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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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Version 1.0.0
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This is the free agents component of the 2024 Brewer Fanatic Offseason Handbook. It is available only to Brewer Fanatic Caretakers. This section has features on this winter's free agents, focusing on first base, third base, and the rotation. The entire Brewer Fanatic 2024 Offseason Handbook is available free of charge to all Brewer Fanatic Caretakers. If you are not currently a Caretaker, you can subscribe at any time. During the handbook release period, all Caretaker packages are 25% off if you use the coupon code HANDBOOK at checkout. The 2024 Offseason Handbook is a comprehensive look at the Milwaukee Brewers' offseason with in-depth analysis of the roster, payroll, arbitration decisions, and available free agents. This year, the handbook will be released in weekly PDFs every Monday throughout November. This allows us to keep information timely and up-to-date as the offseason landscape changes. Each installment of the handbook will be 15-20 pages of detailed information on the Brewers' offseason.Free -
Jonathan India, 2021 National League Rookie of the Year, is likely to be put on the trade block by the Reds. Cincinnati fielded offers on India at last year's trade deadline but ultimately, nothing came of it. Seeing how the Brewers and Reds are division rivals, lining up a trade is tricky. India is entering his first year of arbitration in 2024 and will not become a free agent until after the 2026 season. Any trade for India likely means that Willy Adames will be dealt, allowing Brice Turang to slide over to shortstop while India takes second base. The Reds need pitching in a bad way. It's hard to see the Brewers giving up any of their young pitching for a position player while their true roster excess is in the outfield. But if the Reds are interested in one of the Brewers' young outfielders, a deal makes sense for both teams.
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Jonathan India, 2021 National League Rookie of the Year, is likely to be put on the trade block by the Reds. Cincinnati fielded offers on India at last year's trade deadline but ultimately, nothing came of it. Seeing how the Brewers and Reds are division rivals, lining up a trade is tricky. India is entering his first year of arbitration in 2024 and will not become a free agent until after the 2026 season. Any trade for India likely means that Willy Adames will be dealt, allowing Brice Turang to slide over to shortstop while India takes second base. The Reds need pitching in a bad way. It's hard to see the Brewers giving up any of their young pitching for a position player while their true roster excess is in the outfield. But if the Reds are interested in one of the Brewers' young outfielders, a deal makes sense for both teams. View full rumor
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A Polanco-for-Burnes would be an interesting deal. I wonder what else the ask would be from Minnesota.
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- corbin burnes
- garrett mitchell
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Solano is an interesting choice. His contact-heavy nature would be a welcome addition to the Brewers but he had such a nice season in Minnesota that I'm worried the regression bug is going to slam into him hard.
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- rich hill
- martin maldonado
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GM Meetings: "Brewers Open to Trades"
Brock Beauchamp replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Oh, for sure. I wasn't knocking Lee, his bat likely plays anywhere, I just wanted to point out he's almost surely not a shortstop. -
GM Meetings: "Brewers Open to Trades"
Brock Beauchamp replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Yeah, I don't think they'll be overly precious with Lee. They also have Jose Miranda and need to do something with him. -
Destination: The Show. Episode 12.
