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NBBrewFan

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Everything posted by NBBrewFan

  1. By itself it seems like a decent addition. The WR room is better now than it was a few hours ago. If that's the last move (plus a couple of draft picks) then I'm not sure that solves the WR talent issue, but I don't think the $ they gave Sammy will impair them to get another vet or 2 (by trade and taking on cap $ or in free agency when some of the vets get cut later in the preseason). There are still multiple contracts that can be renegotiated/extensions (Amos, Jenkins, Alexander, Lowry, etc) to free up more cap room.
  2. I come from a career in the legal profession. The Plaintiff/prosecutor are required to prove their case or that the defendant is guilty. I approach this in the same way. You are making the assertion. Great, you are the Plaintiff. Can you prove it? Obviously you have a good knowledge in this area. How many of their picks were not brought in or virtually interviewed, how many were not interviewed and picked (sorry n=1 means nothing)? The harder questions is how many of their picks were taken before where the Packers ranked them (not likely to be known)? Does the Jordan Love data mean anything as they moved up to get him because he had fallen close enough to where they could move - was he even a target at all until he fell? I do recall Gute saying they didn't think he'd fall, but that could just be a cover for the negative reaction to the pick. Do they ever bring in consensus top 10-15 picks when they pick 10-15 spots after that point? You may very well be correct, but I've not seen any analysis that they do that as a strategy other than if they are trying to get more information. I do recall they definitely were inquiring and may have brought Stokes in before they drafted him last year. Maybe that came out after he was picked, but there wasn't any surprise about Stokes. Do they bring in players Gute hasn't had a chance to talk to at Pro-Day/Team-day/etc? All of these can look like a "smoke screen" strategy, but are because of very different reasons.
  3. We're a little short on data points so I'll guess (and agree with Keith) that he is probably somewhere in between, That's great compared to 2020/2021. I would like to see him just kill balls in the strike zone before I would hope to hope that he's back closer to the MVP levels. When he was dialed in he just crushed balls in the strike zone (and sometimes outside), but he really made the pitcher regret throwing him something to hit. Now? I think he still has a ways to improve, but even if he regresses slightly from where he's at now, that still is a win for the team.
  4. Association vs. Causation. All of the players he's picked in the first round are people of color. So should we conclude that Gute will only pick people of color in the first round? It would be interesting to see the justification for that conclusion.
  5. I'm not sure I made it clear that I am fine with the obligatory "I'm sorry" to begin the "dialogue", what really is the maddening part is that almost every single sentence in reply starts with "I'm sorry". So a 5 sentence exchange has 3-5 "I'm sorry"'s. Fine, get it out of the way to start, but stop repeating it every time. I believe it really is the repetition that gets maddening. And I know it's being pushed down from the top because we actually know someone who is a receptionist for that health system and the crazy stuff that they require them to do is amazing.
  6. What do butterflies have to do with baseball? So if I had supreme power I'd do the full revenue sharing with salary cap and floors like the NFL on Day 1. Day 2 install a plan that any team that accepts public money (be it any form of corporate revenue) is required to make their finances public. Day 3 crush blackout rules and allow anyone to view any game from any location/market. Day 4 International draft and slot values Day 5 minor league minimum wage with travel/housing allowance. Day 6 Agree to a fixed revenue sharing with players so that X% of revenue is for player salaries (including minor leagues). Day 7 Play Ball!
  7. Why does it only work one way? In MLFs first year with Rodgers learning a new system he was pretty pedestrian. In fact that was the third year (2017-2019) with Rodgers approaching the normal age where QBs retire that he was being paid to be one of the best QBs and he just wasn't there. The Packers were concerned enough to draft a possible replacement then he puts up 2 of his best seasons running the MLF offense (an offense that doesn't skip a beat when their #1WR is out) and back-to-back MVP. Was it simply the drafting of Love that put a bug in Rodgers butt? If that's the case it has paid 100% dividends, but can you simply say it's all Rodgers and not the scheme/system he's been under. In fact the data supports it's more likely the scheme taking him to that next level. I'm not trying to diminish Rodgers talent as I am trying to argue that he's benefitted from a better system, playcalling, etc. so it's not a one-sided progression, it's a partnership and Rodgers should also be thanking MLF for putting in a system that he can take full advantage of. And to be slightly critical of Aaron, there were multiple times when Aaron tried to do it all in the Niner playoff game by forcing the ball to a double/triple covered Adams while other receivers (running their scheme/system) were open. That's part of winning championships - staying within your system and plan. I think it's a valid criticism, but it shouldn't impact any conclusion that he's one of the greatest ever.
  8. Well the Packers bring in like 30 players each year and they have roughly 8-9 picks on the average year. Not sure how you would classify the non-drafted as a smoke screen vs. a numbers game. I don't know of any organization that would only invite the players they intend to draft when 31 other teams have a shot also (and with the packers success most of them have a shot before the Packers pick). If they brought in a guy with a RAS of 2 then I'd assume something was up, but most of these guys fit perfectly with the Packers history of desired traits.
  9. Actually they had 1 last year and averaged over 4 so I think it's division. As I proposed yesterday, no hitting coach then infinite runs per game.
  10. Actually it was a general rant. If our putrid offense could muster more than 2 runs when Burnes pitches maybe our relievers wouldn't have to be perfect.
