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Brewcrew82

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Everything posted by Brewcrew82

  1. Brewcrew82
    And how many 18 year olds played in AA last season. How many have played there in the last decade?
  2. Brewcrew82
    Yeah. The more I study Cousins, the more I'm thinking he could be Adam Ottavino 2.0, with the mid 90s sinker to complement his devastating, sharp slider. Needless to say, that would be a big development for this team.
  3. Brewcrew82
    Agreed. Though, I'm still mystified why they kept Cousins down in AAA as long as they did. Did he really take that long to recover from his injury? Because he's probably been our 3/4th best reliever over the past two years when healthy. Between Strzelecki and Cousins, and then Devin and Bush, I'm optimistic about our ability to hold down leads in the later innings. Would love the bullpen even more if it included Ashby, but hopefully he can return in May/June and star there.
  4. Brewcrew82
    I want Mayer so bad. He’s the clear top TE in the draft imo and a top 10 player overall. All of the upper echelon teams in the NFL right now have a top tight end (Kelce, Kittle, Goedert, etc). It’s well past time for the Packers to join the list, as the position has basically been ignored since Finley.
  5. Brewcrew82
    Chourio has by far more trade value than Mitchell... https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/teams/461/
  6. Brewcrew82
    And then we’ll be adding the eventual Burnes return on top of that. Hopefully this winter after he’s won his 2nd Cy Young and carried us deep into the postseason….
  7. Brewcrew82
    Hopefully Barry is finally canned after this year. I’d hate to see Leonhard end up in the NFC North or in the BIG.
  8. Brewcrew82
    I don’t think it’s accurate to call a consensus top 10 prospect in baseball a “lottery ticket”. Chourio could flame out or fail to live up to expectations, for sure, but the fact that he’s ranked as high as he is means scouts and analysts are fairly certain that he will be a productive major league player. How productive is where it becomes debatable, but by nature, the vast majority of lottery tickets don’t end up making the majors, let alone become productive players. Freddy Peralta is the rare exception.
  9. Brewcrew82
    The fact that these two guys will likely open in AAA is a testament to the depth that Arnold and co. have built this winter. You figure between them, the rookie OFs, and now Voit and Naquin, someone is bound to step up and insert themselves into an everyday role.
  10. Brewcrew82
    Stop getting me excited...Wiemer puts up a rookie season like Judge and Frelick puts up a rookie season like Kwan and we're World Series bound with our pitching...
  11. Brewcrew82
    But, who's put up the most fWAR by a pitcher in MLB during that overall timeframe, and is number 1 in virtually every major pitching category? That's what I mean when I say he's already the most DOMINANT pitcher in franchise history. Last year, he tailed off in the second half, likely due to going significantly over his career high in innings. But, over this three year stretch since the pandemic and his development of his cutter, he's simply been the best pitcher in baseball, including putting up the second best season by FIP in the modern era. Sheets and Higuera never had a stretch as dominant as that, let alone picked up a Cy Young Award (though Higuera did finish 2nd behind Clemens in 1986 and Sheets should have finished higher in 2004).
  12. Brewcrew82
    I think it’s fair to say that he’s already the most DOMINANT pitcher in franchise history. Since 2020, he’s been the best pitcher in baseball by fWAR. And then, during his CY season of 2021, he put up the second lowest FIP of the modern era, after Pedro’s 1999 season (aka the greatest single season by a pitcher in MLB history). Neither Sheets nor Higuera can replicate that….
  13. Brewcrew82
    It is quite amazing how collective bargaining negotiations often produce bizarre outcomes that are not in the best interest of either party. And then MLB collective bargaining takes that truth to a whole different level...
  14. Brewcrew82
    Makes you appreciate what the Bucks have going with Giannis all the more..
  15. Brewcrew82
    Taking the words right out of my mouth. "Pyrrhic victory" is exactly what this is. The only good that can come out of this now is if Corbin pitches like a man possessed this season due to the huge chip on his shoulder, and then we reap the benefits the following offseason with a huge prospect haul. Now, if we're in playoff position again and we proceed to trade him a la Hader....