Brock Beauchamp replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
I haven't heard about this at all. @Jeremy Nygaard?- 2 replies
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- craig counsell
- jeferson quero
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(and 2 more)
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GM Meetings: "Brewers Open to Trades"
Brock Beauchamp replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
The value here is good and reasonable but Lee is not a MLB shortstop. He's likely an acceptable, maybe pretty good MLB third baseman but I'd put his chances at sticking at short under 10%. But the Brewers also need a third baseman so there you go. -
Craig Counsell to the Cubs: It was in his nature
Brock Beauchamp commented on Bashopolis's blog entry in Smash
Some people just aren't great spellers and the OP got it right more often than they got it wrong. Also, devices are becoming increasingly aggressive about "fixing" things we type so I'm a bit more willing to cut people some slack on stuff like this now. Every once in awhile, my phone will get a bug up its ass and decide it needs to tell me how to spell names even though I capitalized the word (which should flag it as a proper noun), which is infuriating. -
Redd Vencher’s 2024 Payroll Blueprint
Brock Beauchamp replied to Redd Vencher's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
You're both underrating how bad Baez has been (0.8 fWAR) and how good Adames still is (3.4 fWAR, slightly better than any season he posted in Tampa). -
GM Meetings: "Brewers Open to Trades"
Brock Beauchamp replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Not to pat myself on the back but that image of Arnold is pure gold. -
What does it mean?!?!? The pragmatic among us realizes that the Brewers and their progressive front office are open to trades every offseason. Last winter, newly in-charge General Manager Matt Arnold pulled off the steal of the offseason in acquiring William Contreras by inserting himself between a trade that was already likely to happen between the Braves and Athletics. The cynical among us read this as an organizational adjustment and I'm not sure they're wrong in this case. With Brandon Woodruff basically out for the entire 2024 season, perpetually-salty Corbin Burnes eyeing free agency in 12 months, and Willy Adames faltering last season as he approaches the same free agency class as Burnes, it's hard to predict how the Milwaukee Brewers view themselves this offseason. The following offseason, it's likely the Brewers also wave goodbye to Devin Williams and his Airbender. Either way, this looks to be an incredibly engaging winter for Brewers fans.
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What does it mean?!?!? The pragmatic among us realizes that the Brewers and their progressive front office are open to trades every offseason. Last winter, newly in-charge General Manager Matt Arnold pulled off the steal of the offseason in acquiring William Contreras by inserting himself between a trade that was already likely to happen between the Braves and Athletics. The cynical among us read this as an organizational adjustment and I'm not sure they're wrong in this case. With Brandon Woodruff basically out for the entire 2024 season, perpetually-salty Corbin Burnes eyeing free agency in 12 months, and Willy Adames faltering last season as he approaches the same free agency class as Burnes, it's hard to predict how the Milwaukee Brewers view themselves this offseason. The following offseason, it's likely the Brewers also wave goodbye to Devin Williams and his Airbender. Either way, this looks to be an incredibly engaging winter for Brewers fans. View full rumor
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Brewers Offseason Handbook: Key Option & Arbitration Decisions
Brock Beauchamp posted an article in Brewers
This is an excerpt from the 2024 Brewer Fanatic Offseason Handbook, you can find a link to download the entirety of Week One of the handbook at the bottom of the article. This publication is funded by Brewer Fanatic Caretakers and future entries will be available exclusively to Caretakers. During the publish period of the handbook, we are offering 25% off all Caretaker packages using the coupon code HANDBOOK. To become a supporter of Brewer Fanatic, click here. While contract options are relatively cut-and-dry situations (they’re exercised, or they’re not), arbitration is a potentially ugly process that can result in bad blood and burnt bridges. Look no further than Corbin Burnes, who openly stated that 2023’s offseason salary negotiations hurt his relationship with the franchise. As we head into the next season of Brewer baseball, let’s look at who’s eligible for either of these paths and what might ensue. Arbitration Cases Corbin Burnes - Arb 3, $15.1 million salary It wouldn’t