  11. I never call/chat to ask for an apology, I am trying to resolve an issue. The fastest that can happen is the best outcome. What I want depends on the situation. Today at the doctors office I simply wanted to tell them there's a disconnect between their maps and what they have in the system for locations. In that case a "thank you. I'll pass along that information and hopefully they will prioritize correcting that" would be a perfect response. Sure, lots of words, but I didn't bring it up to get an apology I am trying to inform them of an issue they might want to correct. When I'm contacting Grubhub for the 4th order in a row that I am missing an item, I don't want to chat with a representative who begins every response with "I'm sorry". I want the online system where I can report the missing item and get credit, but if you do it too often then they bump you to "talking" to a representative. So be like the online system. Get the facts. move on. extraneous words bad.
  12. Awesome we just Brewered the Orioles. Way to go Rowdy!
  13. He started 100% at LT in 2020 and 10% of his reps were at LT in 2021 (90% at LG). His PFF grade was the best in 2021, but he wasn't a liability at LT in 2020. The "LT/RT" need is mainly a result of injuries to Bakh and Jenkins. Most of what I have read is that Jenkins would likely move back inside when he's back with Nijman/Bakh at OT. Having Zion on the inside with Jenkins/Bakh/Nijman handing tackle would be a very impressive group. I would guess the assumption is that Zion would be depth/backup for Tackle until Jenkins is back, not a long-term plan for him as a Tackle.
  14. He's my draft crush for 2022. If Olave is gone and Wyatt is available at #22, It would crush my soul and leave me a miserable old SOB for the rest of my days if the Packers didn't pick him. I have until the draft to rationalize back from the edge, I might not have enough time.
  15. I'm all for coming up with ways to celebrate almost anything, but I have to be honest celebrating your area code never occurred to me. We have a Couple of Fin's as friends and the wife carrying festival explains a lot. I once saw a cheese rolling contest in the UK, but it wasn't in the location from the 2nd link. I guess it's a standard thing for the brits.
  16. So I took my wife to a routine doctors appointment today and because we only go once a year I haven't set aside any memory for the exact office number. I remember from the parking structure where it sorta is, but last year I swore it was the 3rd floor when it was the 4th. So I decide to be a good chauffer and check online for the correct number. Got it right away from the online patient system. Check Google and it's in a weird location. Pull up the medical center map and guess what. None of the buildings are named with the same initials and where I am looking for the "3rd" building, the map has "east/west" buildings. No problem we will wing it. Get there in no time, found it, little wait and when we are done I thought maybe I would mention that they don't match to the receptionist. The response I got was "I'm sorry for that" blah blah blah. No worries, but it took a bit of digging to locate the correct location, I said. "I'm sorry, blah, blah, blah". So has anyone else brought this up, I inquire. "I'm sorry, no". At which point I look over at my wife who clearly has the "I'm smiling, but I want this conversation to be done, my summary to be printed and for us to be on our way" look on her face. We get to the car having walked in silence and my wife mentions her surprise that they are still checking people as they enter for COVID symptoms. My response "I'm sorry you were inconvenienced" in my kidding way and she starts screaming (not at me, but with me) that she is tired of people apologizing all the time. We had an interesting conversation on the way home about how we have become desensitized to apologies because that's the first thing out of anyone's mouth/chatting/etc. when you are discussing customer service or issues or just asking about something. And I realized and my wife feels the same that our physical and emotional response to "I'm sorry" is not the intended mellowing, but it results in anger at the severe end, but mostly irritation that I'm sorry is a replacement for "let's see if we can fix that or I can get you what you need". Has the customer service world of "just say you are sorry with every sentence" lead to the opposite, or at the least, a desensitization of our responses to "I'm sorry". So I thought I would inquire by posting here whether others find themselves actually getting irritated when they are requesting customer service and the beginning of every sentence is "I'm sorry"? For full disclosure, I once asked a customer service rep to stop saying "I'm sorry", because it really wasn't necessary to say it more than 5 times in a conversation and her response began "I'm sorry...". And I said, "I just asked you not to say I'm sorry". And her response. "I'm sorry". At which point I asked if she was intending to be confrontational and her response began with "I'm sorry". Swear on a bible.
  17. I blink and the top of the 4th is over. Did every hitter swing at the first pitch and make out?
  18. Sorry, it appears that I was vague with my previous post. I looked at ALL drafted players by EVERY team, not just the Packers. I was concluding that just based on a quick glance, the Packers don't seem to be different than the other teams and those trends for 21/22 YO is because that's what's being drafted by most teams in the early rounds. A statistical analysis might reveal something that my quick glance didn't.
  19. I hope in a month I still won't be thinking 'maybe JBJ wasn't so bad'
  20. Leadoff HR for Wong will get the Brewers on the board early and often.
  21. I did a quick look at draft age for the last 4 drafts and a majority of the draftees up to the 4th round are 21 or 22 years of age (majority being >50%). The early rounds looked even higher (in the 85% range) for age 21/22. Just by a quick glance it doesn't appear to be a statistical anomaly. Has anyone done a statistical analysis to show their preference is statistically different from the general draft pool of 1st round picks?
  22. I see a lot of ABs where they just aren't putting their pitch in play. They seem to be getting behind in the counts consistently then having to swing at anything close to the strike zone and many of those pitches just aren't high % for driving/putting in play. They will get it together at some point, but I see another year where they are hot for extended periods and ice cold for periods. There doesn't seem to be too much in-between. They were really bad until the Adames trade last year so it isn't an outlier for this team to struggle early. But the mid-May thru late summer offense was great.
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