez down is his age, he will be 26 in a few months and hasn't hit AAA. Agreed him not being in our top 30 is crazy. I think someone could say he has 55 skills across the board with a 45/50 hit tool. 6'6' 250 1st baseman that can be 20/20, play OF and potential gold glove 1B don't come around often (if ever) but a ton of scouts see 25 in AA and kind of dismiss the prospect value massively. I personally have EMJ in the 28-31 range, if he was 2 year younger he is an easy top 10-15 prospect.
  3. jay87shot
    I think Fowler would be a nice add at this point if he isn't to expensive. I won't pay him high end but in the 10-15 probably would be ok. He is past his prime no doubt, but he had 67/710/6 in 12 games (i think a snap count for the 1st couple?). That would be around 90/1000/8 for a full year, way better than Amari Cooper. I think Kupp is likely a good influence on that receiver room.
  4. jay87shot
    I think when Cooper Kupp gets cut we should use some money on him. Something like the deal Davante Adams got 2/46 but really 1 year guarantee. He has the upside, can be a perfect complement to the guys we have, and would be a great 3rd down safety blanket for Love. The we can focus draft efforts on building depth and picking the best talent.
  5. jay87shot
    Westburg entrenched at 3B, Mountcatle and O'Hearn at 1B aren't blocking him long term at 1B but you have to remember Basallo will be ready probably next year. They have like 5 OF this year with Mullins, Cowser, Hjerstad, O'Niel, and then Laureano and Carlson. I didnt mention Urais and Mateo as other IF depth. They have O'Hearn, extra OF, Sanchez as DH options as well. I would say he is like 3rd on the depth chart everywhere and probably 2nd at 3rd base. Can they find him 400 ab's if motivated sure, but playing somewhere different everyday and get 2-3 day a week off isn't ideal for that type of prospect. They will need pitching at some point and Peralta with maybe Sandy Alcantra is as good as it gets on a non 1 year pitcher. I just think the needs and timing will match up perfectly that we get Woody and Ashby back the O's get desperate in an always competitive AL East and we can benefit.
  6. jay87shot
    I don't mind either player but I do think both are relative overpays. Banks to me is slightly above average as a guard, a good player yes but for 19 million a year at guard I want a pro bowl caliber player and Banks hasn't been that. Hobbs again is a really good slot corner but the previous high for a slot corner was 10 million a year and he only has 3 picks in 4 years with 19 pass deflections (meh). Maybe we think he can play outside and will be getting pretty good value if that is the case. Again it seems like an overpay for a good but not great player. I only look at missed opportunities for a short time but Dre Greenlaw for 3/35, Ryan Kelly for 2/18, James Daniels at 3/24, and even Chris Godwin at 3/66 look like pretty good deals to me. Even though most of those are coming off injuries or older.
  7. jay87shot
    Coby Mayo is light years ahead of Wilken. Mayo .293/.372/.592 25 HR AAA as 22 yr old (not great mlb debut), generally regaurded as top 20 prospect in all of baseball. Even better in 2023 Wilken .200/.314/.365 17 HR AA as 22 yr old (not great in AFL), generally regarded as borderline top 20 prospect in out system. Neither are great 3B baseman or baserunners but Mayo does get a 70 grade arm to Wilkens 60 and 40 run to Wilken's 30 (per mlb). Mayo is about top of the mountain in terms of 3B potential that could be reasonably acquired and if he doesn't cut it at 3B I would think he has top notch 1B defensive potential. I still have a lot of hope for Wilken but he is a long way from Mayo.