  16. Brewcrew82
    It totally is being pessimistic for the sake of being pessimistic. Your statement was that “everything” needs to go right just for the Brewers to stay in contention. That’s not borne out whatsoever by the results of the past 6 seasons, in which the Brewers have been in contention in each of them, playing a total of 3 meaningless games. Nor is it borne out by the projections for this season (PECOTA, ZIPS). Also, you’re wrong about Winker. Even in by far the worst season of his career last year, he was still a significant upgrade over McCutchen (108 wRC+ vs. 98 wRC+). Seems to me like you’re the one being blinded here…
  17. Brewcrew82
    Less talent on paper than in prior years? Who did we lose besides Hader? And then we made pretty significant upgrades at C and DH. Saying we need “everything” to break our way just to stay in postseason contention, despite the past 6 years of hard evidence, is just being pessimistic for the sake of being pessimistic…
  18. Brewcrew82
    Why would “everything need to break their way to stay in the postseason chase” when they’ve played a total of 3 meaningless games over the past 6 seasons?
  19. Brewcrew82
    Yep. Huge part of why we missed the playoffs. Contrary to popular opinion, it wasn’t the offense…
  20. Brewcrew82
    Thing is, though, is that none of those guys, save for Hader until June, gave us irreplaceable innings. They ranged from slightly above average (Boxberger) to average (Suter) to well below average (Kelly). Strzelecki, Cousins, etc., guys with promising underlying pitch profiles and underlying metrics, getting more innings will help. Granted, this bullpen will be a lot more unproven, but there’s definite talent here headlined by an elite closer in Devin. The 2012 bullpen didn’t even have that…
  21. Brewcrew82
    Honestly, it seems like Gasser is being groomed to be Lauer's replacement. There's very little upside to extending Lauer past his two remaining years of control, with a significant amount of downside. If it were up to me, I would've cashed in on the value he's built up over the past two seasons (surface-level wise) and traded him to a pitching-desperate team like the Orioles. The only starting pitchers we should be offering extensions to are Corbin and Woody due to how difficult it is to develop frontline pitching and how crucial frontline pitching is to a successful World Series formula. Corbin is obviously highly unlikely at this point, but I think Woody can and should be done.
  22. Brewcrew82
    They’re two all star hitters who represent clear upgrade over the guys they’re replacing in the lineup. That’s not something to minimize… Is there risk? Of course. But you could say the same thing with virtually any non-established superstar in the majors. I’m on the record as being very optimistic about Winker. This is a guy who, previous to last season, was a top 10 hitter against RHP in MLB. And even last year, when he was dealing with injury and playing in one of the least hitter friendly parks in the majors, was still an asset at the plate (109 wRC+) due to his elite walk rate. Easily better than McCutchen, who saw the majority of plate appearances for us at DH last season. We’ll see how the power looks coming off surgery, but the Brewers are optimistic, and I see no reason not to be considering he’s only 29. At the very least, he represents an upgrade over McCutchen, with the potential to be much more. As for Contreras, the Braves were hesitant to part with him and wanted us to take D’Arnaud instead, but we held out. The main reason why they traded for Murphy is because they wanted an upgrade on defense. They gladly would have held on to Contreras as their DH and part-time catcher if we hadn’t been adamant about him being part of the return. After all, he only was the starting DH for the NL in the all-star game and posted the highest OPS for a C last season…Will he repeat those types of numbers this season? Probably not, but he still represents a clear upgrade with the bat over what we received from the C position last season. Defensively, he was below average, but so was Omar Narvaez when we acquired him…And he’s still only 25. I get you like to be a contrarian, but these moves inarguably upgraded the roster.
  23. Brewcrew82
    So, it will be a “miracle” if a team that’s won at least 86 games the last 5 full seasons wins above 83? Interesting take. You not a fan of the William Contreras/Jesse Winker trades?
  24. Brewcrew82
    Agreed. I like him AT MINIMUM in that he can get on base and put the ball in play, the two areas where the offense struggled the most last year. Hopefully the power comes back now that he's healthy, and we'll really be in business.
  25. Brewcrew82
    Clancy is what you call a Suter stan. Even going back to when Suter was in the minors and he'd consistently rank him as the team's #1 prospect. In reality, though, Suter has basically zero overall value, which is why a trade didn't occur.
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