be too much of a stretch to say that all parties are hoping this arbitration process goes better than last year. The Brewers managed to save a whopping $740,000 (enough to cover ten days of Christian Yelich’s salary) in negotiations at the low cost of incensing their ace. They may have done such a good job of the latter that it hurt his performance in 2023 and tanked any possibility of him signing an extension instead of exploring free agency. This year, the Brewers have a chance to make amends. Without Brandon Woodruff, Burnes’ relative value shoots through the roof, and Milwaukee must do whatever they can to keep him around. On the bright side, his statistical regression could mean a more conservative salary ask from his side. MLB Trade Rumors projects Corbin Burnes’s salary to end up at $15.1 million, a respectable amount that should be enough to hold him over. His 3.39 ERA and 1.07 WHIP weren’t exactly the eye-popping numbers we’re used to, but given his track record, it’s reasonable to expect a return to the norm next year. He’s simply been too good to expect otherwise. If the discussion is cordial enough, Burnes may stick around Milwaukee for a few more years. The team could use him. Willy Adames - Arb 3, $12.4 million salary Willy Adames is coming off a weird year. Offensively, it was his worst as a Brewer by far. He slashed .217/.310/.407 and posted a 95 OPS+, a far cry from the 137 and 110 OPS+ numbers he posted in 2021 and 2022, respectively. However, his xwOBA of .341 and xSLG of .442 were significantly higher than his actual figures, so maybe he just got unlucky. His career-low BABIP of .259 adds some support to this thesis. While his offensive capabilities are in question, his defensive prowess is not. His 16 OAA (Outs Above Average) placed him in the 99th percentile of MLB players, and he collected eight DRS (Defensive Runs Saved). He was a major piece of one of the best infields in the sport, and his glove has become the most valuable part of his game. MLB Trade Rumors projects Adames to snag a neat $12.4 million, which seems a little heavy but depends on how optimistic the Brewers are about his future as a player. If they can get the bat of 2021 Willy Adames that posted a .886 OPS to combine with 2023 Willy Adames’ glove, they might just have a gem. If not, they can always cut him loose in 2025, when he becomes a free agent. He avoided arbitration in both 2022 (signed a one-year, $4.6 million contract) and 2023 (signed a one-year, $8.7 million contract), so we’ll see if he decides to repeat old habits or leave his fate in the hands of an arbitrator. To Continue Reading, Download the Free Week One Preview: -
Despite no baseball being played, the offseason is a hectic time for any front office. While it’s fun to think about what fresh faces will join from free agency, it’s equally important to consider how options and arbitration negotiations will go. Image courtesy of Brewer Fanatic & Brock Beauchamp This is an excerpt from the 2024 Brewer Fanatic Offseason Handbook, you can find a link to download the entirety of Week One of the handbook at the bottom of the article. This publication is funded by Brewer Fanatic Caretakers and future entries will be available exclusively to Caretakers. During the publish period of the handbook, we are offering 25% off all Caretaker packages using the coupon code HANDBOOK. To become a supporter of Brewer Fanatic, click here. While contract options are relatively cut-and-dry situations (they’re exercised, or they’re not), arbitration is a potentially ugly process that can result in bad blood and burnt bridges. Look no further than Corbin Burnes, who openly stated that 2023’s offseason salary negotiations hurt his relationship with the franchise. As we head into the next season of Brewer baseball, let’s look at who’s eligible for either of these paths and what might ensue. Arbitration Cases Corbin Burnes - Arb 3, $15.1 million salary It wouldn’t be too much of a stretch to say that all parties are hoping this arbitration process goes better than last year. The Brewers managed to save a whopping $740,000 (enough to cover ten days of Christian Yelich’s salary) in negotiations at the low cost of incensing their ace. They may have done such a good job of the latter that it hurt his performance in 2023 and tanked any possibility of him signing an extension instead of exploring free agency. This year, the Brewers have a chance to make amends. Without Brandon Woodruff, Burnes’ relative value shoots through the roof, and Milwaukee must do whatever they can to keep him around. On the bright side, his statistical regression could mean a more conservative salary ask from his side. MLB Trade Rumors projects Corbin Burnes’s salary to end up at $15.1 million, a respectable amount that should be enough to hold him over. His 3.39 ERA and 1.07 WHIP weren’t exactly the