  8. jay87shot
    The mlb draft is more like signing day for college football or basketball with an order than nba or the nfl drafts usually I have watched some college games for those prospects and have an opinion of my own for them. The MLB draft has no house hold names (outside 1 or 2 guys) that get drafted so for fans like us our perspectives come off a couple minute youtube clips, tweets with a scouting break down, potentially college stats, and whatever write ups are available. There really aren't bad picks, maybe poor strategy depending on who you can/can't sign. There are always a ton of guys underranked or missed just because there is to much baseball to scout everything. HS, all division of college, Juco, some CC, Canada at times, and probably more at times. Even when you factor in like 10+ scouts per team with tons of "draft experts" some guys slip through the cracks or are way overvalued. Even the top guys take like a year and a half to get to the bigs so there is no immediacy with the initial hype, add in that rookie ball now ends when the draft is you don't even get to see most HS guys and some overwork college pitchers until the next season.
  9. jay87shot
    Yeah, the minor league coverage here is second to none. If you are interested in following prospects and the minors you are in the right place. The daily minor league recap write ups here are spectacular and someone is always in the know when anything goes down.
  10. jay87shot
    Here is my in season prediction, May 15th We trade Freddy Peralta, Luke Adams, and Joel Payamps to the Orioles for Coby Mayo and Chayce McDermott Come May we should have Woody and Ashby at full strength with Hall at least on rehab. The O's already have Grayson Rodriguez injured and really have an injury prone/older rest of the staff. I predict that Coby Mayo is just to blocked in Baltimore and they have Samuel Basallo as a 1B/DH for the future and Peralta looks to good to them and our need for a 3rd baseman is to great. Mayo is exactly what we need long term as a power hitting fixture he can play 3B or 1B and when everyone is healthy and the AAA depth for the future makes Freddy expendable for the perfect bat. Adams is blocked potentially with our own corner IF depth and Yoho replace Payamps.
  11. jay87shot
    A player gets a full year of service time if they are on the roster for 172 days of the 187 day season. So if you have a superstar who you don't think is ever going to get demoted to the minors you can essentially call that guy up close to the 16 days or so they need to be in the minors and then you gain an extra year of control. Some guys who will be up an down it doesn't really matter but I think most of us feel that Yoho will be good enough not to be sent down and with the depth it gives the big league club a month or so to see if one of the other bullpen options will separate themselves, there maybe is just an injury and Yoho is needed, or maybe everyone looks good and Woody, Ashby, and Yoho are ready around the same time and we can trade some arms for a 3rd baseman.
  12. jay87shot
    With injuries building on some teams are there any spots that we could take advantage of? We still have really good bullpen depth and utility IF. Maybe Jorge Alfaro to a catcher needy team if we can get some value back. Tyler Black somewhere if you are out on Black (I am not).
  13. jay87shot
    I prefer Pratt in Appleton by a sliver but barely and only for like 75-100 ab's just because I want him to get off to a better start to the year. However with the weather difference in Biloxi maybe Biloxi is a better place for hitters in April. Pratt only had 94 PA in A+ ball and wasn't great, although I would have no problem if they started him in AA based on his solid spring in big league camp. Also it gives Eric Brown a chance at AA SS, if he plays well it could boost his confidence and he could move to AAA quickly as well. I think the goal for me is to get Pratt like 100+ ab's in AAA this year and give him a shot to win an IF job next spring (if he earns it). I think that is possible either place he starts. For me all the rest Lara, Dinges, Pena all should get the bump up. I like one of Jose Anderson or Juan Ortuno to go straight to A ball to play OF, as well as Wande Torres potentially.
  14. jay87shot
    Who is Jack Hostetler? Is he a free agent signing from last draft? I see he is 21 and had decent stats at Whitman but that name is new to me. Is he this years KC Hunt? Usually I am good at knowing most of our prospects but someone appears to slip through the cracks.
