I should preface this by saying:
I have zero thoughts and feelings about Connor Thomas as it pertains to Shane Smith. I'm glad Thomas has had a successful ST to date. I hope it works out beyond our wildest dreams with the Brewers. I'm also beyond excited for Shane Smith's opportunity and I hope he runs with it and never looks back. He deserves it. I also know the Brewers as an organization will move forward regardless and be fine and continue winning on the margins like they've done for some time now.
AND...
Regardless of what happens with Smith in 2025, the developments so rapidly achieved in one off-season speak to what anyone who watches the vast majority of his Minor League games (like I did) might be thinking: he has the size, the frame, the competitive nature, the make-up, the arm action, and the willingness to expand his evolving and already zesty tool kit (See adding slider after a single 2023 AFL stint // See capably stepping into starter innings with a beleaguered Biloxi staff // See capably closing games // See capably Holding games) to really make a serious go of it in the Big Leagues.
He was already sitting 95 mph before re-committing to his heater profile this off-season (as I've said in other threads I reached out to his training facility and outfit to ask about some things). He already had well over a plus 1 K/ IP as young 24-year-old (soon to be 25 yo) arm.
I really don't care about anything other than what my eyes have told me for the past two some years (including his interviews): it was a mistake to leave him unprotected. It just was. I had automatically pegged all three of Smith; Henderson; and Patrick as Rule 5 Adds and I could have easily have made a case at the time Smith was the first add.
This isn't the first mistake the Brewers have made on the pitching side of things. It won't be the last. And, we all know when you are juggling a 165 stateside limit and a 40-Man roster these players falling through the cracks inevitably happens. I think every team goes through this. But, man, this one was such a blatantly obvious 40-Man add to me it still stings from the old school scout that lives in me.
I literally find myself like a cantankerous radiator hose popping off randomly during the week about this (which is hilarious in and of itself). When you watch as much Minor League baseball as I do, you tend to learn over time when something pops - what players simply look the part and innately differentiate themselves. Shane Smith's stuff definitely popped and it definitely pops. In the very least it was blatantly obvious the Brewers had a set-up man. A really good set-up man. That was legitimately his lowest floor. His versatility given the year-to-year importance of the pitching staff just carried bountifully more weight to me than a utility positional player on a 40-Man.
I know Babe Capra is having an incredible spring and kudos to him for doing so - I hope he grabs a hold of that utility role and never looks back. It is known in these parts how much I've loved Isaac Collins over the past two seasons as a Brewer and how stoked I was he was called up and added to the 40-Man. I turned people's eyes to 'Mona' well before he was a call-up when he made my most underrated and unheralded list many years back. I was hyping Brewer Hicklen for months before he was even a call-up consideration.
Why do I mention these players? I flat would have rostered Shane Smith with ease over all these talented young men (and this doesn't even get into rostering LHP Tyler Jay at that time - I believe I'm not mistaken here? - which is an entirely different box of rocks) because of the importance of what he brings and how he brings it and where he might be heading if the dice roll the right way. You just don't let that type of player walk risk-free to another organization. You just don't do it. And, well, if you can't tell I'm still just a little bit ticked off about it 😅.
Now, being the generally rational middle-aged man that I am, I would also like to leave room for the possibility there was an agreement between the player and the organization. Perhaps a difference of opinions of where they wanted to take Smith's career in the short-term. There is always the possibility the Brewers and Smith agreed to leave him unprotected so he could pursue an MLB path more aggressively if he were to be chosen. Is this likely? I really don't think so. Is this possible? Yes. And what better staff to go to than a staff with Walker McKinven as its bench coach. At least I can tell myself this fairy tale to make it all better.