eye-popping numbers we’re used to, but given his track record, it’s reasonable to expect a return to the norm next year. He’s simply been too good to expect otherwise. If the discussion is cordial enough, Burnes may stick around Milwaukee for a few more years. The team could use him. Willy Adames - Arb 3, $12.4 million salary Willy Adames is coming off a weird year. Offensively, it was his worst as a Brewer by far. He slashed .217/.310/.407 and posted a 95 OPS+, a far cry from the 137 and 110 OPS+ numbers he posted in 2021 and 2022, respectively. However, his xwOBA of .341 and xSLG of .442 were significantly higher than his actual figures, so maybe he just got unlucky. His career-low BABIP of .259 adds some support to this thesis. While his offensive capabilities are in question, his defensive prowess is not. His 16 OAA (Outs Above Average) placed him in the 99th percentile of MLB players, and he collected eight DRS (Defensive Runs Saved). He was a major piece of one of the best infields in the sport, and his glove has become the most valuable part of his game. MLB Trade Rumors projects Adames to snag a neat $12.4 million, which seems a little heavy but depends on how optimistic the Brewers are about his future as a player. If they can get the bat of 2021 Willy Adames that posted a .886 OPS to combine with 2023 Willy Adames’ glove, they might just have a gem. If not, they can always cut him loose in 2025, when he becomes a free agent. He avoided arbitration in both 2022 (signed a one-year, $4.6 million contract) and 2023 (signed a one-year, $8.7 million contract), so we’ll see if he decides to repeat old habits or leave his fate in the hands of an arbitrator. To Continue Reading, Download the Free Week One Preview: View full article
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Redd Vencher’s 2024 Payroll Blueprint
Brock Beauchamp replied to Redd Vencher's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Yeah, he’s a candidate for a two year contract that will be more like a 1.25-1.5 year contract. -
logani54’s 2024 Payroll Blueprint
Brock Beauchamp replied to logani54's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Im really hesitant to lean on Ashby or a rookie on opening day. I think the Brewers need at least on free agent or trade starting pitcher. -
Redd Vencher’s 2024 Payroll Blueprint
Brock Beauchamp replied to Redd Vencher's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Ooh, I completely forgot about Mahle. I think that’d be a smart pickup. -
I hate to say it but I'm blowing it up a bit. I just see the prevailing winds moving against the Brewers in 2024. I'd hope this team can compete for a wild card with the intent of retooling for 2025. I'm trading Corbin Burnes, hopefully for near-ready MLB players. Call the expected teams and hunt for the best deal: Orioles, Dodgers, Yankees, et al. I also shop Williams with the same expectation. Again, I won't list specific names because that always feels unrealistic. Shop him around and if there is a reasonable deal to be had, take it. I shop Adames but am in less of a rush to deal him. He's coming off a down season and if there is a rebound in his bat, I'll either make a July trade or get the QO out of him. I round out the roster with a bunch of reclamation guys: Cron, Urshela, Sanchez at catcher. The Twins managed to improve his glove a little in 2021, maybe the Brewers can eke that much more out of him behind the dish. I extend Woodruff for 2024-25 with the expectation he will not pitch in 2024. The outfield will be wild. Four names with intriguing skillsets and absolutely ZERO idea how it will pan out. The only significant signing I make is Lucas Giolito. I think he's a really good bounceback candidate that, if everything goes right, is a direct Burnes replacement. He's almost surely willing to go for a one-year deal and the Brewers pitching development system could be attractive for him to regain value. Would this team compete for a Wild Card? Dunno. It's possible but with the potential return on Burnes and Williams and possibly Adames, the Brewers could be in a really nice position heading into 2025-2027. C: William Contreras ($0.77M) 1B: Christian Yelich ($26M) 2B: Brice Turang ($0.77M) 3B: Gio Urshela ($5M) SS: Willy Adames ($12.40M) LF: Garrett Mitchell ($.77M) CF: Sal Frelick ($0.77M) RF: Tyrone Taylor ($1.70M) DH: CJ Cron ($4M) Bench OF: Joey Wiemer ($0.77M) Utility: Abraham Toro ($1.30M) Utility: Andruw Monasterio ($.77M) Backup C: Gary Sanchez ($3M) SP1: Lucas Giolito ($14M) SP2: Freddy Peralta ($5.50M) SP3: Wade Miley ($9.00M) SP4: Adrian Houser ($5.60M) SP5: Colin Rea ($3.50M) CL: Abner Uribe ($.77M) RP: Elvis Peguero ($0.77M) RP: Hoby Milner ($1.70M) RP: Bryse Wilson ($1.30M) RP: Joel Payamps ($1.70M) RP: Trevor Megill ($0.77M) RP: Brandon Woodruff (placeholder) ($3M) RP: Reclamation Arm ($1M) Payroll is 23.84% under budget

