NBBrewFan

Do they have 4 HRs in them today?

That wind to left field is really messing with Freddy's location.

Looking forward to win #1

I think I've reordered my WR draft rankings 100 times as I've waded through all the data and I think my concerns about Olave have been erased. In fact, I read through the PFF draft guide today and one really cool dataset stood out for him that leads me to believe if they are targeting him then I would be OK moving up to make sure they get him. It is: I think that's the most impressive data for success at mid to deep balls I saw in the PFF wide receivers writeup. Even Wilson and Williams don't have as impressive results for deep balls. Another player with a similar Routes Ran chart is Jalen Tolbert out of Southern Alabama who has been my favorite for a second WR if they go for 2, but likely would need to be taken in the second or they would need to move into the early 3rd round to have a chance getting him. And if they did get Olave/Karlaftis at 21/22 then an OT/DT and second WR in Round 2 that would be a very nice draft.

As much as it would be really cool to be a fly on the wall in the draft room and through the process of evaluating the talent I don't think we'll ever know what is happening behind the scenes. I do think your point about re-grading drafts is important because many of the "experts" don't get it correct at any level that their real-time grades mean anything. Even the PFF mock simulator bases their "grade" on when you pick a player in relation to their own board. I have run that thing so many times I have to wait until my wife goes to bed so I don't get that look (why are you wasting your time on that!). If you don't pick Jelani Woods with a pick before #120 he is gone 99% of the time by the 132nd pick. If you pick him at #110 or #120 (through a trade) then you get a grade form C to F. Why? because his Average draft position is 132 and you picked him at #110? That's just stupid because the TE pickings are pretty slim after that. The point I'm slowly getting to is that ranking boards mean absolutely nothing because each team has their own and while teams claim to go for BPA, there's no point in drafting a OT with #132 if you pick someone like Penning or Raimann earlier and have other positional needs. The only thing I know for sure is that this is just a fun time of the year and the draft will be exciting even with the overdose of Goodell.

The one that tells the hitters to watch the first two pitches down the middle of the plate then swing at anything after that.

If a player is ejected for throwing at another, they should give the next pitcher zero warmup tosses. Just start throwing.

Do they play the Cardinals next? Then it's a certainty.

LOL. Once it happens then we'll know too. I'm sure they'd just get creative and hit one guy per inning until they've hit all nine. A single baserunner with this offense isn't a danger to score.

From the Brewers offense? Nothing From the Brewers Pitching? Several pitchers making sure Urena leads the team in ERA.

I love the MLB.TV feature that allows me to switch games.

Sure, ask my wife and she'll agree I've had slumps over 5 + games, but the Brewers really make an art of playing like little leaguers when things aren't going well.

Urena likely will be gone when they cut to 26.

Hunter Renfroe was born to be a Brewer.

I think my fantasy baseball strategy should be to draft hitters through the first 20 rounds then pick up anybody who's pitching against the Brewers off of the waiver wire for pitching.

It's a little known fact that the Brewers are a charter member of the make-a-wish foundation. Whenever a recipient requests to throw a shutout against a major league team, the Brewers step up to the challenge.

I prefer the Brewers get their crappy games out early and consecutively so I can enjoy the rest of the season. So far so good.

It's odd that Brewers pitchers aren't ready, but whomever is pitching against the Brewers seems ready.

there goes the no-hitter.

Too bad the pitchers aren't still hitting or this could be a wide open competition.

I don't know if this is the place to put this, but I just watched the highlights from the DET v CHI game where the final out in the 9th was overturned by review. MLB wants umpires mic'ed so they can explain the review. The Ump goes ahead and basically just repeats what was obvious without giving any context. "Call on the field was overturned. Runner is safe. Run scores." Yeah, but it was overturned because "ball hit the wall before it was caught by the outfielder. call on the field is overturned, blah blah blah". Why have them explain what is clear anyways, it's the specifics of why the review was overturned or not that seems to be what was intended from having the umpire announce the result. Maybe a full year of study in the minors was necessary to do the obvious.

If the Brewers reach the promised land and Bob Uecker is still alive, they should have him as the starting DH for the next opening day.

Since you were responding to a post of mine: 1) I never used the term "wasting". I typed "giving away". Those are different concepts. 2) I didn't listen to butterflies flying out of my behind when I made that comment. I saw an article (acme or Cheesehead TV) that had a statistical analysis using draft position values (99% sure they DIDN'T use the Jimmy Johnson values) to evaluate Gute's historical draft tendencies. The conclusion was that (with the current limited data) that Gute was more likely to give away draft capital to move up than to move down and acquire draft capital. One of the weaknesses of such an approach is (obviously) that there isn't a ton of data so those instances could be exceptions to his overall draft philosophy and just happened to occur early in his career. Also, it assumes every year is equivalent. They aren't. Look no further than this year where most observers/experts see this being a much deeper draft than we've seen for years. That makes some sense given there were many athletes that stayed in school because of the weird data from the 2020 pandemic year. So any value system for ranking picks really should account for the depth or lack of depth in a certain year. Historically you can use actual data to see how each draft class turned out and come up with a value for each position plus a variance or standard deviation where for good years you can use a value + var/stdev for valuations and for bad years value - var/stdev. Of course for any current year, good/bad are subjective and sometimes the experts think this is going to be good and when the fat lady is done, it really wasn't. A good example is the 2016 MLB draft where so few 1st round picks have/are likely to have MLB careers of any significance. I agree with the narrative that this is a deep draft, hence tossing a 3rd and 4th pick to move up from 28 doesn't compute in that scenario. We're in a topic to discuss the NFL draft where on every evaluation I have seen there is a strengths and weaknesses analysis for every prospect. Everyone has strengths and weaknesses. As you have stated, he's hit some big shots in the first/second round. He's also found little in the later rounds. Those are strengths and weaknesses. I don't see why it can't be mentioned that he gives away draft capital. I didn't say he's a crap GM because he gives away draft capital. I actually like the job he is doing. I know this is a fan site and many people are fanatics, but I'm not as invested in a narrative that the sun is always shining. I still follow them even when they are the dumbest guys in the room (see mid 80's to mid 2000 Brewers). The teams I like will make mistakes (IMHO) and we could debate those mistakes, but to say just because they have X,Y and Z strenghts, it's unreasonable to mention A or B weaknesses doesn't seem reasonable to me.

Did we just lose a bunch of posts? I responded to PeaveyFury's reply to me and that is gone. Also we are on Page 5 for this topic and I swear we were on Page 7 before. Edit: The number of pages for the Packers discussion is now 18 when it was 24 before. I don't know if it is just a change in the number of posts per page, but my post went MIA too so not sure what happened.

Uggh. They give up their 3rd and a 4th for that. In an extremely deep draft just to box out others? That would be a Gute move to give away draft capital. I'm not an Olave hater, but of the many 1st round WR all have a higher ceiling. Sure Olave is likely to be the best for 2022 of the available late first round, but beyond that?