  15. jay87shot
    I won't mind trying Hudson as a starter down the road, the issue will be if he can buildup enough stamina and stay healthy. With his size and extension he probably can be successful as a starter throwing 88-90 if he ends up with 4 solid pitches. At some point last year I thought we could maybe piggyback Misi and Hudson, if each can throw like 3 innings every 4 days that could be amazing. The opposites of the 90-92 mph of the lefty with 98-100 right would really mess with timing, especially if the we went like Ashby and Yoho to close (hard lefty to slower righty). I like the idea of giving Huddy 2 innings every 3 games. If he throws over 35-40 pitches make it 4 days. That likely ends up with 50 games and 100 innings give or likely take a few games/innings. That maximizes his value and makes a nice routine to keep his arm fresh.
  16. jay87shot
    3 for Iglesias seems like a crazy good deal, I like getting Quintana but if we could have landed Iglesias as well I would've been through the roof.
  17. jay87shot
    I think we are at a point no big deals are going to happen. Probably just guys out of options or who are blocked.
  18. jay87shot
    I like this for him especially with DL Hall out. Megill, Husdon, Koenig, Payamps seem like locks Mears, Peguero seem likely to make the team, Ashby is a question with the injury but likely a lock if healthy. Does that leave Connor Thomas, Tyler Alexander, and Rodriguez maybe Yoho battling for the last spot or 2 if Ashby is on the shelf? I still think it is likely Yoho starts in AAA just long enough to gain the extra year of control but I won't count him out completely. Have we had an Abner Uribe sighting yet or an update? Anderson and Wolfram haven't been great.
  19. jay87shot
    I guess we could start a new thread because we are at the new season however the mlb pipeline top 30 is out. Overall I can't complain about to much that list. I would ad a young guy of Collins at 30 and a few guys could be a couple spots higher or lower but in general they did a really solid job in my opinion. https://www.mlb.com/milb/prospects/brewers/
  20. jay87shot
    I think what has always troubled our hitters is that it seems to me like Quintana uses his pitches to set up his fastball better than almost anyone. Every time I have watched the Crew take on Quintana in the past 3 years or so, I find myself saying sit on the fastball (4 seem/sinker, I know they are 2 different pitches but basically the same speed) it is only 90-92, seems pretty straight (not sure on the results), and he throws it over 50% of the time. However we have never hit him well, I am sure the suttle differences in the 2 fastballs is the main reason. How we can get the most out of him is probably just little tweeks to get better spin on the curveball and changeup. In reality, our defense probably will be the biggest thing that can lead to an improvement for him. A guy who gets lots of contact going to one of the best defensive teams in the league should be helpful.
  21. jay87shot
    Great move, this is the type of move that makes other organizations look dumb. Kikuchi is making 21 million a year and Quintana has flat out been better than him the past 3 years. There are probably 5 or 6 pitchers that have gotten around 15 million a year or more that Quintana has been better than but because he throws 90-92 he won't get as much. With this we have one of the deeper pitching staffs and now 6 guys who can be good enough to start playoff games, not counting prospects. It also allows us to go to a 6 man rotation when Woody comes back and save those arms a bit. I like moving Ashby back into the multi inning bullpen rile especially with the rough-ish start to spring.
  22. jay87shot
    Nice, more experienced voices won't hurt. At this point, Arnold is established and successful enough to have guys like this around and command the room. Eppler in the scouting department should be helpful with the draft resources we have.
  23. jay87shot
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/02/out-of-options-2025.html Of guys out of options would anyone take a shot at Eguy Rosario, Oswald Peraza, or Gabriel Arias? There are some other guys on that list that I would expect to get cut but all of those guys could be decent 3B adds who are you get and have some upside.
  24. jay87shot
    If we messed up Black it isnt from now, it would be from his early minors when we moved him from 2B to OF to 3B to 1B and didn't just pick one spot and keep him there or just keep him in the OF when he looked good there. I still believe in the bat, but finding PT might.
  25. jay87shot
    I don't have a problem with that at all. I actually like Yeli at 2 and Contreras at 3 in that case. Turang or Sal at 2 when they are going good wouldnt be bad. That does kind of shrink the lineup but Mitchell and Rhys could be great 4/5 and make that a really good top of the order.
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